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TL Mafia XXXVIII - Page 17

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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DoctorHelvetica
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
United States15034 Posts
April 14 2011 22:28 GMT
#2339
lol they both show up at the same time to push the same idea and now ilovejonn is doing the "hey yeah lsb thats a pretty good idea" so he won't take heat for it if it blows up

nice coincidence
RIP Aaliyah
DoctorHelvetica
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
United States15034 Posts
April 14 2011 22:29 GMT
#2341
why don't you guys just vote for rean and we can check coag tonight, protactinium is dead to assassins on night 2, problem solved?

why not do that LSB and ilovejonn?
RIP Aaliyah
DoctorHelvetica
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
United States15034 Posts
April 14 2011 22:31 GMT
#2342
On April 15 2011 07:28 ilovejonn wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 15 2011 07:22 DoctorHelvetica wrote:
On April 15 2011 07:14 LSB wrote:
[image loading]

Read this

So, you, yes you. Why are you lynching Coagulation? Are you trusting the words of a Mafia (presumptuous) who lied about being an Assassin how do you know that, and has been Proven by Gmarshall to be lying about his role of detective?

Why are you lynching coagulation? Because you think he's red?

How about this. A compromise.

The Plan:
Today we lynch Prot no
Tonight we will call for a Vig hit on Coagulation LOL NO

If Coagulation is hit and survives the night, that means he is vet. If he isn't vet, he'll just be dead. Win win. This makes perfect sense if you are scum and coagulation is not. This means town wastes lynch on the assassin and we lose a vig hit that will be useful later. The vig hit is NOT to be used as a confirmation power, don't be silly. In a 40 person game that's just stupid.

Why this is preferable that letting Prot live
Contrary to popular belief, Mafia and assassins have little incentive to kill Prot. LOL This is because they know that if they let Prot live, he'll just be lynched. Incorrect. Assassins have a HUGE incentive to kill Prot. Because A= they gain 1 KP, B= they come closer to winning the game. This is good for them because it takes heat off of them for one day.

We will need to lynch Prot one way or the other. If we do it this way according to plan, we 1) Save a lynch. 2) If coag is saying the truth, we'll have 1 more townie.

we DO NOT need to lynch Prot because there is no way assassins wont hit him on night 2. This is a plan meant to make town WASTE a lynch and a VIG hit. You've contradicted yourself a lot trying to put this "plan" into place, I'll have a longer post on you coming up shortly.


Reading LSB's recent posts has put me in a bit of a new perspective. If he's scum, I doubt the mafia is all going along with this. Unfortunately Coagulations alignment gives a HUGE amount of information.

I think we should lynch Rean or m0nsterchef, someone like that. Have GMarshal check coagulation on night 2 and report the results. This way we can get the "information" without potentially losing a townie.

That's my plan : /

Also going to take a look at: redFF

I know GM claimed DT, but can we really trust his claim as well? He has bodyguards and no one can check GM. He also hasn't revealed who he checked Night 1 in order to protect him, but I can understand that.


because gmarshal proved mechanically that protactinium wasn't the DT. IF he was scum gambling to save coag he wouldn't do it in that nature, he'd say "bullshit cuz im the DT and i checked coag and he's veteran" or something like that. But he went into specifics about the way the DT works that only a DT would know.

That makes his claim pretty trustworthy in my eyes.

Also last game I was in (not tooo long ago) Gmarshal was the wishy washiest and most inactive lurker scum I've ever seen. Totally not how he's playing this game. Shit he gunned to get me lynched. He's just a bad scumhunter.
RIP Aaliyah
DoctorHelvetica
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
United States15034 Posts
April 14 2011 22:35 GMT
#2346
also note what LSB/ilovejonn propose indirectly saves coagulation if they are all mafia.

because:
this plan can "fail" and mafia can simply stack a hit on somebody tonight. when that happens coagulation claims "i took a hit" and seeing as there are only 2-3 deaths, the town believes the claim.

