ahh, ok, thanks. I am going to wait until after the night post to say what my speculation on the mafia kill target is. it might provide information which could be falsified if i say it now. of course, there is a bit of WIFOM, but it is very likely to be true.

Nova_Terra

Switzerland1190 Posts

March 27 2012 21:20 GMT

#470

Going to bed, Will post as soon as im free tomorrow.

Nova_Terra

Switzerland1190 Posts

March 28 2012 04:43 GMT

#490

just woke up and i wanted to see who died really badly.
Why? because i had a little theory that might help if we have any blue role left. which is still a low chance. BUT.
I was thinking what if mafia HAD a power role. if they did, its quite probable that we had at least 2 blues, as there was no power role for mafia last game and there was 1 blue. we already have one this game, and he is almost confirmed town. I started to think about who the mafia would kill, and i rested on mementoss or artanis, being the most pro town. BUT. if the mafia thought there could be a medic, those would be the two LEAST wanted targets as they are most likely to be healed. and the only reason that mafia would suspect a medic is because they may have a power role. And who died? gossemerr.
Therefore, if there is any blue left, pretty much meaning a DT, please note there could be a godfather or a framer.
As i am onboard with the michaelthe lynch, i will start off and end this day right.
##Vote: michaelthe

Nova_Terra

Switzerland1190 Posts

March 28 2012 04:53 GMT

#492

EBWOP: Artanis, why do you think that i should be the third lynch? I was the first to call out blueys behavior and i *may* have tunneled him earlier. Wouldnt it make more sense for the third lynch to go on ninja/virtu?

Nova_Terra

Switzerland1190 Posts

March 28 2012 19:57 GMT

#502

I'm here very briefly just to note one thing(i will be back in a couple hours)
Notice how 2/3 of the common mafia suspicions (meaning michaelthe and ninja) havent voted yet. scummy.
Artanis, why would you advocate my lynch in particular? instead of Ninja/bluey for example?
Virtu, im so sorry, i hope your sister is okay <3 if you can though, please come and vote soon so we can see where you stand. i understand if this isnt possible however.

Nova_Terra

Switzerland1190 Posts

March 28 2012 20:00 GMT

#503

EBWOP: i know on an earlier post you said that you wanted the order to be michaelthe, blueyd, then myself, but why did you want to tell me that you would advocate my lynch depending on who dies?

Nova_Terra

Switzerland1190 Posts

March 28 2012 20:08 GMT

#504

Actually, the main thing is why did you tell me, a person you suspect as mafia, that you would advocate my lynch depending on who dies? would it not just make more sense to not tell me, and then see who the "natural kill" from the mafia would be?

Nova_Terra

Switzerland1190 Posts

March 30 2012 05:39 GMT

#517

wow, this place really is a ghost town.
BUT. we got one. two left to go, and we're good. We can collect our thoughts today, and go right into day 4 (i think it is) with a plan. So, it might be a good idea to at least post your thoughts if you think you have a chance of dying tonight.
for me, i am still running BlueyD and Ninja. i am less sure about ninja, and it sucks that he might be replaced.
Mementoss seems even more inno to me now, as michael's desperation target was him. I doubt that he would have tried to bus a fellow mafia before he died, but thats WIFOM.

Nova_Terra

Switzerland1190 Posts

March 30 2012 12:25 GMT

#520

Okay, thats a start as least, but as a question for you mementoss, why do you not seem to suspect ninja much when his relatively few posts (and behavior itself) has been scummy? Just lurking itself is something scummy.

Nova_Terra

Switzerland1190 Posts

March 30 2012 20:37 GMT

#526

i meant was why did he futher off your radar. If BlueyD flips scum, in your opinion Is Ninja or Virtu our best option (both mementoss and artanis please)
Jeez, the thread really died after yesterday. seems strange not seeing pages of new posts to analyse.
It really bugs me that both Ninja and Virtu havent been replaced yet. at is point its going to be rediculous if they are replaced and the replacement starts posting a crapton. which is why i think its so important to determine the best lynch of them now.

Nova_Terra

Switzerland1190 Posts

March 31 2012 08:08 GMT

#533

1. Pretty sure this is a LYLO. Think thats an honest mistake.
2. The part about BlueyD? Looks to me like mafia bussing, actually. just a "bit scummy." Trying to gain towncred after he flips maybe?
3. After last game, I am naturally inclined to hate replacements. Therefore, i still think that ninja/you is the best lynch after blueyD. Even if you do a lot to try to redeem yourself. Ninjas play was scummy, and to have a replacement come in and everything is ok about them then is ridiculous. Like cosine/velinath from last game. was terrible.
My top two candidates are still BlueyD and ninja/Janaan.
Sorry that Artanis is gone, but kinda figured either him or mementoss would die anyway.

Nova_Terra

Switzerland1190 Posts

March 31 2012 08:10 GMT

#534

O snap i think im wrong about LYLO thing. keep forgetting that michael was actually mafia. its 4-2 right now, or? 4 town and 2 mafia?

Nova_Terra

Switzerland1190 Posts

March 31 2012 08:12 GMT

#535

Then in response to your MYLO point I kinda agree with you, with the reasoning that another day without a lynch will just prolong our indecision and it would be even harder to get a collective vote the next day.

Nova_Terra

Switzerland1190 Posts

March 31 2012 18:25 GMT

#541

Janaan you're not helping me get over my hatred of replacements T-T
I posted my thoughts on virtu earlier, and they still stand. lemme grab them in a sec.
This still looks even more like a last ditch attempt to throw suspicion off of a scumbuddy.
Ok here is my thing on Virtu
"Virtu early game: virtu starts off by posting a couple 1-2 liners of fluff and then goes into standard agreement play where people start agreeing about day1 lurker lynches etc, and then he starts noting playstyles from last game, mine in particular. I can see how this could be useful, but as of yet he hadnt really posted anything helpful. he does randomly afk for 22 hours, which isnt good, but he does post a nice large analysis post on RoF/ System/ kinda ninja. does he use other peoples points? yes. does he effectively illustrate reasons why they are suspicious anyway? yes. still rather null on him.
he switches around a few votes trying to get system lynched, but shifts back immediately to ensure majority stays. he seems like he is trying to be helpful. he provokes some discussion on gossemerr before having to stop due to a serious RL issue (and i really hope everything is okay). overall? He tries to be helpful, makes an analysis made from points that had been stated already, but provokes discussion."

Nova_Terra

Switzerland1190 Posts

March 31 2012 21:16 GMT

#542

So little happening TT gonna go to bed then

Nova_Terra

Switzerland1190 Posts

April 01 2012 07:11 GMT

#545

Seeing as all he has done in those last couple days is explain his absence, no, nothing in my opinion has changed not that i havent thought about him, just that my previous opinion stands. I generally dont base opinions off of WIFOM because that doesnt really get us anywhere, however if you want me to base one on WIFOM I would say that it makes him seem *a little bit* more townie to me, an extremely little bit, because he voted for the people that I wanted us to vote for as well. and not for instance myself. It at least seems that he tries to help push the correct votes.

Nova_Terra

Switzerland1190 Posts

April 01 2012 19:45 GMT

#550

Well, after Janaan's seeming attempt to redirect attention away from a scum buddy, i will go with a vote on
##Vote: BlueyD
i will be here for a little while before bed, if anyone needs me