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Newbie Mini Mafia XXXI - Page 3

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Aquanim
Profile Joined November 2012
Australia2849 Posts
November 28 2012 11:28 GMT
#679
My town reads are pretty much limited to the people putting logical thought (or at least, what I think is logical thought) in here, which would be SDM, Jacob and CC, and far, far weaker on Kick. That said, I keep reminding myself that scum can post rationally as well (at least up to a point) which makes the former reads weaker and the latter null.

Yamato, Oats, Helo, I'd very much like you to prove me wrong. Make some cases beyond superficial comments on already heavily discussed players. Chasing our collective tails on Oatsmaster and Munk-E only earned us a mislynch on day one.
Aquanim
Profile Joined November 2012
Australia2849 Posts
November 28 2012 11:31 GMT
#680
On November 28 2012 20:22 Oatsmaster wrote:
6. My wrong post about having to get a scum this lynch or town loses was speculation and A NULL READ.

I'll make my own decision about what constitutes a null read kthx.

For the record, this always seemed to me to be either a "player-not-paying-any-attention-to-the-game" read or scum trying really, really hard to look like derptown... a familiar feeling for me at this point, honestly.
Aquanim
Profile Joined November 2012
Australia2849 Posts
November 28 2012 11:42 GMT
#683
Yeah, trying to look like derptown. Didn't I just say that?
Aquanim
Profile Joined November 2012
Australia2849 Posts
November 28 2012 11:48 GMT
#685
I actually just saw that again a few minutes ago. I'll have a proper look at it.
Aquanim
Profile Joined November 2012
Australia2849 Posts
November 28 2012 13:13 GMT
#696
I also definitely approve of the existence of the Yamato case - it's clear you've put some thought into it and that's what I've been looking for. I reckon I need to sleep on it to decide what difference it's going to make to my previous Yamato read (namely: without any real town credit, but no more scummy than, say, Helo.)

Thought-out stuff like this is what I'd really like to see from Oatsmaster and most of the players in the States.
Aquanim
Profile Joined November 2012
Australia2849 Posts
November 29 2012 08:20 GMT
#775
On November 29 2012 12:04 iamperfection wrote:

Votecount:

Oatsmaster (2): Jacob Strangelove,Sonic Death Monkey
Jacob Strangelove (2) HeloKnight,Oatsmaster

Not voting (4):Aquanim,Mr. Cheesecake,Yamato77,Kickstart,Oatsmaster


If you see your (or another's ) vote to be wrong, it would be kind to notify us.
Currently Oatsmaster is set to be lynched

24 hours remain



Oatsmaster isn't voting and not simultaneously, is he?
Not a critical error at this point (anyone reading the thread really ought to know where Oatsmaster's vote is, after all) but it might propagate.
Aquanim
Profile Joined November 2012
Australia2849 Posts
November 29 2012 08:21 GMT
#776
EBWOP: Imagine the previous post is in this colour.
Aquanim
Profile Joined November 2012
Australia2849 Posts
November 29 2012 09:09 GMT
#778
On November 29 2012 17:26 Oatsmaster wrote:
Maybe I have 2 votes?
hey aqua what do you think about helo's case on Jacob?


It's plausible. Then again, I know first hand how difficult it is to totally engage with the game and get good reads in Oz. I want to see what context each of those quotes is in and make my own judgement, and that'll take a while.

Hasn't changed my opinion of Helo much, though. It was at "town or half-decent scum" before, and that's still where it is. I believe he has availiability problems, which I can sympathise with, but I can see an entirely plausible scum motive in everything he's done.

In other news...
Aquanim
Profile Joined November 2012
Australia2849 Posts
November 29 2012 09:09 GMT
#779
I can't shake the feeling that Oatsmaster is capable of much better posting than this.

It's kinda difficult to substantiate a read like this, but I have a few points:

1) The Cheesecake vote. This is in some ways a townish move - it started the first real discussion and got the real game underway. I was particularly liking this because I too had a difficult-to-define scum read from CC's first handful of posts. On the other hand, we discussed Oatsmaster's vote around and around through all of day one, and didn't really accomplish that much with it (he was just too random to lynch). Perhaps this was his intention?

2) These posts:
On November 27 2012 11:57 Oatsmaster wrote:
also to everyone who said that I tunneled CC, You do not understand what tunneled MEANS.

On November 28 2012 08:56 Oatsmaster wrote:
I see the folly of my bad play d1, but if it helps us to find scum, I am fine with it.

This would seem to indicate to me that he isn't just playing badly, he's aware of what he is doing. I mean, his posts were kinda better day two until the lolswitch onto Jacob (and tbh I think there's a worthwhile case to be made on Helo out there) but still...

3) The hammer thing:
On November 28 2012 17:13 Aquanim wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 27 2012 11:45 Oatsmaster wrote:
The last newbie mafia had 2 so 2 would make sense for this one.
Im confused Munk-e? I hammered the vote! ! !


Quick question @Oatsmaster. What did you mean by "hammered the vote"?

On November 28 2012 19:21 Oatsmaster wrote:
Again, it was a joke. hammering the vote means that your vote causes the guy to be lynched, if you didnt vote for him, he wont be lynched.
Do you have examples of my disjointed thoughts?
What do you think about helo being scum?

I knew full well what a hammer is. (Check this one out sometime, it's hilarious.) But anyone who knows what a hammer is, or has even heard of one, either read a GSL mafia game, in detail, or has experience with mafia offsite (the concept only applies to instant lynch), which is more experience than I'd expect someone posting like Oats to have.
For that matter, Oatsmaster made the sixth vote with nine players, so it's not even like his vote gave Munk-E a majority of the votes. Again, something I would expect someone who knows about hammers at all to know.

