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[T] Hajime no Ippo Maifa - Page 287

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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LightningStrike
Profile Joined February 2011
United States14277 Posts
May 05 2015 14:40 GMT
#5721
On May 05 2015 23:39 indignant wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 05 2015 23:37 LightningStrike wrote:
On May 05 2015 23:32 indignant wrote:
On May 05 2015 23:25 LightningStrike wrote:
On May 05 2015 23:20 indignant wrote:
On May 05 2015 23:13 LightningStrike wrote:
On May 05 2015 23:12 LightningStrike wrote:
On May 05 2015 22:59 indignant wrote:
On May 05 2015 21:16 Xatalos wrote:
This D1 vote situation still slightly points to Yamato being town :/ There's already 3 confirmed scum who voted for Yamato during the day. No scum has been shown to vote for sandroba yet, however.

On April 28 2015 06:59 Half the Sky wrote:
Day 1 Vote Count

sandroba (9): Holyflare, Xatalos, Holyflare, Holyflare, sicklucker, Holyflare, Fecalfeast, Koshi, yamato77, Stutters695, Holyflare, Breshke, rsoultin, The Shining, indignant
yamato77 (6): marvellosity, Vivax, rsoultin, Stutters695, indignant, ObiWanShinobi, Holyflare, Fecalfeast, LightningStrike, Holyflare, Koshi, Koshi, sandroba, Inspector Javert
Breshke (2): Koshi, ObiWanShinobi, LightningStrike, Chezinu, sicklucker, Jean Valjean
Inpsector Javert (2): ObiWanShinobi, Fecalfeast
Holyflare (0): Koshi, Koshi, sandroba
rsoultin (1): Fecalfeast, Sepulchre
Sepulchre (0): rsoultin
LightningStrike (0): Breshke
Vivax (0): Inspector Javert
marvellosity (0): Koshi, sicklucker, Inspector Javert, Koshi
Koshi (0): Holyflare
sicklucker (0): marvellosity, Holyflare, Fecalfeast, Vivax
Xatalos (0): Koshi

Not voted (2): rygart, Damdred,

Given the current vote count, sandroba is most likely to be knocked out.
The voting thread is located here.
Countdown:


I hate that we are doing the work right now because today is the day all those lazy fuckers should step it up. No excuse not to anymore.
So, about that votecount: It is not correct. I was the last one to vote sandro. Jean and damdred both voted before me. FF also voted yamato at some point btw.

Regardless, what does it tell us? Well, it is only relevant if yamato is town. Which is cool because if yamato doesn't play today we just lynch him and know.
So, let's assume yamato is town. I will also assume without doublechecking that scum knew that at this point in time or earlier the votes weren't actually 9:6 but like 7: 7 or 7:8 depending on the hidden vote/sandros other abilities. So there was hope for sandro since they couldn't know if the townies left would vote yamato or sandro.
So the votes of bats, Obi and Chez still look really really bad. BUT we also know now that Sep was town. So if scum wanted to save sandro they were probably waiting and looking if that really makes sense. -> off wagon people OR people who were on sandro early. Voting sandro late was a bad idea since a switch just can't be justified that well. Not to mention that at this point all late voters are basically confirmed town except for maybe damdred.

sandroba (9): Holyflare, Xatalos, Holyflare, Holyflare, sicklucker, Holyflare, Fecalfeast, Koshi, yamato77, Stutters695, Holyflare, Breshke, rsoultin, The Shining, indignant
yamato77 (6): marvellosity, Vivax, rsoultin, Stutters695, indignant, ObiWanShinobi, Holyflare, Fecalfeast, LightningStrike, Holyflare, Koshi, Koshi, sandroba, Inspector Javert
Breshke (2): Koshi, ObiWanShinobi, LightningStrike, Chezinu, sicklucker, Jean Valjean
Inpsector Javert (2): ObiWanShinobi, Fecalfeast
Holyflare (0): Koshi, Koshi, sandroba
rsoultin (1): Fecalfeast, Sepulchre
Sepulchre (0): rsoultin
LightningStrike (0): Breshke
Vivax (0): Inspector Javert
marvellosity (0): Koshi, sicklucker, Inspector Javert, Koshi
Koshi (0): Holyflare
sicklucker (0): marvellosity, Holyflare, Fecalfeast, Vivax
Xatalos (0): Koshi

Not voted (2): rygart, Damdred


That's not very enlightening because it only leads to the same suspects we had either way.

Chez voted off wagon, no real effort to figure out the game.
Obi voted off wagon, actively tried to push the lynch away from sandroba multiple times. 2 really fucking suspicious reads on people that are now confirmed scum (sandro, Vivax). Relatively low effort.
Bats voted the wrong wagon. Personally I think the timing is not as suspicious as it looks though. Play generally more or less in line with town meta. There is the argument about how his vote for yamato makes no sense considering that Vivax and marv were on the same wagon though.
LS voted the wrong wagon. Could just be sheeping though. Don't know what to make of him.

