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After 950 tries, South Korean woman passes drivers - Page 3

Forum Index > General Forum
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synapse
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
China13814 Posts
November 07 2009 02:25 GMT
#41
ROFL how hard can the test be....
:)
YPang
Profile Blog Joined April 2007
United States4024 Posts
November 07 2009 02:44 GMT
#42
On November 07 2009 09:13 illu wrote:
Another roadkiller appears!

hahahaha
sMi.Gladstone | BW: B high| SC2: gold T_T
dinmsab
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
Malaysia2246 Posts
November 07 2009 02:45 GMT
#43
lol @ spending more than $4200 just for the written test. She's going to spent a lot more on the road test i believe. Some people are just not smart enough to know when to stop trying.
..
AcrossFiveJulys
Profile Blog Joined September 2005
United States3612 Posts
Last Edited: 2009-11-07 02:54:39
November 07 2009 02:52 GMT
#44
On November 07 2009 09:53 ShadowDrgn wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 07 2009 09:16 Ftrunkz wrote:
Would love to see the math of the probability of her passing after that many tries simply guessing every single multiple choice question (assuming 4 different answers for each). TBH I would've thought she'd pass soon simply guessing... kinda unlucky imo.


Actually, it's not so bad for her.

http://stattrek.com/Tables/Binomial.aspx

Probability of each question with 4 choices = .25
Trials = 50
Successes >= 30

Result: 1.64229e-7

Odds of failing 949 times in a row: 99.98% (that's just (1 - result)^949)

So yeah, you aren't going to randomly guess yourself into a passing score.


expanding on that, you can plug 1.64229e-7 as the probability into a geometric distribution and take the expected value, which comes out to

3.70766282e13 trials

so she would have to take the test around 37 trillion times to expect to get a score >= 60 randomly.

so yea, she definitely improved her knowledge hahaha
imDerek
Profile Blog Joined August 2007
United States1944 Posts
November 07 2009 02:55 GMT
#45
congratulations to the lady
Least favorite progamers: Leta, Zero, Mind, Shine, free, really <-- newly added
SwEEt[TearS]
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
Canada1575 Posts
November 07 2009 02:57 GMT
#46
I laughed so much when I saw the first thread about this haha
good for her
#1 arb fan -- Raelcun is Nuclear backwards. Rekrul is Lurker backwards. Grobyc is Cyborg backwards. Eniram is Marine backwards.
GreEny K
Profile Joined February 2008
Germany7312 Posts
November 07 2009 03:04 GMT
#47
On November 07 2009 09:26 NrG.NeverExpo wrote:
I think god was trying to tell her something...After 700 it would seem pretty clear to me. Wouldn't be surprised or upset if she died in a car accident within 24 hours.


rofl, so true. Hope she doesnt but if she does then we know why.
Why would you ever choose failure, when success is an option.
Sadist
Profile Blog Joined October 2002
United States7328 Posts
November 07 2009 03:11 GMT
#48
reminds me of the guy who worked for the state of michigan when I worked there a few summers ago who failed the PE test for civil engineering 15 years in a row.
How do you go from where you are to where you want to be? I think you have to have an enthusiasm for life. You have to have a dream, a goal and you have to be willing to work for it. Jim Valvano
wok
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
United States504 Posts
November 07 2009 03:14 GMT
#49
On November 07 2009 09:52 Steve496 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 07 2009 09:16 Ftrunkz wrote:
Would love to see the math of the probability of her passing after that many tries simply guessing every single multiple choice question (assuming 4 different answers for each). TBH I would've thought she'd pass soon simply guessing... kinda unlucky imo.


On a test with 50 questions and 4 possible answers per question, the odds of getting 30 or more correct by guessing randomly are 1 in 6,089,075. So the odds of getting it within 950 tries by just guessing are about one in 6,410. So it would appear that she did actually learn something during the process. That, or she just got really, really lucky.


I'm getting 29 million as the expected # of tests she would have to take.
I'll race you to defeatism... you win.
gyth
Profile Blog Joined September 2009
657 Posts
November 07 2009 03:24 GMT
#50
I think I would have read the handout if I failed it twice.
Five times and I might start mixing questions into conversation.
$100+ and I'd get a tutor.
$1000+ and I would have thought more about how well this selling fruit out of my car thing was gonna make me money.