The "vig check" can be manipulate to make coagulation look a veteran if he is mafia and his claim could just be a set-up. Why would he have to claim Veteran in the first place? How does that help his "case against prot" at all? He says he can "prove it", is this plan by LSB the "proof" they had planned on?

This puts in my mind two scenarios:
LSB/ilovejonn are mafia trying to waste a vig hit on BLUE coagulation and a lynch and protactinium
LSB/ilovejonn are mafia with coagulation and trying to save him with an indirect defense

The GMarshal check is the safest and most pro-town way to resolve this situation. I say we look for a good analysis elsewhere and have a new lynch.
RIP Aaliyah
DoctorHelvetica
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
United States15034 Posts
April 14 2011 22:37 GMT
#2348
On April 15 2011 07:34 ilovejonn wrote:
Actually LSB's post ninja'd mine while I just came back, and when you bring a better case to the table when there are wayyy more people scummier than me to be considered a lynch target for today (Rean, Serejai, etc.), I might consider defending myself. Actually I just did. Would you rather lynch a target 70% likely to be scum or 50%?

i seriously doubt serejai is scum and after reconsidering aidnai's analysis of rean he does look sort of suspicious but more like just a bad newbie

LSB is not a bad newbie, this is deliberate misleading of the town and I'm calling it.

Lynch LSB, check coagulation. If LSB is red/Coag blue lynch ilovejonn. If LSB is red/coagulation red lynch Coag and hit ilovejonn imo.
RIP Aaliyah
DoctorHelvetica
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
United States15034 Posts
April 14 2011 22:40 GMT
#2352
On April 15 2011 07:36 ilovejonn wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 15 2011 07:31 DoctorHelvetica wrote:
On April 15 2011 07:28 ilovejonn wrote:
On April 15 2011 07:22 DoctorHelvetica wrote:
On April 15 2011 07:14 LSB wrote:
[image loading]

Read this

So, you, yes you. Why are you lynching Coagulation? Are you trusting the words of a Mafia (presumptuous) who lied about being an Assassin how do you know that, and has been Proven by Gmarshall to be lying about his role of detective?

Why are you lynching coagulation? Because you think he's red?

How about this. A compromise.

The Plan:
Today we lynch Prot no
Tonight we will call for a Vig hit on Coagulation LOL NO

If Coagulation is hit and survives the night, that means he is vet. If he isn't vet, he'll just be dead. Win win. This makes perfect sense if you are scum and coagulation is not. This means town wastes lynch on the assassin and we lose a vig hit that will be useful later. The vig hit is NOT to be used as a confirmation power, don't be silly. In a 40 person game that's just stupid.

Why this is preferable that letting Prot live
Contrary to popular belief, Mafia and assassins have little incentive to kill Prot. LOL This is because they know that if they let Prot live, he'll just be lynched. Incorrect. Assassins have a HUGE incentive to kill Prot. Because A= they gain 1 KP, B= they come closer to winning the game. This is good for them because it takes heat off of them for one day.

We will need to lynch Prot one way or the other. If we do it this way according to plan, we 1) Save a lynch. 2) If coag is saying the truth, we'll have 1 more townie.

we DO NOT need to lynch Prot because there is no way assassins wont hit him on night 2. This is a plan meant to make town WASTE a lynch and a VIG hit. You've contradicted yourself a lot trying to put this "plan" into place, I'll have a longer post on you coming up shortly.


Reading LSB's recent posts has put me in a bit of a new perspective. If he's scum, I doubt the mafia is all going along with this. Unfortunately Coagulations alignment gives a HUGE amount of information.

I think we should lynch Rean or m0nsterchef, someone like that. Have GMarshal check coagulation on night 2 and report the results. This way we can get the "information" without potentially losing a townie.

That's my plan : /

Also going to take a look at: redFF

I know GM claimed DT, but can we really trust his claim as well? He has bodyguards and no one can check GM. He also hasn't revealed who he checked Night 1 in order to protect him, but I can understand that.


because gmarshal proved mechanically that protactinium wasn't the DT. IF he was scum gambling to save coag he wouldn't do it in that nature, he'd say "bullshit cuz im the DT and i checked coag and he's veteran" or something like that. But he went into specifics about the way the DT works that only a DT would know.

