you tell me which is more likely
Team Melee Mini Mafia V: Newbies and Vets - Page 54
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Eden1892
United States5866 Posts
you tell me which is more likely | ||
Alakaslam
United States17324 Posts
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Alakaslam
United States17324 Posts
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Alakaslam
United States17324 Posts
But hey. | ||
Alakaslam
United States17324 Posts
I don't even want to know what's scary there, and I basically have a stomach of kinda tough stuff. | ||
Alakaslam
United States17324 Posts
I actually hope he waits until I am asleep to catch one, they are loud. | ||
Eden1892
United States5866 Posts
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marvellosity
United Kingdom36156 Posts
Few things I noted, mebbe they're useful or will be, maybe not. With slam/sqrt, check how easy the wagon is, I don't see any pushback for the lynch. I don't really get this weird martyring behaviour from a team of 2, you'd expect at least one of them to prop up the other. I don't know what that means. They're both unstable? Or it's a ploy? ?? I'm not used to Slam insulting the thread like this. That doesn't make me feel good. I'm tentatively ok with this lynch but with reservations I guess. Stratiform doesn't look quite so bad. Not sure about Palmar. Not gonna be around to judge him on today's play so meh. Poofter didn't bother playing. Many scumpoints. I've felt ok about bunnies, but Poofter dragging her down. Probably not lynch but I don't trust. Right now I like Haru/Glowing for mafia most. On July 12 2014 14:29 GlowingBear wrote: So, for what I read until now, I have three main targets I want to read more: ExO, Robik and Eden. I'll filter dive them tomorrow, as I didn't have energy enough even to read through 50 long pages. I have a stronger hunch on sqrt/alakaslam, as a lot of people were saying here. Why these guys? Because my way of scumhunting is going through passivity and too much friendly behavior. Going against people there were being quite and being friendly was my best bet on my first game and when I did that most of my readings got the right guys. On July 12 2014 15:29 GlowingBear wrote: But I didn't said that... geez... I had suspicions on you, which doesn't mean you're necessarily suspicious of overly friendly behavior or passivity... that's why I'll filter dive you, so I can get a better view of what gave me the feeling that you were suspicious. My main scumhunting is attacking passivity/friendly behavior. It's not may only scumhunting method. Throws in random names (Robik, ExO, Eden) and a couple of times states that he scumhunts through passivity and friendly behaviour. These 3 names don't make much (any?) sense in this context. Robik the most abrasive of them all, Eden has been active, ExO's argued his corner firmly enough. His description of what he's looking for -> these 3 names doesn't seem natural to me. He brings up Robik as suspicious again in a later post but again never explains why, again it is the opposite of what he's looking for in mafia. sqrt/Slam may have been passive to some extent maybe? They've been quite prickly too. There seems to be a whole bunch of other targets that conform to his self-professed view. Basically I find the 3 names he throws in, together with his self-styled description of scumhunting, together with how he introduced sqrt/slam as scummy after that, very suspicious indeed. My best bet for mafia right now. | ||
Eden1892
United States5866 Posts
If you're right about Shiny Ursaring being mafia, marv, then that explains why there's no counterwagon: the other mafia is busing. Slamroot set itself up to be bused when it got caught -- notice how both members completely drop any effort to defend themselves from pressing questions as soon as they're brought up. If we're being honest, sqrt's post that I called him out on which started the avalanche of suspicion on their slot wasn't this damning or obvious. It snowballed because Slamroot didn't bother responding to any accusations whatsoever. I would acknowledge that giving up straight away is probably suboptimal play for the mafia because I don't think it would have been very difficult to defuse suspicions about them; however, even if suboptimal, it still conceivably advances scum wincon by allowing the partner to bus for credit. As town behavior OTOH it's not merely suboptimal, it's completely nonsensical. Giving up, spamming the thread and getting mislynched by a case that could reasonably be refuted is literally 100% negative utility for town. So of course there isn't gonna be a counterwagon, and this shouldn't discourage anyone from voting for Slamroot today. There's not gonna be a counterwagon because Slamroot's partner is going to bus because the current situation is unsalvageable. What we want to look for is a slot that's acknowledging Slamroot's guilt and probably even voting for them, but whose reasoning isn't sound and whose primary claimed suspicions are elsewhere (and relatively unexplained). So far Shiny Ursaring fits the bill there and I'd be happy to lynch them tomorrow, but I think there's just no way Slamroot is town. | ||
HaruRH
Singapore2780 Posts
