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TL Mafia XXXIX - Page 2

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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ilovejonn
Profile Blog Joined August 2007
Canada2548 Posts
May 06 2011 07:17 GMT
#825
Eternalmisfit
Why I think he's scum


On May 04 2011 20:54 Eternalmisfit wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
@ Redtooth - I am fairly inexperienced at mafia and this is my second mafia game ever.

On accusation of Irish and follow-up
I do not buy on the initial accusation of redtooth that Irish is scum just because he said that he was looking forward to play with 3-4 people he knew from before. That by itself is a rather weak case and does not give a scum-signal.
The strong response of Irish on chaoser's vote is slightly more scummy to me. But, what seems scummy to me was chaos13's strong defense of Irish.

The way I interpret is that both are mafia and are looking out for each other (or) chaos13 is just looking out for Irish just because they know each other from before but they do not know each other's alignment.

At this point, the evidence based on posting is rather weak for me to vote on either of them and I won't go beyond just a FoS on them.

This is his first post. In the very early stages of the game I think he has the right to just FOS them for now. Since he doesn't buy redtooth's accusation of him being scum it would be logical to only keep an eye on him only.

+ Show Spoiler +
Eternalmisfit's first major post

His analysis of Kurumi is a long post just for an FOS. Kind of similar to what redtooth did on chaoser. The thing that irks me the most is that he needed this long of a post for someone like Kurumi. He even included quotes he himself thinks are not worth analyzing. What is the point in that? Seems to me someone is trying to look pro-town by extending their post length. Almost anyone can see Kurumi's posts up to this point are spam/disruptive. Funny how he makes an analysis for the easiest person to finger. At this point I'm not yet certain that he is trying as a townie or just pretending to be one.

Also, I feel that his FOS post is to play it safe. He doesn't really have to take a stance and call him scum, but his long post for an FOS makes it seem like he is still contributing.

On May 05 2011 06:30 Eternalmisfit wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
As I posted earlier, I am not too keen on lynching a lurker/inactive on the first day in a 30 man setup as a blue kill would hurt us quite a bit. However, if we have someone in the game who has not posted/voted till somewhat close to the deadline and the town cannot reach a consensus on a mafia lynch, I would recommend lynching the inactive person since he was going to be mod-killed anyways. That is my 2 cents on the issue but it would nice to hear thoughts from more experienced players about it.


Why would we want to lynch an inactive that is going to be mod-killed anyways? So that we can waste a lynch? This makes no sense. Also notice the last sentence. Usually newer players when they are SCUM they feel the need to get the approval or recognition of better players. There is natural sense of guilt since he knows what he said if anti-town.

On May 05 2011 06:47 Eternalmisfit wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +

Sacrificing 1 inactive player to hit [potentially] 0 mafia is bad.
Ignoring 1 inactive player to hit [potentially] 1 mafia is a pretty good deal.


I think you misunderstood my intent in that post. I was more so pointing towards a scenario where the town is split in 2 or 3-way on deciding who to lynch. I was wondering whether lynching an inactive would be a reasonable in that scenario or not?

In case of strong scummy behavior or a majority of town believing in someone being scum, I would be all for voting that person for lynching.


When someone notices that what he said is wrong, he covers it up and decides to change his stance to "I would totally lynch the scummiest person instead of the inactive if town says so."

On May 05 2011 07:00 Eternalmisfit wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
On May 05 2011 06:46 Cthsazsa wrote:
I'll give my thoughts so far on this.
I've noticed a lot of finger-pointing going around. A good example would be of KillerSOS qucikly criticizing Rising_Pheonix's post as spam, even though all he did was give his viewpoint on the current situation?

Sandroba is very quick to accuse people as being scum.

As a few people have already said, Kurumi's posts are strange. It seemed like that at first he was trying to attack chaoser, and then started claiming him to be a good pro-townie?

