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On February 19 2019 21:12 Rodya wrote: If Last is healthy and he crushes Sharp for the second season in a row, what will happen on this forum?
Last is not gonna get better ☹️ He is crippled for good.
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lol, i guess there will be a LOT of people who miss Rain vs Horang2 (4 hours earlier?!) surprising...
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the first ro8 will be on the 23rd
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Mini > Calm Effort > Mind Sharp > Last Rain > Horang2
Effort > Mini Sharp > Rain
Effort > Sharp
Effort 2nd trophy confirmed!
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Pretty amazing pairings! Mind's TvZ is great, he might upset Effort; Last would be favoured over Sharp if he was healthy, both have some of the best TvT. Rain should steamroll Horang 2 while Calm and Mini are kind of unpredictable players.
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Predicting EffOrt vs Sharp final with Effort going LOL back to back wins. Unless Calm can beat Effort in a best of 5 using Build order wins.
Quaters- Mini > Calm 3-2 LOL Effort >>>>>>>>>>>>> Mind 3-0 Sharp > Last 3-1 Rain > Horang2 3-1
Semis- Effort > Mini 3-0 Sharp > Rain - 3-2
3rd place- Rain > Mini 3-0
Final- Effort 3-1 Sharp
Either way, I see Effort smashing everyone.
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On the left side, Effort looks like a clear favorite, but all 3 others can upset him imo, since, effort is known for choking too whenever he feels like. On the other side I am already waiting for Sharp- Rain rematch to see if Rain is finally going to take a series from Sharp, nevertheless, whoever gets to the final will make for an interesting one:-)
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is there a 3rd place match at all?
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I assume there is. They have had a third-place match for the ASL since season 3.
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Mini < Calm Effort > Mind Sharp > Last Rain < Horang2
Effort < Calm Sharp > Horang2
Calm < Sharp
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would predict:
Calm < Mini Effort < Mind Sharp > Last Rain > Horang2
Mini > Mind Rain > Sharp
Rain > Mini (and Sharp > Mind for 3rd place)
even if this means boring pvp finals
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Calm < Mini Effort > Mind Sharp < Last Rain > Horang2
Effort > Mini Rain > Last
Effort > Rain
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😮 We could end up with Last vs Rain or Sharp vs Rain again! Yay!!!
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Wow I was not expecting Larva to lose to mini again but mini played so much better in the final match, he definitely deserves his Ro8 spot. Disappointed that larva couldn't make it out though, seems weird that frickin calm is in the Ro8 but not larva or soulkey.
The left side of the bracket should be fun, mini and calm were teammates so there should be a lot of mind-games going on, and Mind and Effort are both pretty fun strategic players.
Expecting:
mini 3-1 calm effort 3-1 mind
sharp 3-0 last rain 3-1 horang2
Last seems like the biggest wildcard, not sure how good his mechanics are anymore but he won't be able to get 3 BO or cheese wins against sharp who is playing so well lately and probably overtook him as the best non-flash terran. If last can get back to where he was last year during his KSL win then it's a totally different story, but it seems like he isn't there any more :\
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Larva got OK, not death group but still ends up falling apart which is disappointing. Rain looked really good and should be a serious threat for everyone, maybe he can take this season, at least Larva died for this... Mini won't go far I think because we got really good players on ro8 waiting for him.
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Larva's weakness is his early game is far too defensive. He reminds me of a much better RorO: you know he will typically err on the side of predictable defensive macro. You can't make it through grueling tournaments on macro alone.
Mini's peak is as high as anyone. Wouldn't be shocked if he made the Finals. Major recency bias re: effort. Yes, he's looked great recently, but he's had major flops before, and the history of brood war shows a non-gosu player rarely stays hot for too long. Just last season Rain looked like an overwhelming favorite. And remember when Larva looked completely dominant a few years ago?
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On February 20 2019 00:57 outscar wrote: Larva got OK, not death group but still ends up falling apart which is disappointing. Rain looked really good and should be a serious threat for everyone, maybe he can take this season, at least Larva died for this... Mini won't go far I think because we got really good players on ro8 waiting for him.
I'd say mini is definitely the favorite over Calm, and if somehow mind beats effort I'd take mini over mind in a semifinal as well.
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Remember last ASL that Effort said he thought Mini was a harder opponent than Rain. It would be epic to see Effort play against both Protosses. ASL never fails to deliver it seems like.
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