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Newbie Mini Mafia LIV - Page 45

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36161 Posts
April 02 2014 22:58 GMT
#881
Lynching 2 uncounterclaimed blues is something pretty special
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
Valenius
Profile Joined September 2010
United Kingdom1266 Posts
April 02 2014 22:58 GMT
#882
Yeah, pretty shitty play throughout from me. I'll try to play better next time.
Eden1892
Profile Joined March 2014
United States5866 Posts
April 02 2014 23:02 GMT
#883
It's not a cop, though. It's a parity cop. This is an important part of the decision process because a parity cop, more likely than not, isn't going to clarify the game state very well, especially if that parity cop's identity can never be verified. I read Cavalinho as scum -- falsely, yes, but I read him scum -- and enough people did to get a majority lynch on him out of the town (4/7). I simply do not believe that the claim "would have worked itself out" like everyone is saying, because Cavalinho's credibility was in question, and there's no data in the game that would allow the town to falsify his claim were he scum (barring something flukey like him giving a "same" result on two guys that flipped opposite alignments, or doctor claiming rb'd and then lynched w/no cop counterclaim, but pls). If he were a regular cop I'd have probably let Cavalinho live, but the parity cop as a role just isn't useful, so I felt no qualms about lynching my top scum read in that circumstance.
“I like to see myself as the swim instructor that trows kids in the pool shouting at them they should try to not drink too much water.” - Koshi
Eden1892
Profile Joined March 2014
United States5866 Posts
April 02 2014 23:05 GMT
#884
OK's biggest scum "tell" (not in the sense of a formal tell but what let me tell he was scum) was the awkward and quick backtrack off of Valenius on D...2? D3? Whichever day.

I wouldn't have caught him on merit alone though. I had a post later in the /obs QT about the LYLO pairings; the only way I'd have really caught OK was working with my scumread on Robik and townreads on sqrt and Valenius and then working backwards through the pairings (Robik is trying to get Tolkien lynched at LYLO over sqrt, so they're not partners, ergo Robik/OnceKing scumteam).
“I like to see myself as the swim instructor that trows kids in the pool shouting at them they should try to not drink too much water.” - Koshi
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12968 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-04-02 23:08:21
April 02 2014 23:06 GMT
#885
You're severely underestimating the impact a parity cop can have by D3. It's a huge gamble for scum to leave him alive for two days. It can be gamewinning if he gets a SAME on D3 with one scum lynched as you can just lynch the cop and the suspect. Scum is forced to shoot him if any scum die in the first two days. This is more than enough reason to leave him alive until later.
Eden1892
Profile Joined March 2014
United States5866 Posts
April 02 2014 23:11 GMT
#886
Maybe so (re: underestimating) -- I've only seen the role in play once, at the end of one of the other newbie games (53 I think? right before I signed up for this game). It kinda created a mess there since the cop got "OPPOSITE" results, meaning that everyone voted for the opposite guy in their single pairing and let the cop hammer. If you catch scum in the first 2 days then it's pretty powerful yeah.

But there's a high chance it's not especially useful (what if he gets an OPPOSITE result? or you don't catch scum before D3?), and it was virtually certain to be a distraction in D2 and beyond. (Say what y'all will, here and in the QT; I'm not convinced, especially given the ending here, that people would have successfully sat aside the cop discussion and looked around elsewhere.)

I'm not defending the lynch as right, obviously since Cavalinho WAS the cop it was wrong, but I'm not convinced this was nearly as open-and-shut as everyone is acting like it is.
“I like to see myself as the swim instructor that trows kids in the pool shouting at them they should try to not drink too much water.” - Koshi
IAmRobik
Profile Joined January 2014
United States5878 Posts
April 02 2014 23:13 GMT
#887
On April 03 2014 07:53 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
I think the Day 1 lynch was by far the worst. A cop claim on D1 should never get lynched. Let scum sort it out. D2 was understandable, and D3 as well other than the fact that Robik didn't flip his shit despite his candidate not getting lynched should ring some bells.