AirBlade's post instantly looked like anti-town. He was suggesting that we lynch Kurumi, and then he said that even if Kurumi is a townie, it's still okay.

As I said earlier, right now all we're doing is pointing fingers and forcing people into corners to make them look suspicious. I still haven't seen a good, legitimate reason for voting off someone yet.


Sandroba was quite finger-happy in Surprisingly Normal Mini Mafia as well where he was a DT. Now, this does not necessitate that he is town but his play-style in consistent with that game at the very least.

I am quite suspicious of Kurumi as he spammed the hell out of this thread with mostly meaningless posts. I was going to give him the benefit of doubt of him being a young kid or being not comfortable in English for his mostly incoherent posting, but he made a rather coherent analysis post as his last post of the day. Since his last post suggests that he is quite capable of making reasonable posts, his other posts seem scummy to me written in order to create confusion and derail discussion. But again, I have never been in a mafia game with him and am not sure of his mafia play habits.

I agree with AirBlade seeming anti-town. I am also for voting and lynching Kurumi if I think that he is scum (which seems probable to me at this point) but I would not vote/lynch him just because he posts horribly. This might be a lapse in judgment or scum trying to get a townie killed.
FoS: AirBladeOrange


This post reeks of contradictions. He's suspicious and thinks Kurumi is probable scum. He says he's all for voting him IF he thinks he is scum (which he does), and then immediately says he won't vote for him because of his horrible posting. What? And then suddenly BAM an FOS on AirBlade which is surprisingly....dun dun dun, THE LEAST SUSPICIOUS PERSON OF PEOPLE HE FOS'd! I have trouble understanding why he needed to do an analysis on a person that he thinks has "no visible scum signs" and the least suspicious person on his list. Perhaps to seem like he contributed yet another awesome post? Starting to see a theme here? Contributing without actually contributing.

On May 05 2011 11:43 Eternalmisfit wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
I am going to post my final thoughts for the night on posts till now and then head to bed.

I am going to vote for Kurumi for now based on his posting which seems rather scum-like to me (apart from his last post which was the only half-decent one). It is placeholder vote for now as there can be future developments in this thread and also I am still willing to give him benefit of doubt provided he explains his style/content of posts.


Back to voting for Kurumi! I thought you wouldn't vote for him just on his horrible postings alone!

On May 05 2011 20:54 Eternalmisfit wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
@redtooth
Quite a lot of the accusations against Irish are close to grasping at straws. I disagree on his defense against early chaoser/redtooth accusations being scum-tells. However, there is some scummy behavior when he tried to hop on the AO bandwagon and stated Kurumi made some good posts.

In light of one decent scum-tell and some rather weak/non-existent scum-tells from Irish, and lack of clear scum-tells from most other people, Irish makes a good candidate for a lynch.

Does that mean that I am 100% sure that he is mafia? No
This only means that he is highly probable of being mafia.

I can make a similar case against Kurumi as well. In both these cases, the two accused of being scum have shown odd behavior. On top, both of them descended into lurking after accusing AirBlade. I would have expected them to be more active after starting the case against AirBlade. At this point, I would like to see them post again and defend their posts and accusations of AirBlade. My current vote on Kurumi is to pressure him to stop his nonsense posting which is derailing the discussion, and provide an explanation for his voting.

At this point of time, I do not think anyone can be painted as completely pro-town which even includes the people providing detailed analysis since we have no concrete evidence to go-to and most discussion is based on interpretation and perceived intent of someone's post.

Also, the more the discussion is heading along in this thread, the more I feel that lynching Irish might as well be a good idea. As a lot of people in this thread have stated, Kurumi and Irish are prime candidates for their odd behavior. And then there are a few people (e.g. red) that have defended them relatively strongly. Thus, Irish makes a good lynch candidate as he has shown scum-vibes in his posts, and his flipping either red or green will allow the town to ascertain the orientation of a lot of people (redtooth's defense and chaoser's borderline tunneling).


