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[Code A] RO48 Week Three Preview

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20 CommentsPost a Reply
1 2 Next All

[Code A] RO48 Week Three Preview

Text byTL.net ESPORTS
Graphics byMeko
July 9th, 2012 18:21 GMT
  • GSL on Liquipedia
  • Code A RO48: Week Three Preview

Code A RO48: Week Three Preview


By: Waxangel

"Why is this premium only?" Match of the Night: (P)Empire|Vines vs (Z)ZeNEXLife

It's a shame that this match is only for premium customers, because it has the potential to be the best of the night. As a GSL late bloomer, VINES just barely missed out on qualifying for Code S in Up/Down tie-breaks last season. Even before that, he was having a very good 2012, carrying the now-defunct oGs in team leagues before moving on to play a key role for Empire as well.

His opponent is Life, an online terror who has finally figured out how to perform well in the GomTV studio. Early career highlights from Life include moments such as losing to carriers and having a few dozen supply evaporate as both ends of his nydus network were destroyed, but his 9 – 2 record this GSTL season suggests he's left that dark period far behind. However, the pressure of playing for your team has been said to be quite different from that of playing for yourself, and we'll have to see if Life can play up to his potential once more.


First Time Peril: (P)FnaticRC Oz vs (Z)FXO.jks, (T)ST_Virus vs (Z)TSL_Shine, (T)FnaticRC aLive vs (P)LG-IMFirst

Last week we saw (P)MvP.Vampire and (Z)TSL_HyuN prove that class mobility isn't a myth as they came out of Code B to knock (Z)Liquid`Zenio and (Z)BBoongBBoongPrime straight down. While that gives all Code B players reason to be hopeful, you have to keep in mind that both Hyun and Vampire had previous experience playing in Code A. JKS, Shine, and First are going into this tournament as first time solo GSL'ers, and history says first timers typically lose to veterans. It seems especially tough for this trio as they're going up a very grizzled group of veterans with Virus, Oz, and aLive having a few dozen Code A + S appearances between them.

LG-IM's First seems to have the best chance, even though he's facing the toughest opponent in Code S semi-finalist and IPL4 champion aLive. He has one big mitigating factor going his way: While he doesn't have experience in the GomTV studio, he already got his broadcast game experience elsewhere, playing as a Brood War pro-gamer for KT Rolster. Having switched to Starcraft II early this year, he's already looking like a good pick up for LG-IM, defeating many strong players in a variety of online preliminaries. If GSL booth jitters aren't an issue for First, we could really see aLive heading to Code B.

Shine is coming in off a really impressive GSTL performance against FXO and a near qualification for the OSL, but I don't like his chances as much as First's. On paper, Virus isn't as tough an opponent as aLive, but there's an uncanny aura around the ultimate survivalist that makes you doubt he'll ever get dropped to Code B. Also, while Shine's good GSTL showing can't be ignored, we've seen players crumble when they have to play for themselves after doing well for their teams. The GSL has been afflicted by Virus since March of 2011, and I don't think Shine is the vaccine.

And then we have JKS who sadly, is a player we can write off safely. He has barely any games recorded in TLPD, and beating TSL's Center to qualify for this Code A might actually be his most notable achievement so far. Oz should pull through easily here, barring self-defeat or an incredible breakout performance from JKS.


Going old School: (T)LG-IMYoDa vs (Z)ST_July, (Z)FXOLeenock vs (P)MvPTAiLS, (T)TSL_Polt vs (P)ZeNExtreme

Another portion of the matches features several of the GSL's more experienced players going up against each other. In Starcraft II time, Leenock, Polt and July are as old as dirt, having been around since 2010's GSL Opens. Compared to that, Tails, Extreme, and Yoda are newer to the scene, but they're still old enough to have experienced the Great Terran Summer of 2011.

