If we are at 5 scum 5 town, we're totes bonerized unless we have a town kp somewhere because the 5 mafia can just vote together without fear. I suspect we're at 4 mafia 6 town.

4 town players are confirmed:
Jackal, Lanaia, Blazinghand, Cwave

6 players are not confirmed as town:
Scamp, GGQ, Hesmyrr, redFF, V7, Zephirdd

of the six unconfirmed players, 4 are mafia (probably-- I highly doubt there are 5 or 3). Assuming we have a doctor or something, Lanaia can get off another investigation amongst the unconfirmed players tonight. All we need to do is lynch scum for the rest of the game, and the scum can only kill one confirmed townie a night, so we just need to sort out those 6.

Among those 6 unconfirmed players: if you are town-affiliated, you have slightly more information than the 4 confirmed townies, since you also know your own alignment. Analyze and vote wisely.

Blazinghand

United States25558 Posts

February 04 2012 13:51 GMT

#996

EBWOP: I'm off to bed, and will be up in like 8ish hours. I honestly think Scamp is highly likely to be scum and a good lynch due to his inactivity, lack of contributions, etc.

Blazinghand

United States25558 Posts

February 04 2012 20:34 GMT

#1002

Guys, scamp is obviously scum. There's literally no reason to lynch anyone but scamp, because even if GGQ does have a decent chance of being scum, Scamp is basically for sure scum right

Blazinghand

United States25558 Posts

February 04 2012 21:54 GMT

#1005

Do you think scamp is town?

Blazinghand

United States25558 Posts

February 04 2012 22:29 GMT

#1007

Yeah, it's like 25.5 hours as of this moment.

Blazinghand

United States25558 Posts

February 04 2012 23:23 GMT

#1009

To be fair, if you can figure out a town player out of that list that's actually more helpful-- 2 investigations of town players will win us the game, since we'll know the 4 scum.

Blazinghand

United States25558 Posts

February 05 2012 06:58 GMT

#1013

I'm around. I think 4 is probably the right number. I think scamp hasn't really contributed, and is lurking pretty hard and so is probably scum, which is why he has my vote. What's up?

Blazinghand

United States25558 Posts

February 05 2012 06:59 GMT

#1014

Oh yeah and the reason there's probably not 5 is that if we assume there are 5 scum, then there's nothing left we can do to win, right? They can just all 5 vote on dude and bam we can't lynch anyone.

If there's 5 scum we've already lost.

3 would probably be too easy.

So I think it's 4.

Blazinghand

United States25558 Posts

February 05 2012 07:31 GMT

#1016

Yeah I mean regardless of the number of scum, Scamp is scum so we should lynch him. There's no strategy more optimal than lynching this guy who's pretty clearly scum.

Blazinghand

United States25558 Posts

February 05 2012 23:52 GMT

#1031

redFF should ask for a stay on his ban until the end of the mafia game. People have gotten that before, and served their sentences at the end of their respective games.

Blazinghand

United States25558 Posts

February 06 2012 02:40 GMT

#1037

On February 06 2012 11:37 Hesmyrr wrote:

Show nested quote +

People were mainly voting Refallen and GGQ then. I went and put out strong FOS for Scamp using association tell, then realized if people start taking Scamp lynch more seriously it might split the vote and increase the chance of GGQ getting killed. Note that this was before GGQ's scum-like hop on Refallen wagon.

So when you said "third candidate" you meant. GGQ, who was in 2nd place? And you thought GGQ was innocent and Refallen and Scamp were guilty at the moment you changed your vote.

Blazinghand

United States25558 Posts

February 06 2012 02:50 GMT

#1039

So when you said "third candidate" you meant "second candidate"

Blazinghand

United States25558 Posts

February 06 2012 19:27 GMT

#1045

well, the good news is red isn't missing TOO much here.

Blazinghand

United States25558 Posts

February 06 2012 19:27 GMT

#1046

And please, ladies and gentlemen, allow me:

Blazinghand

United States25558 Posts

February 06 2012 20:43 GMT

#1048

Why would it possibly benefit us to have Lanaia pre-claim who she checks. I literally can't think of a situation where this helps us.

Blazinghand

United States25558 Posts

February 06 2012 21:27 GMT

#1055

On February 07 2012 05:46 Zephirdd wrote:
idk, in the event she dies? idk if it would benefit us, I just hate this lack of posting =|

So.... if she dies, how is knowing who she would have checked if she hadn't died useful?

Blazinghand

United States25558 Posts

February 06 2012 21:31 GMT

#1057

On February 07 2012 06:29 Zephirdd wrote:
maybe we create connections. Imagine if she said "I'll totally check GGQ." People will react to the GGQ check, both positively and negatively, then she dies. We won't know what GGQ was, but we get connections from the reactions. Am I wrong?

Or we just hope she doesn't die.

I don't see how this is made any better by lanaia dying. Whatever discussion is generated between now and dawn would be generated regardless of whether she dies 2 and a half hours from now...