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Starboard or port? | ||
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On March 16 2013 13:10 Blazinghand wrote: I should /in this game just to RNG lynch geript But I thought you loved me. | ||
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On March 16 2013 11:53 AxleGreaser wrote: Cheesecake. Edit: you appear to have misunderstood Cheesecakes like Pies are round the number I gave you was the exact transcendental value of pi... + Show Spoiler + Rabbit I am a Tauist sir. I reject your notion of pi being useful in any meaningful way. | ||
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On March 16 2013 16:36 DarthPunk wrote: Yeah I really like this actually. What Gives? I thought I couldn't use it from what was said in pregame and the tarot stuff got me interested. How do you feel about this being based on some sort of tarot stuff? | ||
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On March 16 2013 22:13 zarepath wrote: And one final thought: sciberbia was quick to point out that VE's tarot cards and Peashooter's speculation aren't that scummy (but I disagree and say they are more scummy than anything else so far, btw), and VE makes a good point in response: On March 16 2013 18:26 VisceraEyes wrote: Interesting. Out of everyone who has posted, you are by far the most verbose. I expect you will be equally verbose when describing things you DO find scummy. First off, I dislike the fact that you mix up my tarot card thoughts and place them on VE. The thing that doesn't make sense to me whatsoever is how this post flows. I'm not seeing the jump in logic between either the setup speculation being scummy Or how VE's post leads directly from that. It's a subtle transition from X+Y are scummy into it's useless. Then yoy transfer into: On March 16 2013 22:13 zarepath wrote: So in the end, I currently have my eyes on Coagulation, Peashooter, VE, and sciberbia. I will take a more serious look at geript later. I'm not getting the logic jump here either. There isn't any real reason listed. There's no reason to expect to be able to jump straight to fucking without a little foreplay. How do you explain this Zare? Why make a nothing post? | ||
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On March 17 2013 06:54 zarepath wrote: The VE quote at the end wasn't meant to suggest VE was scummy, but to suggest that he made a good point about sciberbia's contributions thus far.[/QUOTE] So then what did you think of his points against me? You put me on null. He put me on scum. Besides, if you liked his points then why would you be: [B]On March 16 2013 22:13 zarepath wrote: So in the end, I currently have my eyes on Coagulation, Peashooter, VE, and sciberbia. I will take a more serious look at geript later. The only thing I'm seeing from you is: null here, null there, scum for a bad reason here, scum for a bad reason there, null, null. Why so lazy and unconcerned? | ||
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On February 11 2013 23:41 zarepath wrote: Yeah, this feels a lot like the last time we mislynched warbaby so far. I'm not saying there's nothing there, but it is very easy to rile this guy up and get confirmation bias. We still have a lot of Day 1 left and a lot of people to consider still, and I think that if warbaby's detractors are satisfied with the evidence in his defense, we should look at some other people and allow warbaby to take a step back himself and make some of his own reads. If by the end of the day, you still think warbaby is the scummiest, go ahead and make a case and vote for him. But let's proactively avoid tunnel visioning here. He also made a completely fake case on WoS which included: On February 12 2013 00:38 zarepath wrote: A few things here. WaveofShadow takes upon himself the mantle of being the Reasonable Break-It-Up! Guy, even though people have already moved on. It's not Being Town, it's Acting Town. Also note the insinuation that nothing in the thread so far has been worthy of contribution -- the scumhunting hasn't started yet, according to him. He simultaneously puts himself up as Pro-Town and everyone before him as Anti-Town. It's all posturing, zero substance. The bolded section referenced a part where WoS had referred to it as "my town" and someone called him out on it. I don't see any evidence from that game that Zarepath thought that claiming or not claiming town was in anyway alignment indicative. I also don't see how he would've formed a different opinion on the matter as I'm not aware of other games he's played in the mean time. The Zarepath that I remember from NMM37 was reasonable and interacted with the thread more. This Zarepath looks intentionally dense. I'm personally pissed that Sciberbia stole my thunder. Zarepath is SCUM. Next, WoS get your ass in here. Looking into the GK and GM stuff now. | ||
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Also, VE I'm not getting the case on GK. GM looks far more scummy to me; can you please explain why GK's a better target? | ||
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On March 18 2013 00:40 VisceraEyes wrote: WTF is this? I've explained my reasoning for every vote I've made. If you don't like my explanation fine, but nothing I've posted has been "just random bullshit". Look, my reaction to the SAST thing is that it was either going to be awesome or retarded. It also seemed to lock players votes together in a disadvantageous way in that it prevented players from throwing their weight around with the vote. But once you got back and explained it, the concept made more sense to me. I just didn't think that GK's response was malicious and that you blew it out of proportion. I'm not seeing your point on TPS. The requoting thing seems like such a ticky-tack thing to be voting for someone for so it seems like BS. Do you have any actual intention of talking about Zarepath? | ||
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On March 17 2013 06:54 zarepath wrote: I did mix up your tarot card comment with VE because he mentioned something about them later, I think. I looked through your filter, geript, and I liked your comment about coddling Coag and figured you were null for now. Didn't even Dr.H point out the that natural reaction to get to after going through a filter and arriving at null for town is to go through another filter? Sciberbia's case is good. There's almost no movement from him whatsoever; just random statements. When he's suspicious of someone he's not interacting with the thread at all when pressure is on that person. It's like he's watching the game from a window. Hell, he even didn't like the warbaby lynch in NMM 37, which you coached scum in, but here he's null on everything it seems. He's lied about every scum claiming town in the first post as it was actually most of the town players who soft and/or hard claimed town in the mid-stages of day 1. He's not showing any town motivation that I've seen whatsoever. His meta's off from 37. And the survival mentality is in his posts throughout. | ||
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On March 17 2013 14:53 GreYMisT wrote: TestSubject really hasn't said much of anything (hypocritical from me right?). The main thing that stands out to me about him is that a significant exchange between him and Wade Fell took place regarding punishing bad town play. TestSubject supports this argument with his main entrance post, calling for pressure against Coag. However, He doesnt attempt to pressure him at all, and really fails to significantly mention him. This is the post that made GM suspicious to me. The internal logic of it is just mindboggling to me. He's calling out Test for calling for pressure for Coag but for not pressuring him. Then he goes on to do the exact same thing: On March 17 2013 14:53 GreYMisT wrote: I can see where he is coming from with his read on zare, but overally Test doesnt seem like the best lynch candidate to me at the moment. This reads as he thinks of Test as a possible lynch candidate but he doesn't go on to pressure him at all. Moreso, he doesn't even go on to pressure his #1 lynch target and instead looks to pick a fight with him. There's only a short response to VE regarding Test and then that matter is dropped entirely. On March 17 2013 14:38 GreYMisT wrote: I can tell you why, Its because my lack of thread presence, to a scum player, would basically have them salivating for a day 1 miss lynch. I am an easy, low risk lynch with almost no thread presence to back myself up. I find this post suspicious because it is a cookie cutter, "here are a few reads" post that has no interaction with other players, no real pushing, no new information, and in my eyes makes more sense from a scum perspective than a town one. I get the logic of this, but the only "thread presence" person I see GM really attacking in his filter is Vivax. But that's only after VE states he could get behind it and after Vivax was already under pressure for the scumslip. There's something that feels very off about VE this game. In LX he seemed focused and single minded trying to apply pressure like a hammer. In this game it's like he's looking more to find reasons not to lynch someone than reasons to lynch someone. It just feels very unlike LX in that in LX I got the sense D1 that he was actively pursuing things yet here he's just trying to softly bounce things around until he finds the right target. Overall, I prefer GM to Zare. | ||
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On March 18 2013 10:04 sciberbia wrote: If someone is scum, we should lynch them. Play to win. I recall a post you made yesterday where you said, and i quote, "zarepath is SCUM", and he has certainly not done any town-telling since then. I am not disagreeing with you on any point here. But in LX Jungle Jorge/Sandroba put a vote on Vivax saying my lynch was stupid. My lynch was already set. I followed suit hoping others would do the same thing and at least listen to him. Instead I think everyone including Grush said it was the scummiest vote ever. Everyone. I wasn't in a good mindest and didn't play to my win con then. I'm not going to do that now. I can understand Zare being in a similar position and acting irrationally. That makes it worth risking a day. I believe the points on GM make him scummy. Additionally I trust Sandroba's reads more than anyone else's in general. And Sandroba called him scummy. | ||
