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Newbie Mini Mafia LI - Page 2

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Derrida
Profile Joined March 2011
2885 Posts
January 07 2014 13:34 GMT
#635
@Balla I will not go back to page 20 to discuss what you think are 'loopholes' in my rhetoric, do keep in mind that it is the very first post of my very first mafia game. I do have somewhat different reads on many participants as of right now.

@chinstrap when you say "scummiest looking guy" do you mean dragoon or DW?
#1 Grubby Fan.
Derrida
Profile Joined March 2011
2885 Posts
January 07 2014 13:50 GMT
#641
@Daywalker, I don't follow the line of thinking when you say "even if dragoon is mafia we can get him later on." Why would you say this? How can you be so sure if he is mafia and we do not lynch him today, we can get him later on?
#1 Grubby Fan.
Derrida
Profile Joined March 2011
2885 Posts
January 07 2014 16:20 GMT
#657
I do not have a scum read for Day_Walker at all, though I find his targeting passive lurker dnyarri to be rather odd. He states analyzes three lurkers, namely dnyarri, OWB, and sidesprang, but does not provide enough justifications for his vote on dnyarri. Day_Walker, why does dnyarri stand apart from the other two lurkers for you given the scant information we have on them?
#1 Grubby Fan.
Derrida
Profile Joined March 2011
2885 Posts
January 07 2014 19:40 GMT
#669
Quite the change of heart from bold "lynch me and you will see Suki as scum" to "I'm thinking she is town as well."
#1 Grubby Fan.
Derrida
Profile Joined March 2011
2885 Posts
January 08 2014 17:08 GMT
#819
Wow, what an end to day 1. Here's my initial reaction to what went down in the last hours of day 1, will reply to the comments raised by Suki and Balla in a separate post later tonight.

If I was around I would have definitely changed my vote after reading this:

+ Show Spoiler +
I have to go soon, so here's my last word.

I can't tell you guys how to think or how to use the information gained from me dying but I want to ask you guys to question your analysis. You will all be wrong in thinking I am scum, some of you, I feel, tried too hard to make something out of nothing. What I'm mostly referring to here is "scum buddy", defending Asuna, and "scum slip".

I don't think you should target those who made cases against me because I feel like they were just making something out of nothing. My opinion is probably meaningless at this point but here is my scum ranking from most to least scummy:

onlywonderboy, dnyarri, Day_Walker, Balla24, sidesprang, BigDad, Derrida, TheChyz, suki, JonnyLaw, Asuna, chinstrap

This is my first game, really sad that I will die so early. I made mistakes which eventually led to my downfall, it doesn't help the fact that people overanalyzed my posts and made something out of nothing. I may seem scummy to some of you, but that's because you are actively looking for scum and trying to find anything you can use to get someone. I hope you reread my filter from a townie perspective and see that I was just really new to this.

ggwp, gl town I hope you get it right next time.


This just SHOUTS townie no matter how last minute, I wouldn't believe that the Dragoon could fake this act if he was scum given his previous level of reads. The foundation of my vote on him was that it was a "win-win situation," but reading his filter, it is clear that his analyses are improving as the game develops. I would probably unvote Dragoon, so I'm curious why more people who were present at the time of the deadline did not back down? Going through the final hour, it seems only Balla was actively there who didn't switch his vote, which is suspicious on its own, but his reaction to the switch is just odd, and he later apologizes for his "heated" reaction, which is odd once again because I mean come on, it wasn't that heated of a moment, was it? Day_Walker has came to Balla's aid by claiming that

"I think suki and Balla look better after this, unconditionally. If I'm scum and I'm watching a vote swing away from a townie, I don't think I would impulsively blurt out an "Argh what the hell" or a "NO FUCK OFF YOU GUYS", regardless of the new target's alignment.


But, for me, if someone was to do this, it would be Balla who has been consistently spearheading discussion, pressuring people, and doing in-depth analysis. It just seems that he is the most experienced and/or better player here, which means that such a move would may only be expected of him if he was scum, now he is guaranteed townie in everyones eyes. I mean how does that switch hurt Balla, and why does he just react that way? Which brings me to my next point; why did Jonny switch his vote? Seems as if the only thing that came out of his switch was Balla's reaction, which confirmed him townie in people's eyes. It seems as if this was a coordinated play by two good players to anchor themselves as townies and drag the town into mayhem.

Now, even though I would unvote Dragoon, I don't see the point of jumping on the Dnyarri bandwagon just to policy lynch lurkers. It is true that he did not bring much to the table, but the fact that he was the first to vote on Dragoon (pointed raised by Jonny), doesn't say much about him to lynch. It is something to lynch him for lurking, but I mean switching your vote because he was the first to vote for Dragoon is something completely different. In his vote for Dragoon, Dnyarri says:

Actually I have changed my primary target of suspicion from TheChyz to TheDragoon mainly because of this post:

http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=434723&currentpage=16#316

TheDragoon stated that Day_Walker seemed like innocent even though Day_Walker had only posted one list and nothing else. Day_Walker's only vote is against TheChyz which doesn't mean much since TheChyz is easy bandwagoning target. TheDragoon's post give me the impression that he wants to slow voting down by defending (random) people while going to TheChyz-bandwagon and attacking nobody else.

TheChyz is confusing but I'm not sure if it's carelessness or risk taking. My logic for calling him scum was somewhat faulted too I think.

