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On January 25 2015 06:32 rsoultin wrote:Show nested quote +On January 25 2015 06:28 geript wrote:On January 24 2015 13:29 The Shining wrote:
RSo - I honestly don't think he'll flip Town. To be honest, it might be a bit conceited but one of my tinfoil theories marked Celestial in our last game, even though we lost. I kind of just don't want to lose again and therefore I'm pretty much spewing anything that comes into my head after thinking it through and seeing if there is any basis on it. Also, I wasn't killed that game the same way I'm still alive I'm this one for what I assume is the same reasons. My activity and filter constantly keep me in danger of a mislynch, apparently.
Also, I'm not really scumreading him. I mentioned that this was personally the first red flag he raised for me, and it's based purely off of LM's flip. It is enough to rescind my "he's town, let me look elsewhere" POV on him and watch him at EoD. I like going at the lurkers to pressure them because in the case of lurking, you might get them back into the thread to analyze but It does kind of seem odd to abandon a lurker in LM and go at Damdred after wanting to lynch lurkers.
DP - No. Damdred doesn't have a higher chance of being Town than Geript, due to what I've mentioned about tinfoil theory, as well as the fact that he's pretty disinterested here. He has a lot of posts but I've learned filter size isn't alignment indicative more than anything else. I also haven't ruled out him bussing LM for the inactivity to earn town credit, whereas the only thing I have on Geript is he might be saving scum. Not enough for me to lynch on.
Leaving work now, back in a few hours. Like that post really bugs me. No one's really been pushing a Shining lynch at all. Like, activity isn't keeping Shining in the realm of mislynchable people. It's moreso the fact that his filter is pretty barren. He recognizes this but he doesn't really make any attempt to do anything about it other then, "Oh I guess I'm just on the list of mislynchables." I do not see scum in shining's filter. I saw him go after GB hard, get into a shouting match with Damdred and GB. I saw him evaluate our spat in the thread. He's presented ideas others haven't. There isn't a disconnect between what he's doing and what he's saying. You honestly think he has a better chance of flipping scum than LM or Damdred?
I really wish I remember why I had a townread on him near D1 that I didn't push him. I think I'm ok with a LM lynch if we don't lynch Damdred.
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Blazinghand is unavailable, and as such, I will be minding tonight's flip.
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On January 25 2015 06:36 geript wrote:Show nested quote +On January 25 2015 06:29 rsoultin wrote:On January 25 2015 06:22 geript wrote:On January 19 2015 06:41 Breshke wrote:
So trfel why do you think LM will flip scum? Havnt people said he is always like thi aswell? This is a question that bugs me because I don't see it ever come back up again. It's just kinda full speed ahead on LM. I also don't remember anyone commenting on how active LM tends to be as either alignment. Maybe I made a passing comment that I usually think of LM as a low activity guy. Overall, I'd agree with you that the early townreads were perhaps quite wrong, but I'm not really seeing clear scum motivation or a lot of scummy things. One thing that does kinda bug me is that the's big on the LM-Trfel +1 theory, but if that's the case, then he should basically have it down to rsoultin/DP/Shining/me. But he doesn't really get how Trfel+LM implicates DP. There's no question as to whether or not LM is mafia. Yet he had a conversation with mafia bout LM. Seriously, geript? He had JJB as his prime scum read. Can you quote me where he was scumreading trfel Day 1, because I certainly don't remember it. Just read my fucking post. Did I say that Breshke has Trfel as mafia? No. I'm saying that Breshke had a conversation with Trfel about LM. That's something I'd remember as town. Plus he doesn't get how Trfel+LM=DP but even by his own reasoning he has it limited town to Rso/DP/Shining/me. He seems essentially town on everyone that Trfel+LM could be mafia with under normal circumstances.
Ya this is a good point.
Also I just realized something.
You know how bresh said his phone died at work day one? Well we are both Australian so I don't see how his phone could die at 8:30 am.
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I"m not ok with a switch to shining, i'm ok with lynching breshke or LM here. A breshke scum complicates the game a bit and makes the last one hard to catch.
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##Unvote
##Vote Breshke
Lets do this
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On January 25 2015 06:41 Damdred wrote:
##Unvote
##Vote Breshke
Lets do this
Ugh now I don't want to. Why won't you lynch shining?
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I'm wrong more often than not, LM is a lower activity player. And I could be tunneled, and i'm probably wrong about Geript.
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Cause i'm good at reading shining by tone since I've played with him so much and I think hes town and his posts look like how constructed his posts were in the newbie game when iw as his coach
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Day 3: This Final Hour
LoneMeow (4): geript, rsoultin, Damdred, jarjarbinks, Breshke, The Shining
Damdred (2): geript, DarthPunk, LoneMeow
The Shining (1): DarthPunk, DarthPunk
rsoultin (0): DarthPunk
Breshke (1): Damdred
Currently, LoneMeow is set to be lynched. Day 3 ends in at 22:00 GMT (+00:00).