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On March 18 2013 16:09 Wade Fell wrote: :| at least with his dying hours he could have written some cases or given something to work off of. All he's left us with is: an entirely wrongheaded attack on GK, and unexplained scumreads on WoS and Testsubject. He's right on testsubject but never goes into detail. As a final token to Greymist I will take an analytical look at WoS before the end of the night though, and as usual you will have my general thoughts and cases before dawn. I went to bed before I saw this, but this is absolute bullshit. First, BH does value going back through dead players filters to look at their points; hell he even said he'd read mine even after I martyred myself. The real BH is no newb who sheeps other dead vets. This isn't the tone of the "Fuck Yah, I'm king of the world" BH we got last game; this isn't cold, rational aggressive BH. This is scum. Never once that I can think of last game did BH so instantly attack players after a flip especially so worthlessly. There's literally no point to this post whatsoever other than trying to direct traffic. I was at work and got lost in the DP VE slugfest and didn't catch this point at the time: On March 18 2013 08:30 DarthPunk wrote: THe pressure on Blazing had nothing to do with goodkarma's alignment. It should be obvious that I was pressuring him on making a dead set town read based on weak meta so swiftly. Why? Because scum are likely to make town reads like that and town are not. I was asking BH incase there was something that I missed. Dude's scum and I intend on giving Zare an extra day. | ||
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On March 17 2013 14:56 Wade Fell wrote: i still think GK isn't scum and testsubject IS scum. I know it's privileging the hypothesis but all the evidence around testsubject points to him being scum, and GK seems off but not entirely off. I don't want to be wrong, but if i'm wrong I want to be voting the right guy On March 18 2013 10:46 Wade Fell wrote: "oh wade fell don't you still want to lynch testsubject and TPS" I'm gonna be straight with you: yes, I would love to lynch either of those clowns. I'd love it so much. But we've got like a few hours left in the day, and of the available wagons, there's a scum option. This isn't the time for a principled push of some doomed wagon, this is time to lynch scum. If your vote is on someone with like 1 or 2 votes, you either need to convince everyone to join you, or you need to get off the worthless wagon. Anything less is opting out of the town discourse and not an acceptable way to play. For someone whose name carries weight and who's been trying to lynch these two guys because they're scum, I don't see a damn thing he's actually been trying to do towards that goal. Hell, even Test subject's quote: On March 17 2013 14:57 Wade Fell wrote: tl;dr: I'm right and you're all wrong, I'm just not sure how yet. I will find a way Just strikes me as being straight out of the podcast. "I'm Ace and because I'm Ace I'm right." There's no actual hunt in him, just general flailing. | ||
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HUEHUEHUEHUEHUEHUEHUEHUEHUEHUEHUE | ||
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I still think that either a VE/BH lynch is far better (strongly preferring BH). VE has definitely been acting odd in my book, but everytime I tried to write a case on him it came out more prose than points. BH has shit all over the place and I don't get why people are so willing to put him off. Can someone make a rational reasoned case for why we're pushing Zarepath off the block entirely as well? I've seen nothing change from him and the only real reasoning saying otherwise was Keriethi's comment. I get Keriethi but is that a reason to stop pressure entirely. Either way, I'll be following along all night as I have 3 exams to study for. | ||
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On March 20 2013 11:53 WaveofShadow wrote: Lol I love all the people coming out of the woodwork now just to toss an easy lynch vote on me. So amusing. Dude, quit. | ||
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Yah man. Don't pull a Geript. Take a few hours. Get your head straight and come back. Just quit with the soft martyring shit. | ||
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On March 20 2013 12:29 Mocsta wrote: What I want to know from you Is what do you think of the people that instantly said "zare must be town, cos Kei flipped town" I'd take it on a case by case basis. Off the top of my head, I think it's scummy that (iirc) the people who instantly dismissed it haven't been trying to push someone else or really even pressure other people. Especially since in reviewing his filter, nothing has changed in my mind. He's still coming off as unsure and guarded (continued meta inconsistency). I really hated his last post re: stirring up the thread (steering towards negative town atmosphere). The fishing for information re: VE's role name rubbed me the wrong way too (information gathering). It just seems absolutely insane to me that so many people came off as 50/50 on Zare/GM but unwilling/unwanting to keep pressure on him whatsoever. That doesn't match town mentality in my book. By what do i think; I actually infer: What is your opinion of the situation? i.e. is it valid reasoning? & Is this type of reasoning; alignment indicative? If so, which direction? Could you clarify what you mean by this exactly? I'm not quite sure I answered your questions but I'm also not sure I got what you were asking. | ||
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On March 20 2013 15:18 Mocsta wrote: I can, if you let me know what you're struggling to follow. Surely its not the "whole thing" Here's what I mean: your problem with WoS as you summarize it is that in non-newb (non-first game) games he has more balls. You confront him on it. He turns on the 'balls factor.' You unvote based on said 'having balls' town read. Then you excuse the kita case essentially based on experienced player reading an experienced player when you say WoS isn't experienced and thus the whole case is invalid. There's nothing damning there and I can follow that at least. That said, I can't help but feel that this whole exchange is fishy because it comes off as you telling him how to act, then he acts that way, then you dismiss your vote and the case with a wave of the hand. (Pun intended). I categorize this as "Moc-type logic" but it still feels artificial to me. The last part is my real issue: For me, the case is upheld *ONLY IF* WoS hasnt pushed a lynch agenda during Day1. Thats when a sheep vote to me is scummy. From the quick filter browse i did, it looked like he satisfied the above, thus, making the case invalid to me. You say the case is upheld only if WoS doesn't push a lynch agenda D1. Honestly, I didn't remember a lynch agenda from him D1 and the only points re:lynch are a +1 on DP and a preference on GM over Zare. He even noted his meta reads are crap; I think he also called my meta reads as crap (based on previous games where Zare had at least softclaimed town early). However, I don't remember him commenting on DYH's meta read at all. I don't see a real case push from WoS D1 which makes the case still stand then right? | ||
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1. The "Is this the town I'm going to have to put up with?" comment. It looks like he's internally distanced himself from the town. I want to look at the context and timing of this. 2. WoS giving a town leaning read on Glurio based on meta despite the fact that at multiple points he's said that he's not good at meta reads and doesn't put too much stock in meta reads (or similar comments IIRC). Either way, I'm done studying for tonight and need some sleep. I'm going to be back after my exams to reread ~8-10 hours prior to lynch and post some more comments then. | ||
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On March 20 2013 16:25 sciberbia wrote: DP/Mocsta/ whoever is online, I'd like some unbiased opinions here. Am I reading too much into this? That quote. Sorry it wasn't clear. | ||
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On March 20 2013 22:54 Mocsta wrote: (1) This reads to me as: Wild Goose hunt to disrupt scum hunting Day2 (2) Reminds me of what I did in Hydra setting up for the JK claim.. effectively stopped discussion for a good couple hours Just saw this, but this was my exact reaction. | ||
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1. Setup Speculation: Let's take the VE hit at face value for a second. This means that mafia KP is equal to 2. Half the number of scum rounded down was the rule for LX and this game is listed as a normal game with a closed setup. So I'd expect that to be the same. The important thing to remember here is that should the 3rd party gain KP this could become very tough for us to manage. Three deaths per night is tough. I could wholly understand a 3P trying to recruit VE so that they could target scum at night effectively as 3P's main goal is to whittle down scum while surviving. 2. From the posted QT: VisceraEyes Fuck it I accept. If I'm going to be ignored by most of the thread, I might as well punish them for it. 7 The Mirror Of course I have countermeasures for survival. I would not have been given such an arduous task if it were not. And it seems like you are perceptive enough to understand what I offer you. Now we don't have any actual clue how this mechanic works. However, considering the claimed hit AND accepting it seems a bit fishy in the least. We have no way of knowing if VE became immune to hits by accepting. Additionally, there was only 1 kill last night so I think it's safe to assume that the 3P didn't have KP yet. If we assume that VE is now 3P then 16-5-2 is the expected distribution. In the least, we need to be stacking on VE unless we can find really strong reasons to vote elsewhere. The whole timing of this is just fucking nuts. This feels almost exactly like when Grush fake shot in LX. We need to just stack on VE and get back to actually hunting down mafia because this is absolutely disruptive to the thread right now. | ||
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On March 21 2013 03:52 VisceraEyes wrote: Dude its a MASON LOG. Why are you raking anything it says into account when speculating the setup. This game is CONFIRMED NORMAL BY HOST. We are not the hosts and I have received no message from the hosts saying my Winconditions has changed. If I had would we be having this conversation? Ok, let's say you're being honest here. Then what's the point of posting it? Was this a completely faked log in an attempt to out BH? Isn't there any way to do that better than just throw a whole shoehorn into the thread? I'm just not seeing any town motivation behind pulling a stunt like this. | ||
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On March 21 2013 01:20 VisceraEyes wrote: 8 VisceraEyes Fuck it I accept. If I'm going to be ignored by most of the thread, I might as well punish them for it. 7 The Mirror Of course I have countermeasures for survival. I would not have been given such an arduous task if it were not. And it seems like you are perceptive enough to understand what I offer you. Do not fret about the delay in notification. That seems to be ... a trend this game. I shall inform you that playing "townie" will be in your best interest, and will hardly conflict with the greater purpose you shall receive. Everything will be made ... crystal clear. A-haha. You lied to him. How do we not know you're not lying to us? What are your limits on what you're willing to lie about? How do we even fucking know that "The Mirror" isn't just some complete bullshit that you've created just to completely derail the thread? | ||
