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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 5994

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
oneofthem
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-11-08 23:03:54
November 08 2016 23:03 GMT
#119861
On November 09 2016 08:01 Paljas wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 09 2016 07:50 oneofthem wrote:
On November 09 2016 07:47 Jormundr wrote:
On November 09 2016 07:45 oneofthem wrote:
obama has a lot of work to do with that 'trust in government' project.

it's absolutely hilarious how the far left don't dare to bash obama even on his signature issues, but readily indulge in character assassination vs HRC even using issues where she is nominally on her side.

can't win

You have a HRC victim complex the size of DJ Trump's NPD.

it is true though. leftists understand that obama is too popular to win, so they tackle the issues.

hillary? can get trashed.

not sure what qualifies as "far left" for you, but people who support obama certainly are not part of it.

people who think the central conflict is neoliberalism corporate power vs them.

i know it well enough.
We have fed the heart on fantasies, the heart's grown brutal from the fare, more substance in our enmities than in our love
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43989 Posts
November 08 2016 23:03 GMT
#119862
On November 09 2016 08:02 Big J wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 09 2016 08:00 Doodsmack wrote:
I cannot wait to see Trump's reaction to his loss. He's already tweeting about rigged polling machines though. I still just want to sense the rage coming from that dirtbag of man.


Yeah, well that's what we thought in Austria too. Until the courts told us to go vote again. Does your country have a history challenging elections? If not, you may wonder what's possible if someone actually just tries.

Gore conceded, then discovered Florida was within the margin of a mandatory recount so he was forced to unconcede, wait for the recount and then reconcede. But if Gore didn't get 2000 Trump isn't getting this (unless he actually wins fairly).
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
Doodsmack
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States7224 Posts
November 08 2016 23:04 GMT
#119863
On November 09 2016 08:02 Big J wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 09 2016 08:00 Doodsmack wrote:
I cannot wait to see Trump's reaction to his loss. He's already tweeting about rigged polling machines though. I still just want to sense the rage coming from that dirtbag of man.


Yeah, well that's what we thought in Austria too. Until the courts told us to go vote again. Does your country have a history challenging elections? If not, you may wonder what's possible if someone actually just tries.


tbh I wouldn't mind seeing a 8-0 Supreme Court slapdown of a challenge from DJT.
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
November 08 2016 23:04 GMT
#119864
On November 09 2016 08:02 Big J wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 09 2016 08:00 Doodsmack wrote:
I cannot wait to see Trump's reaction to his loss. He's already tweeting about rigged polling machines though. I still just want to sense the rage coming from that dirtbag of man.


Yeah, well that's what we thought in Austria too. Until the courts told us to go vote again. Does your country have a history challenging elections? If not, you may wonder what's possible if someone actually just tries.

It was tried in 2000 when Florida was close and there were accusations of voting irregularities. No change but it was challenged.

Speaking of Austria, I haven't heard about that election of yours recently. How is it going?
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
On_Slaught
Profile Joined August 2008
United States12190 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-11-08 23:05:27
November 08 2016 23:04 GMT
#119865
I'd pay a lot of money to be a fly on the wall in Trump's suite as he and his family watch the news, win or lose.

Go go 300+ for Clinton. Only took like 5min to vote here in Arizona.
TheTenthDoc
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States9561 Posts
November 08 2016 23:05 GMT
#119866
538 is doing a live hourly video update (at five past each hour) here if anyone is interested. First one incoming.
oneofthem
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
November 08 2016 23:06 GMT
#119867
On November 09 2016 08:04 Doodsmack wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 09 2016 08:02 Big J wrote:
On November 09 2016 08:00 Doodsmack wrote:
I cannot wait to see Trump's reaction to his loss. He's already tweeting about rigged polling machines though. I still just want to sense the rage coming from that dirtbag of man.