Another huge contradiction. He has a placeholder vote on Kurumi all the while saying Irish is the better lynch. If you think Irish has scum-tells and lynching him would give so much information, why did you vote for Kurumi instead? From what you are saying Irish would be the better person to place your vote on!

On May 06 2011 02:36 Eternalmisfit wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
People defending others
[image loading]


People accusing/FoS/Voting others
[image loading]


How to read this chart
Every player has a number against him.
Green number on the column of a player means defense or town call for player # by this player
Red number on the column means accusation or mafia call for player # by this player
Bold and deep color represents multiple occasions of the said event i.e. strong support/attack
This chart is applicable till Takuna's first post on page 33 (not including it)

The purpose behind this is to analyze potential relationships between different people which will come into play after we people flip after lynches/deaths.

I will post a more detailed analysis with my thoughts based on this within 30-60 mins.

DOES NOT DELIVER!
On May 06 2011 04:59 Eternalmisfit wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
On May 06 2011 04:28 orgolove wrote:
Oh wow. I didn't even realize it was chaoser himself that made the spreadsheet. Ugh. Hmm....


For the record, it was me who made the spreadsheet. I was unable to link the pictures properly so chaoser later posted the images based on my links. Unfortunately, I did not save the spreadsheet after making the images from them.

Also, the fact that someone did an analysis does not mean he/she is not scum. Now, if that analysis turns up correct on a flip might suggest that he/she has town/mafia-creds. But, at this point, there is no such evidence for anyone.





[image loading]


The thing that makes me suspicious about the spreadsheet, is that it is entirely fluff. Don't know if I'm using the term fluff correctly but I think it means a seemingly contributive post that has no value at all. Yes, thanks for putting numbers that indicate who responded to who. But in what context? Don't we have to still go to people's profile, find their posts, read thoroughly, before we can decide whether there is any significant connections at all? At least I wouldn't just take your spreadsheet and base people's relationship on the numbers you've shown after a flip. For heaven's sake, you created a tool to help yourself organize people's relationships, and you "forgot" to save it. Maybe it was an honest mistake, or maybe you just wanted to show people you're doing something pro-town and then forget about the whole thing. Oh and thanks for the last paragraph. Exactly the reason why I think you're scum.

Conclusion: Eternalmisfit seems to have great lengthy posts that contribute little of value. Most of the things he says are really echoes of what the majority of people are saying. His posting career up to now has been very wishy-washy and he makes many posts that are contradictory. I believe he is scum!
Snowflakes in January, Heart warm like February, I wouldn't ordinarily..
ilovejonn
Profile Blog Joined August 2007
Canada2548 Posts
May 07 2011 05:02 GMT
#926
I know at this point chaoser seems the most suspicious to redtooth, but from what I've read, both players have quality posts. Their tone and willingness to put aside everything to establish a good town environment makes me believe both of them to be pro-town. I'm looking forward to see his analyses on people he thinks are suspicious besides giving them an FoS.

On the subject of the rules he placed down though, I think it is for the better for town even though I am not going to follow every single rule he has. Perhaps the major issue is that I've always done analysis the way I've did before, reading every single post of a player and seeing what their objective is of that post if they are mafia, hence I quote a ton of posts. Maybe I am doing it wrong, but I'll agree to cut down useless quotes in order to get the main point across. I guess players need to do something better/different each game in order to improve. I'll try my best to adhere to those rules for the better of us.
Snowflakes in January, Heart warm like February, I wouldn't ordinarily..
ilovejonn
Profile Blog Joined August 2007
Canada2548 Posts
May 07 2011 05:03 GMT
#927
Also if you're going to quote a long wall of text can you please put it in a spoiler tag. D:
Snowflakes in January, Heart warm like February, I wouldn't ordinarily..
ilovejonn
Profile Blog Joined August 2007
Canada2548 Posts
May 07 2011 18:15 GMT
#970
I think people need to think more about their votes. Sure you guys suspect redtooth, but like he said, is he really your BEST lynch for the day? Remember our most important KP comes from our votes. If you do not entirely or at least have a very high probability of thinking he is scum, I'd suggest reconsidering your vote to someone who you think has a higher chance than redtooth being scum.