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If I had to pick a second option, then I'd choose Zare. There's no change from D1 in my books. | ||
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On March 21 2013 10:14 VisceraEyes wrote: It's not a stunt Vivax what the FUCK?! I'm JUST TRYING TO PLAY TRANSPARENTLY AND I GET SHIT ON FOR IT THIS IS FUCKING DUMB It's hard to get people to listen when you've cried wolf multiple times before. | ||
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On March 21 2013 10:25 VisceraEyes wrote: If you strike me down, I shall become more powerful than you can possibly imagine. You don't know the power of the DARK SIDE! | ||
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Your powers are weak old man! I am very disappoint in not being able to quote it exactly | ||
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1. I don't trust him 2. I think he's 3P 3. I don't think we can get a good coherent alternate lynch | ||
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On March 21 2013 11:43 Vivax wrote: Wait what I posted an extensive case against GK much much earlier and "He's useless D2" suddenly convinces some people to look into him? This makes me really really sad. I'm glad however that people are noticing what's up. I remember reading the case, the problem is that most of the cases you've posted are literally unreadable. | ||
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Here are the wagons I'm seeing: 1. Ace based on being un-Ace-like, not following through on scum hunting and recognizing/assuming 3P. Iirc VE said it was 3P before the logs and the logs looked to indicate 3P to me. 2. Cosmic for no scum hunt, random 180 and no follow up on VE case. 3. Test for martyring is scummy, emotionally detached and safe votes. Martyring should be a policy lynch from here forth but can be done from either side. 4. GK for no scum hunt and meta (although disagreement) 5. VE as possible 3p, making town to nuts, etc. None of these cases are great IMO. Not a single one of them. There are clearly opportunistic reasons to attack or defend against all of them and there's very little to be gained from analyzing much of any of how the opinions are going here. At this point, I really think that I still think that the best lynch is VE for a few reasons: 1. It tells us a lot about the PMs between BH and VE 2. It gets rid of possible scum/3P dependent on what the mirror is exactly 3. It gives us more information for moving forward as then we get to either dismiss all the VE bs or follow up on his looks at wiggles, BH and Ace | ||
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@VE. My top scum targets are BH, Zare, WoS and Moc. But since going to work no one seems to want any of them and I don't have time to drop a case on any of them right now Bottom line: We need a direction for the town moving forward more than need to hit scum today. The best way to go about that is to find out how honest and up front you've been with us. If you're non town then BH is far more likely to be town. It also gives us a very good read on this whole mirror shit. | ||
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2. This play seems very much like the nmm37 and hydra game where your aggro without a point 3. The shifting back in how far you read (22, 15, 17, etc) seems odd in the least 4. I need to review your targets again but a GM quote struck a chord re:easy targets 5. The case on test seems like some psych bs that I pulled and iirc you tend to make bs cases as scum iirc 6. You seem to be trying to propagate the negative town atmosphere. | ||
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On March 21 2013 15:52 sciberbia wrote: Well it looks like Ace is officially going to be the lynch. I think it would be most fitting if he flips Mirror lol. Funny I had that thought too. | ||
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On March 21 2013 16:09 Mocsta wrote: You were the tie-breaker vote on Ace.. Where was your critical thought on the matter.. your the one wasting our time. I was asked a good question that I didn't have an answer to. I applied Occam's Razor. Funny how your whole thought process on VE is "Gee looks like you're having an off game. Hope you're not scum bro." | ||
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GM/Nightmare=mason and town day Vig ??/The Mirror=mason and (presumed) third party BH/The Messenger=mason and scum Now, we don't know how other unclaimed roles work, but we've at least been given proof that some roles (other than just VT) don't have their abilities attached to masoning. Here are the overall claimed and dead blues that exist right now: VE=Coward=Veteran WoS=Eye=DT TestS=???=Night Vig GM=Nightmare=Day Vig GK=Priest=Healer Vivax=Sword=Night Vig Last game only had 5 blues and no town vigilantes. Ver's guide says 6-10 blues is standard (for a 30p game); I'm guessing 5-8 blues is the range we're looking at. My point in bringing this up is that if we do get another blue claim and/or another reveal, then I think we need to take serious consideration into looking at claimed but non-dead players. That said, I think that there's reason to suspect one of the WoS/TestSubject claims is false however I don't see a real reason to try and broach those until we're close to MYLO/LYLO. While I think that there's still good reason not to wholly trust VE is town; 4 night deaths looks like scum have 2 KPs considering there was only 1 NK N1 (unless they doublestacked VE). That means that the claimed hit is confirmed making him likely town+ Show Spoiler + I wouldn't put it past him claiming a hit as 3P All that said, I've read over both CC's and Wiggles filters and I prefer CC over Wiggles right now but I think we may hit with either. This post: + Show Spoiler + On March 20 2013 04:53 cosmicomics wrote: I don't understand why we are scrutinizing Wade Fell and not even glancing over at VisceraEyes. There is nothing wrong with defending town reads who are potential lynch candidates. To say that "all he's done" is defend goodkarma may be true, but this point doesn't take into full consideration the context of the action. Many people were discussing goodkarma and deciding whether he should be the lynch or not, he himself included. There should be absolutely no issue with Wade Fell defending whom he thinks is a town read, unless VisceraEyes suspects that both goodkarma and Wade Fell are scum, and that Wade Fell is defending goodkarma using fabricated evidence. Nothing in VisceraEyes' case indicates that he believes this, so there is no town alibi for saying this. Not only that, but a glance at Wade Fell's filter shows his interaction with TestSubject893 and ThePeashooter, which VisceraEyes totally ignores, even though earlier on in the day he acknowledges' one of Wade Fell's posts on ThePeashooter. You don't say that someone makes an excellent point, and then totally ignore it when evaluating their play. But that is what VisceraEyes tries to do. He sweeps away something that he himself called "an excellent point" and misconstrues Wade Fell as wasting all his time D1 defending goodkarma, which isn't even scum indicative as his posting shows. Additionally you can see in this post that VisceraEyes drops his initial case on goodkarma. The vote switch indicates that whatever point Wade Fell brought up was strong enough to pursue than his original case on goodkarma. Therefore, the magnitude of VisceraEyes' misinterpretation is greater for he is a hypocrite in saying that Wade Fell did nothing, when he himself asserts that Wade Fell made an excellent point. Again, more misinformation. Here VisceraEyes tries to push the idea that Wade Fell's usage of the mason role is indicative of him being scum. He asserts that the mason role should be used to determine alignment first and foremost. Well that's blatantly wrong. There is nothing wrong, and in fact there is something very valuable with masoning a town read in order to bounce around thoughts and ideas. Wade Fell himself explains his mason choice: How is that not a sensible response? It helps Wade Fell solidify his read on goodkarma, and also helps direct goodkarma's scumhunting as Wade Fell acted as his coach. There is very good townie motivations to mason a town read. However VisceraEyes tries to push the idea that Wade Fell used his role poorly and therefore must be scum. Let's explore that next. Ok. VisceraEyes' hypothesis is that Wade Fell is a scum mason trying to manipulate townies. Where in this post does VisceraEyes consider goodkarma as scum? He doesn't. Let me hash that out again. In the starting sections of my post I demonstrated that VisceraEyes considered goodkarma scum. Additionally he disparaged Wade Fell's play in defending goodkarma (another contradiction), but now he is trying to push Wade Fell as scum on the basis that he is masoning goodkarma, which is one of his town reads? How is Wade Fell masoning goodkarma supporting evidence that Wade Fell is a scum mason attempting to manipulate townies? It isn't. VisceraEyes is getting muddled up in his pile of lies. Either you think goodkarma is town and that Wade Fell's mason choice was to manipulate him, or you think goodkarma is scum and that Wade Fell fake masoned a scum partner. What VisceraEyes is doing is calling both goodkarma and Wade Fell scum, and using "town goodkarma" as evidence of Wade Fell scum. Only scum do this. So VisceraEyes admits himself that his case seems weak without the mason logs. However, once Wade Fell releases the mason logs, he doesn't talk about the content at all! If the strongest body of evidence comes from the mason logs, and they were released, wouldn't you go in and use that as evidence to convince people that Wade Fell is scum? Well VisceraEyes doesn't, because there is nothing that alignment telling in there. He himself says Wade Fell doesn't push his ideas in the QT but he himself presents very flimsy contributions himself. Where is his push of DarthPunk? He called him scummy all D1, left his vote on DarthPunk and checked out, and has picked up some new targets. No more comments on DarthPunk. No more comments on goodkarma. Just hopping along wagons when he can, and dropping them without explanation. His original case on DarthPunk was very shoddy. Additionally is the nonsense about him taking a hit. On March 22 2013 06:57 cosmicomics wrote: Depends on the night results. His behavior and actions aside, VisceraEyes' vet claim is very strong indicator that he isn't scum if it is true. The key phrase is "if it is true". Because this game has a closed setup, we do not know the nature of scum KP. There is no reason to suppose that it should go by standard precedent (in which I suspect 3 initial KP for scum), and with the flip of a role like Nightmare, I don't find it a stretch to think scum were compensated with other forms of KP. Why is there any reason before the N2 NKs are posted to suspect 3KP? If Scum have 3 KP then 1 was protected against and VE is vet OR VE was double-stacked and is unkillable at night somehow. I also don't see how it's a stretch think that a twist on Day Vig requires compensation with additional KP. Rather, this makes me think that scum may have 3KP and BH had a really good read on GK being blue. I know that people are assuming that Vivax shot GK, but isn't there equal reason to suspect that Vivax shot BH? | ||
