EPTNewbie Mafia XL - Page 7
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Obzy
United States525 Posts
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Obzy
United States525 Posts
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Obzy
United States525 Posts
...Sigh. Rainbows is town, pretty much 100%. Voting Ravens worries me given how fast the swing occurred, but he could be scum. I have townreads on nobodywonders and Moloch, 100%. I think fish at least is acting somewhat rationally, I will be sad if he doesn't participate more. Warent, JarJar, Ravens, Smancer. I suppose there are likely three scum in here. I include Smancer for chastising me for not panic-switching. If Ravens is town, then we lose tomorrow guaranteed. We'd lynch kirby or Rain, almost certainly. The fact that the swing occurred in that direction - hm. But I had a townread on Smancer before this. | ||
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Obzy
United States525 Posts
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Obzy
United States525 Posts
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Obzy
United States525 Posts
My guess atm is Smancer Jarjar Warent scumteam. We all know how much my guesses are worth, but there it is. There is nothing that specifically states that either Rain or Ravens has to be scum. Somebody awhile back said it's likely that one of them was scum or something like that, maybe +jampi, I disagree, now. If there was going to be a last minute vote swing, it was going to be a swing onto Ravens. This worries me because we were so fucking out of control that I bet if I hadn't tried to get everyone back on kirby, Ravens would've gotten swarmed and killed. - -; Am I making sense so far? | ||
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Obzy
United States525 Posts
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Obzy
United States525 Posts
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Obzy
United States525 Posts
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Obzy
United States525 Posts
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Obzy
United States525 Posts
I'm a Techie. (Doctor) I'd jokingly say AMA but I don't want to be asked things, unless it's my opinion on people and how things are panning out. If Rainbows was town, he would know that he was a proper vigilante, and there are two confirmed blues. Saying that there can't be three is flat-out-incorrect, obviously, and he wouldn't say it unless he believed it. If Rainbows was scum, he would know by now there IS no proper vigilante, and there is no roleblocker - as there were no roleblocks claimed, or roleblockings claimed. So there is no roleblocker. As such, he KNOWS there is a doctor. Saying that there can't be three blues is absolute suicide if he fakeclaimed. He would KNOW there's another blue. So I feel like it's a fact that Rainbows is blue, and he only made that statement because he was so certain there were only two blues, as it was his past experience. So that brings us to Ravens. Ravens has insanely tunneled Rain all game. Rain is a blue. (Fact) - If Ravens was scum, Ravens would absolutely know that Rain was blue. Warent's reasoning sucked (scum of course) - they totally would've left Rain alive, and wouldn't've killed him. I've explained this before and I won't again. Ask the coaches. So why would Ravens tunnel Rain if Rain was town? Pure insanity as scum. Bad play if town, but he's probably just paranoid because of Rain's behavior last game - in the whole, he doesn't want to lose to Rain being ridiculous again, way. So atm I think he's town too, under the effectively certain read that Rain is town. Moloch and nobodywonder talked all day with kirby and I. I'm town, kirby's town - they're fucking town. End of discussion, that's my read. Fish is town. Nobody else is even remotely skeptical of me. That leaves only three people. QED. I had been planning all game on OMGUSing the first person to vote for me, and I've picked up zero votes all game iirc so I never got the chance, and I won't tomorrow because I'm gonna die tonight almost 100%. If the scum, Smancer, Warent, and Jarjar leave me alive, then I'll be pushing them all day tomorrow. That would kinda be a pain in all likelihood for them -_- Thoughts? Sorry for being mean to everybody at various points throughout this game, I'm stressed, but it doesn't excuse my behavior. I apologize. | ||
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Obzy
United States525 Posts
On April 10 2013 10:30 JarJarDrinks wrote: I had a feeling when he was screaming for the town to "lynch JarJar tomorrow" it was gonna be bad. Sorry but I voted my read. I don't like how people are turning on me already since I think my reasoning was sound and obviously several people agreed with me. Obzy, why would u claim right now? DOn't get that @ all. On April 10 2013 10:15 Obzy wrote: I sort of want people to trust me, and I sort of am okay with dying this night since I slacked at work today trying to help the thread so much. My will to play is sort of sapped, and I sort of feel like I'm just kinda bad. Most of all, I don't want people to waste their time thinking about me in scumteams just because I'm a retard who lynched townies twice. | ||
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Obzy
United States525 Posts
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Obzy
United States525 Posts
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Obzy
United States525 Posts
+ Show Spoiler + I really, really hope I get shot tonight. If I don't, I might land a protect on somebody and the scumteam will require an additional mislynch to win, so they had better gift me this. Warent, entirely hypothetically, what if in my -imaginary- -luck shot- -guess- scumteam prediction you were replaced with Rainbows? And the number of blue roles, yes, is unknown to all players, but I feel it's a safe assumption that it's either 2 or 3, and we could all have safely assumed that at the beginning of the game. | ||
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Obzy
United States525 Posts
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Obzy
United States525 Posts
I see Ravens just posted - It definitely does, but really, I have no idea who's who. I could say "I think it's these 3" and then afk until I die, or I could at least TRY to promote thought. If he says his scum reads are similar to mine then (or vice-versa), it implies that he is accepting of Jarjar and Smancer lynches. Who would you remove from that equation to lynch Rain with, or would you change it up entirely? | ||
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Obzy
United States525 Posts
not for me specifically because I rather want to die, but Up until this point, you've seemed to be agreeing with Warent because he wants to kill Rain - and now you mention that his filter's short and he's been tunneling Rain only. Why has this not been a problem until I bring up questioning how he would react to killing Rain instead of himself? | ||
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Obzy
United States525 Posts
And I did some work for a bit and then re-imagined Rain winning as scum and my vision went red so despite my post yesterday I'm open to lynching Rain largely out of potential spite. Do you think that Smancer looks objectively scummy, or is it just that he has been pushing incorrect lynches? I'd identified him through process of elimination, he has been a very difficult read for me. | ||
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Obzy
United States525 Posts
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