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Hogwarts Mafia

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Chairman Ray
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
United States11903 Posts
October 10 2013 08:52 GMT
#126
Won't have enough time to be very active, but maybe this is better than nothing

/replacement
Chairman Ray
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
United States11903 Posts
October 21 2013 18:05 GMT
#2429
Hey I just read my role pm. I'm at work atm, so won't be able to read 100+ pages of stuff. I think I can get all caught up tonight though. In the meantime, I'll just throw up a null vote.

##vote: no lynch

glhf!
Chairman Ray
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
United States11903 Posts
October 21 2013 18:19 GMT
#2447
On October 22 2013 03:12 Mattchew wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 22 2013 03:05 Chairman Ray wrote:
Hey I just read my role pm. I'm at work atm, so won't be able to read 100+ pages of stuff. I think I can get all caught up tonight though. In the meantime, I'll just throw up a null vote.

##vote: no lynch

glhf!

this might make me rage quit


Ye ur right. I'll put some time before the deadline and try to make some contributions.
Chairman Ray
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
United States11903 Posts
October 21 2013 19:00 GMT
#2500
alright i'm here now and gonna start reading through people's filters. Hopefully I can do something productive for the last hour.

If I see someone who I think has a good chance of being mafia, I'll change my vote onto them. Otherwise I'll still stick to a no-vote. I think it's perfectly acceptable for me to be lynched today given that town is pretty far ahead. I just joined in so nobody knows much about me, and I don't know much about anyone else. I definitely have less value than any other townie, or blue roles. So I'm just going to assume that I'm getting lynched, and try to contribute as much as I can for the one hour that I'm playing.

Anyways, onto filters.
Chairman Ray
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
United States11903 Posts
October 21 2013 19:19 GMT
#2517
Just read through Cephiro's filters. Big thing I notice is that he didn't post much, until after he started getting voted on heavily on day 2, then he went super active. This isn't much of an indicator of alignment though. Something does strike a bit odd though. I would expect that if a player is active, but not posting, then he's probably using all his time analyzing the thread. After Cephiro became active, most of his contributions have been for self defense, or to lynch into Hufflepuff. Nothing really indicates that he's been silently scumhunting. This may be behavior of scum trying to hide under the radar when someone else is a better target. However one good thing about Cephiro is that he stayed adamant on lynching Hufflepuff, even when he had the highest votes, and the next best lynch was myself who just replaced in. Given that he didn't jump onto an easy lynch train for self-preservation, I think that his case for lynching into hufflepuff has some legitimacy. IMO, I don't think Cephiro is a good lynch for today.

I will be reading into Hufflepuff filters next.
Chairman Ray
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
United States11903 Posts
October 21 2013 19:27 GMT
#2527
On October 22 2013 04:16 Sn0_Man wrote:
Dear Chairman Ray: Vote somebody. Stutters would make the most sense.

Dear Town: Stutters kill over CR? I'm down for the swap but we need to be fairly unanimous since Cephiro still has 4 votes for bad reasons.


I just read through his filter. This strikes me the most:

On October 22 2013 02:04 Stutters695 wrote:
Well after catching up on Ceph and his role, I'm with Mocsta and still think he should be number 1 lynch today. This dude is simply not town.

Gonna go catch up with the other candidates, but I'm still for a Ceph lynch currently.


Two reasons:

1. From of browse of Cephiro's filter, I think Cephiro is null at best. He's not giving me a strong scumread. I doubt that with Stutters' activity, he could have really gotten the strong read that he claimed. I think he's just piggybacking on Mocsta.

2. He still hasn't caught up with the other candidates, despite saying he will

If we're going to be lynching a lurker today, I think he's the best target IMO. I would be willing to vote stutters, but not Cephiro.