Yeah, well that's what we thought in Austria too. Until the courts told us to go vote again. Does your country have a history challenging elections? If not, you may wonder what's possible if someone actually just tries.


tbh I wouldn't mind seeing a 8-0 Supreme Court slapdown of a challenge from DJT.

doubt donald law can come up with a case that gets to the supreme court.
We have fed the heart on fantasies, the heart's grown brutal from the fare, more substance in our enmities than in our love
Paljas
Profile Joined October 2011
Germany6926 Posts
November 08 2016 23:07 GMT
#119868
On November 09 2016 08:03 oneofthem wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 09 2016 08:01 Paljas wrote:
On November 09 2016 07:50 oneofthem wrote:
On November 09 2016 07:47 Jormundr wrote:
On November 09 2016 07:45 oneofthem wrote:
obama has a lot of work to do with that 'trust in government' project.

it's absolutely hilarious how the far left don't dare to bash obama even on his signature issues, but readily indulge in character assassination vs HRC even using issues where she is nominally on her side.

can't win

You have a HRC victim complex the size of DJ Trump's NPD.

it is true though. leftists understand that obama is too popular to win, so they tackle the issues.

hillary? can get trashed.

not sure what qualifies as "far left" for you, but people who support obama certainly are not part of it.

people who think the central conflict is neoliberalism corporate power vs them.

i know it well enough.

if you need to paint the average left liberal as "far left" to fit into your world view, then fair enough
TL+ Member
Big J
Profile Joined March 2011
Austria16289 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-11-08 23:08:45
November 08 2016 23:07 GMT
#119869
On November 09 2016 08:04 LegalLord wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 09 2016 08:02 Big J wrote:
On November 09 2016 08:00 Doodsmack wrote:
I cannot wait to see Trump's reaction to his loss. He's already tweeting about rigged polling machines though. I still just want to sense the rage coming from that dirtbag of man.


Yeah, well that's what we thought in Austria too. Until the courts told us to go vote again. Does your country have a history challenging elections? If not, you may wonder what's possible if someone actually just tries.

It was tried in 2000 when Florida was close and there were accusations of voting irregularities. No change but it was challenged.

Speaking of Austria, I haven't heard about that election of yours recently. How is it going?


Don't ask, they had to postpone the re-election. And they are having issues again...

The good thing about the election is that it is drying out the money reserves of our far-right, so they might be broke for the actual parliamental elections.


Good for you if you have a more robust law. Our right-wingers are basically abusing formalities to weaken democracy.
oneofthem
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
November 08 2016 23:10 GMT
#119870
On November 09 2016 08:07 Paljas wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 09 2016 08:03 oneofthem wrote:
On November 09 2016 08:01 Paljas wrote:
On November 09 2016 07:50 oneofthem wrote:
On November 09 2016 07:47 Jormundr wrote:
On November 09 2016 07:45 oneofthem wrote:
obama has a lot of work to do with that 'trust in government' project.

it's absolutely hilarious how the far left don't dare to bash obama even on his signature issues, but readily indulge in character assassination vs HRC even using issues where she is nominally on her side.

can't win

You have a HRC victim complex the size of DJ Trump's NPD.

it is true though. leftists understand that obama is too popular to win, so they tackle the issues.

hillary? can get trashed.

not sure what qualifies as "far left" for you, but people who support obama certainly are not part of it.

people who think the central conflict is neoliberalism corporate power vs them.

i know it well enough.

if you need to paint the average left liberal as "far left" to fit into your world view, then fair enough

i didn't say 'people who vaguely dislike corporations.'

i said people who toss around terms like neoliberal in that particular way, it involves a more elaborate ideological system.
We have fed the heart on fantasies, the heart's grown brutal from the fare, more substance in our enmities than in our love
Toadesstern
Profile Blog Joined October 2008
Germany16350 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-11-08 23:11:24
November 08 2016 23:11 GMT
#119871
is the sound for the 538 podcast really off from time to time or is that on me?
<Elem> >toad in charge of judging lewdness <Elem> how bad can it be <Elem> also wew, that is actually p lewd.
Tula
Profile Joined December 2010
Austria1544 Posts
November 08 2016 23:12 GMT
#119872
On November 09 2016 08:04 LegalLord wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 09 2016 08:02 Big J wrote:
On November 09 2016 08:00 Doodsmack wrote:
I cannot wait to see Trump's reaction to his loss. He's already tweeting about rigged polling machines though. I still just want to sense the rage coming from that dirtbag of man.


