On February 16 2015 07:18 IAmRobik wrote: I wish Eden was townier so I could more easily believe his claim. I mean, I love me some BH lynch, but why couldn't it be from someone townier than eden
People are stupid and will lynch me first anyways. Robik, can you make sure Town Puppy gets lynched after I flip JK and doesn't wriggle out of it?
On February 16 2015 07:20 liancourt wrote: whats happening
I claimed JK with a crumb. town puppy counterclaimed without a crumb, and now people have come out of the woodworks to vote me. After I flip JK, make sure town puppy gets lynched.
On February 16 2015 07:22 ritoky wrote: now that BH made the list of people I am voting with, I don't like where my vote is.
maybe I should just sheep my two town reads.
also BH you're good at maffz, can you plug the #'s into the CHUPAZITRON 40000 and tell me the odds of rolling 2 JKs?
The odds of rolling 2 JKs are significantly lower than the odds of TP just deciding to counterclaim me. I'm 95% sure that TP is scum, and of the 5% chance he's town there's a decent chance he's just a really stupid VT and not actually a JK. It's possible, I suppose, in theory, that he's really a JK. But he's not.
On February 16 2015 07:22 ritoky wrote: now that BH made the list of people I am voting with, I don't like where my vote is.
maybe I should just sheep my two town reads.
also BH you're good at maffz, can you plug the #'s into the CHUPAZITRON 40000 and tell me the odds of rolling 2 JKs?
The odds of rolling 2 JKs are significantly lower than the odds of TP just deciding to counterclaim me. I'm 95% sure that TP is scum, and of the 5% chance he's town there's a decent chance he's just a really stupid VT and not actually a JK. It's possible, I suppose, in theory, that he's really a JK. But he's not.
so what you're saying is that 95% of the time, lynching both of you to find a mafia is right 100% of the time. and 5% of the time it is wrong 100% of the time?
robik, slam, guide me please. I am but a lost kitten.
On February 16 2015 07:25 Breshke wrote: Why would eden go for a 1 for 1 trade there
Because, the fact of the matter is that most of you are pretty incompetent. After I flip JK you're not going to lynch Eden (who I assume is town puppy from context). There's also, again, a small chance that eden has a strong scumread on me for whatever reason and decided to fakeclaim JK as VT. However, I'm very worried you're not going to lynch Eden.
Besides, that question applies to me, too. I wasn't under real pressure when I claimed, and there aren't a lot of possibilities for blue roles-- town almost certainly has a JK. If I'm scum, I KNOW I'm gonna get CCed as JK, so why claim for no reason and expose myself?
On February 16 2015 07:25 Breshke wrote: Why would eden go for a 1 for 1 trade there
cause he doesn't like rolling mafia
ah, I didn't know this about Eden. If that's true then that's a strong reason for you guys to lynch him first. Obviously I prefer lynching him first but I'm generally assuming, again, this town is a bunch of disorganized lost people who need someone to sheep and will lynch me for no coherent reason
On February 16 2015 07:30 KelsierSC wrote: If you weren't under any pressure then why did you claim? There was a lot of pressure on you as far as I'm aware.
I had 3 votes and was 10 hours out from the deadline. Not a useful time to claim. Read the thread buddy.
In any case, I ALWAYS claim when I'm blue like 12-24 hours out from the deadline during D1. I do this almost eveyr game as blue. It's not unusual AT ALL. ask anyone who has played a game with me.
BTW, nobody who is voting me has explicitly committed to lynching Town Puppy when I flip JK. What's wrong, guys? If your'e admitting there could be 2x JKs then you need to unvote me, or if you think there's only one why not commit to lynching TP when I flip JK?
EPT
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