##unvote
##vote: stutters695
Chairman Ray
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
United States11903 Posts
October 21 2013 19:38 GMT
#2544
If we're gonna be lynching into Hufflepuff tomorrow, I would go after anyone who tries to preserve the others. I think that the scum in Hufflepuff would try to push the vote onto people outside the house, because for every Hufflepuff that dies, town gets closer to the scum. Given that town is ahead, it's against scum wincon to lynch both Hufflepuff town and scum. Hufflepuff town however, would be totally up for lynching inhouse, as long as they aren't the one being lynched. To them, they know they are town, so from their perspective, there is 1/4 mafia or 2/4 mafia, and that's pretty good, better than lynching outside the house. I don't have a lot of time left anymore before I get lynched, so I can't really dive into all their filters and get a good read, so I'm just putting this here.
Chairman Ray
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
United States11903 Posts
October 21 2013 19:43 GMT
#2554
On October 22 2013 04:37 Stutters695 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 22 2013 04:25 raynpelikonoshi wrote:
On October 22 2013 04:23 Stutters695 wrote:
On October 22 2013 04:16 raynpelikonoshi wrote:
Stutters:
You claimed to be masoned with LA? That does make you town how?
You have not done anything at all.

-rayn

It doesn't. I even said that when explaining what was going on between him and I.

I've laid out why I think Ceph isn't town and stand by that. And given our considerable lead, if he is 3p (other than survivor, in which case he'd be playing like he was town) any KP is going towards town.


So did you or did you not read the house QT?

-rayn

Again, something I've already said, and yes I did read the new stuff and it hasn't changed my opinion. Just like in Noir he's doing exactly what he has to in order to avoid his lynch and not a single extra word to the benefit of town.

CR: Read my summary of his actions in the Griff qt and it will make more sense.


The summary is quite brief, so I cannot really gauge anything from it. Are the rest of your house members in agreement that Cephiro's qt posts are scummy?
Chairman Ray
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
United States11903 Posts
October 21 2013 19:45 GMT
#2560
On October 22 2013 04:43 Stutters695 wrote:
Since we are not lynching, I'm following syllo and my vote is on Ray.


Two question,

Not lynching means voting me? Is there something in the game that I'm missing?

Secondly, mind explaining your case for voting me?
Chairman Ray
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
United States11903 Posts
October 21 2013 19:50 GMT
#2572
On October 22 2013 04:49 Stutters695 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 22 2013 04:44 Mattchew wrote:
On October 22 2013 04:43 Stutters695 wrote:
Since we are not lynching, I'm following syllo and my vote is on Ray.

well this is dumb... are you scum?

No, but I value trusting a confirmed towns judgement over getting mislynched when I haven't had time to catch up on everyone yet.

Since I'm at work and I might not get another post in before the deadline:

If I get lynched, sorry my play was bad.

Ceph is anti-town and should die.

If BH isn't shot/makes a confirmed save/gets a confirmed save on him, murder the shit out of him. Town BH wouldn't RNG a save over picking someone with a proven town record imo and if memory serves, a trolling BH is a scum BH.


Do you mind explaining your vote on me? There's only 10 minutes left for you to do so.
Chairman Ray
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
United States11903 Posts
October 21 2013 19:58 GMT
#2584
Ok, final reads before I get lynched.

Stutters somewhat scummy. Would be a good lynch tomorrow if we're not lynching Hufflepuff

Among Hufflepuff, Mattchew reads the most town to me, followed by hope, then holy. Grack seems the most scum to me. No time to explain.
Chairman Ray
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
United States11903 Posts
October 21 2013 20:00 GMT
#2590
On October 22 2013 04:58 StorrZerg wrote:
Would you say your last coins went out to town?
Also where does C.Ray say he can only play for 1 hour a day?


I said it in the replacement thread. I dunno if me replacing in is better than no replacement at all though. I'm just trying my best for the one hour I'm in this game though ^^
Chairman Ray
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
United States11903 Posts
October 21 2013 20:26 GMT
#2627
Well, I really didn't expect the live lol. Thanks to whoever that secret vote is from. It looks like I'm the vig target for tonight. I'll still try to help out as much as I can.