4) Grammar. It's not that hard to make a little effort. Everyone else in the game is. And I for one find uncapitalised, unpunctuated posts harder to read and tend to glaze over them. Again, perhaps this is intentional.

Look, none of these point are a slam-dunk, and it's not like I have any meta to work with. But the outline they sketch out is interesting - I see a player TRYING to look bad (apologies if I'm wrong, but I don't think I am). And Oats is not contributing anything towards a town victory. Daft town is quite capable of doing that too, but the simplest explanation is scum.

##Vote: Oatsmaster
Aquanim
Profile Joined November 2012
Australia2849 Posts
November 29 2012 09:41 GMT
#781
Well, I want to know how you know what a hammer vote is, and your posts just seem sloppily written to me.

On November 14 2012 11:23 Hapahauli wrote:

Please do not talk about any ongoing games either in-game or pre-game. This can affect other games and is unacceptable. Please do not refer to outside-of- thread activity of players in this thread.


Aquanim
Profile Joined November 2012
Australia2849 Posts
November 29 2012 09:59 GMT
#783
Not at this moment. Still have plenty of reason to vote you, but none you can explain away, really. I still need to have that search through Jacob's filter.
Aquanim
Profile Joined November 2012
Australia2849 Posts
November 29 2012 10:12 GMT
#785
First I want helo's current read on oats.

This. In fact, I'm repeating this so you can't miss it.
Aquanim
Profile Joined November 2012
Australia2849 Posts
November 29 2012 11:21 GMT
#789
Helos and everyone that hasn't commented needs to make a clear statement on both oats and I. If oats and I are not your top scum read you should also make a read on them.[/QUOTE]

I've kind of said some of this already but I'll make it clearer.

Ok, I've read the case on Jacob some more. In short, I think that his relative shortage of conclusions, sentences going nowhere, leaving "backout options" for himself, etc. are pretty much consistent with his town meta from XXVI. He's demonstrated that he's quite aware of his town meta and (presumably) would seek to emulate it as mafia, but he'd certainly have no reason not to as town. Not a clear indicator for me.

Also, Yamato posted quite a bit between Jacob's vote for him and the switch to Munk-E... I don't reckon the switch is inherently scummy, Jacob and Yamato did have some interaction there and Jacob weakening his read on Yamato enough to unvote him is not unreasonable.

This isn't quite a clean bill of towny health for Jacob but compared to the rest of the field I'm definitely not comfortable at all with a lynch on him.


As for Oatsmaster, I just don't like how uselessly he's been posting, and he keeps wriggling out of giving cases... he made one on HeloKnight and darted out from under it at the first opportunity, and I don't think he's given much else which I found sensible.

He's marginally my best scum read, and the concept of MyLo or LyLo with him in the game just makes me sick. Everyone else I think I might be able to improve my read of with more posts and more reading, but this read on Oats is about as confident as I'm ever going to be on him. When we get down to "get this right or lose" I want people I at least *think* I can read.
Aquanim
Profile Joined November 2012
Australia2849 Posts
November 29 2012 11:21 GMT
#790
(facepalm) Dat quote tag.
Aquanim
Profile Joined November 2012
Australia2849 Posts
November 29 2012 20:54 GMT
#956
On November 30 2012 01:14 JacobStrangelove wrote:
Also if we lynch oats and he is doctor we lose sdm (or aqua if sdm is an amazing scum) Aqua sdm scum team guys (lol) <-- if that happens I would officially quit life.

I've been thinking the same thing about you and sonic. :/

Also, I'm pretty sure we can have two doctors... though it would be pretty silly.

Could there be two doctors in this setup?
This possibility seems to be specifically indicated in the preliminaries to the role list, but since noone else is considering it I'll check.
Aquanim
Profile Joined November 2012
Australia2849 Posts
November 29 2012 21:13 GMT
#961
I can't see us having more than two power roles, and (probably) not less than two either. If they all claim, and we ended up with three including Oats that would be an effective counterclaim. Having all the PRs claim seems pretty ridiculous though, and I don't think it's worth it.

I can't distinguish anything Oats has done since my vote between "oh crap, I'm doctor about to be lynched" and "oh crap, I'm scum about to be lynched". I reckon his posting quality has improved maybe a little, but that doesn't tell me anything. And claiming doctor and a protect on SDM is about as obvious and easy a fake-claim as claiming VT, esp. without a crumb.

Dammit! If you're a doctor, I'm really sorry, but I just. can't. tell. And I still have no better reads, and I still think this read won't improve.

Vote sticks. I have 5 minutes before I have to leave, and I won't be back before lynch. In the event of a massclaim, which I do not endorse, it may be possible for me to leave a message with someone and have them post it.
Aquanim
Profile Joined November 2012
Australia2849 Posts
November 30 2012 06:49 GMT
#1233
uh... lol?

Bah.

glhf all!
Aquanim
Profile Joined November 2012
Australia2849 Posts
December 01 2012 03:29 GMT
#1319
<looks up how to popcorn>
Aquanim
Profile Joined November 2012
Australia2849 Posts
December 02 2012 04:36 GMT
#1557
Not gonna pretend I'm 100% satisfied with how this went down, but hey, a town win is a town win, whether you die or not. GG!
Aquanim
Profile Joined November 2012
Australia2849 Posts
December 02 2012 04:47 GMT
#1570
I really need to have more time to play (particularly in the US daytime) I think, not being able to push my questions and cases in person was pretty frusturating (and if I've understood your case right, is what got me lynched in the end). Unfortunately I won't have any more time until Feburary so I don't think I'll be playing again for a while. No hard feelings - I'll obs some games, and hopefully be playing again in a couple of months.
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