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Boardwalk Empire Mafia: Pick Your Power - Page 7

Forum Index > TL Mafia
Post a Reply
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geript
Profile Joined February 2013
10024 Posts
April 09 2013 01:24 GMT
#2002
On April 08 2013 11:54 geript wrote:
Okay, I'm tired of VE being absent. I picked NRA member and was denied. That means that one of Sno, Rayn, Sinani, OO or VE chose it before I got it. I can't be certain that VE chose it but his response here:

Show nested quote +
On April 07 2013 04:50 VisceraEyes wrote:
Oh cool, and you want to out my role to the thread. Neat.

Seriously fuck this game.

Lead me to believe that he chose it. Now, there is nothing alignment indicative of VE choosing NRA member, but having proceeded to do nothing to come across as townie in the least made me extra suspicious. NRA member is a role that's exceptionally dangerous in scum hands because it prevents Investigations and Vigilante shots AND kills the offending player. As town, it could be exceptionally good as it can prevent opposing targetted KP (except as I read it the 1 per night scum KP). Considering VE's actions to not try in the slightest, I have to warn you guys about aiming towards him. More importantly, it leads to actively trying to draw investigations and town KP his direction in order to gain faux KP.

When you add VE's general disinterest with this motivation the only conclusion I can come to is him being scum.

##vote VE

On April 08 2013 22:40 Palmar wrote:
Alright people, I'm going to contribute so you don't think I'm scum.

Sn0_man
obviousone
Raynpelikoneet
Sinani206
Visceraeyes

One of these people is the NRA, assuming geript's claim is true. Let's look at who wants to pick NRA.

a) Mafia who wants to avoid townies going after him

b) Townies who thinks mafia is going to go after him.

I'll be perfectly honest here, I thought about picking NRA. The reason being I'm shot night 1 very often when I'm town. It's as simple as that, it's the best self-protective role in the game. Now the reason (aside from my position in the draft) I actually did not decide to go for the role was that I wasn't going to be posting the amount or content required to clearly paint myself town. It would actually be an anti-town role if I took it, because of the possibility that someone unsure of my alignment would decide to check me or something.

So, we can safely assume that the person who has the NRA role either thinks he's doing a splendid job of looking so townie that mafia wants to shoot him and town does not want to do anything to him, or he's scum.

My problem is that none of these top 5 players look like they're putting in the effort to be a town-sided NRA, so I am almost certain that whoever picked the NRA role must be scum.




Assassin is another role I really wanted, but meh. Here's the thing, whoever holds the assassin role is almost certainly scum. The reason for this is that if I had the role I would DEFINITELY shoot on day 1. Worst case scenario is that I shoot a townie who doesn't die and gets mod-confirmed town, it also looks great for me since mafia assassin would almost certainly never pull that powerplay.

so yeah, shooting day 1 worst case = 1 confirmed townie and a very likely townie in the assassin. Lose power
best case scenario = kill scum

So why not? Because our assassin (assuming someone took the role) is scum.

On April 09 2013 10:11 Palmar wrote:
it was so simple. I proved nra and assman were both scum. so we kill nra and assman, and whaddayaknow? I was correct.

man I should get a medal for this game. mvp.

Not so much. I proved why NRA was scum AND I told you who it was AND why it was that person. You can get in line behind me
geript
Profile Joined February 2013
10024 Posts
April 09 2013 01:41 GMT
#2006
I don't get it Kei, but really after VE that was the extent of solid scum reads for me. I'm not liking austin, but I like his attack on Sno so.... I'm planning on sheeping palmer D2 unless something really solid comes up.
geript
Profile Joined February 2013
10024 Posts
April 09 2013 04:16 GMT
#2041
On April 09 2013 12:59 Keirathi wrote:
Pretty sure neither one of you are mafia.

Not as sure on yamato, but pretty sure both are just have a little townie squable.
geript
Profile Joined February 2013
10024 Posts
April 09 2013 04:46 GMT
#2044
Looking at my vote count and how everything moved I think these are the people that we need to focus on:
Raynpelikoneet
strongandbig
Vivax
Bill Murray
deconduo
yamato77
austinmcc
Keirathi
Meatpack_Ziphh
Obvious One
Caller
Sharrant
Sn0_man

Of those, I feel reasonably safe removing yamato, Keirathi and Caller. That's still 10 candidates.
geript
Profile Joined February 2013
10024 Posts
April 09 2013 05:30 GMT
#2051
On April 05 2013 22:50 Restraining Order wrote:
This is roughly where it stands, I didn't dig through to get all the second numbers for the 8's and 11's, but those don't matter that much.

Sn0_man - 1, 1? could theoretically also be 2 or 3 I guess, but no reason to disbelieve it.

obviousone - 234?