That makes his claim pretty trustworthy in my eyes.

Also last game I was in (not tooo long ago) Gmarshal was the wishy washiest and most inactive lurker scum I've ever seen. Totally not how he's playing this game. Shit he gunned to get me lynched. He's just a bad scumhunter.

Huh... I actually would have assumed he PM'd the host to ask specifically about how a DT works. His claim is as trust worthy as Prot's, and Prot even explained why he just said Coag is mafia, why go into specifics if he is not a Roleblocker and just a Goon? Look, I am not here to defend Prot or push GM. I still stand that I feel Rean and Serejai are scum.

You assumed the reason that would lead us to distrust GMarshal's claim because you don't like the idea of an invincible DT do you?

That sort of breadcrumbing strategy, this much manipulation, it's not how Gmarshal plays scum. This is one of those things it's very easy to say scum might do but they probably never would. He didn't come right out and say it, he breadcrumbed and asked about it for a bit before he revealed the information.

He didn't want to claim. Scums goal is to get the claim in right away. He didn't claim until I actually pressured him to.

It sounds like you have a preset agenda, you don't want to analyse the information to come to a conclusion, you want to manipulate the information to come to your conclusion.
RIP Aaliyah
DoctorHelvetica
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
United States15034 Posts
April 14 2011 22:41 GMT
#2354
On April 15 2011 07:38 chaoser wrote:
Show nested quote +
because gmarshal proved mechanically that protactinium wasn't the DT. IF he was scum gambling to save coag he wouldn't do it in that nature, he'd say "bullshit cuz im the DT and i checked coag and he's veteran" or something like that. But he went into specifics about the way the DT works that only a DT would know.


Even I figured out that DT gave back alignment from the OP and I ain't a DT.

That makes his claim pretty trustworthy in my eyes.

Show nested quote +
Also last game I was in (not tooo long ago) Gmarshal was the wishy washiest and most inactive lurker scum I've ever seen. Totally not how he's playing this game. Shit he gunned to get me lynched. He's just a bad scumhunter.


Show nested quote +
On April 13 2011 11:24 DoctorHelvetica wrote:
No, it's a bad and shitty play. Bum's analysis on you is pretty good. Looking back you've contributed much less than Kav. You've been wishy washy in your lynch choices.

At first you said you'd lynch an inactive, this draws the least attention and is agreeable to most people. Then as soon as you're criticized for that seriously, you say "Yeah I'm gonna change! Stand up and be a man!"

Then you go back to being completely indecisive and pretty much poking at inactives as soon as everything blows over. Your defenses here aren't convincing, they actually make you look a bit worse.
I wish I had a read on your meta but I'm starting to think bum is right. Of course I won't put my votes on you until I read your post history for myself, I wish I had the time to do it today, but like I said: I'll wait until Day 2 to make a scum case. For the reason that I don't have time to analyse things much today and that it's just pointless to post it all at night since I'm invulnerable to hits for the time being.


wut lol

He isn't inactive. He's contributing but he isn't good at it. The game I played with him he said nothing and just asked other people to make decisions for him basically. Very different play overall.
RIP Aaliyah
DoctorHelvetica
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
United States15034 Posts
April 14 2011 22:42 GMT
#2356
On April 15 2011 07:40 ilovejonn wrote:
Wow Dr. H. Yeah, go ahead and lynch/hit me. Once I flip green you'll REALLY have to reconsider what you are looking at to find scum this game. AND STOP NINJA REPLYING TO MY POSTS, you are too fast.

Why don't you defend yourself properly instead of this guilt trip/sob story/psych me out bs
RIP Aaliyah
DoctorHelvetica
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
United States15034 Posts
April 14 2011 22:43 GMT
#2358
On April 15 2011 07:38 chaoser wrote:
Show nested quote +
because gmarshal proved mechanically that protactinium wasn't the DT. IF he was scum gambling to save coag he wouldn't do it in that nature, he'd say "bullshit cuz im the DT and i checked coag and he's veteran" or something like that. But he went into specifics about the way the DT works that only a DT would know.