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1. A scum JOAT seems exceptionally unlikely to me as using the role for extra KP makes the most sense to me. 2. Burying a roleblock on Keiethi makes no sense to me as, if VE is blue, VE is likelier to better use his role having played D1 instead of playing catchup. 3. An unclaimed Roleblock on 3P seems insane to me. It would explain only 2 NK N1. However, if we believe Test is a Vig and shot BH, then Vivax likely shot GK and 3P lacks KP which would mean that there's no reason to not claim the roleblock. Ther's an outside shot that Twst is 3P which explains the vig claim and the BH push against him, but that would be a total mindfuck and doesn't seem consistent with his play. 4. WoS is lying and is scum. A scum role checker would also help explain the Vivax hit (if you assume that we're off base on CC/wiggles). I'm traveling until late today and won't likely be able to post or read for 12 hours. | ||
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On March 23 2013 18:51 WaveofShadow wrote: How exactly would me being a rolechecked explain the Vivax death? Because it there's strong reasoning to kill a solid player with a KP role. It's just a On March 23 2013 18:44 WaveofShadow wrote: Here's my problem with you: that's dumb and you didn't consider the fact that maybe they didn't RB D1 for whatever reason. I see no reason for them not to RB someone if it's available. | ||
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On March 25 2013 11:36 WaveofShadow wrote: I'm pretty sure almost everyone believes my claim right now but you. If you're really town Geript, just think back to the games we've played together and ask yourself what makes the most sense based on my play this game and my past play. I'm going to have a look into cosmiccomics right now and try and write up that case on glurio as well, though I must admit my confidence has been shaken since Wiggles flipped town. I don't feel good about our chances this game at all. Collectively we as a town have been playing like absolute balls, and most of the town flips thus far are partly to blame for it as well. If we lose 3 more townies tonight I'm pretty sure we're fucked. I don't care who believes your claim. Most everyone believed BH's claim. Almost nobody's been listening to me this whole game even when I've brought up valid points. As far as your claim, I see no reason to believe it unless we get a scum roleblocker or JOAT flip. | ||
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On March 19 2013 13:03 VisceraEyes wrote: Here are my thoughts. Wade Fell is SCUM!! He has done nothing this game. The last game I played with him he aggressively pushed his reads and pressured suspects. He's done nothing like that in this thread. He showed early aggression based on weak reasoning, but all he's done since is defend GK. Literally. But that's not all he's done. Wade Fell is also a mason. I know this because he's been masoned to me all during this phase. He claims to have been masoned to GK during the day. All he's done in this mason convo has been push his same weak arguments he made in the thread at first, then just passively agree with anything I said. He wasn't trying to divine my alignment. And if his posts are to be believe he didn't mason GK to divine his alignment either. He's been masoning town-reads. To what end? He's not bringing anything new to the table in mason chats, that's for sure. This leads me to conclude that Wade Fell is some sort of scum mason attempting to manipulate townies. He claims he can mason a different person every phase, and phase one he chose GK and phase 2 he chose me. Factor in the fact that we've already flipped one town-aligned mason role in Nightmare and I'm inclined to believe that WF's role is scum aligned even more. So WF is scum. Talk about it. Anyone could've noticed this. There are some other things in there that should likely be read, but since we've only flipped BH so far then I think that we need to take a serious look at this being the primary reason for targeting VE. Notice something similar from Keirathi here: On March 19 2013 14:18 Keirathi wrote: It does have a few similarities (you latch on to a "weak" player and refuse to let go), but for the most part I agree. At least until I see some flips. So both Keirathi and VE called BH out on his bullshit Night 1 and both took hits. The major prioritization on N1 looks to be like threats to finding and focusing on BH preventing his death and/or the need to bus him until as late as possible. It does, however, seem a bit mean to NK someone just as they replaced in. On March 19 2013 16:01 sciberbia wrote: And here are people I think have a decent chance of being scum: geript WoS BH glurio zarapeth cosmicomics On March 22 2013 00:17 Vivax wrote: Actually I might be wrong on one of zarepath/cosmicomics and DYH is scum instead of them, I excluded him earlier cause of THIS, but his whole D2 play is inconsistent with those reads. Utterly and completely. I also don't like how he joined the wagons. So yeah, if scum isn't among these I will put up a dunce cap. BH/GK/TS/ZARE/COSMIC/DYH On the assumption that the NK's were prioritization for those who were on track, then BH/Cosmic are the ones who are implicated. Night 3 has the oddest of kills, but it seems like confirmed towny (VE) and an independent kill. On March 25 2013 14:16 Coagulation wrote: ryu and geript are who im looking at for lynch tomorrow. I dont think WOS has faked his claim. Kenpachi looks legit cosmicomic im 50/50 on I dont really know if anything I have seen makes him scummy. doyouhas is flying low. kita has also been flying real low. Hes ignoring me alot too I dunno why. Same with Dbz. Only people who are not ignoring me are people who never played with me before. anyway im town. I know it looks like shit that I wanted to lynch wiggles but I honestly considered him a good chance to flip scum. Most of Coag's filter is unusable IMO. Essentially it's a series of one liners with very little reason given for any of them. My guess is that scum wanted to keep a combination of sheep and Coag doesn't seem to sheep as much as other townies. Overall, I think that one could make a case against Zare or Cosmic for the N2 NKs, however, it's WIFOM and could just be because BH was on both lists. Right now I'm leaning towards Cosmic being scum, but I'm not sure it's the most rock solid case out there. Once I get done with doing my pathophysiology stuff I'm going to look into WoS, Layabout, Zare, Cosmic and Glurio again taking into account the NKs and other dead townie's opinions. | ||
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+ Show Spoiler + On March 20 2013 08:54 kitaman27 wrote: Finally have some spare time. I'll respond to a couple relavent issues, but first I wanted to get out a post on one of my strongest scum reads. I may have a second post about another player I'm suspicious of, depending on how much time I have. WaveofShadow The first player I'd like to bring up is WaveofShadow. Whenever I try to look at a player, the most important thing to look at in my opinion is motive. During the first few cycles of a game, it can be quite difficult to differentiate a townie post and a mafia post. The easiest way to tell the difference is to ask yourself, what is a player trying to accomplish with these posts and what does this player care most about. When I read through the filter of Wave, I can't help but notice that he is much more willing to play through others, than to put himself out there. On numerous occasions, we can see him prodding other players with questions, but there has been very little follow through. He questions other players reads, but fails to come to significant conclusions. Wave has approached the first two cycles in a way that shows me that he has little interest in being the guy that gets a player lynched. He is more interested in selecting a bandwagon based on the arguments of other players. In his support for the day one lynch, he posts the following: This is the first time in the game he actually mentions Darthpunk. He states in a single line that he supports VE's case, yet provides no reasoning for why he agrees. Notice how defensive he gets with his vote. In reference to his disapproval of VE's circle he states "Call that scummy if you wish." At a point where he has selected his preferred lynch candidate, he is still spending more time discussing VE's completely irrelevant circle. For the sake of keeping this post legible, I've edited out the previous part of this quote, but he spends a whole paragraph discussing the deal with yamato. Why is it that he is spending more time discussing events not relevant to his scumread, than the actual vote itself? It would be one thing if VE's case was so convincing that he had nothing to add. However, when I ask myself, does he care about this lynch, I come to the conclusion that he does not. DarthPunk is his preferred lynch candidate, but at this point he has put absolutely no effort in pushing his selection. He is more than willing to comment on unrelated issues, but when it comes to the part of the game that should be most relevant, he shows little interest. This post shows me that his scum read is influenced by whether or not he believes the town views it as a viable lynch. When a mafia player selects a bandwagon, they often due it based on where the town's sentiment lies. Once he realizes that DarthPunk isn't going to get lynched, he backs off, simply stating that he has responded well to pressure. Back to my point about his "defensive" phrasing of his vote, he has been acting quite defensive during the first two cycles. While a town player plays with confidence, Wave seems quite careful with his actions and is quite concerned with other's view of himself. Look how important it is to him for others to realize his meta based scum-hunting skills are sub-par. On four different occasions he makes this statement. In response to suspicion, he reacts quite strangely. Look how worked up he gets when GM names him as a scum read. There is essentially no pressure or votes on him at this point, yet he is responding as if he is about to be hammered. These are more examples of how important it is to him that he is seen in good light. Note how he has spent more time talking about his annoyance of getting suspected, than he does about DarthPunk earlier. His vote of GreYMisT also occurred at a time where GreYMisT was suspicious of him. Finally, I come to this post which is what caused me to look at him further. Look how squirmish he is in his response. This is at a point where he accidentally mentioned to a lynch, rather than a night kill. It was a 100% typo and a non-issue. Yet here is his talking about how his has to be more careful about not making mistakes and coming up with more excuses. Wave has show that he cares more about