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Official 'what is Dota anymore' discussion - Page 561

Forum Index > Dota 2 General
Post a Reply
Prev 1 559 560 561 562 563 10601 Next
ahswtini
Profile Blog Joined June 2008
Northern Ireland22213 Posts
February 20 2015 19:15 GMT
#11201
we have wannabe graphlord here?
"As I've said, balance isn't about strategies or counters, it's about probability and statistics." - paralleluniverse
andyrau
Profile Joined December 2010
13015 Posts
February 20 2015 19:16 GMT
#11202
tbh it's not surprising that the skillgap in 'very high' is extremely varied

if you take income range of the top 1%, that shit goes from 350k+ a year to hundreds of millions or 1.5 billion if you're notch.
"Zai is legitimately not as good as bulba." | kaipi ti3 champions
Sn0_Man
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
Tebellong44238 Posts
February 20 2015 19:16 GMT
#11203
On February 21 2015 04:11 tehh4ck3r wrote:
i would think that most abandoned accounts wouldn't even make it into playing ranked, since they wouldn't have reached level 13

That's why valve's pre-ranked numbers where 4.1k was like 99th percentile don't really match with more recent surveys that only look at ranked or w/e yes
LiquidDota StaffSCIENTISTS BAFFLED | 3275929302
BluemoonSC
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
SoCal8933 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-02-20 19:19:12
February 20 2015 19:18 GMT
#11204
On February 21 2015 04:14 SKC wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 21 2015 04:11 tehh4ck3r wrote:
i would think that most abandoned accounts wouldn't even make it into playing ranked, since they wouldn't have reached level 13

The data isn't ranked only. At least it doesnt say so anywhere.

The average ranked player should be slightly higher, but still not like 2k higher like some people thought.


the data came from a dotabuff employee's comment in another thread.

there's a ton of bias in the data like i, and others, have brought up.
LiquidDota Staff@BluemoonGG_
SKC
Profile Joined October 2010
Brazil18828 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-02-20 19:22:58
February 20 2015 19:21 GMT
#11205
On February 21 2015 04:18 BluemoonSC wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 21 2015 04:14 SKC wrote:
On February 21 2015 04:11 tehh4ck3r wrote:
i would think that most abandoned accounts wouldn't even make it into playing ranked, since they wouldn't have reached level 13

The data isn't ranked only. At least it doesnt say so anywhere.

The average ranked player should be slightly higher, but still not like 2k higher like some people thought.


the data came from a dotabuff employee's comment in another thread.

there's a ton of bias in the data like i, and others, have brought up.

There is literally no bias. You don't have to opt in, you have to opt in for your ID to show. It's easy to find games with 10 anonymous players. Dotabuff can still track the game and its "skill level".
Comeh
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
United States18919 Posts
February 20 2015 19:23 GMT
#11206
I'd imagine as you go lower in mmr, games are played less frequently? So there are more people playing less dota, and in higher mmr there are less people playing more dota?

Would be interesting to see this relationship.
ヽ(⌐■_■)ノヽ(⌐■_■)ノヽ(⌐■_■)ノヽ(⌐■_■)ノヽ(⌐■_■)ノヽ(⌐■_■)ノDELETE ICEFROGヽ(⌐■_■)ノヽ(⌐■_■)ノヽ(⌐■_■)ノヽ(⌐■_■)ノヽ(⌐■_■)ノヽ(⌐■_■)ノヽ(
BluemoonSC
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
SoCal8933 Posts
February 20 2015 19:24 GMT
#11207
On February 21 2015 04:21 SKC wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 21 2015 04:18 BluemoonSC wrote:
On February 21 2015 04:14 SKC wrote:
On February 21 2015 04:11 tehh4ck3r wrote:
i would think that most abandoned accounts wouldn't even make it into playing ranked, since they wouldn't have reached level 13

The data isn't ranked only. At least it doesnt say so anywhere.

The average ranked player should be slightly higher, but still not like 2k higher like some people thought.


the data came from a dotabuff employee's comment in another thread.

there's a ton of bias in the data like i, and others, have brought up.

There is literally no bias. You don't have to opt in, you have to opt in for your ID to show. It's easy to find games with 10 anonymous players. Dotabuff can still track the game and its "skill level".


read further down.

"High MMR players with like 2-4k games skew the numbers by a lot by playing much on a regular basis. Whereas Low MMR players are likely just casual players who play Dota every once in a while. Looking at Dotabuff's stats and considering that Very High starts at 3.7k, there's quite a decent chance at Valve's original MMR distribution (avg 2250) still holding true."
LiquidDota Staff@BluemoonGG_
SKC
Profile Joined October 2010
Brazil18828 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-02-20 19:27:39
February 20 2015 19:25 GMT
#11208
Yes, which is why Very High is inflated at 12%. But that doesn't matter much to the point the reddit thread was trying to make. It only increases the amount of Normal players.
On February 21 2015 04:24 BluemoonSC wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 21 2015 04:21 SKC wrote:
On February 21 2015 04:18 BluemoonSC wrote:
On February 21 2015 04:14 SKC wrote:
On February 21 2015 04:11 tehh4ck3r wrote:
i would think that most abandoned accounts wouldn't even make it into playing ranked, since they wouldn't have reached level 13

The data isn't ranked only. At least it doesnt say so anywhere.

The average ranked player should be slightly higher, but still not like 2k higher like some people thought.


the data came from a dotabuff employee's comment in another thread.

there's a ton of bias in the data like i, and others, have brought up.

There is literally no bias. You don't have to opt in, you have to opt in for your ID to show. It's easy to find games with 10 anonymous players. Dotabuff can still track the game and its "skill level".


read further down.