Today however, my vote is going on Beneather based on 2 quotes.

On May 03 2011 06:44 Beneather wrote:
Really looking forward to playing this game :D lol. Going to be extremely active (:


On May 05 2011 08:19 Beneather wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 05 2011 08:13 Jackal58 wrote:
On May 05 2011 07:13 Cthsazsa wrote:
Why would we vote off inactives? We should leave them be. If they are mafia, well they aren't that much of a threat to us since they're not participating. On the other hand, if they're a townie then that'll just put a crutch in us. We'll lose a townie, PLUS we'd have wasted our votes.

People insisting that we vote off inactives just seems suspicious to me.

Scum aren't a threat????
I know where my vote is going.


Mafia slip :o Even if they do not participate in the discussion they still kill two of us. If they're inactive that means that they're lurking and don't want to get in to arguments to put suspicion on them so they do not get lynched. Pressuring inactives will make them active and find out if they're actually scum.


The dude was seriously pumped before the game and even said he'd be extremely active. Once he got his role he became a total lurker. As pointed out by someone else, most of his posts talks about lurkers and inactives yet he does not consider himself being one! Extremely suspicious to me. Seems to me he does not know what to do after getting the scum role and just pretends to be away.

On the second quote, notice how Cthsazsa raised a lot of suspicions as being scum. If we look at it this way, Beneather and Cthsazsa being on the same scum team, Beneather calling Cthsazsa on the mafia slip was like a little reminder from a person on your team. "Hey you slipped better watch what you say next time!" And then who does he decide to vote on at the end of the day? Kurumi! The easiest wagon to go on. If he thought Cthsazsa was scum, why didn't he decide to vote him?

##Vote: Beneather
Snowflakes in January, Heart warm like February, I wouldn't ordinarily..
ilovejonn
Profile Blog Joined August 2007
Canada2548 Posts
May 07 2011 18:39 GMT
#974
Yes, I think it is better than redtooth. I've never played with redtooth and I don't know if he is really good at this game, but from the tone of his posts I definitely do not think he is more so mafia than Beneather/Cthsazsa. Reason I voted for Beneather instead of Cthsazsa is because Cthsazsa is actually posting more the more he is being pressured. That will allow us to see if he is indeed scum or something else. My voting of Beneather is based on his huge contrast in activity levels and based on that I feel he is the best lynch for now. I can't say for the remainder of the day that things might change based on more posts, but for now yes he is my best lynch candidate.

Also I don't understand your point number 2. If he said he thought Cthsazsa was mafia why would he not vote him and vote for someone he thinks is town? Once Kurumi flips town wouldn't that look bad for him if he was mafia? And if you think its a stupid move for mafia, are you saying there are 0 mafia on the Kurumi wagon??
Snowflakes in January, Heart warm like February, I wouldn't ordinarily..
ilovejonn
Profile Blog Joined August 2007
Canada2548 Posts
May 07 2011 18:43 GMT
#976
Seems to me beneather's wagon on Kurumi was to please the majority of the people in the case Kurumi actually flipped scum, therefore he did not vote on his only explained scum choice, ie; Cthsazsa.
Snowflakes in January, Heart warm like February, I wouldn't ordinarily..
ilovejonn
Profile Blog Joined August 2007
Canada2548 Posts
May 07 2011 18:47 GMT
#979
Oh, I see what you mean. I've read the post wrong. My vote still stays on Beneather based on huge activity level difference. Until he comes in and posts I have reason to believe he is lurking scum.
Snowflakes in January, Heart warm like February, I wouldn't ordinarily..
ilovejonn
Profile Blog Joined August 2007
Canada2548 Posts
May 07 2011 18:48 GMT
#980
Yes yes. I am getting myself confused as well. = =
Snowflakes in January, Heart warm like February, I wouldn't ordinarily..
ilovejonn
Profile Blog Joined August 2007
Canada2548 Posts
May 07 2011 18:56 GMT
#982
I confused myself there. What my main point is, is that I think Beneather should have voted who he thought was scum, instead of last minute going on the bandwagon with NO explanation at all to seem to blend in with the majority of the people. It felt like his mentality was since the majority of town thinks Kurumi needs to be lynched, it would be silly of me to not go with the town's decision.