Even I figured out that DT gave back alignment from the OP and I ain't a DT.

That makes his claim pretty trustworthy in my eyes.

Show nested quote +
Also last game I was in (not tooo long ago) Gmarshal was the wishy washiest and most inactive lurker scum I've ever seen. Totally not how he's playing this game. Shit he gunned to get me lynched. He's just a bad scumhunter.


Show nested quote +
On April 13 2011 11:24 DoctorHelvetica wrote:
No, it's a bad and shitty play. Bum's analysis on you is pretty good. Looking back you've contributed much less than Kav. You've been wishy washy in your lynch choices.

At first you said you'd lynch an inactive, this draws the least attention and is agreeable to most people. Then as soon as you're criticized for that seriously, you say "Yeah I'm gonna change! Stand up and be a man!"

Then you go back to being completely indecisive and pretty much poking at inactives as soon as everything blows over. Your defenses here aren't convincing, they actually make you look a bit worse.
I wish I had a read on your meta but I'm starting to think bum is right. Of course I won't put my votes on you until I read your post history for myself, I wish I had the time to do it today, but like I said: I'll wait until Day 2 to make a scum case. For the reason that I don't have time to analyse things much today and that it's just pointless to post it all at night since I'm invulnerable to hits for the time being.


wut lol

er you mean "didn't give back" right? i like that you appear minutes after i start pressuring lsb/ilovejonn to try to shut down my check plan

if gmarshal is lying about being the DT then this puts pressure on him to actually make something out of it. if he's mafia, this actually puts a ton of pressure on him. especially if a second DT does the same check.
RIP Aaliyah
DoctorHelvetica
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
United States15034 Posts
April 14 2011 22:44 GMT
#2359
On April 15 2011 07:42 chaoser wrote:
You said he was wishy washy. and now you're saying he's not wishy washy. Which is it?

inactive !=wishy washy
RIP Aaliyah
DoctorHelvetica
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
United States15034 Posts
April 14 2011 23:33 GMT
#2368
On April 15 2011 07:53 ilovejonn wrote:
Okay, look. I don't like where this is going. If you think I am scum and want to build a case around me fine. I will defend myself when I need to. I will let you have the last post on this matter if you will, but for now I will shut up and think about the situation and think of clear lynch targets.

I still FOS Rean and Serejai. If you are a newb Serejai please read some games and post better. You have not responded to any attacks towards you, whether you realized it or not, and are making people believe you are scum trying to coast along as a newbie more and more. Last game in Insane mafia 2, Lemonwalrus said it was his first game, Coag believed him to be a townie trying to learn the game when in fact he was scum, I will not tolerate people coasting by as a newb.

Does it really take 3 posts for you to tell me "if you want to call me scum build a case around me"

On April 15 2011 07:47 chaoser wrote:
I'm not asking about the inactive part. I'm asking about the wishy washy part.


Yes he is and I think that's just bad town play on his part. He admitted himself he isn't a great scumhunter and it shows in his poor analysis. But he's a lot less wishy washy. He didn't have the courage to even TRY to make a scumcase when he was scum before and in this game he calls me out and I'm the most vocal poster. Big difference.

Also noted: you show up at the same time I pressure LSB/Ilovejonn to indirectly defend them by discrediting Gmarshal.

Here's an important thing I realized while I was on my way to take the bus home:

Ilovejonn is completely willing to reject GMarshal's claim based on the idea that "oh he probably PM'd BrownBear to find out" yet insinuated Flamewheel could VERY WELL be the detective. This is completely contradictory logic. This is not the mistake of a townie who isn't thinking this is the mistake of someone who has a GOAL (to discredit GMarshal and block my plan from going through) and fucked up trying to achieve it.