himself, than town. He is willing to share opinions on less important issues, while skimping in pushing town objectives when it comes to the lynch. He responds in a mafia manner to suspicion and posts with an attitude that lacks the look of a town player. I think he would make an excellent lynch today. Here's my updates on WoS. I put it in spoilers to make it more readable. + Show Spoiler [Meta] + On March 19 2013 15:59 WaveofShadow wrote: Because you were talking about the logs and Geript a lot in the same post. Sorry it wasn't clear to me. If I had to say one way the other I'd lean town on BH. The differences people have been coming up with in the thread don't seem that big to me, and I'm certainly not 100% of VE's scumclaim against him. There's nothing specifically damning about this (especially as this was during N1), but it should be noted. The next thing that stood out to me is the following interaction: On March 19 2013 16:01 sciberbia wrote: And here are people I think have a decent chance of being scum: geript WoS BH glurio zarapeth trancestorm cosmicomics On March 19 2013 16:02 WaveofShadow wrote: Aside from BH, I see a common theme in your scum list, that is, players who either have barely contributed or could be seen as newbies. I don't like it, and not just because I'm included. This is a flat out deflection away from lurkers. In the 3 games that I've played with WoS, lurkers have comprised 60+% of the scum team and 100% of the 3P. In fact, it's such that I'm very tempted to just lynch based on filter length today (but won't for obvious reasons). Sure Glurio, WoS, Zarapeth, and myself are new (Trance I'm unfamiliar with), but does that exclude ignoring lurkers? Hell Cosmic--a clear smurf--just got up to 3 pages. I don't really understand why a townie who has played with nothing but lurky scum would completely ignore obvious lurkers. + Show Spoiler [Crumb] + I consider the fact that there are breadcrumbs null for a few reasons. First, he could've easily been told to do in order to setup a fake claim as it's mostly nondescript. Second, nothing about the statements are particularly uncharacteristic of either scum or bad town. Third and most damning, I see absolutely no reason for a DT to try and crumb his findings instead of scumhunt. The people most likely to pickup on the tell are scum and therefore puts yourself at more risk for a freebie blue snipe by flip-flopping on a position for no apparent reason instead of actually doing your damn job as town. I especially see no reason to try and defend a smurf VT; mislynches happen and are acceptable up to an extent. But risking a DT for a presumed veteran VT who isn't doing much isn't worth it in any regards to me. This claim looks fake to me. On March 20 2013 05:26 WaveofShadow wrote: This confused me a little VE. Do you not know what your role does? It seemed odd when you were claiming too: And then right after you state it's because you're Vet. Explain? I find this attack on VE especially ironic. The main reason why I bring up this quote is to point out the fact that he attacks VE for some of the exact reasons we're suspicious of him. He doesn't seem to know how his role works. He's twice 'checked' someone who's ended up dead. He gets only a 'flavor' response and essentially says, "Oh hi guyz. I can't believe that I didn't get a result from my check. I'm guessing I got roleblocked." If he really were the DT, I for one would know that I would ask a few questions about rolechecks on dead players to see if I could distinguish between 'dead' results and 'roleblock' results. There's also the fact that VE said that it was distinct that he took a hit; there was flavor, yes, but the intent was clear; that's nothing like WoS' response at all. + Show Spoiler [Mafia Mentality] + On March 20 2013 09:41 WaveofShadow wrote: Oh and kita, cute case. I defy you to go through my meta and find something I've done differently this game than any of my others. I have never once lied in a mafia game thus far and have never been anything but town, including this game. Vivax already gave you one of my typical defenses; hell I'll even add to it to attempt to appease you. The reason I want to be seen in a good light is because I'm town, and don't want people wasting their time trying to point out my dumb mistakes when they should be scumhunting for REAL scum. This is his initial response to the Kita case. Nothing but complete deflection. Notice one key phrase: "The reason I want to be seen in a good light is..." No. Town doesn't give a rat's ass about how they're viewed. Being seen as town is useful for pushing your agenda, but it's not #1. Town #1 goal is hunt scum. Scum's #1 goal is to look towny. What's his next action not 4 minutes off? + Show Spoiler [Mafia Fear] + On March 20 2013 09:45 WaveofShadow wrote: I think I am comfortable enough to vote Wiggle right now though because he really just doesn't appear to give a shit. Vote: Mr. Wiggles That's right pure survival instinct. When the pressure comes to a head, what does he continue to do? Push the wiggles lynch. As a matter of fact the reason why DP voted WoS was: On March 20 2013 10:34 DarthPunk wrote: Kita's case is ridiculously good. It completely exposes a mindset of not caring about the lynch and just following popular trends. Which is NOT a town mindset. Pure sheeping and following popular trends. + Show Spoiler [Claim] + Just the way in which he claims rolecop is tenuous. I personally read it as scummy, but someone else (I forget who) had seen it before as bad town. I see no reason as town to soft claim blue and lead people on for a while. The fact that multiple people were confused as to what exactly he was claiming doesn't feel townie to me. It just shit up the thread on something that we could've moved forward on. I feel like this is the weakest point however. + Show Spoiler [Scumslip re:Claim] + On March 21 2013 12:07 WaveofShadow wrote: That was hours ago. I know I read him as town but FUCK. How in the hell are we ever going to win this game if we have townies like this guy?? I don't care how angry or how hard I'm trying to push a case or what not, I can't think of any way when I got a 100% confirmed town check on someone I would "read" them as town. I just have an exceptionally hard time buying that this isn't a scumslip on a grand proportion. Especially when you combine this with the fact that of the 3 people he's scanned one is green, two are dead and he got roleblocked twice. Beside that point, of the two dead townies Vivax looked pretty town IMO as he was putting major effort into the game and VE was a claimed BLUE. That's right. The town rolecop after a claimed hit with a missing NK checks the claimed Veteran to see if he's really blue or red? If you chose to dismiss VE for wiggles and thought that Wiggles was 100% scum, what do you really expect to learn about VE? That he become scum/3P? Ok maybe. But if he's 3P, then with 2 mislynches, only 1 Scum death, 4 town night deaths and 1-2 presumed townie modkills then 3P is on town's side. Why would you check to see that? If he's scum, then why wouldn't he continue to push to try and get a read on him. TL;DR 1. Defenses of BH and lurkers especially odd considering heavy scum lurking in games he's played 2. Action of breadcrumbing makes no sense from townie perspective 3. Wants Townie cred 4. Constantly sheeps popular trends 5. Non-townie method to claiming 6. I see absolutely no reason to believe this claim especially considering the claimed series of the actions. | ||
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On March 26 2013 13:41 cosmicomics wrote: geript: why hasn't scum shot kitaman27 yet? That's all WIFOM. It's the same as asking why haven't they shot DYH, DP or any of the smurfs. My personal opinion was that N1 and N2 they focused on people who were threats so that if they had to bus BH they could at least grab the town cred for it. I think the N2 kills could be because both Scib/Vivax had 2 scum on their list, but that's a guess. As for the N3 hits (really though specifically Coag), I don't know. It's not the call I would've made by any stretch as, by reputation, he seems like someone who you could've gotten to shit up the thread and bury every good point and force town to policy lynch him (or get modkilled). I saw your case on kita; I remember liking it. But I also liked Zare's case on Layabout. I'll get to it tomorrow after school and work. I've been trying to focus on re-evaluating all my reads but there's still a number of people. There are a number of people I intend to take another look at, yourself included, tomorrow. | ||
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First off, @Laya, Kita is right and it read to me like "why haven't we lynched these guys" list. As far as confirmed townie status, WoS is far far from that. No one has explained why a roleblock would go to Keirathi or why scum JOAT would RB WoS instead of just kill him. His claim is tenuous at best. Second @Kita I covered why burying a RB on Keirathi is mostly insane. No reason IMO to bury one on Keirathi over VE. Why is TestSubject the only other person to bring this up? @Zare layabout was leading the lynch with a whole 2 votes, why switch sides? Right now my lynch preference is WoS, Cosmic, Laya but I really need to look into filters again. | ||
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On March 27 2013 04:41 zarepath wrote: I switched because I felt less okay about lynching layabout on a potential LYLO day when he actually voted for BH at one point when it wasn't necessary to bus. Umm there's what 14 people left... Why do you think this is LYLO? What you hiding bro? | ||
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On March 21 2013 01:57 WaveofShadow wrote: Yeah I don't get it. Is that just him giving up? This really sucks especially if VE was town; we're going to be looking at 13-14/5/? D3 Unvote: Mr. Wiggles Vote: VisceraEyes Hmm that reminded me... How'd WoS know we were going to be looking at exactly 5 scum? | ||
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## vote WoS | ||
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If Darth is right, then we have have 1-2 scum in the bag regardless and using standard X/2 KP then it'd go (starting 7-4-2) something like 5-4, 5-3, 4-3, 4-2; in 8-3-2 then hitting 3P is perfectly fine as at worst we'd be at MYLO tomorrow. Considering our start, I don't think that's too much to ask for. If we keep them around, then it's what... lik 7-3-2 or 6-4-2 or 8-2-2. If we lynch scum in Kita/Ryu then it's like 6-2-2 as of tomorrow or similar. We still don't get to trust Cosmic/Laya. I'm not seeing a major difference either way as all this does imo is make it harder to lynch confirmed non-town. If Kita is right, then there's no reason to go from 9-4 or 8-5 into a mislynch. I could see scum pulling something like this in this type of situation; anything to not get lynched right? In fact, was it discussed some last game or maybe in NMM38 or somewhere? Honestly, right now I couldn't care less what it is. The town presumes it has a rolecop and we likely have 1-2 vets to give reads throughout the night. I'd rather clear a threat now as I'm not seeing the numbers difference off the top of my head as even if we do lynch scum today, 3P likely pushes mislynch tomorrow. | ||
