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Newbie Mafia XL - Page 42

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Obzy
Profile Joined April 2009
United States525 Posts
April 10 2013 00:56 GMT
#821
If I'm wrong on one of smancer, Warent, or Jarjar, I would honestly suggest fish as the other member - but I'm bad, so take that with a shaker of salt.
I have nothing to put here. Obzy#1821 on Bnet.
Fishgle
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
United States2174 Posts
April 10 2013 01:00 GMT
#822
seeing as there's 9 people living, and you listed 4 people, you're bound to be correct on one of those.
aka ChillyGonzalo / GnozL
Obzy
Profile Joined April 2009
United States525 Posts
April 10 2013 01:01 GMT
#823
I should hope so. I feel like I'm bound to be correct on two of them. Probably all three.
I have nothing to put here. Obzy#1821 on Bnet.
nobodywonder
Profile Blog Joined July 2012
United States848 Posts
April 10 2013 01:05 GMT
#824
Yeah I feel like it's Smancer, Jarjar and Warent now...and maybe interchange one of them with Rainbow/Raven.

i want nobody nobody but you! *clap* *clap*- wonder girls
Obzy
Profile Joined April 2009
United States525 Posts
April 10 2013 01:15 GMT
#825
I sort of want people to trust me, and I sort of am okay with dying this night since I slacked at work today trying to help the thread so much. My will to play is sort of sapped, and I sort of feel like I'm just kinda bad. Most of all, I don't want people to waste their time thinking about me in scumteams just because I'm a retard who lynched townies twice.

I'm a Techie. (Doctor)

I'd jokingly say AMA but I don't want to be asked things, unless it's my opinion on people and how things are panning out.

If Rainbows was town, he would know that he was a proper vigilante, and there are two confirmed blues. Saying that there can't be three is flat-out-incorrect, obviously, and he wouldn't say it unless he believed it.

If Rainbows was scum, he would know by now there IS no proper vigilante, and there is no roleblocker - as there were no roleblocks claimed, or roleblockings claimed. So there is no roleblocker. As such, he KNOWS there is a doctor. Saying that there can't be three blues is absolute suicide if he fakeclaimed. He would KNOW there's another blue. So I feel like it's a fact that Rainbows is blue, and he only made that statement because he was so certain there were only two blues, as it was his past experience.

So that brings us to Ravens. Ravens has insanely tunneled Rain all game. Rain is a blue. (Fact) - If Ravens was scum, Ravens would absolutely know that Rain was blue. Warent's reasoning sucked (scum of course) - they totally would've left Rain alive, and wouldn't've killed him. I've explained this before and I won't again. Ask the coaches. So why would Ravens tunnel Rain if Rain was town? Pure insanity as scum. Bad play if town, but he's probably just paranoid because of Rain's behavior last game - in the whole, he doesn't want to lose to Rain being ridiculous again, way. So atm I think he's town too, under the effectively certain read that Rain is town.

Moloch and nobodywonder talked all day with kirby and I. I'm town, kirby's town - they're fucking town. End of discussion, that's my read.

Fish is town. Nobody else is even remotely skeptical of me.

That leaves only three people. QED.

I had been planning all game on OMGUSing the first person to vote for me, and I've picked up zero votes all game iirc so I never got the chance, and I won't tomorrow because I'm gonna die tonight almost 100%. If the scum, Smancer, Warent, and Jarjar leave me alive, then I'll be pushing them all day tomorrow. That would kinda be a pain in all likelihood for them -_-

Thoughts?

Sorry for being mean to everybody at various points throughout this game, I'm stressed, but it doesn't excuse my behavior. I apologize.
I have nothing to put here. Obzy#1821 on Bnet.
JarJarDrinks
Profile Joined March 2013
United States1302 Posts
April 10 2013 01:30 GMT
#826
I had a feeling when he was screaming for the town to "lynch JarJar tomorrow" it was gonna be bad. Sorry but I voted my read. I don't like how people are turning on me already since I think my reasoning was sound and obviously several people agreed with me.

Obzy, why would u claim right now? DOn't get that @ all.
Obzy
Profile Joined April 2009
United States525 Posts
April 10 2013 01:38 GMT
#827
On April 10 2013 10:30 JarJarDrinks wrote:
I had a feeling when he was screaming for the town to "lynch JarJar tomorrow" it was gonna be bad. Sorry but I voted my read. I don't like how people are turning on me already since I think my reasoning was sound and obviously several people agreed with me.

Obzy, why would u claim right now? DOn't get that @ all.