##unvote
##vote: TheDragoon


In my opinion this is just bad play and faulty analysis on the part of Dnyarri made just to have said something. Furthermore, noone jumps on this bandwagon by quoting Dnyarri so it is further irrelevant that Dnyarri was the one to vote first on Dragoon, which makes Jonny's switch even more suspicious.
#1 Grubby Fan.
Derrida
Profile Joined March 2011
2885 Posts
January 08 2014 17:14 GMT
#820
EBWOP:

It is one thing to lynch him for lurking, but I mean switching your vote because he was the first to vote for Dragoon is something completely different.
#1 Grubby Fan.
Derrida
Profile Joined March 2011
2885 Posts
January 08 2014 17:31 GMT
#823
Of course you would hate that post because it points to two scums as two scums for the first time in the game. The only two things that do not make sense in that lynch for me are Jonny's switch and your reaction.
#1 Grubby Fan.
Derrida
Profile Joined March 2011
2885 Posts
January 08 2014 17:37 GMT
#829
DayWalker, could you point to my factually incorrect statements please?
#1 Grubby Fan.
Derrida
Profile Joined March 2011
2885 Posts
January 08 2014 20:23 GMT
#842
@Suki:

Show nested quote +
On January 09 2014 00:46 suki wrote:
The last person I'm going to comment on for now is:

Derrida:

TheDragoon: null for me so far. Suspiciously null perhaps? Alert level: YELLOW


@thedragoon, you just leaped from an /offtopic discussion to an /ontopic demagogy by your "You will all see when I get lynched tomorrow that this "distancing theory" is completely dumbfounded" line. This is somewhat suspicious.


Fine, I will not further derail the thread about the value of voting, but I still think it's pointless. This just means that if the deadline was 2 minutes from now, I would vote like this.

## Vote TheDragoon

Off to sleep, afk for 8ish hours.


This is a pretty big leap. I don't care about vote order or the fact that he votes theDragoon explaining that 'if the vote was 2 minutes from now, I would vote [for him]'. What stands out to me is that he has theDragoon initially as 'suspiciously' yellow, and me and sidesprang as red, and yet he votes for theDragoon.

I'm not liking the line 'This is somewhat suspicious' in the second quote. It feels too careful.

When called out for his vote on theDragoon, he points out that the lynch is a win-win situation because if theDragoon flips town, then I look more suspicious.

I still see your lynch as a win-win situation this morning, with the possible further upside of providing further information on Suki if you flip townie (who was RED ALERT status on my initial list).


He follows up later on after theDragoon's final comment on me: "Quite the change of heart from bold "lynch me and you will see Suki as scum" to "I'm thinking she is town as well."

I feel that Derrida's early game is just full of noise and can be explained by inexperience, but I'm not liking his more recent play and am inclined to read him as more scummy than neutral.

to Derrida:
Who are your top scum reads at this point? Am I even more red now, now that theDragoon has flipped?

I'd like to hear your thoughts.



I wanted to observe the behavior of my two initial “red flagged” suspects in their natural habitat without any pressure on them. Besides, I do not like voting in a way that makes your vote insignificant, and as I have expressed numerous times I considered Dragoon’s lynch a “win-win” situation at the time. If I was around at the time of Dragoon’s latest post before he gets lynched, I would have switched my vote not to Dnyarri, but to Sidesprang for reasons I also elaborated earlier:

On a side note, Sidesprang's filter is stil ringing all kinds of alarm bells for me. AFK for 24+ hours, comes in to vote Dragoon with a justification similar to mine, then just pokes at Dragoon some wishy-washy questions that do not contribute anything to the discussion.


My concerns about Sidesprang continue in the post-lynch period given his lack of analysis once again. Something is just not right, he comes in for a short paragraph, asks Dnyarri about the switch, and poof, he’s gone once again. He is my currently third scum candidate.

Regarding you, I still have my doubts. You were so adamant that Dragoon would turn scum before lynch and defended your position vs. Balla (here it is once again weird that Balla questions your level of clarity but does not switch his vote before lynch even after Dragoons final post). I would like to hear where you think your analysis have failed regarding Dragoon being a scum, and what are the implications of this. You are still a "red flag" but I have higher priorities right now in the form of Balla, Jonny as top 2 scums, and Sidesprang as the inactive third lurker.

Jonny, in his four pages of talks, does not talk about Sidesprang ONCE.

Balla does not have anything either. Just look at this:

Would totally lynch sidesprang for lurking if I didn't feel like i had some good scum reads btw, just as a backup..


For sidesprang, i keep flip flopping on him


Balla then once again mentions Sidesprang for lurking, but shifts the debate towards me and Sidesprang is off Balla’s mighty hook just that easy. Balla does not have a read/analysis on Sidesprang in his 12 pages of posts. What.the.hell? What happened to his initial proposed policy of lynching lurkers to make it harder for scums to lurk?
#1 Grubby Fan.
Derrida
Profile Joined March 2011
2885 Posts
January 08 2014 20:26 GMT
#843
On January 07 2014 18:50 Balla24 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 07 2014 18:46 JonnyLaw wrote:
That's what I've always said in the newb games as well. It worked. We caught the lurkers later.
you have certainly taught me well.

these lurkers aren't even half as bad as we had in that first game either... I guess I shouldn't be worried about it... especially since sidesprang is definitely making enough of a contribution to read him


Yet, does not post a read on Sidesprang.
#1 Grubby Fan.
Derrida
Profile Joined March 2011
2885 Posts
January 08 2014 22:08 GMT
#852
Awww, good bye all, I did enjoy my first game, I wish it lasted longer. Was an awesome learning experience for me, have fun! Thank you LoneMeow for hosting
#1 Grubby Fan.
Derrida
Profile Joined March 2011
2885 Posts
January 18 2014 10:39 GMT
#1338
MWAHAHAHAHAH! Victorious from the grave I'm glad I completely made up random shit at start so when I died my stuff was not traced to my scumbuddies
#1 Grubby Fan.
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