Show nested quote +
"High MMR players with like 2-4k games skew the numbers by a lot by playing much on a regular basis. Whereas Low MMR players are likely just casual players who play Dota every once in a while. Looking at Dotabuff's stats and considering that Very High starts at 3.7k, there's quite a decent chance at Valve's original MMR distribution (avg 2250) still holding true."


That's not bias in the data. That's the uncertainty from taken one kind of data (games played) and extrapolating it to another kind of data (number of players). The data itself is fine, the conclusion may be biased. But since the bias should go against the conclusion, it's not a big deal.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
February 20 2015 19:27 GMT
#11209
This is almost as good as "where have all the terran's gone" thread. Where people would use SC2 ranks to prove terrans were the most oppressed race of SC2. All based on a data mining site and extremely limited information.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Slomo
Profile Joined November 2010
Germany7198 Posts
February 20 2015 19:27 GMT
#11210
I think this MMR distribution could be quite possible. I am/was 3100+-300 and at least the classification of 'normal' and 'high' games is quite accurate. Dunno about the rest.
RIP DOUBLE TI OG | #18 never forget
SKC
Profile Joined October 2010
Brazil18828 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-02-20 19:29:54
February 20 2015 19:28 GMT
#11211
On February 21 2015 04:27 Plansix wrote:
This is almost as good as "where have all the terran's gone" thread. Where people would use SC2 ranks to prove terrans were the most oppressed race of SC2. All based on a data mining site and extremely limited information.

How many games don't show on Dotabuff? Hardly any. Even if it did, it wouldn't be biased towards any side of the argument. Server issues or any data collection issue would affect everyone. The data mining is not limited.
teddyoojo
Profile Blog Joined June 2011
Germany22369 Posts
February 20 2015 19:29 GMT
#11212
i am the graphlord
Esports historian since 2000. Creator of 'The Universe' and 'The best scrambled Eggs 2013'. Host of 'Star Wars Marathon 2015'. Thinker of 'teddyoojo's Thoughts'. Earths and Moons leading CS:GO expert. Lord of the Rings.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
February 20 2015 19:29 GMT
#11213
The whole debate is silly because ranked match making is an opt in system. I have people on my friends list with 5000 games of dota who have not done their 10 placement matches because they give zero fucks. That and people can hide their information with the push of a button.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
SKC
Profile Joined October 2010
Brazil18828 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-02-20 19:31:41
February 20 2015 19:30 GMT
#11214
On February 21 2015 04:29 Plansix wrote:
The whole debate is silly because ranked match making is an opt in system. I have people on my friends list with 5000 games of dota who have not done their 10 placement matches because they give zero fucks. That and people can hide their information with the push of a button.

It is not about ranked matchmaking. Where did you get that from?

You cannot hide information. Where did you get that from?

http://www.dotabuff.com/matches/1257903286

This is what happens when every single player "hides information". The data is still there.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-02-20 19:33:17
February 20 2015 19:32 GMT
#11215
On February 21 2015 04:30 SKC wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 21 2015 04:29 Plansix wrote:
The whole debate is silly because ranked match making is an opt in system. I have people on my friends list with 5000 games of dota who have not done their 10 placement matches because they give zero fucks. That and people can hide their information with the push of a button.

It is not about ranked matchmaking. Where did you get that from?

You cannot hide information. Where did you get that from?

I am confused as to your argument then. What are you trying to prove? That the data is accurate? What meaning are we trying to discern from the data beyond that the matches happened.

Edit: you are right, that match totally happened.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
SKC
Profile Joined October 2010
Brazil18828 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-02-20 19:34:54
February 20 2015 19:34 GMT
#11216
On February 21 2015 04:32 Plansix wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 21 2015 04:30 SKC wrote:
On February 21 2015 04:29 Plansix wrote:
The whole debate is silly because ranked match making is an opt in system. I have people on my friends list with 5000 games of dota who have not done their 10 placement matches because they give zero fucks. That and people can hide their information with the push of a button.

It is not about ranked matchmaking. Where did you get that from?

You cannot hide information. Where did you get that from?

I am confused as to your argument then. What are you trying to prove? That the data is accurate? What meaning are we trying to discern from the data beyond that the matches happened.

The data isnt biased. There is no reason to doubt the %s given. There is no reason to believe the conclusion that the average player should still be in the 2k range if 75% of the matches are made of under 3.1k players.

Everyone is throwing around bullshit reasons why the data is not valid or their conclusions are not valid. I'm just trying to say they are bullshit.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
February 20 2015 19:37 GMT
#11217
Ok, yes I do agree we can make some very broad assumptions based on that information.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Howie_Dewitt
Profile Joined March 2014
United States1416 Posts
February 20 2015 19:38 GMT
#11218
So basically what everyone is saying is that everyone is good and bad at the same time
Alright
Sisyphus had a good gig going, the disappointment was predictable. | Visions of the Country (1978) is for when you're lost.
Sn0_Man
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
Tebellong44238 Posts
February 20 2015 19:39 GMT
#11219
no everyone is bad period
unless ur above at least 5.5k and even then thats doesn't by default make you good it just makes it a possibility
LiquidDota StaffSCIENTISTS BAFFLED | 3275929302
Shaella
Profile Blog Joined January 2013
United States14828 Posts
February 20 2015 19:43 GMT
#11220
holy shit i'm in sn0_man's sig i'm even more legendary than before
don't tell me to provide a legend for those charts cause we already got shaella in this thread - eieio | Bulba is my waifu
Prev 1 559 560 561 562 563 10601 Next
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