Reminder to make sure to unvote before voting, if you have already voted someone.
Remember, voting is Mandatory. You may NOT abstain.
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Ok, let's just pretend teh following people are town: JJB, DP, Geript, Damdred, rsoultin. That leaves LM, Breshke and Shining.
Who do we want to lynch first?
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On January 25 2015 06:44 Damdred wrote:
Cause i'm good at reading shining by tone since I've played with him so much and I think hes town and his posts look like how constructed his posts were in the newbie game when iw as his coach
Huh. Can you link me his filter from that game later?
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In that set, LM and Shining make the two obvious first lynches imo.
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On January 25 2015 06:45 geript wrote:
Ok, let's just pretend teh following people are town: JJB, DP, Geript, Damdred, rsoultin. That leaves LM, Breshke and Shining.
Who do we want to lynch first?
Shining, but now I want to read his meta that Damdred mentioned so Bresh.
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On January 25 2015 06:26 rsoultin wrote:Show nested quote +On January 25 2015 06:21 LoneMeow wrote:
GET OFF ME, THIS IS A MISLYNCH WAGON.
Don't mislynch because you're too tunneled to even consider other options. If you can not state 3 clear reasons why you are lynching me then you are either scum or tunneling for bad reasons.
I'm obviously open to lynching just about anyone who is not me or jarjarbinks but I would prefer Damdred. Breshke exhibits very similar paranoid thinking in some of his later posts as I have been going through so I no longer trust my read on him that much.
##Vote: Damdred Shit reasoning for scumming Bresh day 1. Complete disinterest in where the vote was heading day 1. BS reason for switching to the WW wagon day 1. General inactivity throughout the game. get rekt xP
You do realise that all of those points except the last are based on day 1 alone - we're at the end of day 3 now, so you really should have some new evidence one way or the other by now.
The last point would apply also to The Shining, yet you're not calling him scum for it, why's that?
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:/
I don't know Bresh's work schedule at all, but a dead phone at 8:30 a.m. does seem like a stretch, DP >< Meh. I really don't have any big issues with his filter though is the problem. He should be here to explain this ><
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LM is the best "info" lynch as it regards anyone who questions DP. Shining, idk. I don't think I want to lynch him because I had a townread on him on D1 when I read through his filter. Breshke's kinda that way too though.
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On January 25 2015 06:44 Damdred wrote:
Cause i'm good at reading shining by tone since I've played with him so much and I think hes town and his posts look like how constructed his posts were in the newbie game when iw as his coach
For what it's worth, I checked The Shining's newbie game some time ago and I would agree that there's some similarity in how the posts look somewhat constructed. He was town in that game.
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On January 25 2015 06:46 LoneMeow wrote:Show nested quote +On January 25 2015 06:26 rsoultin wrote:On January 25 2015 06:21 LoneMeow wrote:
GET OFF ME, THIS IS A MISLYNCH WAGON.
Don't mislynch because you're too tunneled to even consider other options. If you can not state 3 clear reasons why you are lynching me then you are either scum or tunneling for bad reasons.
I'm obviously open to lynching just about anyone who is not me or jarjarbinks but I would prefer Damdred. Breshke exhibits very similar paranoid thinking in some of his later posts as I have been going through so I no longer trust my read on him that much.
##Vote: Damdred Shit reasoning for scumming Bresh day 1. Complete disinterest in where the vote was heading day 1. BS reason for switching to the WW wagon day 1. General inactivity throughout the game. get rekt xP You do realise that all of those points except the last are based on day 1 alone - we're at the end of day 3 now, so you really should have some new evidence one way or the other by now. The last point would apply also to The Shining, yet you're not calling him scum for it, why's that?
I find Day 2 practically a vacuum with the red check on Trfel. You weren't even here for it. You've done pretty much jack all above and beyond everyone else's jack all. What you did post was mostly Day 1, and that' what I find scummy.
Another counterargument?
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On January 25 2015 06:46 LoneMeow wrote:Show nested quote +On January 25 2015 06:26 rsoultin wrote:On January 25 2015 06:21 LoneMeow wrote:
GET OFF ME, THIS IS A MISLYNCH WAGON.
Don't mislynch because you're too tunneled to even consider other options. If you can not state 3 clear reasons why you are lynching me then you are either scum or tunneling for bad reasons.
I'm obviously open to lynching just about anyone who is not me or jarjarbinks but I would prefer Damdred. Breshke exhibits very similar paranoid thinking in some of his later posts as I have been going through so I no longer trust my read on him that much.
##Vote: Damdred Shit reasoning for scumming Bresh day 1. Complete disinterest in where the vote was heading day 1. BS reason for switching to the WW wagon day 1. General inactivity throughout the game. get rekt xP You do realise that all of those points except the last are based on day 1 alone - we're at the end of day 3 now, so you really should have some new evidence one way or the other by now. The last point would apply also to The Shining, yet you're not calling him scum for it, why's that?
Perhaps if you would post, he would have more reasons...
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EPT
