EPTPYP: League of Legends Mafia - Page 8
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sandroba
Canada4998 Posts
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sandroba
Canada4998 Posts
On December 07 2013 03:59 Meapak_Ziphh wrote: fyi I have chosen 6/14 like every PYP game I've played iirc. Whoa, why so defensive all of a sudden? | ||
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sandroba
Canada4998 Posts
On December 07 2013 04:03 LSB wrote: The main problem with your idea / draft order reads is that it is too coordinated. Unless you can finger candidates for the mafia mastermind who is organizing the mafia, I have no reason to believe the mafia didn't just pick roles they wanted and made sure they didn't clash. basically, it's pretty high probability that there is around 3 mafia on the top 12 or so. Take a look at the top 12 and tell me who can be scum. | ||
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sandroba
Canada4998 Posts
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sandroba
Canada4998 Posts
On December 07 2013 04:17 Meapak_Ziphh wrote: Firstly @sandroba that's pretty weak. Secondly @mig: why should I be concerned you shot me? You're voting me now, you apparently decided I was scum sometime last night, there are a lot of people I'd lynch ahead of you. Your shot is not a solid tell one way or another because I can make arguments for it being both town or scum. MZ don't you agree that mafia should be higher up on the list on average? I think my top 12 estimative is pretty mild. Looking at those top 12 who do you find suspicious? It's even better to look at that group right now since 2 townies have already flipped from it. | ||
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sandroba
Canada4998 Posts
On December 07 2013 04:25 VisceraEyes wrote: So are you basing this on scum's ability to coordinate their number picks? Yes. Whatever strategy they choose to go with, since they can coordinate their picks and it's in their best interest to get placed high up on the draft list, they are going to be on average placed higher up than the average townie. Given that if it was completely random you would expect on average 3 scum on top 15, I think it's pretty safe to assume that there is a high chance of being 3 scum on top 12. | ||
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sandroba
Canada4998 Posts
geript- given how forth comming he was with his claim and his overall behavior I find it unlikely austin- yes koshi - we are bound to find out eventually suprises me that you left out JL/risen, people I'm unsure about myself | ||
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sandroba
Canada4998 Posts
On December 07 2013 04:37 Meapak_Ziphh wrote: I had jonny as town early on. Completely forgot about risen but put him on that list as well. Look sandro, that's 5 or six people excluding me and mig who could be scum, I don't see how your theory plays out. Bottom line is I think austin is scum from that post I quoted alone. I don't think his comeback makes him more townie at all. And there is a high probability he is scum given all the people I have my doubts on the top 12 look better than him and that includes you. | ||
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sandroba
Canada4998 Posts
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sandroba
Canada4998 Posts
On December 07 2013 04:38 Meapak_Ziphh wrote: sandro the biggest problem right now is that you're assuming that certain people have to be scum rather than looking at who has actually been scummy this game. Yes I'm assuming a bunch of shit and that's because most people in this game are pretty clueless about who is scum or not. There is simply no focus on this thread and finding scum in this mess is pretty hard. If I could pinpoint someone with 100% acuracy to you I wouldn't be troubling myself with all this secondary analysis. I'm going with what I think is the highest probability to hit scum with this lynch, because that's something I need in order to find the rest of the scum. | ||
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sandroba
Canada4998 Posts
On December 07 2013 05:42 justanothertownie wrote: Also, the 1 dmg dealt to you worries me, Sandro. Do you have any idea what hit you? Looks like the arsonist role to me and if it is then that person is definitely scum. My guess is that mafia can divide their kp amount freely and hit me with one to test if my ability works on kp. | ||
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sandroba
Canada4998 Posts
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sandroba
Canada4998 Posts
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sandroba
Canada4998 Posts
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sandroba
Canada4998 Posts
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sandroba
Canada4998 Posts
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sandroba
Canada4998 Posts
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sandroba
Canada4998 Posts
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sandroba
Canada4998 Posts
If he is town, mafia will prob shoot him and you prob shouldnt make their job easier. If they want him dead let them waste a ton of kp on him. | ||
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sandroba
Canada4998 Posts
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