EPTMafia Mini Mafia: a miniature game of mafia - Page 69
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GlowingBear
Brazil12446 Posts
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GlowingBear
Brazil12446 Posts
If we no lynch today, here is the scenario: 9-1 8-1 6-1 4-1 2-1 So, if we keep a person alive today, Mafia NEEDS to kill the cop BEFORE he kills a confirmed town. By now, the cop has a green check on Damdred. If he survives night 2, the worst scenario is that he will get another green check. If the vigi also doesn't die night2, we will have 4 confirmed townies (1 vigi claim, 1 cop claim with 2 green checks) Which means day3, out of 9 players, 4 will be confirmed townies, so we would have a lynch list of five. If we ML, night3, the cop dies, we reach day4 Day4 we will have 7 players in which 3 are confirmed townies. Lynch list of 4. ML, night kill. Day5, 5 players, 2 confirmed, lynch list of three. ML, night kill. Day6 LYLO with 3 players in which one is confirmed townie. Game is 99% unwinnable for mafia | ||
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GlowingBear
Brazil12446 Posts
 so we will be able to prove if my theory is true.Just getting Holyflare confirmed town/Mafia on day3 will be auto. | ||
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GlowingBear
Brazil12446 Posts
7-1 8 people, 4 confirmed 6 people, 3 confirmed 4 people, 2 confirmed It can be done with a lynch today too, but we can land the lynch on the cop and we would make him out. We would also narrow targets for Mafia to successfully hit the cop. | ||
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GlowingBear
Brazil12446 Posts
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VisceraEyes
United States21170 Posts
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VisceraEyes
United States21170 Posts
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GlowingBear
Brazil12446 Posts
On March 09 2015 09:52 VisceraEyes wrote: You don't hope for scum to concede, you hope to find and lynch him while he still thinks he can win so the victory doesn't feel hollow and meaningless. Jeez GB. I just want to be right on Holyflare faster | ||
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VisceraEyes
United States21170 Posts
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GlowingBear
Brazil12446 Posts
On March 09 2015 09:53 VisceraEyes wrote: Also it's funny how Holyflare was saying a cop should check him in the night...and then in the day suddenly a cop is retarded for checking him. Hahaha I could make a list on why Holyflare is Mafia, but I don't think I'll be able to upload it without zipping | ||
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VisceraEyes
United States21170 Posts
On March 09 2015 09:59 GlowingBear wrote: Hahaha I could make a list on why Holyflare is Mafia, but I don't think I'll be able to upload it without zipping And if you're wrong you'd look SO SILLY. Look bud, Occam's Razor. Holyflare on D1 was pushing a lynch on MAFIA. It wasn't the mafia that was ultimately lynched, but it was mafia nonetheless. I get that you think that Holyflare is some unholy bus machine and can't play a game without bussing his teammates immediately and meaninglessly, but from my experience with him Holyflare plays the game to win. Like, if Holyflare is the Goon, then you're saying that WHILE his GF was under heavy scrutiny and being voted by players who CAN get their lynches done, that his recourse was to try and get those townies to pay attention to his OTHER teammate? Like - even if he got his lynch that day and we lynched Torm, the suspicion on Kelsier wasn't going to go away GB. So what does he do then? He HAS to acquiesce and let townies get THEIR lynch or they'll start to get suspicious. So we lynch Kels NEXT day. THEN what GB? Like...Holyflare being mafia is just.....it doesn't make any sense man! | ||
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VisceraEyes
United States21170 Posts
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GlowingBear
Brazil12446 Posts
On March 09 2015 10:02 VisceraEyes wrote: And if you're wrong you'd look SO SILLY. Look bud, Occam's Razor. Holyflare on D1 was pushing a lynch on MAFIA. It wasn't the mafia that was ultimately lynched, but it was mafia nonetheless. I get that you think that Holyflare is some unholy bus machine and can't play a game without bussing his teammates immediately and meaninglessly, but from my experience with him Holyflare plays the game to win. Like, if Holyflare is the Goon, then you're saying that WHILE his GF was under heavy scrutiny and being voted by players who CAN get their lynches done, that his recourse was to try and get those townies to pay attention to his OTHER teammate? Like - even if he got his lynch that day and we lynched Torm, the suspicion on Kelsier wasn't going to go away GB. So what does he do then? He HAS to acquiesce and let townies get THEIR lynch or they'll start to get suspicious. So we lynch Kels NEXT day. THEN what GB? Like...Holyflare being mafia is just.....it doesn't make any sense man! This would be absolutely true. Unless he actually didn't actively try to push torment and unless he could see a lot of inactive people not around on deadline, turning a lynch on Torment IMPOSSIBLE I'll remind you that he first targeted me with a mock case, then went for Robik, and only around 10 minutes before deadline he tried to get people to torment with a very timid push. Just check it VE. Check if HF REALLY was trying to get torment lynched. | ||
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VisceraEyes
United States21170 Posts
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VisceraEyes
United States21170 Posts
WHAT are you saying was his intention with pushing Tormented GB? | ||
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VisceraEyes
United States21170 Posts
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GlowingBear
Brazil12446 Posts
On March 09 2015 10:19 VisceraEyes wrote: This isn't a hard question if you're so certain GB - WHY did Holyflare push on Tormented WHILE Kelsier was the leading lynch candidate? WHY wouldn't Holyflare instead push on Soren or VE, people who OTHER townies had been saying they would be interested in lynching? Answer: impossibility of having his target actually mislyched. With that he distances himself from tormented and make us have this discussion we are having right now. I'm gonna address to your points more in depth later. I'm eating right now | ||
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VisceraEyes
United States21170 Posts
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GlowingBear
Brazil12446 Posts
On March 09 2015 10:41 VisceraEyes wrote: THE DISTANCE IS NOT NECESSARY IF TORM ISN'T LYNCHED! OMG GB!! IF HE IS LYNCHED LATER OR GETS MODKILLED HOLYFLARE IS INSTA-TOWNREAD!!! | ||
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GlowingBear
Brazil12446 Posts
Forget flips Who's thr scummiest player today? | ||
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