The things people do to get an unemployment check???
The plural of anecdote is not data.
Omni
Profile Joined May 2009
United States72 Posts
November 07 2009 03:28 GMT
#51
Jeeez, 950 tries to pass the written test.

The written part isn't even that hard! Anyways, seeing how she did on the written test, theres no way she'll pass the driving part unless she has been doing it illegally.
il0seonpurpose
Profile Blog Joined January 2007
Korea (South)5638 Posts
Last Edited: 2009-11-07 03:40:36
November 07 2009 03:40 GMT
#52
Oh wow, I want to congratulate her but at the same time, come on.

On November 07 2009 09:52 Steve496 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 07 2009 09:16 Ftrunkz wrote:
Would love to see the math of the probability of her passing after that many tries simply guessing every single multiple choice question (assuming 4 different answers for each). TBH I would've thought she'd pass soon simply guessing... kinda unlucky imo.


On a test with 50 questions and 4 possible answers per question, the odds of getting 30 or more correct by guessing randomly are 1 in 6,089,075. So the odds of getting it within 950 tries by just guessing are about one in 6,410. So it would appear that she did actually learn something during the process. That, or she just got really, really lucky.



Wow epic first post.
ShadowDrgn
Profile Blog Joined July 2007
United States2497 Posts
November 07 2009 03:50 GMT
#53
On November 07 2009 12:11 Sadist wrote:
reminds me of the guy who worked for the state of michigan when I worked there a few summers ago who failed the PE test for civil engineering 15 years in a row.


The record for failing the California bar exam is something like 40 times. Most states limit you to 3-4 fails before you're barred for life from taking the exam again, but California doesn't care.
Of course, you only live one life, and you make all your mistakes, and learn what not to do, and that’s the end of you.
RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
November 07 2009 04:02 GMT
#54
This is absurd. I am so happy I am not Korean.
Be a man, Become a Legend. TL Mafia Forum Ask for access!!
Pokebunny
Profile Blog Joined June 2008
United States10654 Posts
November 07 2009 04:10 GMT
#55
On November 07 2009 09:52 Biochemist wrote:
Re: Upper age limit.

Would NEVER pass here due to the extremely strong AARP lobby we have.

In any case, upper age limit would be unfair for the many millions of people who can drive quite competently beyond that age limit. My great grandfather drove until he was 100 years old and never had an accident. Should he be confined to his house for the last quarter of his life because some other old people can't drive?


Should some 15 year olds be punished because the majority of people that age can't drive? Yes. That's why regulations are in place...
Semipro Terran player | Pokebunny#1710 | twitter.com/Pokebunny | twitch.tv/Pokebunny | facebook.com/PokebunnySC
danl9rm
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
United States3111 Posts
November 07 2009 04:29 GMT
#56
On November 07 2009 09:14 Railxp wrote:
LOL she probably could have passed earlier if she just blindly guessed the answers on the test.


so she's bad at multiple choice.

and ur even worse at statistics.
"Science has so well established that the preborn baby in the womb is a living human being that most pro-choice activists have conceded the point. ..since the abortion proponents have lost the science argument, they are now advocating an existential one."
teh leet newb
Profile Blog Joined January 2005
United States1999 Posts
November 07 2009 04:34 GMT
#57
Woman driver no survivor.
"The best argument against democracy is a five-minute conversation with the average voter." - Winston Churchill
CharlieMurphy
Profile Blog Joined March 2006
United States22895 Posts
November 07 2009 05:01 GMT
#58
woman driver. check
asian driver. check
old driver. check

nuff said
..and then I would, ya know, check em'. (Aka SpoR)
Snet *
Profile Blog Joined September 2006
United States3573 Posts
November 07 2009 05:03 GMT
#59
That's just pathetic lol.
Loanshark
Profile Blog Joined December 2008
China3094 Posts
November 07 2009 05:12 GMT
#60
On November 07 2009 13:34 teh leet newb wrote:
Woman driver no survivor.


lololol
No dough, no go. And no mercy.
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