Yeah, well that's what we thought in Austria too. Until the courts told us to go vote again. Does your country have a history challenging elections? If not, you may wonder what's possible if someone actually just tries.

It was tried in 2000 when Florida was close and there were accusations of voting irregularities. No change but it was challenged.

Speaking of Austria, I haven't heard about that election of yours recently. How is it going?


Going for the third try in 4 weeks (2nd was aborted because of defective envelopes....)

Personally as much as i detest both candidates i just want this shit over with....

Surprisingly similar feelings when I look across the pond to be honest.
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
November 08 2016 23:14 GMT
#119873
On November 09 2016 08:12 Tula wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 09 2016 08:04 LegalLord wrote:
On November 09 2016 08:02 Big J wrote:
On November 09 2016 08:00 Doodsmack wrote:
I cannot wait to see Trump's reaction to his loss. He's already tweeting about rigged polling machines though. I still just want to sense the rage coming from that dirtbag of man.


Yeah, well that's what we thought in Austria too. Until the courts told us to go vote again. Does your country have a history challenging elections? If not, you may wonder what's possible if someone actually just tries.

It was tried in 2000 when Florida was close and there were accusations of voting irregularities. No change but it was challenged.

Speaking of Austria, I haven't heard about that election of yours recently. How is it going?


Going for the third try in 4 weeks (2nd was aborted because of defective envelopes....)

Personally as much as i detest both candidates i just want this shit over with....

Surprisingly similar feelings when I look across the pond to be honest.

Haha, if we had what you're having then I'm pretty sure the entire world would be in a panic for months and stocks would be in a wild swing.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
oneofthem
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
November 08 2016 23:15 GMT
#119874
On November 09 2016 08:01 LegalLord wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 09 2016 07:58 Nevuk wrote:
On November 09 2016 07:54 LegalLord wrote:
On November 09 2016 07:51 Nevuk wrote:
On November 09 2016 07:50 oneofthem wrote:
On November 09 2016 07:47 Jormundr wrote:
On November 09 2016 07:45 oneofthem wrote:
obama has a lot of work to do with that 'trust in government' project.

it's absolutely hilarious how the far left don't dare to bash obama even on his signature issues, but readily indulge in character assassination vs HRC even using issues where she is nominally on her side.

can't win

You have a HRC victim complex the size of DJ Trump's NPD.

it is true though. leftists understand that obama is too popular to win, so they tackle the issues.

hillary? can get trashed.

It's probably best understood via the lens that there's more social stigma attached to being a racist than there is to being a sexist.

It's probably best understood via the lens that Obama is the better candidate and while we have issues with him, overall he appears to be better as a president than we believe Hillary will be.

In 2008? The rhetoric was clearly more extreme from one side than the other at the time. Now that's certainly the case, but a lot of the anti-Clinton arguments from the left have their roots in the 2008 primaries still. The Bernie bros etc. were pretty much made up or vastly over-inflated in the press, though.

Could be the (justified) perception of dishonesty, the FBI investigations, the warhawking, the perceived collusion with the DNC to win the primaries, or the history of flip-flopping. Or it could just be that racism is worse than sexism. Your call.
let's be honest here, leftists dislike hillary for substantive political reasons, not engaging in political tactics or being a woman.

disaggregating hillary's disapproval between primary hillary vs primary sanders voters, she has a near 100% approval for the former group, but the latter group is far more vulnerable to character related charges. the reason being, it is easier to believe in character negatives for someone seen as not in your ideological group.

btw, she is not a warhawk, but more of a moralistic foreign policy person with a bit too much trust of the military brass's understanding of military power. between foreign policy nihilism and recognition of democratic values, the world needs the latter at this particular point. whehter she can execute the long plan is another matter, but she's got the right people to influence her in that direction.
We have fed the heart on fantasies, the heart's grown brutal from the fare, more substance in our enmities than in our love
Tula
Profile Joined December 2010
Austria1544 Posts
November 08 2016 23:20 GMT
#119875
On November 09 2016 08:14 LegalLord wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 09 2016 08:12 Tula wrote:
On November 09 2016 08:04 LegalLord wrote:
On November 09 2016 08:02 Big J wrote:
On November 09 2016 08:00 Doodsmack wrote:
I cannot wait to see Trump's reaction to his loss. He's already tweeting about rigged polling machines though. I still just want to sense the rage coming from that dirtbag of man.


