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TL Mafia XXXVII - Page 88

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
March 05 2011 23:20 GMT
#1741
So you agree that Jackal/Cogulation/The medic are townies?
Sweet.

So then why are all these townies supporting me?

Well, I think it's because when they got their role Pm, it didn't start with "You are mafia your scumbuddies are Annul/Seraph/Chaoser"
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
GMarshal
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States22154 Posts
March 05 2011 23:21 GMT
#1742
On March 06 2011 08:20 LSB wrote:
So you agree that Jackal/Cogulation/The medic are townies?
Sweet.

So then why are all these townies supporting me?

Well, I think it's because when they got their role Pm, it didn't start with "You are mafia your scumbuddies are Annul/Seraph/Chaoser"


You know repetitively saying "you are scum!!!" is a rather poor argument.
Moderator
Barundar
Profile Joined May 2010
Denmark1582 Posts
March 05 2011 23:22 GMT
#1743
Nope, I got a pretty strong town read on Jackal, and as far as I can tell from his silence, he is starting to doubt, why am I really trusting this guy. The information he can give town about your doings once you flip will be pretty damn valuable.

Coag I have been suspecting, but he hasn't been playing decisively anti town. Willing to give him the benefit of the doubt for now, you are the scum here.
Bartundar
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
March 05 2011 23:23 GMT
#1744
On March 06 2011 08:19 chaoser wrote:
It doesn't mean you're mafia, but it also doesn't mean you're 100% confirmed townie. 90% sure but not 100%. Why is this a problem? Look at the game where I did my MS paint analysis of BC. He survived a full two days cause we all thought he was 90% town. We then lost the game due to lying and bluesniping.

Why not 100%? Give me one solution. LA is Vet, and I get him to claim that he was hit when he wasn't.

Again, you are falling for the bait. Instead of evaluating like a townie with "which one is better if we lose it", you evaluate it like a mafia. Which one is better for us to kill? Which one won't hurt us if he is a confirmed townie.

In fact, it still shows because instead of trying to lynch LA. You still try to push me.
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
March 05 2011 23:23 GMT
#1745
On March 06 2011 08:21 GMarshal wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 06 2011 08:20 LSB wrote:
So you agree that Jackal/Cogulation/The medic are townies?
Sweet.

So then why are all these townies supporting me?

Well, I think it's because when they got their role Pm, it didn't start with "You are mafia your scumbuddies are Annul/Seraph/Chaoser"


You know repetitively saying "you are scum!!!" is a rather poor argument.

Umm... Considering you've stopped actually responding to my arguments, I don't see how you can take the 'high ground'
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
Jackal58
Profile Joined November 2010
United States4264 Posts
March 05 2011 23:23 GMT
#1746
On March 06 2011 08:00 Barundar wrote:
You are being played Jackal. We all know you are town and that you are convinced, but really, what made you believe in LSB's lies?

I haven't discounted that possibility. However if I have been the number of people that played me is impressive. The fact that they would think so highly of me to put this shitstorm in motion is also some what flattering. It would be one of the best and biggest games scum ever played. I'd feel like the biggest stooge on TL. It would be more epic than Coag blowing up GGQ.
Yes I've considered that I'm being played. And shit has happened that makes that possibility nil.

Life can only kill you once.
chaoser
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
United States5541 Posts
March 05 2011 23:24 GMT
#1747
Peace guys, heading out to my birthday party. Let's win this town
Haven't you heard? I'm not an ex-progamer. I'm not a poker player. I'm not an admin of the site. I'm mother fucking Rekrul.
Jackal58
Profile Joined November 2010
United States4264 Posts
March 05 2011 23:27 GMT
#1748
On March 06 2011 08:22 Barundar wrote:
Nope, I got a pretty strong town read on Jackal, and as far as I can tell from his silence, he is starting to doubt, why am I really trusting this guy. The information he can give town about your doings once you flip will be pretty damn valuable.

Coag I have been suspecting, but he hasn't been playing decisively anti town. Willing to give him the benefit of the doubt for now, you are the scum here.

My silence is due to me cooking dinner not doubt.
Stuffed pork chops!!!!!!!
Life can only kill you once.
CubEdIn
Profile Blog Joined April 2006
Romania5359 Posts
March 05 2011 23:30 GMT
#1749
Nah, Barundar is right. I have been indecisive at a few points in this game. But only scum can be 100% sure of who's town and who isn't.
Im not a n00b, I just play like one.
GMarshal
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States22154 Posts
March 05 2011 23:36 GMT
#1750
On March 06 2011 08:23 LSB wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 06 2011 08:19 chaoser wrote:
It doesn't mean you're mafia, but it also doesn't mean you're 100% confirmed townie. 90% sure but not 100%. Why is this a problem? Look at the game where I did my MS paint analysis of BC. He survived a full two days cause we all thought he was 90% town. We then lost the game due to lying and bluesniping.

Why not 100%? Give me one solution. LA is Vet, and I get him to claim that he was hit when he wasn't.

Again, you are falling for the bait. Instead of evaluating like a townie with "which one is better if we lose it", you evaluate it like a mafia. Which one is better for us to kill? Which one won't hurt us if he is a confirmed townie.

In fact, it still shows because instead of trying to lynch LA. You still try to push me.