Perhaps my logic is faulty, but my bigger scum read on him is still the activity level change. If he decides to come back with an explanation, I'll reconsider my vote.
Snowflakes in January, Heart warm like February, I wouldn't ordinarily..
ilovejonn
Profile Blog Joined August 2007
Canada2548 Posts
May 07 2011 18:57 GMT
#984
On May 08 2011 03:56 sinani206 wrote:
Um newb question, but [green]what does tunneling mean?[/green

It means to keep on attacking the person without ever changing your opinion about him regardless of what he or others might say.
Snowflakes in January, Heart warm like February, I wouldn't ordinarily..
ilovejonn
Profile Blog Joined August 2007
Canada2548 Posts
May 07 2011 19:03 GMT
#986
Sinani what are your thoughts up to this point?
Snowflakes in January, Heart warm like February, I wouldn't ordinarily..
ilovejonn
Profile Blog Joined August 2007
Canada2548 Posts
May 07 2011 19:29 GMT
#989
In that case, would you not think Irish would get modkilled as well?
Snowflakes in January, Heart warm like February, I wouldn't ordinarily..
ilovejonn
Profile Blog Joined August 2007
Canada2548 Posts
May 07 2011 19:35 GMT
#991
I am not familiar with Amber's play. But it seems to me he does seem to lurk a lot. However, based on his activity levels and the limited posts he has made, it seems to me he is definitely hiding something. But from the posts I've read, the posts are not anti-town, more like a natural defense to accusations brought against him. If you know what I mean I would not want to say more.
Snowflakes in January, Heart warm like February, I wouldn't ordinarily..
ilovejonn
Profile Blog Joined August 2007
Canada2548 Posts
May 07 2011 19:40 GMT
#995
On May 08 2011 04:38 Forumite wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 08 2011 04:29 ilovejonn wrote:
In that case, would you not think Irish would get modkilled as well?

I can only hope.

It feels like people forgot of the accusations on Irish, and I´m keeping my vote on him so people don´t forget. I don´t like the embarassed silence after the mislynch. How often does Town make a correct lynch during the first day anyway?

Not that often so I've heard.
Snowflakes in January, Heart warm like February, I wouldn't ordinarily..
ilovejonn
Profile Blog Joined August 2007
Canada2548 Posts
May 07 2011 22:14 GMT
#1004
I will also move my vote if Beneather does not come back and post anything.
Snowflakes in January, Heart warm like February, I wouldn't ordinarily..
ilovejonn
Profile Blog Joined August 2007
Canada2548 Posts
May 08 2011 04:17 GMT
#1031
Not to mention there are a ton of people that haven't voted yet. I hope there won't be a ton of modkills.
Snowflakes in January, Heart warm like February, I wouldn't ordinarily..
ilovejonn
Profile Blog Joined August 2007
Canada2548 Posts
May 08 2011 17:34 GMT
#1113
Unvoting Beneather since he hasn't posted anything despite the pressure. Probably a modkill. Placing my vote on Cthsazsa as I still feel that I have a blue read on Amber. It is also mother's day today and this is my only chance to post right now. Have to go out now, I probably won't be back until tomorrow.
Snowflakes in January, Heart warm like February, I wouldn't ordinarily..
ilovejonn
Profile Blog Joined August 2007
Canada2548 Posts
May 09 2011 18:43 GMT
#1415
Posting from work. I can't believe you claimed so late into the day chaoser. But I also understand that if you hadn't done so, you would've ended up with far less information. If I wasn't out the whole day I would've switched my vote onto Amber as well, but I guess what's done is done. Here I was hoping that Amber could really have been a blue and that a veteran player like him could have been of use to us with his "scum-hunting" abilities. I was wrong all along.

