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Movie Star Mini Mafia! - Page 65

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36161 Posts
June 27 2012 22:39 GMT
#1281
as i see it we have had a cop, a jailkeeper, and a vig, 3 pretty decent roles for a game this size

which means it's likely that it's 3-3-1

which means it's impossible for town to win

is there even any point in playing right now?
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
risk.nuke
Profile Joined May 2010
Sweden2825 Posts
June 27 2012 22:39 GMT
#1282
Yes because they need to kill eachother.
Neo.G Soulkey, Best, firebathero. // http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/index.php?show_part=31
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36161 Posts
June 27 2012 22:40 GMT
#1283
even if they kill each other, how do we win? I can't see it.
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
wherebugsgo
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
Japan10647 Posts
June 27 2012 22:40 GMT
#1284
Town can still win.
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36161 Posts
June 27 2012 22:41 GMT
#1285
Yes, town can still win if we lynch people in a specific order and scum and SK shoot particular alignments at the correct time.

[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
risk.nuke
Profile Joined May 2010
Sweden2825 Posts
June 27 2012 22:42 GMT
#1286
Assuming a 3-3-1 scenario. we lynch a townie today Mafia might win depending on what wbg's rules says. If we lynch scum it's 3-2-1, and if a mafia and a scum then kills eachother suddenly we're 3-1. And that's just the optimal scenario.
Neo.G Soulkey, Best, firebathero. // http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/index.php?show_part=31
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36161 Posts
June 27 2012 22:45 GMT
#1287
meh

##Vote: Mattchew

VE thought he was scum, he's still a good player even if he got me wrong.

The chance of town winning is so low as far as I can see.

Your optimal scenario is 3-1. The other scenarios are either 2-1-1, 1-2-1, 2-2-0. The only scenario where we win is if we lynch mafia today and then they shoot each other, all other scenarios we lose.
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36161 Posts
June 27 2012 22:48 GMT
#1288
and mafia would never shoot at SK because if it's 3-2-1 then they'd aim for town, and it's 2-1-1 and that's a better chance for them than 3-1-0 because in 2-1-1 SK doesnt' care who gets lynched as long as it's not themselves
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36161 Posts
June 27 2012 22:54 GMT
#1289
lol if it's 3-3-1 mafia/SK can just cause a no-lynch and kill people

rofl
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
Snarfs
Profile Joined November 2010
Canada1006 Posts
June 27 2012 22:57 GMT
#1290
Hey Matt, how do you know there are 3 scum?

##Vote Mattchew

I think this is an obvious lynch today. Both Probulous and VE were suspicious of him and it's just reaffirming my beliefs. I'm going to read over the thread again tonight after work and try to get my other reads down.

Since there were two RB's night 1, unless someone else comes in and claims another RB risk.nuke is clear.

Also, SK had to be shooting for scum last night since he can't win with all scum left - I assume that means he shot xsksc so we're looking for someone who was probably showing suspicions of him (Mattchew and risk.nuke immediately come to mind, again another point against Matt).
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36161 Posts
June 27 2012 22:59 GMT
#1291
Snarfs, i already explained why risk's claim doesn't clear him. plz think
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
Snarfs
Profile Joined November 2010
Canada1006 Posts
June 27 2012 23:01 GMT
#1292
Sorry, I missed it.
rastaban
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
United States2294 Posts
June 27 2012 23:07 GMT
#1293
##Vote Mattchew
I think he should have died last night if he hadn't have been saved last minute :/
Tyler: "...damn it, that's StarCraft. Opening doors is what we do. Being the first to find food is the greatest pleasure a player can have!"
Mattchew
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States5684 Posts
June 27 2012 23:09 GMT
#1294
Since day 1 it's been pretty easy to see how it's 3 scum team... 2 scum and 1 sk would mean scum could lose before day2 which I don't think any host would allow... Marv I would think that sk is hunting scum last night which is why I think they rb'd risk he has laid low like an sk
There is always tomorrow nshs.seal.
Snarfs
Profile Joined November 2010
Canada1006 Posts
June 27 2012 23:16 GMT
#1295
Hmm oh fuck.

So if we lynch SK we lose, right?

##Unvote

I definitely need to think about this more. Mattchew's probably our best bet for anti-town but I'm not so positive he's mafia over SK.
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36161 Posts
June 27 2012 23:16 GMT
#1296
at this stage i'm lynching indiscriminately into prplhz/matt/risk

it's all down to the nightkills anyway
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36161 Posts
June 27 2012 23:17 GMT
#1297
Snarfs, I trust your judgement.

Make your reads and I will discuss them with you.

But you pretty much need to pin the entire team and then choose the SK between them somehow.
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36161 Posts
June 27 2012 23:19 GMT
#1298
This goes out to everyone:

who are the 3 townies?
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36161 Posts
June 27 2012 23:21 GMT
#1299
P.S. late responses will be penalised.
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
Snarfs
Profile Joined November 2010
Canada1006 Posts
June 27 2012 23:22 GMT
#1300
On June 28 2012 08:17 marvellosity wrote:
Snarfs, I trust your judgement.

Make your reads and I will discuss them with you.

But you pretty much need to pin the entire team and then choose the SK between them somehow.

I appreciate the confidence, but we should both come up with our own reads separately and then compare. Just imagine we're back in PYP. I think we soundboarded well off each other there and we can do it again here.
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