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Newbie Mini Mafia XXVI

Forum Index > TL Mafia
Post a Reply
Cubu
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
1171 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-08-30 06:03:09
August 30 2012 06:01 GMT
#49
/in

Is it possible to start the game before all the slots are filled?
Cubu
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
1171 Posts
September 02 2012 02:02 GMT
#167
But how do you lynch that which you cannot see?
Cubu
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
1171 Posts
September 02 2012 02:04 GMT
#168
And it might be that they are busy doing something offline (school, work etc) so it's hard to judge whether they are lurking or just afk.
Cubu
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
1171 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-09-02 15:40:23
September 02 2012 15:37 GMT
#213
I was thinking, what if the mafias are staying quiet to avoid attention to themselves. Maybe, those lurkers are infact the mafia and are trying to just let the others kill each other. There are 12 people playing and 4 mafias (or was it 3?). The fact of the matter is that we have no clues in the first day. So no matter how much we think about it, its all random. Lets kill A, no lets kill B, makes no difference in terms of probability. Of course the chance is in favour of the mafia, because they are the minority.

3/12 = 25% in a random choice. That is 25% chance of randomly lynching the mafia on the first day, which means 75% chance of lynching the townie. I'm thinking the mafia is just waiting for people to accuse each other while they stay silent, away from the accusations, away from the townies attention.

So overall, there is 25% chance of someone being mafia, but if we are not thinking about all 12 to kill (i.e a discussion involving severall loudmouths accusing and defending each other while the mafia are quietly taking their time) it isn't really 25% but infact 0.
Cubu
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
1171 Posts
September 03 2012 02:44 GMT
#235
guys, before you lynch me, how about we go on with the plan of lynching the lurkers?
Cubu
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
1171 Posts
September 03 2012 02:44 GMT
#236
and its cubu, not cuba
Cubu
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
1171 Posts
September 03 2012 03:47 GMT
#239
My bad.I thought lurker meant people who don't post at all,
Cubu
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
1171 Posts
September 03 2012 05:01 GMT
#241
On September 03 2012 01:19 drazak wrote:
I sleep kind of odd hours, I've been asleep, sorry for not being active. I was one of the first few posts, thus there was almost nothing of substance, the first few posts are almost always all fluffy filler. I don't have any good reads yet, just skepticism. I'll be back in a few hours to give you some better reads. To be honest, we're probably going to end up lynching a townie, and we /shouldn't feel bad/. Lynching a townie seems to almost always happen. While it's most beneficial to lynch mafia (obviously), anyone that talked about doing a no-lynch is out of their gourd, no-lynching doesn't affect the ratio at all, and doesn't even give us a chance at killing mafia. That just means that the mafia have a free night, maybe we get info from who they kill, but it's nothing conclusive.

I'll be back later today to make some better reads, not sure exactly when (N.B. I know I said in a few hours, could be closer to the end of the "day", could be later in the actual day, etc) I'm helping move my dad into his new house.


I'm kind of suspicious of drazak. He says his gonna post in a few hours but its been alot of hours since then and he hasn't posted. And why talk about the no-lynch? You can't no-lynch. There is nothing to discuss about it. And isn't it strange that of all the days, it's the first day of mafia that his dad happens to be moving out. Seems like a false excuse to me.
Cubu
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
1171 Posts
September 03 2012 13:28 GMT
#273
As much as i would like to vote mafia, just this once i would like vote off kville, because it's as if he isn't here. I mean, just staying silent goes against the spirit of the game, imo. I'll post more tomorrow (its almost midnight here).
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