EPT[SPL] Playoffs: STX SouL vs SK Telecom T1, Day 2 - Page 10
| Forum Index > Brood War Tournaments |
TanGeng
Sanya12364 Posts
| ||
|
Tyrio
United States3248 Posts
Kal being sneaky! Jumping a probe past the bottom mienrals to scout. Bisu with godly star sense, sends a goon down to protect his fledging expoes. Pretty sure Kal ses it anyway though | ||
|
shadesofkarma
Romania708 Posts
| ||
|
JSH
United States4109 Posts
Kal off to harass | ||
|
Tyrio
United States3248 Posts
Reaver+shuttle out for Kal. Bisu moving about the center with his goons. Bisu just now warping his robo support bay. Late reaavers! BISU STAR SENSE? | ||
|
Musoeun
United States4324 Posts
On August 01 2010 12:58 catabowl wrote: Bogus <Match Point> Fantasy: Fantasy is having problems in TvT lately: Adv STX Modesty <Roadrunner> Canata Canata just fails outside TvT: Adv STX Hero <Grand Line SE> s2 s2 fails more ZvZ than succeeds: Adv STX Kal <Fighting Spirit> Bisu Bisu owns PvP: Adv SKT Clam <Judgment Day> Hyuk Calm only likes ZvZ: Adv STX CuteAngel <Fortress> Best Best owns PvT: Adv SKT Ace match: Hero <New Heartbreak Ridge> Fantasy: Fail snipe by coach just like sending Modesty for Best on Roadrunner: Adv SKT (Some could argue no adv in ace match b/c of Fantasy's TvZ history) So lets add this up: 4 for STX 3 for SKT Perfect opp to go up 1-0 for STX and they didn't deliver. SKT1 will win 4-1 or 4-2 tonight. This took a while to compile (hey, it rhymes!), so let's hope I don't derail at this point, but I disagree. Completely. STX has had 0 luck with MUs so far. Bogus and hero winning were upsets that could have gotten them somewhere, but hero's win was offset by Modesty's loss, and upsetting only one of SKT's four (three and a And I have numbers, too! My randomly scientific formula (as in, seemed reasonable and I had no idea what would happen): Take the last ten PL games in MU. Calculate. Last night: fantasy 7-3 T > T 0-3 Bogus; SKT adv +7 Canata 3-7 T < Z 3-3 Modesty; STX adv +4 s2 6-4 ZvZ 3 > 7 hero; SKT adv +3 Bisu 6-4 P > P 4-6 Kal; SKT adv +2 Hyuk 3-7 Z < Z 4-6 Calm; STX adv +1 BeSt 9-1 P > T 5-5 CuteAngel; SKT adv +4 - Ace: fantasy 7-3 T > Z 4-6 hero; SKT adv +3 Total SKT adv: 5 games, 19 points Total STX adv: 2 games, 5 points Net advantage: 14 points to SKT, or favored at 6-4 vs 4-6 records for "average" game. (Note: some of the numbers are essentially silly as results go back to the 08-09 season or even the 07 Proleague (CuteAngel's TvP for example). But in no case did they result in unreasonable estimates.) And the carnage continues for STX's MU draws: Tonight: fantasy 8-2 T > P 5-5 Shuttle; SKT adv +3 Bisu 6-4 P > P 3-7 Kal; SKT adv +3 BeSt 6-4 P > Z 0-5 Modesty; SKT adv +6 s2 6-4 Z > Z 3-7 hero; SKT adv +3 soo 2-8 Z < Z 4-6 Calm; STX adv +2 Canata 4 > 6 TvT 2-8 Frozean; SKT adv +2 - Ace: fantasy 8-2 T > P 4-6 Kal; SKT adv +4 Total SKT adv: 6 games, 21 points Total STX adv: 1 game, 2 points Net advantage: 19 points to SKT, approximately 7-3 vs 4-6 for average game Total SKT adv, series: 11 games, 40 points Total STX adv, series: 3 games, 7 points Net advantage, series: 33 points to SKT, approximately 6-4 vs 4-6 for average game STX manufactured some wins anyhow, so this obviously isn't the most accurate metric. | ||
|
Katsuge
Singapore7730 Posts
| ||
|
Tyrio
United States3248 Posts
KAL DROPS REAVER AT BISUS EXPO, SCARAB DAEBAK KILLS LIKE 8 PROBES | ||
|
AndrewTo
United States40 Posts
| ||
|
seRapH
United States9830 Posts
SHUTTLE GOING TO BISU'S MIN ONLY MASSIVE SCARAB TONS OF DEAD PROBES | ||
|
moopie
12605 Posts
| ||
|
manymunkies
United States184 Posts
| ||
|
shadesofkarma
Romania708 Posts
| ||
|
SubtleArt
2710 Posts
| ||
|
bokchoi
Korea (South)9498 Posts
| ||
|
seRapH
United States9830 Posts
| ||
|
Tyrio
United States3248 Posts
Reaver kills 2 probes while a goon is sacrificed to Bisu's angry goons. Kal retreats. Kal's expo is up, Bisu behind. | ||
|
Ursadon-n-Pals
United States928 Posts
| ||
|
TanGeng
Sanya12364 Posts
| ||
flamewheel
FREEAGLELAND26782 Posts
| ||
| ||
