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Russo-Ukrainian War Thread - Page 456

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NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets.

Your supporting statement should always come BEFORE you provide the source.
FueledUpAndReadyToGo
Profile Blog Joined March 2013
Netherlands30548 Posts
June 08 2023 13:42 GMT
#9101
Unleashing a immense disaster flood that can be seen from space was not enough for Russia they are now shelling the flooded city where rescue operations are still underway.

Neosteel Enthusiast
maybenexttime
Profile Blog Joined November 2006
Poland5757 Posts
June 08 2023 14:42 GMT
#9102
When you think Russia can't stoop any lower. At this point I wouldn't put it past them to deliberately cause a nuclear disaster if the Ukrainian counteroffensive goes really badly for them.
zeo
Profile Joined October 2009
Serbia6336 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-06-08 17:24:30
June 08 2023 16:53 GMT
#9103
Finally footage released of the pictures posted this morning regarding the armor column with Leopard tanks taken out yesterday. Only one seems to be destroyed with the others disabled



Keep in mind all of this went down yesterday with the heaviest fighting and reported losses coming in during the night attacks and throughout the day today. The entire southern frontline is on fire with the heaviest fighting in the Orekhov direction. Active fighting lasted 13 hours with the UAF first taking a height at Russian forward positions during the morning and being repelled back by the afternoon with the area currently being a grey zone.

With the clips released today that makes 74 (confirmed with visual evidence) armor losses in the last 72 hours for the UAF. As I mentioned before the soldiers doing the fighting now have much more urgent things to do with their time than film tik toks for us so the real damage being done is unknown.



The UAF still has very very large reserves in the back but the forces deployed to forward attacking positions are growing exponentially every day. At this rate of losses they might only have a few more days left to make the breakthrough

edit: Video also of groups of UAF infantry walking into minefields ect, bit more +18 than posting destroyed equipment and more than a bit distasteful in any case. Though I'm sure if you want to find them it won't be hard.
"No amount of evidence will ever persuade an idiot." - Mark Twain
2Pacalypse-
Profile Joined October 2006
Croatia9530 Posts
June 08 2023 21:10 GMT
#9104
Yeah, the start of the counter-offensive is looking rough. Denys Davydov made a pretty honest video update about today's events:

Moderator"We're a community of geniuses because we've found how to extract 95% of the feeling of doing something amazing without actually doing anything." - Chill
[Phantom]
Profile Blog Joined August 2013
Mexico2170 Posts
June 08 2023 22:44 GMT
#9105
It honestly makes sense. I know there was a lot of hype in Reddit of people believing Ukraine would win easy but one thing is attacking and another is defending. Specially when the Russians have known for a while they’d try that.
WriterTeamLiquid Staff writer since 2014 @Mortal_Phantom
yoshi245
Profile Joined May 2011
United States2972 Posts
June 08 2023 23:49 GMT
#9106
I already came in with dead low expectations that Ukraine's going to lose quite a lot of manpower and weaponry on this counter-offensive with very little to gain in terms of reclaiming lost land. Still, seeing that many Leopards get pummeled like that was downright nasty.

Even worse off is I feel the Abrams if when they get brought over to Ukraine won't fare much better unless Ukraine switches up their tactics as well. The M1's Ukraine is getting will not be M1A2's but instead M1A1's just to speed up the delivery according to the US DoD.
https://www.defense.gov/News/News-Stories/Article/Article/3336826/ukrainians-to-get-us-tanks-by-fall/

Hopefully the Challenger 2's won't suffer the same type of embarrassing fate as the Leopard 2s received today.
"Numbers speak about the past, not the present." -Thorzain
Lmui
Profile Joined November 2010
Canada6223 Posts
June 09 2023 00:46 GMT
#9107
Given how many areas Ukraine is pushing along, I'm not super surprised by the results so far. Russia has had months or more to prepare with deep minefields and prepared defenses. It's going to be difficult to break through anywhere along the front.

The thing is, Russia has to defend every point of contact. If Ukraine manages to break through and create a spearhead past the current defensive line, they will likely be able to funnel much of the western trained brigades into the gap. It's going to be hard to pry open that initial hole in the lines.

The lack of airpower to suppress artillery while clearing minefields is pretty key to much of the losses so far, there just isn't a fast way through prepared defenses.
Sermokala
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States14104 Posts
June 09 2023 04:15 GMT
#9108
There are lines of defense to grind through, success or failure doesn't mean anything for the first week or so. Pressure may find a crack in the lines but there are a lot of reserves on both sides to grind through.

We've never seen anything like this before from WW2. A combined arms offensive with both sides having time to prepare and coordinate. This is something that will take weeks to play out for the shortest result.

I wouldn't trust a single bit of news to come out in the next weeks. The one Leopard that we know of being destroyed is I think the only one you can confirm. There was news of a few being taken out but that turned out to be manure spreaders. Both sides have had months or more than a year to prepare footage and pictures to push out.
A wise man will say that he knows nothing. We're gona party like its 2752 Hail Dark Brandon
Excludos
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Norway8234 Posts
June 09 2023 08:34 GMT
#9109
On June 09 2023 13:15 Sermokala wrote:
There are lines of defense to grind through, success or failure doesn't mean anything for the first week or so. Pressure may find a crack in the lines but there are a lot of reserves on both sides to grind through.

We've never seen anything like this before from WW2. A combined arms offensive with both sides having time to prepare and coordinate. This is something that will take weeks to play out for the shortest result.

