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kaspa84
Brazil169 Posts
On March 26 2024 23:20 RJBTVYOUTUBE wrote: It is going to be Best vs SnOw finals! I logged to say I hope for that. My favorite player is Mini, but he already has a trophy. The other two only have a silver or two each. (Best's back in 2.008!) | ||
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Soft_General_5023
140 Posts
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TMNT
3246 Posts
On March 26 2024 23:36 RJBTVYOUTUBE wrote: You're massively underselling Rush and Sharp's current online performance there. Rush is 2nd on Eloboard and Sharp is 4th. Rush specifically has been doing very well. We Legitimately have rank #1Snow, #2Rush, #3Bisu, #4Sharp, #5Hero, #6Soulkey, (#7queen), #8Mini and #9Best on Eloboard in the Top 8 in ASL. That's legitimately the MOST well rounded ASL round of 8. For once we actually have the best 8 online performers in the top 8 offline tournament. Elo points are the least reliable stats in the streaming era though. That's why I never mentioned it in any of my analyses. The reason is the "selective farming" of the more active players. It's like ladder but you get to choose who you play, so you get only 5 pts every time you beat someone much weaker than you, but you can repeatedly do it 10 times. For example if you check Rush, he gained at least 100 pts this month from farming the likes of Paralyze and Sacsri. Even the proleague elo points are not reliable due to the inconsistent activities of proleague and k league. Stork as #3 in PL elo this month, with BTS #4 and Shinee #5, says it all for you. | ||
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RJBTVYOUTUBE
Netherlands1266 Posts
On March 27 2024 00:36 TMNT wrote: Elo points are the least reliable stats in the streaming era though. That's why I never mentioned it in any of my analyses. The reason is the "selective farming" of the more active players. It's like ladder but you get to choose who you play, so you get only 5 pts every time you beat someone much weaker than you, but you can repeatedly do it 10 times. For example if you check Rush, he gained at least 100 pts this month from farming the likes of Paralyze and Sacsri. Even the proleague elo points are not reliable due to the inconsistent activities of proleague and k league. Stork as #3 in PL elo this month, with BTS #4 and Shinee #5, says it all for you. Look at Rush again. He got a lot of points off Hero, soulkey, and bisu. Sharp got a lot off Rush and stork. Every time he met Mini in march he won. he went about 50/50 vs hero and up on Action. | ||
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Smorrie
Netherlands2941 Posts
I'd say Rush probably would cause the most problems for SK and Hero. In turn, Hero could cause problems for anyone in the bracket, but Rush is probably his worst opponent. I think SK is the favorite to win the right side bracket. Let's see if Snow is able to keep his run going. Sharp has been looking good, I like the matchup vs Best. I'd say Bisu has a tough time ahead of him, facing the 3 favorites of each race in his path to victory, but I think he would generally have to dig deep vs anyone in the bracket regardless. That said he did output really good results lately. Rush vs SK final? | ||
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cheesehuehue
Vatican City State90 Posts
On March 27 2024 03:57 Smorrie wrote: Pretty good bracket I think. While there are a couple favorites, all remaining players should be able to produce 3 good series. I'd say Rush probably would cause the most problems for SK and Hero. In turn, Hero could cause problems for anyone in the bracket, but Rush is probably his worst opponent. I think SK is the favorite to win the right side bracket. Let's see if Snow is able to keep his run going. Sharp has been looking good, I like the matchup vs Best. I'd say Bisu has a tough time ahead of him, facing the 3 favorites of each race in his path to victory, but I think he would generally have to dig deep vs anyone in the bracket regardless. That said he did output really good results lately. Rush vs SK final? As a Zerg player and Soulkey fan, I want to see him win two ASLs in a row. However, I don't have high expectations of him defeating two (and maybe even 3 if Best makes it to the finals) top-level protoss in a row. Yes, he defeated Mini 4-1 last year, but those matches were very close. If Mini has rewatched the replays, he has probably noticed that he could have won the last match if he didn't hesitate so much on attacking SK's bases on the bottom left. And even if he defeats Mini again, he struggles a lot with Snow and Bisu. I'd say it's a coin flip against Snow, but I have the impression he has a losing odds against Bisu --just going off the top of my head without checking any statistics. I hope I'm proved wrong. | ||
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RogerChillingworth
Chad3132 Posts
Bad draw for Mini in ro8 but at least we get that match. Best to the finals? Snow vs Bisu PvP is also quite hype. | ||
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TMNT
3246 Posts
Snow is 50/50 against Soulkey online when the sample size is in the range of dozens. But in a BO7 series Soulkey will have more tools up his sleeve. A hydra bust or a 9 pool speed here and there to gain momentum for example. It's just impossible to dominate him in the strong matchup for Zerg. The other side of the bracket is 50/50 in literally all games. There's just no favorite. | ||
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PVJ
Hungary5221 Posts
On March 27 2024 05:03 TMNT wrote: Bisu is the Protoss most likely to take down Soulkey on that side of the bracket. The problem is he probably can't win a BO5 against Snow. He can take 1 game yes, but not 3 out of 5. Snow is 50/50 against Soulkey online when the sample size is in the range of dozens. But in a BO7 series Soulkey will have more tools up his sleeve. A hydra bust or a 9 pool speed here and there to gain momentum for example. It's just impossible to dominate him in the strong matchup for Zerg. The other side of the bracket is 50/50 in literally all games. There's just no favorite. Isn't Best a clear favourite against Sharp? | ||
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RJBTVYOUTUBE
Netherlands1266 Posts
I'd say about 50/50 currently. | ||
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TornadoSteve
1117 Posts
His PvsZ is probably is strongest match up now, but his PvsT is no joke either. And he seems to be able to bring his Agame on stage now, quite scary if you ask me. Also, Best being "on fire lately" is an under statement. | ||
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TornadoSteve
1117 Posts
Either guy will struggle against Best though, and he will be a massive (PvsP weakest mu, by far) underdog against anyone in finals, but i expect him to reach RO2. | ||
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TornadoSteve
1117 Posts
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RJBTVYOUTUBE
Netherlands1266 Posts
On March 27 2024 15:35 TornadoSteve wrote: If there is one guy who can perform under pressure, vs top tier players, its Bisu. If SnOw can perform at his best, nobody in Ro8 should be able to beat him in a Bo5/7 even if his opponents were to peak and bring their best performance ever. | ||
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Ideas
United States8173 Posts
Soulkey is most likely to make it to finals on his side of bracket, but I'm done making predictions in ASL lol. On the other side it's really hard to call. I want to say Best is favored over sharp and that rush is favored over hero. Best would also be favored over Rush. But best historically chokes in Ro8 a lot no matter how good he's playing. My gut says rush to the finals. | ||
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cheesehuehue
Vatican City State90 Posts
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Nirli
Bulgaria387 Posts
Sharp was impressive this time around. | ||
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Galacsia
Chile163 Posts
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iRkSupperman
Norway140 Posts
Subtitles not really needed. Assuming Rush keeps up his streak of blasting herO in ASL, Best only needs to focus on his PvT until the finals. He'd have absolutely 0 chance in a PvP final though. | ||
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HOLYBATS
Turkey797 Posts
On March 28 2024 15:40 Nirli wrote: When I hear Sharp, I think vulture. When I hear Best, I think zealot. Vulture > zealot. Sharp was impressive this time around. BeSt is one of six Dragons not zealot. | ||
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