July had a brief flare-up in '12 Code S Season Two when he showed (T)MKP and (T)aLive that 200/200 lair armies are actually pretty strong, and that taking three bases isn't Terran's god given right. However, he followed that with some very disappointing Code A & Up/Down performances, and has been entirely absent in ST's team league outings as well. Yoda hasn't done much in solo competition since getting kicked out of the GSL alongside many other Terrans in the Autumn of 2011, but he's retained the skills to be a reliable Terran card for LG-IM in team competitions. With July showing signs of severe decline, Yoda should triumph here.

TAiLS is similar to Yoda in that he fell out of the GSL but managed to avoid falling into obscurity by making good contributions in team based competitions. Also like Yoda, TAiLS's opponent is a famously aggressive Zerg who appears to be in decline. Two consecutive seasons of worsening GSL finishes is a worrisome development for Leenock, whose first year in the GSL was characterized by impressively consistent improvement, going from Code A filler to Code S finalist. However, unlike July, who's already been a pro-gamer for nearly a decade, at the age where military service/retirement will be constantly on his mind, and is a legend who has absolutely nothing left to prove, there's a much higher chance that the seventeen year old Leenock will make a roaring comeback.

In the final battle of old vs older, Extreme goes up against Polt. Like the other two super-veterans, Polt is in a bit of funk lately – at least when you look at the stats. However, I'm not convinced that there's anything to worry about long term. All Polt did was lose a few matches to Code S class players – if he won one more game against Ganzi in Code A Ro24 or one more set in his Up/Down group, he would still be in Code S. That doesn't mean I think he deserves to be in Code S – I just don't think his present Code A status is indicative of an overall decline. Extreme – like TAiLS and Yoda – has been active in team competitions, but Polt will probably be too tough for him to handle (it's sad by true: betting against ZeNEX is a proven strategy).


Ode to SangHo: (T)FXOTree vs (P)coL.Killer

Two weeks ago we would have said Killer was in danger of dropping into Code B at the hands of just about anyone – Tree included – but consecutive wins over Puzzle, CoCa, Byul, Oz, and aLive changed all that. Ever the enigma, Killer was absolutely spectacular in the last week's MCSL playoffs, going 10 – 2 as he led Complexity to a championship over SlayerS and FnaticRC.

It was a mind-boggling result as Killer had spent most of his time on Complexity being, well, bad. Of course, it could just have been one extremely improbable run from a player known for destroying Liquibets, but it could also be a sign of a more permanent change for Killer. A lot of things can happen behind the scenes, and sometimes things just click, or a personal issue gets sorted out, and a player starts performing differently.

At the very least, the MCSL performance says Killer could at least recover his past form of being a Code S regular. As much as we like to see new blood do well, Tree just seems outmatched here.


















[image loading]

Bañe-ata by shiroiusagi.





Writers: Waxangel
Graphics and Art: Meko
Editor: Waxangel
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TL+ Member
Darathor
Profile Joined February 2011
United States327 Posts
July 09 2012 18:30 GMT
#2
Thanks for the great write-up! Agreed that it sucks that Vines vs Life is only premium, I'll be missing that one. Hopefully July and Killer can win!
ZisforZerg
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States224 Posts
July 09 2012 18:42 GMT
#3
SangHo fighting~!~!~!
"I'm too drunk, to taste that chicken."
OkStyX
Profile Blog Joined October 2011
Canada1199 Posts
July 09 2012 18:56 GMT
#4
Gogo Leenock ! / July !

The prince and god of war !
Team Overklocked Gaming! That man is the noblest creature may be inferred from the fact that no other creature has contested this claim. - G.C. Lichtenberg
TheDougler
Profile Joined April 2010
Canada8302 Posts
July 09 2012 19:31 GMT
#5
Come on July. Your time has come! Can't lose now, not in the month of the God of War!!!!!
I root for Euro Zergs, NA Protoss* and Korean Terrans. (Any North American who has beat a Korean Pro as Protoss counts as NA Toss)
aintz
Profile Joined August 2010
Canada5624 Posts
July 09 2012 19:34 GMT
#6
i think alive should be fine as i have not yet seen first play. but oz and virus might be going into code b!
ACrow
Profile Joined October 2011
Germany6583 Posts
July 09 2012 20:00 GMT
#7
Hoping for Virus and Polt to make it through! Terran hwaitiiiing!
Get off my lawn, young punks
Serelitz
Profile Joined April 2011
Netherlands2895 Posts
July 09 2012 20:27 GMT
#8
Early career highlights from Life include moments such as losing to carriers and having a few dozen supply evaporate as both ends of his nydus network were destroyed


Where is that from? I'm interested in seeing that actually.