Ok time to draw a word picture from a town perspective, without knowing you shot someone else and were protected

Scenario 1
LSB is Vigi
LA is scum
LA should have died and didn't , this is near impossible, discard this possibility

Scenario 2
LSB is scum
LA is vet
LSB decides to waste a kp on a minor target to claim vigi, ok its doable, but odd, I guess if the scum team thought LA was a blue or really wanted to confirm LSB, this is a real possibility although unlikely here the best scenario is hang LSB

Scenario 3

LSB is vigi
LA is vet

it makes no sense for LSB to waste his shot on LA but it could happen, if we hang LSB then LA could still be red and lying

Scenario 4
LSB is scum
LA is scum
They are both lying double hang.
if we hang LSB we prove nothing

Whatever happens hanging LA and having him flip blue dosn't necessarily confirm LSB, although having him flip red confirms LSB as scum as it could still be a scum KP. If we lynch LSB and he flips anything but vigi it tells us nothing about LA. this actualy smacks of an LSB power play. if it were anyone else I would have a hard time believing it

TLDR: from a logical town perspective lynching either LA or LSB would not necessarily tell us anything about the other players.

This means that anyone who wanted to hang LSB was just as valid as anyone who wanted to hang LA as it gives us different and probably inconclusive information depending on the flip.
Moderator
CubEdIn
Profile Blog Joined April 2006
Romania5359 Posts
March 05 2011 23:48 GMT
#1751
@GM: what?

LSB shot Bum, see last two pages.
Im not a n00b, I just play like one.
GMarshal
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States22154 Posts
March 05 2011 23:49 GMT
#1752
I know, the point of this is that before we knew that it was not necessarily a mistake to want to lynch LSB based on the information we had at hand
Moderator
deconduo
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
Ireland4122 Posts
March 05 2011 23:55 GMT
#1753
[image loading]

WTF just happened.
deconduo
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
Ireland4122 Posts
March 06 2011 00:05 GMT
#1754
So last night the following happened:

1) Mafia hit Foolishness, LA, LSB. LSB shot bumatlarge. LSB was medic protected. LA is vet.

2) Mafia hit Foolishness, LA, bumatlarge. LSB is lying about being vig. LA is vet.

3) Mafia hit Foolishness, bumatlarge. LSB, LA lying.

4) Something I'm missing.

If it is situation 1 or 2, why would mafia hit LA?


Barundar
Profile Joined May 2010
Denmark1582 Posts
March 06 2011 00:05 GMT
#1755
LSB's last attempt at looking pro town happened.
Bartundar
GMarshal
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States22154 Posts
March 06 2011 00:07 GMT
#1756
On March 06 2011 09:05 deconduo wrote:
So last night the following happened:

1) Mafia hit Foolishness, LA, LSB. LSB shot bumatlarge. LSB was medic protected. LA is vet.

2) Mafia hit Foolishness, LA, bumatlarge. LSB is lying about being vig. LA is vet.

3) Mafia hit Foolishness, bumatlarge. LSB, LA lying.

4) Something I'm missing.

If it is situation 1 or 2, why would mafia hit LA?




4.) Mafia hit bumatlarge, foolishness, LA and LSB are lying

5.) mafia hit foolishness, LSB, LSB was medic saved, LSB hit bumatlarge, LA lied at LSB's request so did LSB.
Moderator
CubEdIn
Profile Blog Joined April 2006
Romania5359 Posts
March 06 2011 00:08 GMT
#1757
On March 06 2011 08:49 GMarshal wrote:
I know, the point of this is that before we knew that it was not necessarily a mistake to want to lynch LSB based on the information we had at hand


Oh I see.

Well, I agree that the wagon on LSB doesn't prove much, because LSB has been targeted many, many times this game. So I kinda get why people would pick him over LA.
It's just that chaoser has been far more aggressive than anyone else, and he's had some shifty posts in the past (see vote on LSB in day 2, with no real arguments).

Well, off to sleep now.
Im not a n00b, I just play like one.
deconduo
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
Ireland4122 Posts
March 06 2011 00:14 GMT
#1758
@LSB

-Why did you lie about hitting LA
-Why did you not claim hit earlier
-Did LA actually get hit?


ohN
Profile Blog Joined November 2009
United States1075 Posts
March 06 2011 00:19 GMT
#1759
On March 06 2011 07:43 LSB wrote:
Chaoser immediately pushed the town to lynching LSB instead of LA. Instead of lynching LA to confirm LSB, he realizes this could be his chance to take out LSB, who's been confirmed three times over

Where were these confirmations?
deconduo
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
Ireland4122 Posts
March 06 2011 00:20 GMT
#1760
On March 06 2011 05:47 Jackal58 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 06 2011 04:52 chaoser wrote:
I just want to say that this is win win for town, if LSB is red then we have the rest of the red team. If LSB is vigi then we have pretty much a confirmed townie and we can all claim if we decide that's the wisest choice and work from there. If DT/cops are still alive we can narrow down the suspects like whoa.

Lemme rain on your collective parades.

1. LSB is town
2. LSB is vigi.
3. LSB shot bumatlarge not LA.
4. I am speaking for one of our medics.
5. LSB was hit on the last night cycle.
6. LSB is protecting LA for reasons that none of us in the circle truly understand.
7. LSB believes LA to be town. That is his belief alone. I am not defending LA.
8. Nobody in our circle is defending LA.
9. I cannot name any of the others in our circle without throwing medics and others to the wolves. I will not do that. Do not ask Gryff. I will not answer.
10. I have been in contact with people that were in a circle with Foolishness.
!!. Their scum list matches ours on 3 out of 4 names.

There are 2 ways you guys can confirm some of this.

1 - Continue with you lynch of LSB. He is a vigi. This will provide absolutely no info on LA. Will only let you know that I'm not bullshitting you.
2 - Lynch me. You get a vanilla townie. And no other useful information.

Both options are anti-town. We need all the townies we can get no matter if they are lucid or not.

Lynch Chaoser.


How did you come to the 'Lynch Chaoser' conclusion from this post. Whether or not the rest of it is true, you have a really annoying habit of making large leaps in logic and not explaining them.
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