Yeah, well that's what we thought in Austria too. Until the courts told us to go vote again. Does your country have a history challenging elections? If not, you may wonder what's possible if someone actually just tries.

It was tried in 2000 when Florida was close and there were accusations of voting irregularities. No change but it was challenged.

Speaking of Austria, I haven't heard about that election of yours recently. How is it going?


Going for the third try in 4 weeks (2nd was aborted because of defective envelopes....)

Personally as much as i detest both candidates i just want this shit over with....

Surprisingly similar feelings when I look across the pond to be honest.

Haha, if we had what you're having then I'm pretty sure the entire world would be in a panic for months and stocks would be in a wild swing.

Thankfully we are far more insignificant as a country and out President itself according to our constitution is far more insignificant as well. Still it is without a doubt the most painful clusterfuck I've had the "pleasure" to watch in a long time.
WhiteDog
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
France8650 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-11-08 23:28:50
November 08 2016 23:23 GMT
#119876
On November 09 2016 08:03 oneofthem wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 09 2016 08:01 Paljas wrote:
On November 09 2016 07:50 oneofthem wrote:
On November 09 2016 07:47 Jormundr wrote:
On November 09 2016 07:45 oneofthem wrote:
obama has a lot of work to do with that 'trust in government' project.

it's absolutely hilarious how the far left don't dare to bash obama even on his signature issues, but readily indulge in character assassination vs HRC even using issues where she is nominally on her side.

can't win

You have a HRC victim complex the size of DJ Trump's NPD.

it is true though. leftists understand that obama is too popular to win, so they tackle the issues.

hillary? can get trashed.

not sure what qualifies as "far left" for you, but people who support obama certainly are not part of it.

people who think the central conflict is neoliberalism corporate power vs them.

i know it well enough.

Tell me, what's the central conflict to you ? USA vs Russia ?

I'm the kind of guy that you would label as far left, and I actually disagree with you. Obama came off as a great president from where I stand. Politics is not all black and white, there is a lot of grey and, considering that, he made the most with what he had.
"every time WhiteDog overuses the word "seriously" in a comment I can make an observation on his fragile emotional state." MoltkeWarding
Nevuk
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
United States16280 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-11-08 23:28:16
November 08 2016 23:27 GMT
#119877
Anyone know anything about this votecastr project? Slate and Vice are both running it, some sort of exit polling thing I think

http://www.slate.com/votecastr_election_day_turnout_tracker.html


It shows Clinton ahead in all swing states but IA and FL by small margins. FL margin is large, and behind in IA
Nyxisto
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany6287 Posts
November 08 2016 23:27 GMT
#119878
I don't think the concept of a 'central conflict' makes much sense, sounds like religious prophecy.
Velr
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Switzerland10884 Posts
November 08 2016 23:28 GMT
#119879
I'm just happy this shitshow, that managed to make democracy look bad all over the world, is more or less over tomorrow.


The USA should just feel ashamed that this is what your "democracy" has become.
TheTenthDoc
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States9561 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-11-08 23:30:19
November 08 2016 23:29 GMT
#119880
On November 09 2016 08:27 Nevuk wrote:
Anyone know anything about this votecastr project? Slate and Vice are both running it, some sort of exit polling thing I think

http://www.slate.com/votecastr_election_day_turnout_tracker.html


It shows Clinton ahead in all swing states but IA and FL by small margins. FL margin is large, and behind in IA


I'm fairly sure it doesn't use exit polls at all (it's been running all day). It leverages county-level early voting registration data, pre-election polls, and "microtargeting" models, whatever that means.

I don't much trust it, personally.
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