I wouldn't trust a single bit of news to come out in the next weeks. The one Leopard that we know of being destroyed is I think the only one you can confirm. There was news of a few being taken out but that turned out to be manure spreaders. Both sides have had months or more than a year to prepare footage and pictures to push out.


This is a very healthy approach. Some of the "leaked images of destroyed Leopard tanks" have already shown to be photoshopped. The only thing we can confirm with pretty certainty is that one was destroyed, and they've otherwise lost a lot of armor and men in these past few days. Who holds what, how the attacks are going, and any reasonable estimates for both sides are going to have to be seen through beer goggles, as the people on the front have other things to do than TikTok their positions away (Phones were banned a couple of months ago if I recall correctly, in preparations for exactly this)
Magic Powers
Profile Joined April 2012
Austria4478 Posts
June 09 2023 08:47 GMT
#9110
Agreed, more misinformation is spreading. Double and triple verification is especially important right now.
If you want to do the right thing, 80% of your job is done if you don't do the wrong thing.
CuddlyCuteKitten
Profile Joined January 2004
Sweden2716 Posts
June 09 2023 09:46 GMT
#9111
Expect to see massive graveyards of burnt out vehicles.
Mechanized attacks on fortified positions are expected to be costly. The payoff comes after you break the line and surge through.

I would not be suprised to see a hundred lost vehicles or more to push through the entire defensive line.

No doubt the Ukrainian army knows this to and still think they can do it.
waaaaaaaaaaaooooow - Felicia, SPF2:T
sertas
Profile Joined April 2012
Sweden890 Posts
June 09 2023 10:07 GMT
#9112
Mines are so effective at stopping offense, look at vuhledar dissaste for russians and now mines taking out leopard(s) and other vechicles.

Seems like there's no effective counter and it's a cheap and effective way at stopping ground offensives, will have to wait and see if ukraine can overcome this problem.
FueledUpAndReadyToGo
Profile Blog Joined March 2013
Netherlands30548 Posts
June 09 2023 11:03 GMT
#9113
The Leopard ambush is rough to see, but even with the Leopard column getting hit, looking at the the visually confirmed losses on Oryx, Russia lost 56 vehicles vs 53 for Ukraine. The idea that only Ukraine is taking losses is silly.

And people are not releasing much footage due to media silence during the offensive. Ukranian ministry of defense claims like 30 russian artillery pieces taken out every day, who knows, maybe the artillery that hit the Leopard column is already out of action by now due to counter battery fire. We don't know the picture and numbers and you really can't draw conclusions early.
Neosteel Enthusiast
Zaros
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United Kingdom3692 Posts
June 09 2023 11:16 GMT
#9114
Telegraph was also reporting yesterday (albeit unverifiable rumours) that the Russian reserves have gone into Bakhmut, if so then Russia doesn't have much flexibility with its defence anymore. If there is a breakthrough things could change very quickly.
ZeroByte13
Profile Joined March 2022
785 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-06-09 12:32:54
June 09 2023 12:31 GMT
#9115
I guess it's more or less futile to try and understand what is going on right now.

Any information right now might be
- intentionally false
- unintentionally false
- true for some short time but then everything changes

In a week or so we might see actual long-term results, who has achieved what so far and what are future perspectives.
zeo
Profile Joined October 2009
Serbia6336 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-06-09 13:59:20
June 09 2023 13:28 GMT
#9116


First confirmed Bradleys and a Leopard 2A6 knocked out. Also video coming in of other Leos burning and other asorted armor destroyed, will try to find a Tweet that has them all together when I get back from work. Also night video released this morning of a KA52 attack helicopter working on a UAF collumn.



These events probably happened a day or two ago outside the first Russian forward positions

Edit: here is the video the screenshot from the first tweet came from.



Edit2: Julian made a concise write up of the losses that have surfaced today so it should all be in his twitter thread:

"No amount of evidence will ever persuade an idiot." - Mark Twain
Magic Powers
Profile Joined April 2012
Austria4478 Posts
June 09 2023 14:35 GMT
#9117
Not a fan of one-sided reporting. Both sides must be losing hardware at an increased rate and I don't see the purpose of only showing Ukrainian examples.
KyivIndependent posts daily estimates of Russian losses.

https://twitter.com/KyivIndependent


Brief summary (starting June 3rd) that I quickly put together from the infographics.
Note: I'm only posting 3 of the more relevant categories due to time constraints. There are 12 categories for hardware and 1 for casualties.

[image loading]
If you want to do the right thing, 80% of your job is done if you don't do the wrong thing.
Falling
Profile Blog Joined June 2009
Canada11439 Posts
June 09 2023 14:45 GMT
#9118
and I don't see the purpose of only showing Ukrainian examples.

Well... a few days backed I poked around on one of those twitter account's timeline and it exclusively reported Ukraine losses and Wagner's advances... and when Wagner took control of Bakhmut, called it the 'liberation of Bakhmut'. So there's that.
Moderator"In Trump We Trust," says the Golden Goat of Mars Lago. Have faith and believe! Trump moves in mysterious ways. Like the wind he blows where he pleases...
Zaros
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United Kingdom3692 Posts
June 09 2023 14:56 GMT
#9119
We all know what side Zeo is on, I just ignore anything he posts.
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22123 Posts
June 09 2023 15:15 GMT
#9120
Just look at who posts it and you'll see why it seems one sided lol
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
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