On September 27 2013 04:27 kitaman27 wrote:

Anti-town players are more frequently getting lynched on day one, but random lynching is still more accurate.

On March 09 2014 08:01 kitaman27 wrote:
The day one lynch percentage is still slightly below random, but not if you exclude newbie games.

On March 11 2014 02:25 Blazinghand wrote:

Show nested quote +

As the greatest and loudest proponent of RNG lynching I am ready to use this quote in every game from now on until the end of time.

+ Show Spoiler [BlazingHand gets shit on] +

On March 11 2014 02:36 raynpelikoneet wrote:

Show nested quote +

Last 20 games:

[M][T] Foundation Mafia (still going on) town
Newbie Mini Mafia LIII (still going on) town
Handslaps and Fisticuff: A PYP Mini mafia
Cultured Mini Mafia mafia
Newbie Mini Mafia LII town
[M][N] Default Suspicions Mafia mafia
~~I'm a cop you idiot mafia 2 no-lynch, mafia D2~~
[S] Shadowed Mini Mafia: The Reboot mafia
[S] Shadow Mini Mafia mafia
GSL Open Mini Mafia IV town
Normal Mini Mafia: Episode I mafia
[C][M][T] Survivor Series Mafia town
TL Mafia LXIV: The Restart town
[I][T][M] Vengeful Mini Mafia! town, vengefulshot mafia (kinda counts as mafia)
[S] Shadowed Mini Mafia town - mainly due host error
[M][N] "SMB" Mini Mafia town
TL Mafia LXIV: A Game of Intrigue mafia
Really Small Mafia mafia
A Quiet Game of Mini Mafia mafia
Extractor Trick Mini Mafia town
TL Mafia LXIII: Time to Die town

[21]II Titanic Mini Mafia town

If you count vengeful shot as mafia "lynch" the percentage is 50%.

On March 11 2014 02:36 raynpelikoneet wrote:
So fuck off Blazinghand!

On June 16 2014 23:42 kitaman27 wrote:
The day once lynch percentage is up a full percent, matching the random lynch percentage exactly.

On December 25 2012 14:00 kitaman27 wrote:
Mafia players are lynched 24.1% of the time on day one.
Random lynching would result in a mafia lynch 25.1% of the time.
Mafia players are lynched only 17.3% of the time in newbie games on day one, so excluding these games brings the overall day one lynch percentage up to 25.8%!

On October 07 2014 08:20 Hopeless1der wrote:
A) 3/13=23%
B) 14 players (3/14 = 21.4%, 4/14=28.5%)
C) 3 mafia makes perfect sense given the roles present in this game.

4 players are "anti-town" = 28.5% lynch rate

TL;DR
In this game, RNG D1 lynch rate > Town's D1 lynch rate

K but I believe BH's RNG has hit home before; how many of the d1 scum LYNCHES were those RNG targets who would distort the statistic?

Alakaslam

United States17336 Posts

October 08 2014 04:38 GMT

#946

Hah! It has happened

I have been in one of the games I read before my first game

It is complete

Everyone be all like "BH no I FITE u this b rong"

And he is right

And then everyone be like "UGH this is insufferable"

One guy here even literally said insufferable lol

And the whole time

I was even faster to vote OO than he himself

ATTAX ME FOR LOOK

I AM SKUMMI

Alakaslam

United States17336 Posts

October 08 2014 04:39 GMT

#947

I DO WHAT CONFIRMED SCUM DID EVEN MORE THAN THEU DID IT THEMSELG IT IS A SLIP

IT IS A TELL

Alakaslam

United States17336 Posts

October 08 2014 05:40 GMT

#950

None y'all's sees my point?

Alakaslam

United States17336 Posts

October 08 2014 14:21 GMT

#964

On October 08 2014 18:15 Oatsmaster wrote:
That I've seen.

I WAS GONNA SAY

Alakaslam

United States17336 Posts

October 08 2014 15:12 GMT

#981

On October 08 2014 23:41 Palmar wrote:
Slam are you town?

Interesting...

Why do you ask, eh?

Alakaslam

United States17336 Posts

October 09 2014 00:01 GMT

#1138

Hey what did I miss

Alakaslam

United States17336 Posts

October 09 2014 02:44 GMT

#1165

Sson

Alakaslam

United States17336 Posts

October 09 2014 02:55 GMT

#1176

On October 09 2014 11:50 Blazinghand wrote:

Show nested quote +

lynch this guy tomorrow. never mind about OWS. this is my dying wish, there's no possible explanation for that shot to make sense. at all.

IT SHALL BE AS WHEN THE CUBE DIED

THE D6 SHALL SEND THE STORM UPON THEY WHO OPPOSE THEE

Alakaslam

United States17336 Posts

October 09 2014 02:55 GMT

#1179

On October 09 2014 11:53 Blazinghand wrote:
Hmm, never mind then. If there are two deaths overnight, and I'm one of them, that means that HF is just impossibly bad, or HF is scum gambling that there's a vigi (which he can't know) and willing to fight a 1v1 claim war...

yeah actually HF town then. if he shoots me. goddamnit HF

May the D6 shall fly

Alakaslam

United States17336 Posts

October 09 2014 02:56 GMT

#1180

*Nay

Alakaslam

United States17336 Posts

October 09 2014 02:57 GMT

#1182

On October 09 2014 11:55 Blazinghand wrote:
wow, I wish there was some set of logic where if HF shoots me he's scum, because i'd love him to die for his shot, but no, he has to be town. it's kinda disgusting honestly. If there are 2 nks and I'm one of them... barring a counterclaim (very unlikely)... HF would be confirmed town for shooting me. I hate this game.

Hijole

Alakaslam

United States17336 Posts

October 09 2014 02:59 GMT

#1183

On October 09 2014 11:56 Blazinghand wrote:

Show nested quote +

There's 0% chance scum is shooting HF, why would they shoot someone who is already doing so much good work for them? If he used his first shot on me god knows he'll probably do something equally bad with the second one.

aLSO DONT FORGET HE COULD BE 3P. ACTUALLY YEAH. HF COULD BE 3P.

but there's no SK. so. ugh.