Trying to discredit GMarshal's DT claim while ignoring the fact that Protactinium 100% CONFIRMED lied about his claim is ridiculous.
RIP Aaliyah
DoctorHelvetica
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
United States15034 Posts
April 14 2011 23:33 GMT
#2369
On April 15 2011 07:53 ilovejonn wrote:
Okay, look. I don't like where this is going. If you think I am scum and want to build a case around me fine. I will defend myself when I need to. I will let you have the last post on this matter if you will, but for now I will shut up and think about the situation and think of clear lynch targets.

I still FOS Rean and Serejai. If you are a newb Serejai please read some games and post better. You have not responded to any attacks towards you, whether you realized it or not, and are making people believe you are scum trying to coast along as a newbie more and more. Last game in Insane mafia 2, Lemonwalrus said it was his first game, Coag believed him to be a townie trying to learn the game when in fact he was scum, I will not tolerate people coasting by as a newb.

of course you don't because i'm sayin you and lsb are scum
RIP Aaliyah
DoctorHelvetica
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
United States15034 Posts
April 14 2011 23:34 GMT
#2370
On April 15 2011 08:31 TranceStorm wrote:
I just got back to this thread, and jesus christ I have missed so much. Personally, I feel that Serejai is definitely mafia because of his almost complete lack of comprehension in his posts. If you read his comments in some other threads, they seem rational and well thought-out as in he was definitely trying to understand the situation at hand. Here, however, he doesn't act like he's actively trying to understand whats going on and blatantly makes statements that defy logic What motivation would he have for doing so if he were town?

From my cursory glance at the thread, no one has seemed to step up and deny that Serejai is probably a mafia, but everyone seems to glide over the issue to focus on other lynch targets. I think this is currently misguided, we can't know for certain if any of those people are mafia or not so we should wait for a few more night actions. On the other hand, we have an almost guaranteed mafia in the form of Serejai. The likelihood that Serejai is mafia is far greater than that of any of the other players, each of whom seems to have lots of supporters and detractors.

I think Serajai is definitely town aligned. I have an issue with Serajai that must be resolved with the mod first though.
RIP Aaliyah
DoctorHelvetica
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
United States15034 Posts
April 14 2011 23:39 GMT
#2372
On April 15 2011 08:37 TranceStorm wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 15 2011 08:34 DoctorHelvetica wrote:
On April 15 2011 08:31 TranceStorm wrote:
I just got back to this thread, and jesus christ I have missed so much. Personally, I feel that Serejai is definitely mafia because of his almost complete lack of comprehension in his posts. If you read his comments in some other threads, they seem rational and well thought-out as in he was definitely trying to understand the situation at hand. Here, however, he doesn't act like he's actively trying to understand whats going on and blatantly makes statements that defy logic What motivation would he have for doing so if he were town?

From my cursory glance at the thread, no one has seemed to step up and deny that Serejai is probably a mafia, but everyone seems to glide over the issue to focus on other lynch targets. I think this is currently misguided, we can't know for certain if any of those people are mafia or not so we should wait for a few more night actions. On the other hand, we have an almost guaranteed mafia in the form of Serejai. The likelihood that Serejai is mafia is far greater than that of any of the other players, each of whom seems to have lots of supporters and detractors.

I think Serajai is definitely town aligned. I have an issue with Serajai that must be resolved with the mod first though.

Really? If you read his posts, they just seem to ignore all possible notions of logic meaning that he is deliberately putting on this facade of being new. No person would ever say that they believe that someone is correct because their icon is that of a DT unless they were deliberately acting in an illogical fashion.

Yes, I think he is town aligned. No one is taking his posts seriously, he isn't doing anything to affect the lynch/mislead town, he's essentially just posting jokes. It's hard to read that and I think there are bigger fish to deal with.

i.e scum actively trying to mislead lynches/town

i.e lsb
RIP Aaliyah
DoctorHelvetica
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
United States15034 Posts
April 14 2011 23:52 GMT
#2375
DoctorHelvetica's Plan


-GMarshal and the other (or if there are three all of them) check Coagulation on Night 2.
-GMarshal announces his results.
-If his results are incorrect, the other DT will claim and out him (and get medic protection that night)

This is undeniably a winning scenario for town. Look at each scenario.