On July 12 2014 18:54 marvellosity wrote: I'm at my best friend's wedding today, so I'm leaving things in mderg's capable hands. He's probably going to make the final decision, not sure if/when I'll be able to check my phone. Few things I noted, mebbe they're useful or will be, maybe not. With slam/sqrt, check how easy the wagon is, I don't see any pushback for the lynch. I don't really get this weird martyring behaviour from a team of 2, you'd expect at least one of them to prop up the other. I don't know what that means. They're both unstable? Or it's a ploy? ?? I'm not used to Slam insulting the thread like this. That doesn't make me feel good. I'm tentatively ok with this lynch but with reservations I guess. Stratiform doesn't look quite so bad. Not sure about Palmar. Not gonna be around to judge him on today's play so meh. Poofter didn't bother playing. Many scumpoints. I've felt ok about bunnies, but Poofter dragging her down. Probably not lynch but I don't trust. Right now I like Haru/Glowing for mafia most. Throws in random names (Robik, ExO, Eden) and a couple of times states that he scumhunts through passivity and friendly behaviour. These 3 names don't make much (any?) sense in this context. Robik the most abrasive of them all, Eden has been active, ExO's argued his corner firmly enough. His description of what he's looking for -> these 3 names doesn't seem natural to me. He brings up Robik as suspicious again in a later post but again never explains why, again it is the opposite of what he's looking for in mafia. sqrt/Slam may have been passive to some extent maybe? They've been quite prickly too. There seems to be a whole bunch of other targets that conform to his self-professed view. Basically I find the 3 names he throws in, together with his self-styled description of scumhunting, together with how he introduced sqrt/slam as scummy after that, very suspicious indeed. My best bet for mafia right now. Really? From what I read, robik is playing weird at first. He isn't coming into the thread and turning it into a shitstorm. This is acceptable at first since he noted his intent to let exo learn. Also, his strong will to kill anyone who thinks he is scum (town|robik does this) makes me think he is scum. But glowingbear probably doesn't meta read him and thus it is also acceptable for glowingbear to have a suspicion on him. Glowingbear isn't just throwing out names. We had discussed about these people in the qt and my opinions differs from glowing's in these regards. Thus, glowingbear isnt just writing them off as scum as I have a conflicting opinion. Exo doesn't post jackshit d1 as town btw. eden doesn't make sense? Read the thread bro Sqrt/slam IS passive. Their posts were mostly replies and shit. So glowingbear is scum for saying he wants to scumhunt through passivity, but others who aren't doing shit isn't suspicious? (LIKE MDERG) | ||
Eden1892
United States5866 Posts
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HaruRH
Singapore2780 Posts
On July 12 2014 19:14 Eden1892 wrote: Unflipped associations time! If you're right about Shiny Ursaring being mafia, marv, then that explains why there's no counterwagon: the other mafia is busing. Slamroot set itself up to be bused when it got caught -- notice how both members completely drop any effort to defend themselves from pressing questions as soon as they're brought up. If we're being honest, sqrt's post that I called him out on which started the avalanche of suspicion on their slot wasn't this damning or obvious. It snowballed because Slamroot didn't bother responding to any accusations whatsoever. I would acknowledge that giving up straight away is probably suboptimal play for the mafia because I don't think it would have been very difficult to defuse suspicions about them; however, even if suboptimal, it still conceivably advances scum wincon by allowing the partner to bus for credit. As town behavior OTOH it's not merely suboptimal, it's completely nonsensical. Giving up, spamming the thread and getting mislynched by a case that could reasonably be refuted is literally 100% negative utility for town. So of course there isn't gonna be a counterwagon, and this shouldn't discourage anyone from voting for Slamroot today. There's not gonna be a counterwagon because Slamroot's partner is going to bus because the current situation is unsalvageable. What we want to look for is a slot that's acknowledging Slamroot's guilt and probably even voting for them, but whose reasoning isn't sound and whose primary claimed suspicions are elsewhere (and relatively unexplained). So far Shiny Ursaring fits the bill there and I'd be happy to lynch them tomorrow, but I think there's just no way Slamroot is town. WRONG WRONG WRONG Theres no counter wagon because NOBODY SET IT UP YET Its not too late to salvage the situation dude, if I was scum and slam is scum now, I can easily salvage this hole they jumped into easily Rather than thinking if we were bussing, think if slam is scum in the first place Glowingbear doesn't fit the bill at all. You're just looking for another town to steamroll through d2. So I understand from your intent that you want to -> lynch slam d1 into lynching us d2. Note that only scum would set up a d2 lynch before a d1. your actions have been recorded. | ||