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On March 27 2013 13:53 WaveofShadow wrote: Sorry dude, you're wrong this time. Mafia absolutely needs to die today BECAUSE THEY LOSE A KP. Now how exactly will you be proving that DP is a noob? For the last time, HOW DO YOU KNOW THIS? Any setup speculation is just that speculation. We don't know shit. I'm also pretty sure that the numbers work out either way. Anyways, I really need to sleep because I can't be late. | ||
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On March 25 2013 14:16 Coagulation wrote: ryu and geript are who im looking at for lynch tomorrow. Also towards the end of N3, VE was pushing Ryu. As a matter of fact, VE has been pushing Ryu all game long but nobody really seems to have noticed that fact including DYH. On March 27 2013 05:30 RyuSuzaku wrote: yo all. We kill cosmic today, and I will accept no other lynches. Having looked over the dead players last night, everyone calls him scum, yet no one actually votes him. There are plenty of reasons already stated by other players (kita and wiggles among them) and so I'm not going to bother rehashing those. ##vote cosmicomics This is the post that bothers me the most. I can understand the sentiment, but there's clearly more than 1 scum. That fact that he's unwilling to accept any other lynches seems very un-towny; not in the sense that he's trying to push his read and won't accept other cases, but moreso from the fact that he doesn't really seem to actually be trying to push the cosmic case at all. All he does is get in a bitch fest with anyone he can. I don't understand the point behind not trying to push your case at all. What's even more odd about it is that he won't accept any less than a Cosmic lynch when Ryu hasn't even mentioned Cosmic in is filter previously as suspicious. That's suspicious as fuck especially since Cosmic flipped 3P. Either way, I'm going to reread VE's filter. I have class and work most of tomorrow but will have sporadic periods when I can post. | ||
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On March 20 2013 08:09 VisceraEyes wrote: They haven't I just reread. I think his posting is consistent. I think he outlines his thoughts well and I think he's probably town. Your turn. What do you think of Ryu? On March 20 2013 08:16 Wade Fell wrote: zZz On March 20 2013 08:18 VisceraEyes wrote: What the fuck is this? I answered your question, why won't you answer mine? On March 20 2013 08:18 Wade Fell wrote: more clearly: I don't like ryu, and as I mentioned, I think the case you initially outlined against him is reasonable. Given that TPS has like straight-up claimed scum, doesn't remember his own read on coag and has let slip that he thinks coag is town I don't see why anyone wants to not lynch TPS though First off, look at this interaction. Does BH actually answer VE's question? Not at all. This is just a generic +1. In fact, BH actually directly tries to deflect away. As far as BH actually goes to mention Ryu (other than in his mason log with VE) is this short comment. However, if you read the VE-BH mason logs, then you find a real gem: 33 03-18-2013 06:34 PM ET (US) I was spitballing with you but you stated it as reasoning for wanting to lynch Ryu. For my part I just don't care what that says about anyone else yet. XD So I'm not crazy then? That's logical and I'm not losing my shit here? 34 BlazinghandPerson was signed in when posted 03-18-2013 06:51 PM ET (US) You're entirely non-crazy. I'll slap down a patented (link)-filled blazinghand style case on Ryu before the end of the night and see how he reacts to it. Does BH ever drop a case on Ryu? No. In fact, I can't find a point at which BH does more than FoS Ryu and even that he put in the middle of a bunch of other players. Right now, I'm only willing to sheep dead players. I'm willing to vote for two people today unless someone else makes a strong case otherwise. Those two people are Ryu and WoS. | ||
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Point 1. Complete Wifom. I don't see how this is worthwhile point. Point 2. This doesn't make him scum necessarily. In fact, town can want that because scum could randomly claim someone else's role/role name. Point 3. I don't consider that a strong push on wiggles. The point on forgetting the Kita case is quite good. I'll take another look into that specifically after work tonight. For what it's worth, I need to go back and look at the timing etc of his case on Layabout. I really liked many of his points on Layabout and that really moved Zare to towny-null. But actually after thinking about the mirror role more I think I should go back and have another look at Zare. What do you think of my points on Ryu? @Wave--if you want me to read/evaluate things specifically please don't put it in the middle of a big paragraph. | ||
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On March 29 2013 09:32 zarepath wrote: geript, when I talked about the Kitaman case, I meant CC's case on Kitaman. Sorry on phone. I don't remember asking about the kita in case. Could you clarify what you're saying? | ||
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Let's examine the roleblock scenario if there is a scum roleblocker. N1: Roleblock Keirathi (couldn't be VE because he would likely be dead if roleblocks work as in normal games). I would like to point out again that this choice of actions makes zero sense. There's no reason to RB Keirathi IMO. N2: Roleblock WoS N3: Roleblock WoS N4: Roleblock WoS. This action makes zero sense either as DP's post pretty much said ignore any red check claim from WoS. More importantly, TestSubject had claimed Vigilante. If you're in a good position as scum are you going to risk allowing a claimed Vigilante who hit scum once to have a second shot if it's possible? Point 2. WIFOM Deadguy stuff If you don't trust me on the matter, then you really should listen to these guys: + Show Spoiler [sciberbia] + On March 21 2013 10:48 sciberbia wrote: on WoS His blueclaim does not affect my opinion on his alignment. I still think he is pretty likely to be scum, but I am willing to wait to see if he is still alive tomorrow, which I think he will be. On March 21 2013 11:12 sciberbia wrote: I have read every page of the thread at least once, and I do in fact have major doubts about your claim, as I just said. Maybe I'm wrong though. We'll see D3 I guess. On March 21 2013 12:14 sciberbia wrote: @WoS I did read the thread and I know you claim to have investigated TPS. Which is why it's odd to me that you bring him up as useless and say you "read" him as town when if you are a cop then you know for a fact he is town. Anyway, you are not the lynch today so I'm dropping this. On March 28 2013 15:59 DarthPunk wrote: Lynch Ryu and Kita. If Kita doesn't die tonight he is basically guaranteed to be scum. plus all the stuff with Blazinghand and flying under the radar. If Wave of Shadow doesn't die tonight he is scum and needs to be lynched. + Show Spoiler [DarthPunk] + On March 28 2013 14:01 DarthPunk wrote: Read kita's and Ryu's filters and tell me what you think. Tell me what you think of kita's zero interaction with Blazing hand. + Show Spoiler [TestSubject983] + On March 27 2013 12:28 TestSubject893 wrote: Well this throws a wrench in things. I was all ready to come back and stack on cosmic since no one believes me that WoS is obviously scum.... I don't see any reason not to believe him since layabout isn't objecting. I guess its possible that they're both scum. Its also possible that they actually are gonna get some KP later and are just lying. Hmmm.... gotta think about this. On March 26 2013 01:24 TestSubject893 wrote: Its ok for you to play terrible because you're gonna get RBed? That's your excuse? Not gonna cut it. I've never seen anyone but scum express this sentiment. I don't know why'd you'd say this as town. On March 26 2013 01:13 TestSubject893 wrote: You've played exactly like a scum would if they fake claimed, so if you're town you've only got yourself to blame for us mislynching today. ##Vote: WaveofShadow As scum, there's direct incentive to remove players who are making sense and players who are on the right track. There are 3 dead guys who wanted to lynch WoS. How does that read to you? Point 3. Next let's look at Day 2 when Wave came under pressure: What's his direct response to pressure? This: On March 20 2013 09:53 WaveofShadow wrote: I progressively find him (Wiggles) scummier as the day progresses and he accomplishes dick all. I could of course go into more detail if you wish, but then you'd still just call that voting based on town sentiment. Would you rather I just pick someone at random who hasn't been suspected so far just for shits to make you feel better? I see Mr. Wiggles as scum right now and that's where my vote is. AT least until such times as he comes back and proves to the town that he's not useless, throwing mediocre suspicions all over the place and being generally non-comittal. That's right he voted for Wiggles. Wiggles already had a wagon started on him with Zarepath, GK and VE voting for him. Is there any reasoning behind why Wiggles is scum? No, this is just a deflection towards a lurker. Point 4. He voted with his scum reads on the deflection onto WIggles: + Show Spoiler [VE is scummy] + On March 20 2013 05:47 WaveofShadow wrote: Ok looking at the cosmic case on VE, there are a few things that are reaching just a little bit, but overall the inconsistencies pointed out in VE's play are pretty damning. Even more damning may be the fact that VE returns to the thread and completely ignores the (clearly good) case on him without trying to defend any of the points made on these inconsistencies, rather he just adds another post weakly pushing BH again. I'm interested to hear what BH himself thinks of this evidence, especially since he had originally regarded VE as his strognest town read at the time. GK regarding your post on Wiggle, I originally had him as a townread but he has done dick all since yesterday aside from this: which adds nothing of value at all. I think for now my scumread on VE is stronger but at least he is around to maybe provide some defense. Wiggle's posts are useless but VE's are blatant contradictions. I'm having a lot of trouble trusting either VE or BH right now but it's seeming more and more to me that one of them may have to be scum. On March 20 2013 05:24 WaveofShadow wrote: K glurio. GL buddy. I'll look into cosmic's VE case again, but in the end I think it just makes me assume that one of either VE or BH has to be scum. The super hard defense of GK by BH makes me think if he's scum then likely GK is too btu I don't know how likely that is, despite my conspiracy theory and the QT 'scumslip.' Speaking of which I remember harboring concerns about VE's town circle earlier on D1, but now we're on D2 and we haven't heard anything. Was it a joke or what? + Show Spoiler [BH+GK scummy] + On March 20 2013 05:08 