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On November 17 2014 12:16 Breshke wrote: SL why in all your worlds do you assume sere is town. If she is mafia who else is going to vote you with her
Serejai is my second target, just because I said I could see other people being mafia does not mean I think its very likely your putting words in my mouth.
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On November 17 2014 12:20 ObiWanShinobi wrote:Inclined to believe that trying to plynch tomorrow is a scum claim.
Im not trying to lynch shit im just saying vote at 5pmest Theirs 0 reason not to you can change your vote theirs no drawback and its not scummy to try and increase towns chances and options.
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On November 17 2014 12:28 sicklucker wrote:Show nested quote +On November 17 2014 12:20 ObiWanShinobi wrote:On November 17 2014 12:14 Serejai wrote: Beyond policy at this point Inclined to believe that trying to plynch tomorrow is a scum claim. Im not trying to lynch shit im just saying vote at 5pmest Theirs 0 reason not to you can change your vote theirs no drawback and its not scummy to try and increase towns chances and options.
I wasn't actually addressing you in that post.
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Okay sick lucker are you around? I want to clarify a few things with you because you will probably be around when the game is won or lost for town
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iiim about to go to bed whatsup
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ahh nevermind ill write a big post in the morning then hopefully
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So i want to try explain why i am reading superbia as town
On November 16 2014 08:18 Superbia wrote: At the moment I also feel like there's most likely one between Obi and FF. The interactions between them feel very friendly, even though they should be big question marks to each other. I feel mafia is buddying up to the other, but I'm not completely sure which one is the mafia. You still remain a big question mark for me, but I'm probably just going to ride out rayn's read on you and blame the loss on him if you flip mafia.
Obi: I dislike the fact that he becomes active after rayn dies. Especially since (I believe) rayn has played quite a few games with Obi. It feels like Obi might've been riding out rayn's gaze by simply lurking and being inactive, but I will never be able to confirm it. That being said, I personally kind of like what he has said today, it makes sense from a town perspective. He's also becoming more active, so I'm pretty sure I'll be able to get a good read on him as the day progresses.
FF: What changed during the night? Yesterday EoD you were pretty set on calling Obi scum and pushing on him, today you seem to have completely flipped your view, and you two are buddying up. Also, you bring up my d2 vote push for seemingly no reason. Like you don't even call me mafia for it or anything, you just bring it up out of nowhere. Really feels like you're trying to get town to push on anyone but you at the moment.
At the moment I'm leaning to FF being more likely to be scum than Obi. Can't really explain it well, but Obi has felt a little too lax to be scum.
The bolded bit screams town to me because i have been having the exact same thought process. Sicklucker is an extremely hard read, on one hand his posts are all about ensuring that he doesn't die which is i guess a mafia trait BUT he seemes to really truely believe that what he is saying will help town win. So for me its been really hard to decide on him but rayn was so sure and i don't think as mafia you just sheep rayn like that reducing the people that you can try misslynch.
I also have really liked his activity last night but it could be mafia going for a win but if i was left alive i don't see myself voting him.
I also don't think that Sicklucker is mafia because either this is a one time gimmick thing he is doing as mafia or he really believes everything he is saying.
WHY WE NO LYNCH
Okay sicklucker unless there is a person alive tomorrow that every single person thinks is town like 100% you no lynch. Your a numbers guy, tomorrow you go into the day with 3 other people. That means if you randomed it you would have a 1/3 chance in getting the mafia. If you instead no lynch mafia needs to kill a questionmark, no one is confirmed even though I think superbia is town that read could be shit. So they have to kill someone that brings it down to you and two other people that is a 50% chance of getting mafia if you just randomly picked someone.
I know you think serejai is going to vote you and mafia will hammer but if serejai is town she will vote no lynch because it is the BEST thing for town. That means that there will be 3 towns wanting to no lynch tomorrow so mafia won't be able to kill anyone. If serejai as town still decides to just afk vote for you and you are town then we probably do lose but that is her fault and is gametrhowing so don't do a sub optimal play just because you think someone is going to be a donkey.
On serejai
I think it is very likely she could be scum at this point. What has she done the past few days? I know she said she would be busy but look back at that "play" where she concedes. What did she get from that? before that play she though SL was mafia, after the play she still thinks SL is mafia. She hasnt explained for what reason she wasted almost an entire day.
Also her tunnel on SL is getting kind of ridiculous and im sick of people saying this game "i've said the reasons already why he is scum" No if you are so sure of your case that you are willing to constantly vote someone during the final days then you should be able to easily write why.
If serejai is really just bored frustrated town then obviously my last option is obi being scum. I actually have little to no idea about obi and this is only by process of elimination.
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Blazinghand
United States25550 Posts
Day 6
Breshke the Vanilla Town is dead!
Day ends in 48 hours from this post at 22:00 GMT (+00:00). Whoever has the most votes on them at that time gets lynched.
Countdown:
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How is it that Sl freaks out all night over possibly being voted off and losing and still manages to not show up and vote?
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omg dont sleep. But no ones hammered me yet so this is kind of weird. If either super or obi were mafia they would hammer me here and win the game. So all logic says its serejai here unless mafia is scared that serejai may flip on them in a final 3 which is very unlikely. If I know its serejai I dont mind sleeping but I have to be sure let me think a lil
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Ok im not sleeping yet but I might. in the mean time im going to get some information. [b##vote obiwanshinobi[/b]
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Also i gotta read breskes big post i somehow missed it before i do anything here
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Ok so breskes post is really good I like his number logic and hes right most of the time but he also says this
" If serejai as town still decides to just afk vote for you and you are town then we probably do lose but that is her fault and is gametrhowing so don't do a sub optimal play just because you think someone is going to be a donkey"
Well this already happened, If we sleep obi wins if hes mafia. Id rather just not sleep theirs no reason too supers confirmed town by me at this point so sleeping only limits me to voting out serejai, where as if we vote today I can decide between them.
Im like heavily leaning serejai at this point but the fact obi wants to sleep scares me a little because thats an autowin for him. Im never sleeping here
##unvote ##vote serejai
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So obi dont vote for me here if your town. If obis mafia here he votes me and we just lose because of tiebreak unless serejai changes her vote. The fact obi hasint done it yet.
So two things happen here, obi votes me or we lose because we cant sleep. Or this confirms its serejai to me and from your povs it makes it me or serejai which I think is an easy vote.
Super whats your thoughts man like serejai or obi?
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