Good draw for OZ, but they really need ggaemo and Killer to step it up. SKT Zergs might be bad, but I have a feeling that their experience in the end will help guide them to victory. As long as Hyuk + TheZerg don't lose both games, then T1 has a great shot at winning Day 1 and 2. That said, if Jaedong loses to start the day off vs. Fantasy, then OZ is absolutely fucked.

(T)fantasy < Outsider > (Z)Jaedong
(T)Canata < Shades of Twilight > (T)Lomo
(Z)Hyuk < Neo Medusa > (Z)ggaemo
(P)BeSt < Colosseum II > (P)BackHo
(Z)Thezerg < God's Garden > (Z)Killer
(P)Bisu < Heartbreak Ridge > (T)HiyA

(P)Bisu < Heartbreak Ridge > (P)PerfectMan
(Z)Hyuk < Outsider > (Z)Jaedong
(T)Canata < Destination > (P)BackHo
(Z)Thezerg < God's Garden > (Z)Killer
(T)fantasy < Neo Harmony > (T)HiyA
(P)BeSt < Shades of Twilight > (T)Lomo

Looks to me like a 4-2 for SKT both days. But for OZ to have a shot, Jaedong has to win all his games. If he drops a game, then they might as well just give up.

ghostWriter

United States3302 Posts

August 03 2009 13:26 GMT

#89

The draw worked out well for OZ, but I still feel like it would have been way closer if CJ was playing. I also agree that it will be a 4-2 both days, but you never know. I really didn't expect OZ to make it past cJ, so we will just have to see I guess.

clazziquai

6685 Posts

August 03 2009 13:30 GMT

#90

Day 1 is crucial for both teams. This can go both ways.
Day 2, on the other hand, seems to favor SKT1.

Good luck! I can't wait to see this. GO SKT1!!!!!!!!!!!!!

valaki

Hungary2476 Posts

August 03 2009 13:33 GMT

#91

Perfectman will rape Bisu..you just watch.

Nylan

United States795 Posts

August 03 2009 13:45 GMT

#92

As good as Jaedong is, fantasy has been prepping for a game against him for quite some time now. He'll be more than ready, so I think he's got a pretty good shot.

Fluffy Pingu

Australia41 Posts

August 03 2009 13:46 GMT

#93

OZ will win both days.

tree.hugger

Philadelphia, PA10406 Posts

August 03 2009 14:11 GMT

#94

SK Telecom T1 vs Hwaseung OZ

Day 1
(T)

fantasy < Outsider > Jaedong
Canata < Shades of Twilight > (T)

Lomo

Hyuk < Neo Medusa > ggaemo
(P)

BeSt < Colosseum II > BackHo
Thezerg < God's Garden > (Z)

Killer
Bisu < Heartbreak Ridge > (T)

HiyA

fantasy < Neo Harmony > Jaedong

Day 2
Bisu < Heartbreak Ridge > (P)

PerfectMan
(Z)

Hyuk < Outsider > Jaedong
(T)

Canata < Destination > BackHo
Thezerg < God's Garden > (Z)

Killer
fantasy < Neo Harmony > (T)

HiyA
BeSt < Shades of Twilight > (T)

Lomo
~~< Neo Medusa >~~

Super ACE:
(P)

Bisu v.

Jaedong

Dagobert

Netherlands1858 Posts

August 03 2009 14:16 GMT

#95

Purely based on statistical data... but you may criticize the data I picked and the way I calculated the likely winner (multiplied winning percentages and compared them, higher > lower; if winning percentage = 0 or 1, I ignored that ratio)as you see fit, of course.
Map / Player / Race – (Map - Race win ratio) – Map / Player / Race
x = no data, .5 by default (I know, I know... terrible idea)
I picked up someone's idea of fantasy as Ace #1 (If it's Bisu, doesn't matter much to the %, as Neo Harmony sports a lovely 75% ZvP win ratio), and was lazy for day 2 so I didn't
calculate all %... if the (statistical) winner was obvious.

Day 1 - T1 3:4 OZ
(T)

fantasy < Outsider > Jaedong
.96 - .43 - .53 (.44 TvZ) .50 - .57 - .65
0.09626 – 0.09818
Canata < Shades of Twilight > (T)

Lomo
x - .5 - .55 (-) .44 - .5 - .41
0.1375 – 0.092
(Z)

Hyuk < Neo Medusa > ggaemo
x – 1 - .42 (-) x – 0 - .5
0.21 - .25
BeSt < Colosseum II > (P)

BackHo
.8 – x - .69 (-) .25 – x - .5
0,276 – 0,0625
(Z)

Thezerg < God's Garden > Killer
.43 – x - .32 (-) 1 – x - x
0,0688 – 0,25
Bisu < Heartbreak Ridge > (T)

HiyA
.72 - .67 - .61 (.46 PvT) x - .33 - .63
0,13536 – 0,0561
(T)

fantasy < Neo Harmony > Jaedong
.96 - .43 - .53 (.44 TvZ) .50 - .57 - .65
0,0962 – 0,10374

Day 2 - T1 1:4 OZ (1:4, but if it comes to Super Ace, JD is likely to win)
Bisu < Heartbreak Ridge > (P)

PerfectMan
.71 - x - .67 (-) .40 - x - .33
(Z)

Hyuk < Outsider > Jaedong
.5 - 0 - .42 (-) .5 - 1 - .77
(T)

Canata < Destination > BackHo
.38 - 1 - .53 (.41 TvP) .67 - 0 - .55
(Z)

Thezerg < God's Garden > Killer
.43 – x - .32 (-) 1 – x - x
(T)

fantasy < Neo Harmony > HiyA
.40 - 0 - .60 (-) .75 - 1 - .40
BeSt < Shades of Twilight > (T)

Lomo
1 - x - .64 (.64 PvT) .44 - x - .46
(P)

Bisu < Neo Medusa > Jaedong
.75 - .46 - .65 (.40 PvZ) .78 - .54 - .66
0,0897 – 0,1668

Personally, I think Oz wins day 2 rather than day1 (with fantasy beating HiyA)... and I do think JD wins the Super Ace,
but the margin is as small as it gets.

Nylan

United States795 Posts

August 03 2009 14:22 GMT

#96

Records:

Fantasy 3 - 4 Jaedong
Bisu 6 - 7 Jaedong ("IT'S CALLED HOLD POSITION, BRO!")

If anyone can take JD out in Super ace, it's SKT.

fnaticNoname

India858 Posts

August 03 2009 14:28 GMT

#97

Go OZ!

DoX.)

Singapore6164 Posts

August 03 2009 14:31 GMT

#98

wtf. 12 places you can fill and not one of em Boxer or Oov..

tobi9999

United States1966 Posts

August 03 2009 14:32 GMT

#99

jaedong is going to infest fantasy's command center

Shikyo

Finland33997 Posts

August 03 2009 14:38 GMT

#100

Yessssssssssssssssssssssssssssssss SKT coach was being an idiot and sent 2 Zergs out!! Just as planned ^_^ Now Oz definitely can take day 1, and then it's up to Jaedong.