On April 10 2013 10:15 Obzy wrote:
I sort of want people to trust me, and I sort of am okay with dying this night since I slacked at work today trying to help the thread so much. My will to play is sort of sapped, and I sort of feel like I'm just kinda bad. Most of all, I don't want people to waste their time thinking about me in scumteams just because I'm a retard who lynched townies twice.
I have nothing to put here. Obzy#1821 on Bnet.
Obzy
Profile Joined April 2009
United States525 Posts
April 10 2013 04:25 GMT
#828
Well, I took a refreshing 3 hour break and - no comments. That's cool :l I take it then that there is little argument with my targets? - -;; Is anybody even here to discuss, or are we back to afking nigh-entirely for the next 3 days until 4:30PM PST on Friday?
I have nothing to put here. Obzy#1821 on Bnet.
Obzy
Profile Joined April 2009
United States525 Posts
April 10 2013 04:33 GMT
#829
Specifically to try to help give a topic of conversation - My reads are largely townreads and the process of elimination. As of such, if there is any debate to be had on them other than happy agreement all around, I would like to see detailed scumcases against my townreads. I will not listen to Rainbows pushing Ravens, or vice-versa. If my three non-town-reads-aka-scum-reads would like to push each other, that's quite acceptable by me as well - after all, we can't lynch all three at once! Somebody has to be lynched first, and deciding who that is would be a reasonable thing to talk about, too.
I have nothing to put here. Obzy#1821 on Bnet.
Warent
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Sweden205 Posts
April 10 2013 07:12 GMT
#830
Who defended jirky? Me and Moloch.
Who pushed for not changing from another obvious mislynched: Obzy.

Obzy if you disagree that fakeclaiming from a scumperspective was a good move you don't even have a clue what logic looks like. You keep repeating yourself "I feel scummy" but my posts "looks pro town".

Can't do any indepth analysis from work, that'll have to wait. When I come back home I'll compare this lynch with yesterdays and see if we can draw some hard fatcs about that. I'm really tired of you guys baseing reads and lynches on guts instead of looking at possible motives.
"More drones!"
Warent
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Sweden205 Posts
April 10 2013 09:45 GMT
#831
Obzy:
As such, he KNOWS there is a doctor. Saying that there can't be three blues is absolute suicide if he fakeclaimed. He would KNOW there's another blue.


No one knows how many power roles there are, I believe they are distributed randomly. I don't know, you don't and Rainbow don't. there is no way he could have known if there is a doc or not. His "gogo another blueclaim challenge" is yet again not motivated from a town perspective. But from a scum perspective? Hell yes it is motivated.

"More drones!"
TheRavensName
Profile Joined August 2011
United States911 Posts
April 10 2013 11:53 GMT
#832
Can't say I'm surprised JRK pulled green, he was lynched off another stupid case. Serriously, that case JJD pushed was STUPID and based off of only one real point. I tried to bring that up and it got burried so fuck it.

And yea I'm going to agree with Warent: all Rainbows just successfully did was blue fish; yet I'm the one who gets a random switch at the end of the lynch (The hell is that guys? Don't even have a reason behind it. Just Fuck it why not?)

Now I woke up late and have to head to school so, I'll be back later. (I dislike posting at night and have nothing to add against Rainbows that hasn't already been stated, and I get called scum when looking for other leads so I don't see the point.)
I once breadcrumbed watcher in a game with no watchers in the setup.
Smancer
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States379 Posts
April 10 2013 12:31 GMT
#833
Well Obzy, I have to say that I disagree with you. I am not scum, just a really really bad townie I guess.

@TRN yea the last minute switch about that.For me it gets pretty intense right around deadline. My heart is pounding and I went on instinct there. Then I read Obzy's post about not throwing away a days work etc. So I switched back.

I honestly don't even know anymore. I keep changing my mind, I build what I think are strong cases against people who are town, and then they get lynched. Should I even try to build cases today? I feel like I am just going to be wrong.

I think what I will do today is keep my mouth shut until after this night time is over. I will in the mean time try to reread the thread and focus specifically on Rainbows vs TRN. I'll take Warrents advice and try to determine motives.
A good way to threaten somebody is to light a stick of dynamite. Then you call the guy and hold the burning fuse up to the phone. "Hear that?" you say. "That's dynamite, baby."
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36160 Posts
April 10 2013 13:06 GMT
#834
Final vote count added to night post.
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
Warent
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Sweden205 Posts
April 10 2013 15:39 GMT
#835
Hey Smancer, very glad that you've decided to look at players motives. I've just read through your filter and lately you've based many of your conclusions on Rainbows blue claim being true. Take a look at this post: + Show Spoiler +
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=405359&currentpage=34#666 a few posts later Moloch points out a flaw and I answer to that as well
. And keep in mind that the number of blue roles are unknown to all players.

