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TL Mafia XXXVII - Page 4

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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deconduo
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
Ireland4122 Posts
March 02 2011 15:30 GMT
#1340
@ gryff:

Sent at 3/2/11 01:13

Original Message From gryffindor:
Already on top of it!

To: Coagulation [ Profile | Buddy | Report ]
Subject: mafi
Date: 3/1/11 21:23
why are you voting JBright with a nearly RVS-style post on d3? Can you not make a case? Like, are you completely incapable of giving proper reasoning?

Show nested quote +
Original Message From deconduo:
Coag has 110 posts in the game, all but ~3 of them are one liners. I know he has a spammy reputation but I'm pretty sure he contributed a lot more in Orgah.
deconduo
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
Ireland4122 Posts
March 02 2011 21:43 GMT
#1394
Just a few things:

Cubed does have a good point that people seem to be missing. Why ignore the possibility of Jackal being the one with the fake roleclaim. Chaoser doesn't even mention it and bum simply says 'Now, I can't say much on jackal'

Regardless of what the situation is with them is, the fact that this was ignored in the analysis is the important point.


Those PMs do paint a somewhat different picture of seraph. If seraph was trying to bus annul why didn't he do so in the thread?


deconduo
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
Ireland4122 Posts
March 02 2011 21:44 GMT
#1395
On March 03 2011 06:39 Foolishness wrote:
btw did you guys know there is a player in this game by the name of "LastArgument"? Did you guys know that he's probably mafia? Just a friendly reminder.


I was just about to say that theres a lot of lurkers, especially ohn and LA.
deconduo
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
Ireland4122 Posts
March 02 2011 21:55 GMT
#1400
On March 03 2011 06:50 Jackal58 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 03 2011 06:43 deconduo wrote:
Just a few things:

Cubed does have a good point that people seem to be missing. Why ignore the possibility of Jackal being the one with the fake roleclaim. Chaoser doesn't even mention it and bum simply says 'Now, I can't say much on jackal'

Regardless of what the situation is with them is, the fact that this was ignored in the analysis is the important point.


Those PMs do paint a somewhat different picture of seraph. If seraph was trying to bus annul why didn't he do so in the thread?



It's because LSB is at the front end of several peoples scum list. The only reason I can think of. I fully expected to be thoroughly grilled by posting my RB.


Again the point is not whether or not you are more suspicious than LSB, but that chaos and bum completely ignored the possibility of it.
deconduo
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
Ireland4122 Posts
March 02 2011 23:41 GMT
#1413
On February 10 2011 15:40 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
Voting rules:

1. Voting is done (in a separate thread, located *NOT MADE YET*). When you vote, you must ALSO post in the main thread saying your vote. This is to keep the game in the game, while also making vote tally's more manageable. Do not PM me your vote.

deconduo
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
Ireland4122 Posts
March 02 2011 23:56 GMT
#1421
I really dislike it when people tell me I have to vote for one of XYZ. However I agree that the votes are too spread out at the moment.

Given a choice between those three I'm going to stick with my gut from yesterday.

Unvote
##Vote LSB
deconduo
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
Ireland4122 Posts
March 03 2011 00:01 GMT
#1423
Just a note:

chaoser: annul, icemac, JBright
Cubed: annul, icemac, JBright
kevconsim: annul, icemac, JBright <- new player I think but serious lurker. votes without explaining.
deconduo
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
Ireland4122 Posts
March 03 2011 00:09 GMT
#1427
On March 03 2011 09:02 chaoser wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 03 2011 09:01 deconduo wrote:
Just a note:

chaoser: annul, icemac, JBright
Cubed: annul, icemac, JBright
kevconsim: annul, icemac, JBright <- new player I think but serious lurker. votes without explaining.


please post more lists that have no meaning because they take out all the context.


I like lists. I'm not very good at doing huge long analyses on people, so I look at little things that other people tend to gloss over. Like voting patterns. Like what wagons people were on and why they changed.

In this case, the three of you have voted the exact same way so far in all lynches. Might be a coincidence but what harm does it do to post it? FYI you are one of the few people I have pegged as probably town.

Also its not out of context because there is no context. It is what it is.
deconduo
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
Ireland4122 Posts
March 03 2011 00:18 GMT
#1430
On March 03 2011 09:07 CubEdIn wrote:
So, at first you agree with me that it's suspicious that people bussed LSB, while ignoring Jackal, which can mean that at least some of the mafia were happy he's being targeted and jumped on board. But then you go like 'fuck it' and vote for him anyway.