I was actually planning on flipping shit and trying to convince valenius to swap, but then I realized I'd rather mislynch a cop AND a medic...it just looks nicer on the stat sheet
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12968 Posts
April 02 2014 23:13 GMT
#888
Lynching an uncounterclaimed blue on D1 is awful unless it's extremely clear it's a fakeclaim. It wasn't here.
sqrtofneg1
Profile Blog Joined November 2013
Canada1159 Posts
April 02 2014 23:17 GMT
#889
On April 03 2014 07:51 RolandJarvis wrote:
I didn't read day 3 but I thought everybody town played fine or better

Except me.
Imaginary
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12968 Posts
April 02 2014 23:18 GMT
#890
On April 03 2014 08:13 IAmRobik wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 03 2014 07:53 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
I think the Day 1 lynch was by far the worst. A cop claim on D1 should never get lynched. Let scum sort it out. D2 was understandable, and D3 as well other than the fact that Robik didn't flip his shit despite his candidate not getting lynched should ring some bells.

I was actually planning on flipping shit and trying to convince valenius to swap, but then I realized I'd rather mislynch a cop AND a medic...it just looks nicer on the stat sheet

Oh I can't argue with you there. You were really in no danger anytime during the game. You played the players well.
Valenius
Profile Joined September 2010
United Kingdom1266 Posts
April 02 2014 23:20 GMT
#891
On April 03 2014 08:13 IAmRobik wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 03 2014 07:53 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
I think the Day 1 lynch was by far the worst. A cop claim on D1 should never get lynched. Let scum sort it out. D2 was understandable, and D3 as well other than the fact that Robik didn't flip his shit despite his candidate not getting lynched should ring some bells.

I was actually planning on flipping shit and trying to convince valenius to swap, but then I realized I'd rather mislynch a cop AND a medic...it just looks nicer on the stat sheet


There was no way I was not voting sqrt today, and no way I was not going to vote you the day after. I got bored towards the end and had no energy to actually read anything, so tried to drop as many mini-scum tells as I could to entertain myself
OnceKing
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
United States939 Posts
April 02 2014 23:20 GMT
#892
On April 03 2014 08:17 sqrtofneg1 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 03 2014 07:51 RolandJarvis wrote:
I didn't read day 3 but I thought everybody town played fine or better

Except me.

I think you just need to start standing up for yourself and trying to be confident sooner!
"Every man has his follies - and often they are the most interesting thing he has got."
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12968 Posts
April 02 2014 23:22 GMT
#893
On April 03 2014 08:20 Valenius wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 03 2014 08:13 IAmRobik wrote:
On April 03 2014 07:53 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
I think the Day 1 lynch was by far the worst. A cop claim on D1 should never get lynched. Let scum sort it out. D2 was understandable, and D3 as well other than the fact that Robik didn't flip his shit despite his candidate not getting lynched should ring some bells.

I was actually planning on flipping shit and trying to convince valenius to swap, but then I realized I'd rather mislynch a cop AND a medic...it just looks nicer on the stat sheet


There was no way I was not voting sqrt today, and no way I was not going to vote you the day after. I got bored towards the end and had no energy to actually read anything, so tried to drop as many mini-scum tells as I could to entertain myself

I think everyone was trying to claim scum at the end
sqrtofneg1
Profile Blog Joined November 2013
Canada1159 Posts
April 02 2014 23:25 GMT
#894
On April 03 2014 08:20 OnceKing wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 03 2014 08:17 sqrtofneg1 wrote:
On April 03 2014 07:51 RolandJarvis wrote:
I didn't read day 3 but I thought everybody town played fine or better

Except me.

I think you just need to start standing up for yourself and trying to be confident sooner!

haha very funny.
Imaginary
IAmRobik
Profile Joined January 2014
United States5878 Posts
April 02 2014 23:25 GMT
#895
I was VERY VERY close to saying "I am town.................APRIL FOOLS" on April fools day and just let OK try to win it on his own to try to make the game more interesting, but decided against it.

Also, if you read scum qt, I was very very close to claiming medic on n2 because I knew that sqrt would have to claim that day.
RolandJarvis
Profile Joined March 2014
65 Posts
April 02 2014 23:27 GMT
#896
On April 03 2014 08:17 sqrtofneg1 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 03 2014 07:51 RolandJarvis wrote:
I didn't read day 3 but I thought everybody town played fine or better

Except me.


No I definitely don't exclude you. I think you did enough to clear yourself. I'm not saying you made it easy, no.

If you read some of my second half of the game you'll see I am trying to figure you out. Unfortunately my musings were interrupted.