GMarshal and Coagulation are SCUM.
-GMarshal is forced to bus him.
-If GMarshal lies about his claim to save Coagulation, the other DT calls him out and we lynch GMarshal and VIG HIT Coagulation. Netting a double scum kill.

GMarshal is DT and Coagulation is scum
-We lynch Coagulation and get a mafia kill.

GMarshal is scum and Coagulation is blue
-GMarshal is forced to lie and he will always lie that Coagulation is the veteran.
-If Coagulation is actually a different green/blue role or an assassin the real DT will claim this and we lynch GMarshal.

Both GMarshal and Coagulation are the roles they originally claimed.
-We now have good information we can use to reevaluate Day 2 and we avoid wasting a lynch on Coag or Protactinium.
RIP Aaliyah
DoctorHelvetica
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
United States15034 Posts
April 14 2011 23:54 GMT
#2376
On April 15 2011 08:52 DoctorHelvetica wrote:
DoctorHelvetica's Plan


-GMarshal and the other (or if there are three all of them) check Coagulation on Night 2.
-GMarshal announces his results.
-If his results are incorrect, the other DT will claim and out him (and get medic protection that night)

This is undeniably a winning scenario for town. Look at each scenario.

GMarshal and Coagulation are SCUM.
-GMarshal is forced to bus him.
-If GMarshal lies about his claim to save Coagulation, the other DT calls him out and we lynch GMarshal and VIG HIT Coagulation. Netting a double scum kill.

GMarshal is DT and Coagulation is scum
-We lynch Coagulation and get a mafia kill.

GMarshal is scum and Coagulation is blue
-GMarshal is forced to lie and he will always lie that Coagulation is the veteran.
-If Coagulation is actually a different green/blue role or an assassin the real DT will claim this and we lynch GMarshal.

Both GMarshal and Coagulation are the roles they originally claimed.
-We now have good information we can use to reevaluate Day 2 and we avoid wasting a lynch on Coag or Protactinium.


This will either:
-Put huge pressure on GMarshal if he lied about his DT claim.
-Get a scum kill
-Confirm Coagulation without wasting vig hits/lynch and "give information" the proper way instead of the scum way (lynching/viging people)
RIP Aaliyah
DoctorHelvetica
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
United States15034 Posts
April 14 2011 23:56 GMT
#2378
You are not the DT. You don't know Coagulation is mafia.
RIP Aaliyah
DoctorHelvetica
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
United States15034 Posts
April 14 2011 23:57 GMT
#2380
On April 15 2011 08:56 Rean wrote:
LSB is a waste of a lynch. He's on a crusade to get Protactinium lynched when mafia would just leave him to die to the assassins. I think it's pretty clear LSB is scum, but not the red kind, and hence not the kind worth wasting a lynch on.

And to get town to waste a vig
and to save coagulation
and to get the town to waste a lynch overall

getting an assassin lynched is a success for mafia especially if he's pressuring one of their teammates.

RIP Aaliyah
DoctorHelvetica
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
United States15034 Posts
April 15 2011 00:00 GMT
#2382
Chaoser asked the mod and says alignment is not returned. You highlighted your post in red when asked the EXACT result you got. Sounds like you're trying to BS your way out of it.

You have no real reason to tunnel Coagulation though I guess unless you are the DT.

I hate second guessing myself but I have to rethink.

There is the fact that there are no other veteran counterclaims and I think it's unlikely there are 2 vets thats a really weird number.
RIP Aaliyah
DoctorHelvetica
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
United States15034 Posts
April 15 2011 00:00 GMT
#2385
honestly flamewheel if you just admitted you're the assassin and promised to try to scumhunt normally maybe a medic will protect you because it looks really unlikely at this point
RIP Aaliyah
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