And voting patterns don't mean much, especially if you point them out so soon, so that Mafia will know to start switching them up the following days.


Its somewhat suspicious and worth pointing out. Its nothing major though, and while I'd suspect bum because of his small amount of posts, chaoser would be fairly low down on my suspect list as I said above. Its just a drop in the water compared to my suspicions of LSB.

Its hard for mafia to switch up their patterns if one of their buddies is on the line. Maybe I should have waited a bit but I felt like a good time to post it as I don't particularly like the JBright wagon right now.
deconduo
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
Ireland4122 Posts
March 03 2011 00:29 GMT
#1433
On March 03 2011 09:25 Jackal58 wrote:
I am going to change my vote in a bit to either JBright or Seraph. But I want to wait to ensure we actually get a lynch.
I also want to see who shows up trying to push a diversion.
Please try to stay active in the last hour town. Please?????


I'm off to bed unfortunately. Late lynch deadline really fucks over us EUs
deconduo
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
Ireland4122 Posts
March 04 2011 14:45 GMT
#1603
Hi guys, sorry I was away yesterday. Going to catch up now.
deconduo
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
Ireland4122 Posts
March 04 2011 16:36 GMT
#1607
First of all, regarding LA:

1) Mafia hit
2) Vig hit
3) Lie

1. Is extremely unlikely for obvious reasons. Only thing I can think of would be an attempted blue snipe. His lurking would draw mafia just as it drew town attention. Even still, much better targets out there imo.

2. No vig has claimed and theres no reason for them to stay quiet.

3. Most obvious scenario. Huge analysis done against him and suddenly he's hit? Again, a vig hit would make sense because of this but no-one has claimed.
deconduo
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
Ireland4122 Posts
March 04 2011 16:56 GMT
#1608
I would still be very suspicious of JBright. He himself tried to get lynched ahead of Seraph. He dropped a vote on himself to even the lynch with 6 minutes to go. The way I see it mafia probably wanted him lynched ahead of seraph thinking seraph had a better chance in later days. The 'modkill' excuse feels really weak.

Also he hasn't posted since the lynch at all.
deconduo
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
Ireland4122 Posts
March 04 2011 17:04 GMT
#1609
I don't understand why they chose bumatlarge. What's not to understand?
If I were mafia I would go for a lot of other people, like Ser Aspi, LSB, GM, LunarD, etc. Heck, even you would make a better target.
I need to go over bum's posts to see what he did to piss them off.


I don't see why bum is such a bad target. He's a pretty good player even if he hadn't been posting a whole lot this game. Even then, if I was mafia I'd have pegged him as a blue because of it.
deconduo
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
Ireland4122 Posts
March 04 2011 23:53 GMT
#1639
I don't agree with LAL but considering I've wanted LSB dead for the last 2 days this is an easy choice for me.

##Vote: LSB
deconduo
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
Ireland4122 Posts
March 05 2011 00:21 GMT
#1645
On March 05 2011 09:18 CubEdIn wrote:
If LSB didn't hit LA, then either:
a) Mafia did it - makes no sense
b) Another vig did it and is keeping quiet - makes even less sense.

I get that LSB's defense doesn't look good, but that doesn't mean he's red. He might just be trying to justify the fact that he did something stupid.

Also, @ why, thanks for the shout-out, lol.


You missed
c) He's lying
deconduo
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
Ireland4122 Posts
March 05 2011 00:21 GMT
#1646
Great minds
deconduo
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
Ireland4122 Posts
March 05 2011 01:17 GMT
#1649
On March 05 2011 10:16 Coagulation wrote:
CubEdIn WHO ARE YOU GONNA VOTE AND WHY?


Cubed, LA, LSB, kev are scum. Cubed is probably the GF.
deconduo
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
Ireland4122 Posts
March 05 2011 01:20 GMT
#1650
On March 05 2011 10:17 deconduo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 05 2011 10:16 Coagulation wrote:
CubEdIn WHO ARE YOU GONNA VOTE AND WHY?


Cubed, LA, LSB, kev are scum. Cubed is probably the GF.


LSB as GF makes more sense actually. He probably picked vig.
deconduo
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
Ireland4122 Posts
March 05 2011 23:55 GMT
#1753
[image loading]

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