which means it's likely that it's 3-3-1
which means it's impossible for town to win
is there even any point in playing right now?
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marvellosity
United Kingdom36161 Posts
June 27 2012 22:39 GMT
#1281
which means it's likely that it's 3-3-1 which means it's impossible for town to win is there even any point in playing right now? | ||
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risk.nuke
Sweden2825 Posts
June 27 2012 22:39 GMT
#1282
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marvellosity
United Kingdom36161 Posts
June 27 2012 22:40 GMT
#1283
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wherebugsgo
Japan10647 Posts
June 27 2012 22:40 GMT
#1284
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marvellosity
United Kingdom36161 Posts
June 27 2012 22:41 GMT
#1285
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risk.nuke
Sweden2825 Posts
June 27 2012 22:42 GMT
#1286
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marvellosity
United Kingdom36161 Posts
June 27 2012 22:45 GMT
#1287
##Vote: Mattchew VE thought he was scum, he's still a good player even if he got me wrong. The chance of town winning is so low as far as I can see. Your optimal scenario is 3-1. The other scenarios are either 2-1-1, 1-2-1, 2-2-0. The only scenario where we win is if we lynch mafia today and then they shoot each other, all other scenarios we lose. | ||
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marvellosity
United Kingdom36161 Posts
June 27 2012 22:48 GMT
#1288
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marvellosity
United Kingdom36161 Posts
June 27 2012 22:54 GMT
#1289
rofl | ||
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Snarfs
Canada1006 Posts
June 27 2012 22:57 GMT
#1290
##Vote Mattchew I think this is an obvious lynch today. Both Probulous and VE were suspicious of him and it's just reaffirming my beliefs. I'm going to read over the thread again tonight after work and try to get my other reads down. Since there were two RB's night 1, unless someone else comes in and claims another RB risk.nuke is clear. Also, SK had to be shooting for scum last night since he can't win with all scum left - I assume that means he shot xsksc so we're looking for someone who was probably showing suspicions of him (Mattchew and risk.nuke immediately come to mind, again another point against Matt). | ||
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marvellosity
United Kingdom36161 Posts
June 27 2012 22:59 GMT
#1291
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Snarfs
Canada1006 Posts
June 27 2012 23:01 GMT
#1292
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rastaban
United States2294 Posts
June 27 2012 23:07 GMT
#1293
I think he should have died last night if he hadn't have been saved last minute :/ | ||
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Mattchew
United States5684 Posts
June 27 2012 23:09 GMT
#1294
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Snarfs
Canada1006 Posts
June 27 2012 23:16 GMT
#1295
So if we lynch SK we lose, right? ##Unvote I definitely need to think about this more. Mattchew's probably our best bet for anti-town but I'm not so positive he's mafia over SK. | ||
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marvellosity
United Kingdom36161 Posts
June 27 2012 23:16 GMT
#1296
it's all down to the nightkills anyway | ||
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marvellosity
United Kingdom36161 Posts
June 27 2012 23:17 GMT
#1297
Make your reads and I will discuss them with you. But you pretty much need to pin the entire team and then choose the SK between them somehow. | ||
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marvellosity
United Kingdom36161 Posts
June 27 2012 23:19 GMT
#1298
who are the 3 townies? | ||
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marvellosity
United Kingdom36161 Posts
June 27 2012 23:21 GMT
#1299
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Snarfs
Canada1006 Posts
June 27 2012 23:22 GMT
#1300
On June 28 2012 08:17 marvellosity wrote: Snarfs, I trust your judgement. Make your reads and I will discuss them with you. But you pretty much need to pin the entire team and then choose the SK between them somehow. I appreciate the confidence, but we should both come up with our own reads separately and then compare. Just imagine we're back in PYP. I think we soundboarded well off each other there and we can do it again here. | ||
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