Life > Vines (sadly)
Oz > jks
Shine > Virus
July > Yoda
First > Alive
Killer > Tree
Tails > Leenock
Polt > (ex)Treme
Burning
Profile Joined March 2011
Sweden10 Posts
July 09 2012 20:27 GMT
#9
On the first page it says "Naniwa advances", why?

I would not be surprised to see either Leenock or July falling down to Code B.
cndaks
Profile Joined June 2012
United States95 Posts
July 09 2012 20:37 GMT
#10
KILLER FTW
-FoX
Profile Joined November 2010
United States479 Posts
July 09 2012 21:13 GMT
#11
Lets go Killer and July! Been waiting so long to see these guys back at top form.
xmungam
Profile Joined July 2012
United States1050 Posts
July 09 2012 22:18 GMT
#12
pretty excited for these matches.

I'm very interested to see if the GSL turns all terrans again. in a few rounds it could happen haha.

GOGO ZENEXXXX!!!!
youtube.com/xmungam ~~ twitch.tv/thenessman
Sumahi
Profile Blog Joined January 2012
Guam5609 Posts
July 09 2012 23:06 GMT
#13
July fighting! Use the dark side of the force and crush Yoda!
Startale <3, ST_July <3, HongUn <3, Savior <3, Gretorp <3, Nada <3, Rainbow <3, Ret <3, Squirtle <3, Bomber <3
shabby
Profile Joined March 2010
Norway6402 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-07-09 23:07:36
July 09 2012 23:07 GMT
#14
On July 10 2012 05:27 Burning wrote:
On the first page it says "Naniwa advances", why?

I would not be surprised to see either Leenock or July falling down to Code B.


+ Show Spoiler +
Probably because Naniwa advanced. You can turn off spoilers if you don't want them.
Jaedong, Gumibear, Leenock, Byun
CursivE
Profile Joined February 2012
Australia317 Posts
July 09 2012 23:10 GMT
#15
It would be sad seeing people like Polt, Leenock, Vines etc dropped to code B.

SC2 Veterans Fighting!
MC || HuK || MMA || Squirtle || TLO || Sea || HerO || MarineKing || MVP || NesTea
Bagration
Profile Blog Joined October 2011
United States18282 Posts
July 09 2012 23:27 GMT
#16
Go July! I can't bear to see him in Code B too :/
Team Slayers, Axiom-Acer and Vile forever
RUFinalBoss
Profile Joined May 2012
United States266 Posts
July 09 2012 23:56 GMT
#17
team liquid is truly great, annoucning a mistake about killer, respect!
Story Of My SC2 Love Life, Meets ROOT. ROOT Disbands :( JOINS COL :D COL JOINS MVP :D HYPE! Col.MvP go byebye ): BUT THEN! ROOT GAMING IS BACK OMGOMGOMG qxc - Minigun - ROOTerdam - Catz - Drewbie - TaiLS - KeeN
Waxangel
Profile Blog Joined September 2002
United States33299 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-07-10 07:00:00
July 10 2012 06:18 GMT
#18
whoops :D
AdministratorHey HP can you redo everything youve ever done because i have a small complaint?
BathTubNZ
Profile Joined December 2011
New Zealand2556 Posts
July 10 2012 08:53 GMT
#19
Well those were some terribad games. Haven't seen such 1 sided matches in quite a while.
CosmicSpiral
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States15275 Posts
July 10 2012 18:10 GMT
#20
VINES vs Life was certainly a match to watch...

if you are a sadist.
WriterWovon man nicht sprechen kann, darüber muß man schweigen.
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