So, who could be scum on the sandro wagon?

Xatalos: Really doubt it. You can start worrying if he survives like 3 more nights but otherwise this guy is town or at least not scum.
SL: Was awfully certain about sandroba. Could be a bus - he does that day1 all the time. His strong push for sandro is generally more or less the thing that makes him townread. Did not put in any effort during the last days. Some other minor reasons to townread him though. Like making FF heal me.
Stutters: Could be scum. Since sep was town his yolo play is really really scumfavored. Low effort too.
Breshke: Probably greenchecked+cancelled the fight. Very low effort though and we still had no mafia role that fucks with copchecks flip even though there are tons of cops.
Damdred: Confirmed rb at this point - sadly not confirmed town. Rbs night 1 are still very weird. Hammered sandro though. And marv said he had a strong townread on him/defended him multiple times which is the only reason I have been so lenient on him. I did not understand that read at the time at all. Either marv has some sort of godread on him or he same checked him with SL/Breshke.

So, I think my conclusion is that at least for today I don't want to touch Xatalos, Damdred and Sicklucker. Maybe we let chez live for another day to see what's up with HF.
The rest should step it up if they do not want to be part of the fight today.

I agreed with someone that we should lynch Yamato because he wasn't doing much Day 1 although he did start to look townie towards EoD.

On top of that I didn't think Sandroba was scum when I had looked in his filter because people were complaining about him.

Why? What about his filter was towny enough to lynch yamato who you say had a good eod over him? And again - do you claim to not know why you moved on the playerlist?

I thought Sandroba looked genuine about his posts and it seemed kinda freely posting esp about the hp and the thing about Koshi. I do know know why I got moved up and down the list tbh with you.

Why?

I meant I don't know if I have to guess mafia got someone that can move the player list or OWS didn't OWS said he got powers to move the player list around?

OWS claimed to only be able to move peope up not down afaik. Why would they keep moving you around?

I really don't know your guess is as good as mine.
May the next light shine/Former #1 Alliance LoL fan/ Current Teamliquid LoL Fan
Damdred
Profile Joined July 2014
15669 Posts
May 05 2015 14:40 GMT
#5722
Honestly I already have, I blocked Yamato the kps went through anyway, a 6 man team is kinda doubtful so id rather just lynch another scummy person and see what shinings check tells us
Inspector Javert
Profile Joined April 2015
314 Posts
May 05 2015 14:41 GMT
#5723
I cant think of a single reason I could be mafia. Especially after the commentator thing.

Yes I voted with vivax and marv d1 and was scum reading them at the time but Yamato and Sandro were not my choices for the lynch and I was not going to use associative reads to consolidate my vote.
indignant
Profile Joined April 2015
1028 Posts
May 05 2015 14:44 GMT
#5724
On May 05 2015 23:40 Damdred wrote:
Honestly I already have, I blocked Yamato the kps went through anyway, a 6 man team is kinda doubtful so id rather just lynch another scummy person and see what shinings check tells us

That's not a reason. Then we can also lynch Obi or Chez or LS etc.
On May 05 2015 23:41 Inspector Javert wrote:
I cant think of a single reason I could be mafia. Especially after the commentator thing.

Come on - let's be real. The commentator thing is not alignment indicative in the slightest.
Damdred
Profile Joined July 2014
15669 Posts
May 05 2015 14:44 GMT
#5725
Btw do we have a screenshot of where players were before hand?
indignant
Profile Joined April 2015
1028 Posts
May 05 2015 14:45 GMT
#5726
On May 05 2015 23:44 Damdred wrote:
Btw do we have a screenshot of where players were before hand?

I have a list somewhere.
LightningStrike
Profile Joined February 2011
United States14277 Posts
May 05 2015 14:45 GMT
#5727
On May 05 2015 23:44 Damdred wrote:
Btw do we have a screenshot of where players were before hand?

I was player slot 3 before the changes this morning.
May the next light shine/Former #1 Alliance LoL fan/ Current Teamliquid LoL Fan
Damdred
Profile Joined July 2014
15669 Posts
May 05 2015 14:46 GMT
#5728
Don't want to lynch obi, really close to his town meta atm.

I could listen to chez, ls though
indignant
Profile Joined April 2015
1028 Posts
May 05 2015 14:47 GMT
#5729
On May 05 2015 23:46 Damdred wrote:
Don't want to lynch obi, really close to his town meta atm.

I could listen to chez, ls though

His town and scum meta are really similar. If you want me to listen to you please tell me what you think fits his townmeta and not his scummeta.
indignant
Profile Joined April 2015
1028 Posts
May 05 2015 14:50 GMT
#5730
I mean based on gut I would also not lynch Obi first but I can't get over these reads. They felt completely off at the time and now that we know sandro and Vivax are mafia they look even worse.
On April 28 2015 03:50 ObiWanShinobi wrote:
Vivax is now in my townpile for belligerence/his whole "I'm town and this is how we're doing this" attitude that I only see him employ as town.