If I did get there it would be because you were just saying what you thought, and saying it with conviction. It didn't match what anybody else was saying. It didn't match what anybody wanted to hear. This is good in my book.
Valenius
Profile Joined September 2010
United Kingdom1266 Posts
April 02 2014 23:27 GMT
#897
Actually, I want a game where we don't have a day 2 afk. That would be nice. (Or in this case, 2 -71 hour afks, and 1 afk)

Day 2 was such a disappointment, I had no idea what more to do.

And Roland.. I was ready to sign a contract saying I will policy lynch you in any future game.. your responses actually wound me up that much.
Lord Tolkien
Profile Joined November 2012
United States12083 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-04-02 23:50:44
April 02 2014 23:29 GMT
#898
I really do have to apologize since I basically let town down D3. Pretty shitty of me, but I didn't have time to post due to REASONS. And nothing really influenced my reads away from sqrt (I apologize for focusing you since D1 lol) and Robik. Should I have focused Robik first? Perhaps, but I just felt more strongly about sqrt, who I really do feel shouldn't have (edit: been so scummy/scurred).

The only other thing I find believable is Val and OK, or Robik and OK, and that requires quite some WIFOM do to their day 1 moves.

I should have believed in the WIFOM, because the first Day 1 exchange was pretty damn ridic and I don't know why I wrote them off as being mafia together because of it initially. It should've been a telltale sign, and I really should have tried to question the sqrt lynch. If I had the time to sit down and REALLY scrutinized my own reads and other people's analysis, I feel I could've won this for town, but I didn't have/do either.

So ye, I feel like I really dropped the ball here HARD (and hypocrisy since my D2 was entirely devoted to trying to get people to fking post, Pixal pls wtf).

Lessons I've learned from this game:
1) How to approach blue role claims. AKA not lynch them. Huehuehue. Story of this game is "town decides to lynch ALL da blues". And more importantly, learn to discern blue from scum. This is my first mafia game since LII, so that should tell you how little I generally play mafia, and how much I need to improve on in general.

2) That I now apparently have a scummy town D1 meta. Lynch me next game if I appear town D1 gaiz (if I actually have time to play, mafia too exhausting and time-consuming).

3) Lend more weight to nightkills and their implications.

4) l really, REALLY should believe in the WIFOM. Especially something as obvious as that, but I really didn't believe that scum would be so forward Day 1 and be the center of attention.

5) how2scumbait (don't)

http://www.quicktopic.com/50/H/227Jz8ekq7iaT
For my coach QT.


In general,

D1: I just don't feel Cav put together an adequate defense and his posting pattern made me misread him (sorta again), and I felt a parity cop is less impactful and guaranteed than a cop, and a blue role with no impact should have no bearing on (edit: his lynch at the time. I mean there's not much else I could do because I was the other candidate [and I apparently can't vote myself], and no one was swapping onto sqrt at the time so...In hindsight, it would've been to lynch myself, or oneo f hte two blues. lulz, mafia played well this game).

And my view going into D3 is that there was a coinflip chance the RB claim and medic claim was bogus even without a counterclaim, and thus I chose to rely on my then-present reads, which was fk that, I'm pretty sure he's scummy. As was pointed out in obs QT, I should've noticed his consistent medic pattern, but hindsight 20/20 (and you gaiz got a mod confirm for him), or gone for my other scum read (Robik), even if only to check reactions.


Also,

Howard.
"His father is pretty juicy tbh." ~WaveofShadow
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12968 Posts
April 02 2014 23:30 GMT
#899
On April 03 2014 08:25 IAmRobik wrote:
I was VERY VERY close to saying "I am town.................APRIL FOOLS" on April fools day and just let OK try to win it on his own to try to make the game more interesting, but decided against it.

Also, if you read scum qt, I was very very close to claiming medic on n2 because I knew that sqrt would have to claim that day.

If you claimed medic on N2 you would've been dead because you didn't give sqrt's rb claim any attention. Balla told me you were planning on claiming to be rbed both nights
Lord Tolkien
Profile Joined November 2012
United States12083 Posts
April 02 2014 23:31 GMT
#900
Also.

D2: ...I have no words. NO WORDS.
"His father is pretty juicy tbh." ~WaveofShadow
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