HaruRH
Singapore2780 Posts
On July 12 2014 19:19 Eden1892 wrote: haru can you restate that for me? i straight up don't understand how your responses match up with what marv is saying Marv says robik, exo, eden are just names glowingbear threw in I reply with how robik, exo and eden have been playing scummy | ||
Eden1892
United States5866 Posts
On July 12 2014 19:21 HaruRH wrote: WRONG WRONG WRONG Theres no counter wagon because NOBODY SET IT UP YET Its not too late to salvage the situation dude, if I was scum and slam is scum now, I can easily salvage this hole they jumped into easily Rather than thinking if we were bussing, think if slam is scum in the first place Glowingbear doesn't fit the bill at all. You're just looking for another town to steamroll through d2. So I understand from your intent that you want to -> lynch slam d1 into lynching us d2. Note that only scum would set up a d2 lynch before a d1. your actions have been recorded. no shit they've been recorded, i posted it in a public thread on the internet for all to see you've completely missed the boat on the point of my post, i'm trying to get marv off of your slot and onto lynching Slamroot because that's what i want for today. idgaf about the d2 lynch right now because we've already got the silly "there's no counterwagon so it must be a mislynch!" argument coming out and i'm not about to let this obvscum off the hook on that copout | ||
Eden1892
United States5866 Posts
On July 12 2014 19:23 HaruRH wrote: Marv says robik, exo, eden are just names glowingbear threw in I reply with how robik, exo and eden have been playing scummy this didn't actually happen, you gave an explanation of how robik might have been shady to someone with no meta experience and then just handwaved the rest/didn't explain it | ||
HaruRH
Singapore2780 Posts
On July 12 2014 19:24 Eden1892 wrote: no shit they've been recorded, i posted it in a public thread on the internet for all to see you've completely missed the boat on the point of my post, i'm trying to get marv off of your slot and onto lynching Slamroot because that's what i want for today. idgaf about the d2 lynch right now because we've already got the silly "there's no counterwagon so it must be a mislynch!" argument coming out and i'm not about to let this obvscum off the hook on that copout Your intent was obviously setting us up as scum that is bussing slamroot. Stop trying to pretend it isn't. The flow of your post goes like this: 1) if glowingbear is scum, he is bussing 2) slamroot is bussable due to how bad their response to being lynched was 3) they're scum because..... 4) no counterwagon because they're going to be bussed 5) looking for team which fits description of bussing 6) glowingbear fits the bill 7) happy to lynch glowingbear tomorrow | ||
marvellosity
United Kingdom36156 Posts
On July 12 2014 19:23 HaruRH wrote: Marv says robik, exo, eden are just names glowingbear threw in I reply with how robik, exo and eden have been playing scummy As far as I can tell, you're just throwing together justifications for suspecting them. Yes, to be honest I would expect mderg rather than Robik. Or chairman ray. Or stratiform. or sinani. All these names fit his bill much more than Robik does. you've already explained HIS robik read more than HE has even tried to. Maybe you can see the problem with that. | ||
HaruRH
Singapore2780 Posts
On July 12 2014 19:25 Eden1892 wrote: this didn't actually happen, you gave an explanation of how robik might have been shady to someone with no meta experience and then just handwaved the rest/didn't explain it What the fuck I explained that exo doesn't post jackshit as town on d1 He literally posts close to nothing That giant read post of his is inherently scummy due to ^ Glowingbear have not posted his long wall of read yet, be patient. | ||
HaruRH
Singapore2780 Posts
On July 12 2014 19:30 marvellosity wrote: As far as I can tell, you're just throwing together justifications for suspecting them. Yes, to be honest I would expect mderg rather than Robik. Or chairman ray. Or stratiform. or sinani. All these names fit his bill much more than Robik does. you've already explained HIS robik read more than HE has even tried to. Maybe you can see the problem with that. Calm down When glowingbear wakes up he will shock us all with his wall of reads so just sit tight and wait for it This is like watching a movie, you need to wait for the climax | ||
Eden1892
United States5866 Posts
On July 12 2014 19:29 HaruRH wrote: Your intent was obviously setting us up as scum that is bussing slamroot. Stop trying to pretend it isn't. The flow of your post goes like this: 1) if glowingbear is scum, he is bussing 2) slamroot is bussable due to how bad their response to being lynched was 3) they're scum because..... 4) no counterwagon because they're going to be bussed 5) looking for team which fits description of bussing 6) glowingbear fits the bill 7) happy to lynch glowingbear tomorrow No, it isn't. I pitched that post specifically from marv's point of view that you're mafia. Even if marv is right and you are, it's still better to lynch Slamroot today in my view. Calm down and reassess. | ||
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