It's not a super strong read but I have yet to see him to do this a single time as mafia.

On April 28 2015 04:52 ObiWanShinobi wrote:
Jat's meta on sandroba is spot on, and something I thought about while I was in the shower.

Sandroba is a useless sack of uselessness regardless of his alignment.

The Vivax thing was pointed out by HF and me and was not something a townie should think about Vivax at all. The sandro thing is also just really wrong and also scumagenda. A chance to push against the sandro wagon and he immediately jumped on it.
indignant
Profile Joined April 2015
1028 Posts
May 05 2015 14:52 GMT
#5731
If scum ever had their hopes up about saving sandro they probably thought I would help them with it.
Damdred
Profile Joined July 2014
15669 Posts
May 05 2015 14:55 GMT
#5732
Its not quite as close as you think it is for obis meta all in all. Scum hes always looking for an out as scum and not leaving himself in a bad position like the reads you just posted.

he did some of the same things in Slythern mafia. I suppose if I had to characterize his scum game its cleaner than his town game, he doesn't make sense as town and he makes more sense as scum.

Its just general things that make me not want to lynch him at this point
ObiWanShinobi
Profile Joined April 2014
United States8089 Posts
May 05 2015 14:57 GMT
#5733
I've tone read vivax town before for the same reasons.

Sandroba has been trash in every single game I've seen him play.

Nothing suspicious about those reads at all aside from the fact that I was wrong.
Retired.
ObiWanShinobi
Profile Joined April 2014
United States8089 Posts
May 05 2015 14:57 GMT
#5734
I totes make sense.

D:
Retired.
Damdred
Profile Joined July 2014
15669 Posts
May 05 2015 14:59 GMT
#5735
Well you do make sense most of the time obi but as town you do nonsensical things that you wouldn't do as scum. Like town reading two scum partners who will be prone to flip
Half the Sky
Profile Joined May 2014
Germany9029 Posts
May 05 2015 14:59 GMT
#5736
Day 4 Vote Count

yamato77 (2): Inspector Javert, Xatalos
Stutters695 (1): LightningStrike

Not voting (8): ObiWanShinobi, Chezinu, Stutters695, Breshke, sicklucker, yamato77, Damdred, indignant

Given the current vote count, yamato77 is most likely to be knocked out.
The voting thread is located here.
Countdown:
The phoenix must burn to emerge. - Janet Fitch
indignant
Profile Joined April 2015
1028 Posts
May 05 2015 14:59 GMT
#5737
On May 05 2015 23:57 ObiWanShinobi wrote:
I've tone read vivax town before for the same reasons.

Sandroba has been trash in every single game I've seen him play.

Nothing suspicious about those reads at all aside from the fact that I was wrong.

That's fine but the reasons you mentioned just did not apply AT ALL this game. And it is generally known that sandroba is a pretty good townplayer most of the time.
ObiWanShinobi
Profile Joined April 2014
United States8089 Posts
May 05 2015 15:00 GMT
#5738
On May 05 2015 23:59 indignant wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 05 2015 23:57 ObiWanShinobi wrote:
I've tone read vivax town before for the same reasons.

Sandroba has been trash in every single game I've seen him play.

Nothing suspicious about those reads at all aside from the fact that I was wrong.

That's fine but the reasons you mentioned just did not apply AT ALL this game. And it is generally known that sandroba is a pretty good townplayer most of the time.


It's easy to say that now.

I have never seen sandroba play a single game properly.
Retired.
indignant
Profile Joined April 2015
1028 Posts
May 05 2015 15:01 GMT
#5739
On May 05 2015 23:59 Damdred wrote:
Well you do make sense most of the time obi but as town you do nonsensical things that you wouldn't do as scum. Like town reading two scum partners who will be prone to flip

Scum obi is also not afraid to push scumagenda. And no, it was possible that sandro flipped but if Obi is scum he actively worked against that and Vivax was NOT prone to flip at that point. Townreading him was just another good reason to not push sandro.
indignant
Profile Joined April 2015
1028 Posts
May 05 2015 15:01 GMT
#5740
On May 06 2015 00:00 ObiWanShinobi wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 05 2015 23:59 indignant wrote:
On May 05 2015 23:57 ObiWanShinobi wrote:
I've tone read vivax town before for the same reasons.

Sandroba has been trash in every single game I've seen him play.

Nothing suspicious about those reads at all aside from the fact that I was wrong.

That's fine but the reasons you mentioned just did not apply AT ALL this game. And it is generally known that sandroba is a pretty good townplayer most of the time.


It's easy to say that now.

I have never seen sandroba play a single game properly.

I said all of this pretty much directly after you made those posts.
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