EPTRockband Mini Mafia - Page 19
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marvellosity
United Kingdom36161 Posts
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marvellosity
United Kingdom36161 Posts
On September 26 2012 22:05 Zephirdd wrote: hmmm so you're the SK? >_>" My reads so far are.. Ange - town that people are shitting on. Everything she has done so far can exist from a town perspective. Zephirdd - Fucking towniest guy ever iamperfection - he was terrible day 1, looked better day 2. To be honest, his play makes some sense from a SK perspective: Blazinghand was a nobrainer shot, and he had a town read on austin closer to the end of the day - SK's usually want town mislynches dead when they think a scum catch is more likely the next day. austin was about to be mislynched, and I see no reason for scum to kill him, but that seems plausible for a SK to do. Bluelightz - scum by process of elimination. I don't think ange is scum, I don't think IMP is mafia. what do you guys think of this possibility? I'm trying to avoid the general mindset here, because I think Ange isn't as bad as make her out to be. LAL Everything BL has done can exist from a BL townie perspective too, no? | ||
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marvellosity
United Kingdom36161 Posts
On September 26 2012 22:19 Zephirdd wrote: @marv Yes, but my feel with an ange lynch is that the same that happened with bluelightz on GSL will happen here. I don't want to open the thread and see that I lost because he was the scum. Yeah, but that's just emotional claptrap without real factual or analytical basis | ||
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marvellosity
United Kingdom36161 Posts
On September 26 2012 23:57 Mementoss wrote: why is everyone talking about an SK all the time when there isn't one, there hasn't been the KP for one. Also I will be back later with reads really busy today. unless you're lying about vigi / there's an unclaimed blue, there's an SK. More details at one minute before deadline  | ||
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marvellosity
United Kingdom36161 Posts
On September 27 2012 00:01 Mementoss wrote: Alright lol, well I guess its seems a lot less likely from my perspective then. no, it should seem a lot MORE likely from your perspective. Presuming you're vigi, you know you're telling the truth, and the setup is: VJMMTTT = 3mafia + SK | ||
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marvellosity
United Kingdom36161 Posts
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marvellosity
United Kingdom36161 Posts
On September 27 2012 00:15 iamperfection wrote: well then im confused because im a regular townie VJMM is Mementoss/me/prplhz/Hapa, the rest of the townies would be VTs | ||
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marvellosity
United Kingdom36161 Posts
The C9 setup is made by rolling 7 numbers, but 7 isn't the total number of townies  | ||
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marvellosity
United Kingdom36161 Posts
<3 | ||
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marvellosity
United Kingdom36161 Posts
On September 27 2012 01:56 Mementoss wrote: This is the only reason why i think there might be a SK and cause of marvs mumbo jumbo set-up talk. But this makes me think mafia was a bit pissed to hit the SK either night 1 or night 2. And to try and set up a better chance for his last team mate to win. Or just to scare town into believing there is an SK. Another hypotehtical: Night 1: Mafia hits SK SK hits BH I hit mkfuba Night 2: SK hits austinmcc to attempt not to overlap mafia night kill Mafia hits Hapa who was JK'd by Marv. Hiro is using this post as a last attempt to try and even the score, and get 2 kills tonight to give his last teammate a better chance ftw. The setup shows SK with the roles we know. What the fuck is this "the only reason I think there might be" | ||
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marvellosity
United Kingdom36161 Posts
On September 27 2012 02:11 Mementoss wrote: I think you missed the "and cause of marvs mumbo jumbo set-up talk". Also I was wondering does can J and D be interchanged for that set-up wiki. It can, I checked with ghost | ||
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marvellosity
United Kingdom36161 Posts
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marvellosity
United Kingdom36161 Posts
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marvellosity
United Kingdom36161 Posts
basically you're a V that's all you need to know | ||
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marvellosity
United Kingdom36161 Posts
Serial Killer According to our known setup, and I spent some time clarifying some stuff with ghost, TTTMMJV means we have 3 scum and a serial killer. So really Mementoss must be telling the truth otherwise we'd have a setup without a Serial Killer, which is what he'd be hiding. What I think happened with the night kills: N1: either SK didn't shoot (no reason to reveal himself N1) or SK and Mafia ended up stacking on BH. I got roleblocked. No other roleblocks were claimed, so Mafia/SK might think there's no jailer. N2: I have massive sway over the town having just pushed the Palmar lynch through. I also decided Hiro was scum during the day, and had strong suspicions of austin for his relations with Palmar. In this situation it'd be absolutely suicidal for scum to hit austin, so I'm going to presume it was the SK hit. I am also going to assume I saved Hapa from the mafia kill, as mafia probably thought they could kill him with impunity, thinking no JK from rb actions the previous night. Who is scum? I think Ange is the final scum. Various thinking errors like not seeing my point on austin, iamp at the time of the day 1 lynch, and something else that I forget right now. Hapa also notes her drop off in activity, and has the same scumread for somewhat different reasons, which is reassuring. That said, it may not be the case. I know it goes without saying, but if you flip Ange and she's town, you need to be considering everybody, even people like iamp, who I've thought was town most of the game, but could be playing a really sneaky game under the radar as scum (I don't think it's the case, but it's possible) I think Bluelightz is town. Don't know how to explain so well, but the feeling from everything I saw is that he's town. Could be wrong, but I don't think I am. Who is the Serial Killer? I have very strong feelings that the Serial Killer is Zephirdd. I would say he is more likely to be Serial Killer than everyone else put together. Mementoss' case earlier kinda read like a SK case to me. My read throughout the game has been swinging on Zeph, which is a tell in that regard. Generally his play seems a bit weird, which points me towards him too. To reiterate, I really think that Zeph is our SK. iamperfection would be my 2nd choice, but he's waaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaay behind Zeph in my SK reckonings. What's going down tonight? The expected turn of events is that Mafia hits me, and SK hits someone else. Both factions have a serious need to start killing off townies after two scum lynches in a row. It's always possible that SK holds their shot for some reason, or SK stacks on me (?) or basically something funky happens, and of course you should consider all possibilities, but I'm going to make the assumption that Mafia is hitting me, and SK is hitting someone else. I jailed Ange tonight. This means various things. If I survive and someone else dies, it's fairly likely I've blocked mafia KP on to myself. If I die and no-one else dies, it means Ange is quite likely to be the Serial Killer, and the mafia's shot on me went through. If two shots go through, Ange is confirmed town. Good luck town <3 | ||
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marvellosity
United Kingdom36161 Posts
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marvellosity
United Kingdom36161 Posts
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marvellosity
United Kingdom36161 Posts
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marvellosity
United Kingdom36161 Posts
On September 27 2012 06:34 Zephirdd wrote: marv could you outline exactly why do I look like a SK? no can't be bothered you just do | ||
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marvellosity
United Kingdom36161 Posts
good god, i was right about everything | ||
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