On August 24 2014 10:57 Damdred wrote:
He just killed the mafia godfather who wasn't even getting suspicion at that point, it would take some major balls to bus robik at this point in the game when could of got a mislynch in instead....

Stop it. Hapahauli sheeped me. I'm your god.

Why are you saying it was hapa?

GlowingBear

Brazil12446 Posts

August 24 2014 02:02 GMT

#1789

On August 24 2014 11:01 raynpelikoneet wrote:
i am drunk and i have been afk. did you soot the GF?

I lynched mafia godfather. It was Robik. I rock.

Kthxbai

GlowingBear

Brazil12446 Posts

August 24 2014 02:57 GMT

#1844

Rayn is drunk? Lol Rayn I've already drank a lot of water and I'm still drunk.

Ok people I and Rayn won't be active tomorrow, we are going to an AA meeting

GlowingBear

Brazil12446 Posts

August 24 2014 02:59 GMT

#1848

On August 24 2014 11:57 raynpelikoneet wrote:
you wasted my time and because of itt i do not care anymore.

I did?

Oh, Hapahauli is also dying tonight kthxbai

GlowingBear

Brazil12446 Posts

August 24 2014 03:00 GMT

#1849

On August 24 2014 11:58 raynpelikoneet wrote:
i also hat myself for misreading robert.

He wasn't look townie, tho :/

GlowingBear

Brazil12446 Posts

August 24 2014 03:10 GMT

#1857

On August 24 2014 12:01 raynpelikoneet wrote:
fuck you i am a cop.

That's funny, I'm also a cop with my mason. We also are a one shot doctor because we took a first aid course.

Btw, my check got back and I know who serial killer is and I want to say this: kill Rayn and I won't reveal your indentify until day3

GlowingBear

Brazil12446 Posts

August 24 2014 03:13 GMT

#1859

On August 24 2014 12:12 WaveofShadow wrote:
Deal.

Kthxbai gonna throw up and sleep maybe

GlowingBear

Brazil12446 Posts

August 24 2014 13:16 GMT

#1889

Not hangover today! I can probably drink more.

Anyway, if Robik was really mafia, the probability of mafia being comfortable with those two wagons is high, but not too high. That would put Xatalos and Yamato on the townpile for now. FOR NOW.

Checking who Robik called town isn't the best thing IMO. Checking reads on him is more important. Specially if there is someone who scum reads him and then oddly town reads him. We will probably find it in early day1.

I'll do that later.

By the way, if neither me or turtle dies tonight, night kill will be pretty informative.

GlowingBear

Brazil12446 Posts

August 24 2014 14:05 GMT

#1893

On August 24 2014 22:44 KelsierSC wrote:

Show nested quote +

If you read the end of D1 the switch onto Robik by Xata does not clear him in anyway.

I don't think he is going to be a lynch target and the best idea is to lynch outside of the people voted on Robik.

However I think studying carefully how Xat plays D2 will be highly revealing to me.

Not a good plan. Last minutes switches are incredibly hard to manage. I guess we are lucky that townies switched to Robik when I brought that up.
Anyway, the thing is: if townies had strong scumreads on either Yamato or Xatalos, they won't change their votes at all, specially near deadlines. The probability of lynching a townie if you only consider vote count is extremely high. But it can be used as a secondary argument.

It means that if you manage to find the pattern I stated earlier AND the guy is outside the lynch target, go for it.

GlowingBear

Brazil12446 Posts

August 24 2014 14:08 GMT

#1895

On August 24 2014 23:04 justanothertownie wrote:

Show nested quote +

It isn't that complicated really.

These people are town: GB, Hapa, turtle
These are very likely town: yamato, xatalos
I think Kelsier is also town.

Leaves us with a pool of: damdred, WoS, Vayne, Rayn, Onegu which includes at least 2 scum and maybe a SK for the lynch day2.

Why Kelsen?

GlowingBear

Brazil12446 Posts

August 24 2014 14:10 GMT

#1897

On August 24 2014 23:05 justanothertownie wrote:

Show nested quote +

wat

Show nested quote +

I fail to see how it is informative if me or Hapa die but ok.

Phrased it poorly. It was intended to sound like: "now that Robik is confirmed mafia..."

I'll explain why it is informative near deadline, when they cannot change their votes.

GlowingBear

Brazil12446 Posts

August 24 2014 14:48 GMT

#1903

On August 24 2014 23:42 Damdred wrote:
Why is everyone trying to explain everything for xatalos? Its quite annoying frankly I'm not a idiot i understand why it has to be the people who didn't go to robik. I didn't ask for that explanation i asked him why those three and to develop cases.

@Kel but why switch to yamato you had just as strong a scum read onxata and you thought both were mafia indeed you gave xata a lot more attention in your filter than qnyone else and the chances of his lynch were decent....

Damdred, my darling, you have to use commas more frequently <3

GlowingBear

Brazil12446 Posts

August 24 2014 15:10 GMT

#1906

On August 22 2014 11:17 KelsierSC wrote:

Show nested quote +

Ok so you have nothing useful.

I am going to give my reads so far.

I like Robik as top town so far. I don't know him personally but I don't think mafia comes out early and calls someone stupid.
Kind of like dam because he seemed to actually read a bit deeper into my first post. I like turtle because of his poem and he tried to focus town away from useless discussion. I wouldn't lynch these 3.

Wave and Bear both seem kind of useless and weak so far and I would happily kill either of them

Lynch him. Early town pass for Robik with shitty reasoning / n1 says we should focus on people who are not in Robik's lynch when everybody agrees that this solely isn't a good option.