Raynpelikoneet - 5, 1

Sinani206 - 7, 2

Visceraeyes - 10, 10

strongandbig - 234? same first as caller
Caller - 234? same first as snb, larger second

restraining order - 6, 2
Meapak_ziphh - 6, 3+


Austinmcc - 8
Shelvocke - 8
Deconduo - 8
Vivax - 8, 1

artanis[xp] - 11
sharrant - 11

billmurray - either 8 or didn't send
Yamato77 - not sent, tried 11


VE doesn't seem like the kind of guy who would allow his team to put in all of the same # nor would recommend it. Having better roles is obviously good. I'm betting that Artanis was the lowest bid on the scum team at or around 11. I also think that scum spread their first numbers out to maximize higher picks. This gives us a scum suspect list of: Sno_Man, Obvious One, Raynpelikoneet, Sinani206, strongandbig, Caller, Restraining Order Meatpak_Ziphh, Austin MCC, Shelvocke, Deconduo, Vivax.

I'm going to bet that there are exactly two scum in in the 6-8 range: Sinani206, Restraining Order Meatpak_Ziphh, Austin MCC, Shelvocke, Deconduo, Vivax. I think Austinmcc and Deconduo are the two standouts here in my mind. Meatpak_Ziphh I need to look at again.

I'm also going to be that there are exactly two scum in the 1-5 range: Sno_Man, Obvious One, Raynpelikoneet, strongandbig, Caller. This group is a little harder to guess despite being smaller.

There is an outside possibility that Bill Murray and Yamato are scum but I feel it's unlikely.
geript
Profile Joined February 2013
10024 Posts
April 10 2013 00:52 GMT
#2175
Okay bro.
geript
Profile Joined February 2013
10024 Posts
April 10 2013 01:06 GMT
#2179
Fwiw Austin is my favorite lynch for tomorrow.
geript
Profile Joined February 2013
10024 Posts
April 10 2013 01:31 GMT
#2191
On April 10 2013 10:25 yamato77 wrote:
If I die, kill Mocsta tomorrow.

If I don't, I will kill him tomorrow.

Wanna give any reasons?
geript
Profile Joined February 2013
10024 Posts
April 10 2013 01:51 GMT
#2201
I'm pretty sure 9 est is stil 10 min away.
geript
Profile Joined February 2013
10024 Posts
April 10 2013 02:01 GMT
#2205
Interesting.
geript
Profile Joined February 2013
10024 Posts
April 10 2013 02:13 GMT
#2210
On April 10 2013 11:11 deconduo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 10 2013 10:58 Mocsta wrote:
I shot playe 7


I hope you didn't, but if its true just a heads up. I'm the janitor and now I can't tell you what the flips were.

I'm willing to lynch you just for saying you used janitor.
geript
Profile Joined February 2013
10024 Posts
April 10 2013 02:15 GMT
#2212
Deconduo had to be scum. Town should never use janitor.
geript
Profile Joined February 2013
10024 Posts
April 10 2013 02:18 GMT
#2218
I think Austin is a better target.
geript
Profile Joined February 2013
10024 Posts
April 10 2013 02:19 GMT
#2221
On April 10 2013 11:17 deconduo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 10 2013 11:13 geript wrote:
On April 10 2013 11:11 deconduo wrote:
On April 10 2013 10:58 Mocsta wrote:
I shot playe 7


I hope you didn't, but if its true just a heads up. I'm the janitor and now I can't tell you what the flips were.

I'm willing to lynch you just for saying you used janitor.


Eh its actually quite good cost I get to know the flips and Mafia doesn't. I planned to use it to fuck with them and see if I could get them to slip. However seeing as mocsta might have been dumb enough to shot me I figured claiming now is more important.

Lol u ded bro
geript
Profile Joined February 2013
10024 Posts
April 10 2013 02:36 GMT
#2244
I'm fine lynching MZ too. That's a ridiculous level of stupid.
geript
Profile Joined February 2013
10024 Posts
April 10 2013 02:52 GMT
#2255
how is austin confirmed town? the only "confirmed town" right now is me.
geript
Profile Joined February 2013
10024 Posts
April 10 2013 03:25 GMT
#2280
Ok town. First off. People need to stop fucking firing shit. We can safely assume that at least 3 town died last night. Also, Deconduo if you were town, then you're fucking retarded for using Janitor; I'm going to consider you scum until proven otherwise however. Even if we assume that 3 scum are dead right now, we want to be able to gather as much information as possible upcoming. As I can tell, since we know janitor was used last night, we want to go ahead and lynch M_Z. There's literally no townie reason for firing when he did whatsoever. He could've waited 24 hours. Done anything, he should absolutely be on the chopping block. As Austin has a nuke his way, I would like Sn0 or another lurker in the last slot. I won't likely be able to read again. I'm also very fine with putting RO in the second slot as Palmer IIRC called him scum.
geript
Profile Joined February 2013
10024 Posts
April 10 2013 03:26 GMT
#2283
I'm also betting that Emperor is scum AND that town vote rigger was used D1. That makes the most sense to me right now.
geript
Profile Joined February 2013
10024 Posts
April 10 2013 03:31 GMT
#2287
Overall, I'll try to make a bigger case on Sn0 tomorrow, but he looks like the best option to lynch right now. His filter is worthless and clearly isn't following along in the game almost whatsoever. He's finally become active once everyone starts to look at him which is slightly suspicious to me.
geript
Profile Joined February 2013
10024 Posts
April 10 2013 03:33 GMT
#2293
People are acting crazy that for sure. Quite frankly, I'm happy with lynching all these dumbass motherfuckers just to remove their capability from harming town any further. I will say that BM could be right about Caller.
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