PS. Why is my name Chairman Yang now?
Chairman Ray
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
United States11903 Posts
October 21 2013 20:43 GMT
#2641
Is there any information on what the secret vote is? Or do we have no idea who has that ability and how exactly is works?
Chairman Ray
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
United States11903 Posts
October 21 2013 20:47 GMT
#2648
On October 22 2013 05:45 raynpelikonoshi wrote:
Did you already role claim CR? Would you like to do it? We would like it.


I think I said I was vanilla townie already. Name is Anthony Goldstein, from Ravenclaw.
Chairman Ray
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
United States11903 Posts
October 22 2013 05:14 GMT
#2788
Yo, I'm back, gonna be on for a bit. I've caught up with the last few pages about the Skan discussion.

I don't think this discussion regarding Skan and myself being mafia team is quite productive IMO, but that's because I know that I'm town. Given the circumstances, I think it's obvious that I'm gonna flip in the morning from vig. My flip would be the most advantageous for town given that I'm gonna be a semi-lurker, and also it gives good information regarding Skan. Since I'm town, what Skan did was just move his vote from one town to another, drawing suspicion. I don't think this is a mafia thing to do really. Personally if I was mafia, I would not vote switch on two town last minute, unless the winning votes was low like 3-3. With low vote numbers, it may be advantageous for mafia to not be responsible for a mislynch. This is not the case since there were plenty of voters on both stutters and myself.
Chairman Ray
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
United States11903 Posts
October 23 2013 05:00 GMT
#3468
um hi, so I'm kinda surprised to see I didn't get shot. Vig, where are you!

hi
Chairman Ray
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
United States11903 Posts
October 24 2013 01:35 GMT
#3719
Yo!

Question, do we have someone who's confirmed to be a vig? I read some mentions of a delayed vig. Does that mean the target dies the next night, and also, did they use it on me yet? That would be useful info.

Anyways, I would probably be a good vig target just to get out of the way tbh. Voting me wouldn't be all that productive since I'm town, and I've only caught up with like 100 pages of this thread, and haven't gotten very far in the house qt yet. So it's not like the pressure is gonna force me to post some incredibly good reads. But with whatever time I have here, I'll try to contribute what I can.

I think today, I personally would like to lynch into Hufflepuff. Yeah Mattchew and storrzerg are gonna flip and there's a chance he's the mafia in there, but my current read on Mattchew is town, and StorrZerg is null, not really scummy. Reason is because Mattchew has done the most inhouse scumhunting among the Hufflepuff group. Storrzerg hasn't set off any bells for me yet. So with two Hufflepuff modkills and a lynch kill today, I think we have a really good chance of getting the hufflescum today. Regardless if there's a framer or not, lynching into huffle is still a good choice. I think that there has to be at least one scum in each house. It makes sense from a game design perspective. If the hosts divided it as 2-2-2-0, then one house is missing out of a really interesting part of the game, and scum don't have any reads from that house's qt. So assuming that there is a hufflescum, we flip Mattchew, StorrZerg and another tonight, and then choose one more to lynch.

Moving on from here, do we still have cop checks? I think it would be really useful to confirm if we have a 3-1-1-1 setup or a 2-2-1-1 setup, that is by my assumption that there is mafia in each house.

In short:
Vig me
Lynch huffle
Chairman Ray
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
United States11903 Posts
October 24 2013 01:42 GMT
#3723
On October 24 2013 10:40 Mocsta wrote:
Cr.

U said u r not caught up.

Why do u know about the modkills?


I'm not caught up yet with the earlier posts or ravenclaw qt, but I have read through all the posts after I joined, and skimmed through a couple filters. I figure that if I can't read through everything, then the most recent stuff is probably the most useful.
Chairman Ray
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
United States11903 Posts
October 24 2013 01:44 GMT
#3725
On October 24 2013 10:41 Mocsta wrote:
I'm swapping to cr anyways

The timing is just too coincidental
There's no vig left.. so his martyr is meaningless
And he knows about things he shoukdnt if he hasn't caught up


I didn't miss the modkill, but I missed the timing thing. What timing is coincidental exactly?
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