WaveofShadow wrote: You misunderstand. I said it's more likely for BH/GK logs to be faked than BH/VE, if you read my case. I also never said they faked the logs entirely, I assume by the timestamps that they were actually using the mason QT but it is a possibility they are using the scum QT to discuss what to put in the mason QT in case they had to show logs. Much like my conspiracy theory-type posts from LX, I can perfectly understand if people think they're retarded, but I think it's at least worth consideration. On March 20 2013 06:02 WaveofShadow wrote: Alright there we go, so there goes one of cosmic's points against you...that wasn't so hard. The other point (I don't care about the DP nonsense) that struck home for me was you fingering GK earlier on and then assuming he was town to make the case against BH. I'll link for your convenience: Do you agree with both BH and GK being scum partners and that the logs were faked? Point 5. He treats BH and VE differently Despite being back and forth as to who is scum (at first he's thinking BH+GK are scum, then he agrees that VE looks scummy, then he's back to BH+GK), The main thing that you'll really notice about this whole exchange is how in the whole time he doesn't really attack or pressure BH in any way. As a matter of fact, he takes the softball approach with BH: On March 20 2013 06:05 WaveofShadow wrote: Also I feel that CC is the one who should be doing this right now. Looking forward to see what DYH adds later on. Ohai BH! What say you about the VE case? Whereas on VE he's far more direct: On March 20 2013 05:57 WaveofShadow wrote: Ok, but the point remains. Were you or were you not saying your case was weak without the mason logs? If you have the mason logs available to you now, what has changed? Let's look at his record for votes for the day: Wiggles, then VE then GK. That's right, despite thinking and saying this: I'm having a lot of trouble trusting either VE or BH right now but it's seeming more and more to me that one of them may have to be scum. He still manages to never vote for BH. As town, the logical thing to do would be to if one of VE or BH are scum is to pick a side, in the worst you can get a Vig to shoot the other. You learn very little if GK is town as BH could still be scum and VE could still be town. Point 6. N4/D5 progression. WoS ends the night with this. On March 28 2013 14:10 WaveofShadow wrote: Ryu is slightly more questionable but I don't think kita is scum; this hasn't changed for me. There are a lot of people who have not interacted with other people in the thread whatsoever either, just because BH-kita is one example does not make him scum. I don't see you having interacted with DYH at all despite you calling him scum. You also haven't interacted with Kenpachi. What does that mean? Note the subtle attempt to discredit. "Uhh, I don't think that non-interaction is scummy, but why haven't you interacted with XYZ people?" He starts off D5 with a weak case on Zarepath. Then when people don't respond and I shoot it down, he moves his vote onto DYH. Next and MOST IMPORTANTLY Kita posts two cases, the first on Glurio+ Show Spoiler + On March 29 2013 09:45 kitaman27 wrote: Glurio I already outlined a case against Glurio, but that was a couple days ago so I'll update based on the events of the last few days. Case for reference: + Show Spoiler + On March 24 2013 03:46 kitaman27 wrote: For tomorrow, someone I think we should be looking at is glurio. To start the game, he posts suspicion against coag, stating that coag is useless, without actually calling coag scummy. Rather than actually voting for coag, he votes for DP, a player he never actually mentions in the thread. It's not like DP was more of a lynch-able candidate as there were only 2 votes on him. During the first cycle, he never actually mentions GreYMisT, which is significant considering he was the main lynch candidate for the day. He soft defends BH, without actually providing a reason why he doesn't have a scum read on him. With the day two vote, he votes for Mocsta as the lone vote. At no point in the cycle does he try to convince others to vote Mocsta, only that he was going with his "gut". After the BH flip, he explains how BH's interaction with Wiggles is scum-to-scum conversation, yet decides to vote cosmicomics. Glurio complains that no one listens to him, but on day one and two there was actually nothing to listen to. How are we supposed to be convinced by his posts if his only explanation is his gut? Overall, Glurio feels like an observer this game, looking to stay under the radar and lacks the town motivation to push a lynch. It seems that he cares more about survival and doing his own thing, voting for players that have no chance of being lynched. He would be a good lynch candidate tomorrow. First I want to highlight the following post: When I listed glurio and CC as my top scum reads, glurio responded with the above question. A scum glurio would very well know that I would have no explanation, even though both players would be anti-town. He tries to tie his alignment to the alignment of another player to make me question my reads. Notice the wording of this post. After the mirror claim, rather than stating "cosmic is scum", he states that "he couldn't convince me he is town." As a mafia glurio, would certainly know that cosmic is third party, the way he phrases this statement betrays the fact that he has additional knowledge about the game. In his soft-defense of BH, he disregards any notion of potentially voting for him, but doesn't provide any reasoning why. Last cycle glurio expresses his suspicion of layabout, yet now he has failed to even bring him up, shifting his suspicion towards myself and ryu. Why post suspicion of a player without following through with it, unless you want to create distance from a player in case one of you two flip. Look how glurio attacks WoS's checks, but refuses to actually call him scummy. He calls the checks terrible, yet never states what conclusion he comes to based on the checks. What point is there to cast suspicion on a player that you have a town read? glurio is playing the classic backseat mafia role. He has no interest in attracting any attention, being involved in any arguments or pushing any lynches. If I had to pick one word to characterize his play, it would be "safe". I can't find one post that shows glurio feels strongly about a single issue He votes for a player on day one with two other votes. He votes for a player on day two with zero other votes. Rather than scum hunting, he is hunting for players to vote for that will keep him out of the spotlight. Notice in his defense post about how his wasn't around for the second half of either cycle. Instead of pushing his lynch, his is throwing down his vote and returning 24 hours later to find out who flipped. glurio is scum On March 29 2013 10:01 kitaman27 wrote: People are all giving layabout a free pass due to his third party conversion and his attack on BH. The important thing to remember is that on day two his alignment changed. Comparing his play from day one to day two, the part the stands out is that his attacks on BH don't start until he becomes third party. On day one he doesn't mention BH, yet after being converted he suddenly wants BH lynched. Look how flippy floppy layabout is with his lynch target on day four. He doesn't care who gets lynched, he is just voting for the player that is most likely to have the most votes. He calls DP scum, then turns around and votes with DP. A third party player who was originally town would want a scum lynch since it would mean that if he was ever converted back, he would be in a better position. A third party player that was originally mafia would simply push whatever option was available. layabout is scum As town if you have a town read on someone + Show Spoiler + On March 29 2013 14:39 WaveofShadow wrote: Oh and to answer Geript, yes I still have a townread on kita; I don't really see any reason to doubt him right now despite what others have been saying---there has been no conrete evidence of a scum kita. On March 29 2013 02:42 WaveofShadow wrote: So we're at LYLO, we're completely in the dark as to what's going on with last night's resolution of actions and we have 8 posts total in almost 12 hours. So at LYLO, you completely ignore your town read's posts and instead go off on another tangents. That is not consistent with town play. Point 7. Everything is wrong with this post. On March 29 2013 12:32 WaveofShadow wrote: I'm not 100% sure of zarepath; I tried to generate discussion with my case which didn't seem to really happen. I'm not 100% sure of anyone today. I'm very surprised that DP was actually able to pick out that zare was my investigation target for last night; I'm not entirely sure how he did it since I didn't base any of my earlier investigation targets on who I was mainly targeting during the day. I'm especially interested because it must mean that DP has some solid insights into my play and perhaps the play of others, except for the whole fact that, ya know, I'm not scum. I was also debating a gambit where I essentially lied about being not being roleblocked in order to fake a red check on whoever my top scumread would be for the day, which may or may not have worked despite DP apparently foreseeing me doing something like that---[b]I doubt I would have been able to keep people from tunneling me if they sniffed out the lie however (ie Geript).[b] I'm going to be around for the next little bit and tomorrow as well so I will do my very best to help out in any way that I can; I'm sorry my role has been useless (and potentially harmful if TPS does in fact flip red at some point) this game. For now I vote DoYouHas because as I see it, there is absolutely no excuse for being useless at LYLO unless you want town to lose; that remains the clearest thing to me right now amidst a sea of suspicion. Vote: DoYouHas First off, notice the attempt to discredit DP. He's saying that DP both had a good read on him (knowing who he would target) and a bad read on him (he's town). More importantly, he doesn't even go on to defend or explain why he thinks DP is right or wrong about WoS, Kita or Ryu. Second off, notice how “as town” he considered lying about a red check. As town, if you think you're at LYLO, WHY LIE? There's no reason. Not only are people going to have a hard time believing you because of DP's last post, but WoS hasn't had good reads at all. He never even took a real side on the whole VE/BH “one of them must be scum” concept. Why should anyone believe him? The reason why he didn't want to do it was because there's no way we'd believe him or trust him if he did. Third, notice the subtle “don't look/tunnel me plz” comment. I cut him some rope today because I've historically thought he was scum and because glurio made a good point on it, But at this point, it's not bad townie play, it's pure malicious. Fourth, for someone who hasn't put a vote on scum or found scum or "rolechecked" scum (other than perhaps Zarepath) it's damn hypocritical to call someone else useless. That's not creating townie atmosphere; it's trying to bury someone. | ||