At least the modkill and lynch reduced mafia KP, which is awesome for us. I am also pretty sure chaoser is definitely DT as well based on his posts. I really don't think chaoser would have pushed 2 team mates for a lynch just to gain town cred. (It's possible, just highly unlikely)

I'll post more when I get off work or when night cycle ends.
Snowflakes in January, Heart warm like February, I wouldn't ordinarily..
ilovejonn
Profile Blog Joined August 2007
Canada2548 Posts
May 10 2011 03:44 GMT
#1457
Props to chaoser for his scum-hunting abilities, I'm really amazed at his confidence for going after Amber and GGQ. I'd have to agree we either had a stupid/afk medic, or this is a no medic setup. Looking at the list of players however, we had 2 day vig modkills, 1 night vig killed by the mafia, and 1 vig that hasn't claimed. With that many KP I'm leaning towards the probability that there aren't any medics. The vigi should claim early as that would prevent mafia from fake claiming that shot later on.

To people suspecting me, I'd like to remind you guys of chaoser's awesome scum-hunting abilities.

On May 09 2011 12:42 chaoser wrote:
Actually I take back what I said about ilovejonn, he seems townie enough in his posts so far, I don't remember why I felt red about him. Maybe a misplaced feeling.


Even though he fake claimed DT, hitting Amber and GGQ with analysis alone is pretty damn pro. I know for sure I'm townie and that chaoser's read on me is correct. I might have been on the wrong lynches due to circumstances, but remember, being wrong doesn't mean being scum. I'll make sure to try my best to help us win, but for now I am going to bed.
Snowflakes in January, Heart warm like February, I wouldn't ordinarily..
ilovejonn
Profile Blog Joined August 2007
Canada2548 Posts
May 10 2011 18:17 GMT
#1583
Hold up everyone. You guys still think I am scum just because of a) I did not vote switch to Amber, and b) I was on the bad end of the lynches? Did I not already say I was going to be out the whole day on Mother's day? I cannot believe you guys would have missed that. Even if chaoser claimed his DT earlier in the day I would not have seen his claim, and his claim was actually near the end of the day cycle! I'd also like to hear what the numbers meant on orgolove's stat thing. 0.5 in b, 3 in g, 5 in j. I read somewhere people got - points just because they vote switched to Amber? Did you not consider the circumstance where I could not have gotten internet access that day because I was out? And just because people vote switched to Amber does NOT mean they are town, it could have simply been a bussing of a team mate.

On May 11 2011 02:31 Forumite wrote:
Ilovejonn only ever voted for Cthsazsa or players that flipped Town.


Are you for real Forumite? Last time I checked you were on Kurumi's lynch, as well as Cthsazsa's lynch. Here, I'll list people that have gotten the wrong lynch for both days that are still alive:

Forumite, sinani. So, I was out the whole day, what is your excuse Forumite? It's extremely suspicious to me that you would use that against me when you yourself have done the same.

Also, to accuse me of highly likely being scum/GF because I'm a veteran is ridiculous. I have been town aligned my WHOLE career on TL mafia and I am going to say that it is the same for this game. If you expect me to be godlike like chaoser, then sorry, I am trying to improve, but that does not mean it does not allow room for me to be wrong does it?

Today's vote I am going with EM. I'm demoralized for being wrong so many times already and the only thing that is keeping me going is that chaoser was suspicious of EM as well as my own analysis of EM.
Snowflakes in January, Heart warm like February, I wouldn't ordinarily..
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