TL Mafia XLIV - Page 3

On August 28 2011 11:27 chaos13 wrote:
chaoser if you had played more pro-town I would be more likely to believe you. For today I'll go with nard over Vain.

My #1 pick for a lynch tomorrow would be Vain though. That guy is scum.

wtf...why the hell did you reveal now and not later in the day?

Besides, why claim at all? The less information mafia have about our roles, the better. Since we probably don't have a medic now, you're probably dead tomorrow. You're the most useful player to us if you're indeed a DT.

On August 28 2011 12:21 xtfftc wrote:
I'm inclined to trust Chaoser. I don't understand why it was necessary to claim immediately as quite a few people are willing to lynch Vain anyway. Convincing us to go for him was definitely a possibility even without the claim.

However, if Vain flips green, Chaoser will get lynched afterwards, so it makes no sense for mafia to attempt this. Unless it's some really bold plan by mafia to trade one for one but the numbers don't work out in their favour.

Chaoser, I'm curious why you decided to check Vain out of all?

On August 27 2011 09:56 Vain wrote:
Fuuuuuuuuuuu, i almost forgot this thing. yeah, Mig needs to be lynched and then BB

i hope i'm right now:\

Vote: Mig

If nard visited a person who died, he's almost certainly mafia. This is, of course, has to be what Foolish was saying, because he was a watcher and he was 100% sure nard is mafia.

Everyone seems to have ignored this, but Kurumi basically dug his grave here. This flavour text wasn't written by GM. I have no idea why he wouldn't wait for GM to just write it for him, perhaps he was getting a little nervous, because he was taking too long. But that was written by Kurumi. He is the only person who writes "You" with a capital letter mid sentence. He hasn't responded to me yet either so....

On August 29 2011 04:14 wherebugsgo wrote:


Because I believe BB/bumatlarge to be framer, and vain to be framed last night.

Look at Bum's posts over the past day. Or heck, just filter him all the way. He accuses vain as soon as he knows a DT checked him last night without even thinking twice, and continues to subtly push vain's name.

Yeah, I know that goes against our thoughts and my own analysis on vain, but bum is definitely mafia. Kill him tomorrow.

This is also why I am way more confident in lynching nard than vain. With vain, the likelihood of there being a red herring is much higher. The only possibility for nard to be innocent is to be a noisy neighbor, and that's only possible in a very unlikely manner. Plus, his defense post suggests that he is scum.

On August 30 2011 00:02 wherebugsgo wrote:
No, actually, if we want to be productive we can't kill vain, especially not tomorrow. We kill nard today, and Bum tomorrow. That will give us sufficient information to find the remaining 3 mafia and lynch them.

Also, I did consider that vain could be a regular goon but that doesn't add up to me. Even if vain is actually just a goon we still should kill bum before vain.

Of the remaining mafia, I agree that Pyo is a top suspect, but also Viscera. My analysis of viscera will come after I get out of class today-it's not complicated.

#6 is still a bit far away. So, we can worry about the last 1/2 mafia after we lynch nard and bum.

As Mig pointed out, I was hesitant today to respond to Mig's posts because I feel like I cannot objectively read them. Anything I read of Mig's I just see the mafia in him. But other people (particularly Curu and wherebugsgo) have been able to analyze his arguments today without the subjectivity that I have, and they still want to kill Mig. That's all the proof I need that Mig is the correct lynch choice today.

On August 30 2011 11:34 wherebugsgo wrote:


You don't find his claim post weird?

I didn't really think anything of kurumi until his claim. However, if you look at all his posts/actions, the only thing of significance is that he vigged Palmar. There is no way to discern whether he is a scum vig or a town vig.

The only hint toward one or the other is the claim post, and as has been pointed out already, only kurumi capitalizes "you" in the middle of sentences.



Me too, I just have a different conclusion.

I still say we lynch bum today. We're going to lynch him eventually. We KNOW he's mafia. I want to know for certain his role as mafia, though, because IMO that'll give us more information than anything else.

Just think about it. You think vain and bum are mafia. Will lynching vain give us any information about other mafia? Most definitely no. Will bum's lynch? Yeah, almost definitely, because we know pyo was the only other one who voted vain.

On August 30 2011 11:47 wherebugsgo wrote:
And about Kurumi?

So you think the four mafia are like:

bum/vain/pyo ...?? viscera? Rayzor?

I guess the last one isn't immediately important, but even so...I'll vote bum tomorrow, you vote vain, we can just all vote whoever we think is the better lynch. Assuming they're both alive, of course...if we miraculously have a vig that'd be great.

What do you think of Kurumi's claim?

On August 30 2011 12:32 wherebugsgo wrote:


If we're working on the assumption that both vain and bum are mafia, then I say bum is the better choice because lynching bum gives us information.

How hard is that to comprehend? Forget my thoughts for a second here and just reason that out.