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Not all wine is created equal folks. You count the number of dead people who wanted WoS dead. There's only one person who wanted him dead who isn't dead (me) and that's clearly because no one has listened to me all game long. Here's why you shouldn't believe WoS' responses: Much like I pointed out in my case against DYH, you conveniently ignore possible scenarios if they don't fit your explanation. N1 they didn't necessarily have to roleblock anybody, thereby creating the suspicion against me (or whoever their eventual target would be) when it mysteriously appeared. Your point on N4 makes a lot more sense except for the fact that Test had already used his shot and they KILLED him anyway. Why RB when you can kill someone?? As far as DP is concerned, I've already mentioned (as you point out later) I applaud his prediction skills but just because he says something doesn't mean mafia have to follow it. No reason not to roleblock if they have it. No reason to roleblock Keirathi. No reason to risk allowing Test as second shot if he has a second bullet (both roleblocking him and killing him). I stand by the fact that he appeared scummy ever since my read on him changed at the beginning of the game. Zero regrets. Reasons for voted provided after the vote. He found his target then he found his reasons. Same way with DYH. Lol is this your 'behavioural analysis' horseshit again? Because I honestly see no difference at all and you're really reaching here. It shows. I was unsure as to BH/VE and I attempted to ask them questions at various points during the day. That's all there is to it, really, but then again you do love looking wayyyy into things when there isn't anything huh? If you're scum then I applaud you for this game but if you're town, you really need to rethink the way you play this game since you've incorrectly fingered me as mafia in every game we've played aside from NMM 37 How one interacts is important. WoS wanted to make BH look better because they're scum buddies. Also, notice how WoS tries to completely discredit me by lumping this with my 'psych/behavioral analysis' stuff. Notice how WoS wants to suggest that I'm scum. Someone asked me about his reads (may have been kita himself, I forget) and I didn't find anything wrong with his cases per se, but I didn't find them particularly compelling in any way. Kinda like this case. I need more to go on about every single read that has popped up today and for the most part, I haven't gotten it so I didn't want to comment about it yet. Notice how WoS doesn't really say his case is shit. WoS is trying to get people on his side. Don't believe him. WoS is SCUM Fuck this game is so frustrating. I'm taking a break. | ||
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On March 30 2013 11:09 WaveofShadow wrote: Geript you had a town read on glurio for much of the game, right? And since you've thought I was scum the whole game too what did you think of glurio being the first to make a case on me all game. I lean null-town towards glurio. Honestly, I didn't even remember his case on you. He hasn't stuck out in my mind like Randombum or RestrainingOrder did last game. Here are the posts he's made that caught my eye when I was looking over his filter agian: On March 22 2013 22:31 glurio wrote: Wrong about GK, testsubject and me. You've got quite the theme going there. And my single post is probably gonna be more useful than whatever you write this entire cycle if you go on like this. On March 26 2013 01:23 glurio wrote: (to Test) What about you? Only had one bullet? Unflipped Test called town, but Glurio seems to put far more weight into roleclaims than I do. Asking how many bullets a vig has is pretty scummy though. I guess that could explain the roleblock on you last night instead of Test. Still doesn't explain where it was N1. Honestly WoS, I'd just rather vote back on you again but it does no good if I can't get support. Whatever, it's not my fault if people won't listen to me. | ||
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Scum QT here http://www.quicktopic.com/50/H/3kPNZtBHBCUs Out of curiosity can I get the OBS QT link? | ||
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Either way, I would love to have some constructive criticism on my play. | ||
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On March 30 2013 17:26 Blazinghand wrote: Also, and I'm gonna be 100% clear here, I DO access Wade Fell from chrome and Blazinghand from Firefox, and I have done this for all my smurfs. I'm actually dumb enough that I forget what browser I'm using. I can't go saying this in the thread during the game though because nobody will believe me. I'd believe you ![]() | ||
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On March 30 2013 17:27 WaveofShadow wrote: WBG was smurfing this game? Who was he? Any specific critiques of my terrible play anyone has? I couldn't make a read this game to save my life and I apparently have no idea how to even go about doing it..... I would say: Read more and post less. I would also comb through what dead townies post. It's not all usable, but Ryu should've been hung on the bus attempt I made on him. It was a weak bus attempt sure, but when multiple dead townies are saying the same thing then people really should be taking a closer look. | ||
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1. Pay attention to thread sentiment. This is important for a few reasons. First, it will tell you who you can attack without people raising an eye at. For example, I thought the timing on my attack on Mocsta and BH was right on. Second, it tells you how town perceives both you and other members of your scum team. This is important because it tells you what you can get away with. Third, it tells you how you will be allowed to sheep onto cases without drawing suspicion. 2. Keep yourself on a need to know basis. You don't need to know what your teams exact plans for NKs are. The more you know, the more you can slip and the easier you will be caught. Voice your opinion but don't focus on trying to run the show. 3. Don't let your teammates edit your posts. Definitely run you post ideas past your team and let them know the direction you're heading in. Definitely have your team proof your ideas for obvious slips and scum logic. Don't let them write your posts for you. You need to sound like you. 4. You need to be reading the thread as much if not more than town does. Early in day 2 I caught myself not reading my teammates filters. Being self aware is important but being wholly ignorant on a group of players is bad. 5. Set a goal. My goal for this game was to survive until I could be bussed on D4. This really helped give me more confidence both to post and to push random bullshit as I progressed. 6. What you don't post is as important as what you do post. Letting the thread take its course is as important as directing and disrupting the thread. Just like driving on the interstate, it's important to follow the pack as much as it is to lead it. Your job is to misdirect traffic; correcting traffic is towns job. Play to both aspects but focus more on the former than the latter. 7. You are the best scum hunter around because you know who is scum. Your knowledge of who scum shows you where players are playing against town perspective; this is a huge trap. This can lead to two dichotomies that you must avoid: being the best scum hunter and being the worse scum hunter. Don't avoid good cases or points that are being made but don't make the good cases for town to follow either. 8. Don't respond to every little bullshit suspicion. I think one of my two best posts was responding to sciberbia's Zare/Geript RNG association post. Find a way to respond and deflect actual cases. You can respond and deflect bad towny logic as you need to to prevent it from snowballing. Responding to every little thing against you or your teammates looks odd, stupid and scummy. 9. Don't be afraid to fabricate your own bullshit. Don't push random stupid bullshit but don't be afraid to push and pressure townies when they've made huge mistakes in order to push a mislynch. At points between mid-D2 and mid-D4 I backed off because I couldn't find a 'good case' to push. You need to create your own openings so don't be afraid to play to your win con. 10. Keep notes on bad towny play. This will really help when you're aiming to push mistakes. Do your homework on meta cases to help supplement your cases. I was sitting on scum meta points on Laya, Kita and DYH dependent on where I needed to try and throw my weight behind. 11. Ask yourself the questions that you expect to be asked from town. You can't anticipate every question you will be asked, but this helps you answer both confidently and quickly--two things that come across as being towny. 12. Don't be wishywashy. The less confident you come off as, the more scummy you will look and the more scrutiny you will get. Posting confidently helps you slide under the radar. 13. Don't be afraid to look a little scummy. Town don't give a fuck about looking scummy. It's fine to look a little scummy lots of the little stupid points are easy to shrug off. Being "super town" is as bad as you have to explain why you're still alive. Aim to stay ahead of the tail but not at the head. 14. Don't hard defend your mislynches. The harder you defend mislynches then the harder is is to attack them later on. Plus, it makes it very hard to not catch attention when you do. 15. Don't answer questions and don't give information. My best post IMO was my first response to Mocsta mid D2 regarding layabout (while on the WoS scum hunt train). If you look at the exchange, I never actually take an actual stance on layabout. Moc asked about people on the GM wagon D1; I then gave a generic response. Moc asked about layabout in specific; I answered by differentiating Layabout from what exactly Moc asked regarding GM and then stated that Layabout looked like he did in LX. Moc assumed (and wrote) that I was saying he looked town-ish. Don't give them an inch of rope to let them hang you. 16. Call people out for bullshit. VE's original cases weren't great. Moc's initial defense of WoS was bad (because he didn't read the thread and assumed) attacking both them AND the mislynch makes you look good. Capitalize on town mistakes. | ||
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On March 31 2013 09:21 cosmicomics wrote: Why didn't he just proceed to bus every member and be heralded as best town player of all time? e: as soon as day 2? I think he didn't straight up bus us for a few reasons. One, it is kinda a douchey thing to do. Two, he figured that there were multiple ways he could win (bus us if things got bad to win with 3P or win with 3P after mafia took over). Three, we were under the assumption that 3P could recruit any number of players opening up a 3P/scum co-win by alternating recruits on town/scum to create a super majority. In short I think he thought he could play both sides against the middle. | ||
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