But perhaps it's time to focus more on likely scum-teams rather than individual scums.
"More drones!"
Obzy
Profile Joined April 2009
United States525 Posts
April 10 2013 15:48 GMT
#836
Another wonderfully active night. Outstanding. I guess Warent is posting.
+ Show Spoiler +
I really, really hope I get shot tonight. If I don't, I might land a protect on somebody and the scumteam will require an additional mislynch to win, so they had better gift me this.


Warent, entirely hypothetically, what if in my -imaginary- -luck shot- -guess- scumteam prediction you were replaced with Rainbows?

And the number of blue roles, yes, is unknown to all players, but I feel it's a safe assumption that it's either 2 or 3, and we could all have safely assumed that at the beginning of the game.
I have nothing to put here. Obzy#1821 on Bnet.
Obzy
Profile Joined April 2009
United States525 Posts
April 10 2013 16:15 GMT
#837
oh, my -'s are supposed to be strikeouts. ebwop and such, used to writing on gmail chat i guess.
I have nothing to put here. Obzy#1821 on Bnet.
Warent
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Sweden205 Posts
April 10 2013 16:22 GMT
#838
On April 11 2013 00:48 Obzy wrote:
Another wonderfully active night. Outstanding. I guess Warent is posting.
+ Show Spoiler +
I really, really hope I get shot tonight. If I don't, I might land a protect on somebody and the scumteam will require an additional mislynch to win, so they had better gift me this.


Warent, entirely hypothetically, what if in my -imaginary- -luck shot- -guess- scumteam prediction you were replaced with Rainbows?

And the number of blue roles, yes, is unknown to all players, but I feel it's a safe assumption that it's either 2 or 3, and we could all have safely assumed that at the beginning of the game.


Then all of a sudden your scum read would be very similar to mine.

And I like the idea of providing scum-team reads at this point in time instead of just looking at individual scums.

"More drones!"
TheRavensName
Profile Joined August 2011
United States911 Posts
April 10 2013 17:43 GMT
#839
On April 11 2013 00:48 Obzy wrote:
Another wonderfully active night. Outstanding. I guess Warent is posting.
+ Show Spoiler +
I really, really hope I get shot tonight. If I don't, I might land a protect on somebody and the scumteam will require an additional mislynch to win, so they had better gift me this.


Warent, entirely hypothetically, what if in my -imaginary- -luck shot- -guess- scumteam prediction you were replaced with Rainbows?

And the number of blue roles, yes, is unknown to all players, but I feel it's a safe assumption that it's either 2 or 3, and we could all have safely assumed that at the beginning of the game.

This post has me curious enough to go against my opinion of night posts: Why would you want to? I mean its cool that you want to join me and War with going against Rainbows... but why? I mean...Look at his filter, its only two tabs long, making it the second shortest besides Jarjar's and Sarafs (Who is dead.). All he has done is (No offense, just stating something) is attack rainbows with almost no retaliation from people, at least compared to the amount I seem to be getting. Doesn't that seem, just a little bit odd to you?
I once breadcrumbed watcher in a game with no watchers in the setup.
Obzy
Profile Joined April 2009
United States525 Posts
April 10 2013 17:47 GMT
#840
So then, to start things off tomorrow since I don't expect to be here, I'd like to propose a Jarjar lynch. The primary thing he did this game was push kirby. Other than that, he gave me and Rainbows townreads (okay), and Warent and Ravens scumreads (okay w/e). He's basically still lurking and hasn't pitched in to the major conversations. And nobody else is talking so fuck it I'll just quietly go insane for the next 6 hours before I ideally get executed and then can stop worrying about town 's lack of activity and just quietly watch games. Does anybody have any thoughts on a Jarjar lynch? Cases, if we specifically shouldn't, etc.

I see Ravens just posted - It definitely does, but really, I have no idea who's who. I could say "I think it's these 3" and then afk until I die, or I could at least TRY to promote thought. If he says his scum reads are similar to mine then (or vice-versa), it implies that he is accepting of Jarjar and Smancer lynches. Who would you remove from that equation to lynch Rain with, or would you change it up entirely?
I have nothing to put here. Obzy#1821 on Bnet.
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