Newbie Mini Mafia I

On April 24 2011 04:14 freestalker wrote:
hey fez, thanks for coming back. Just one hint - it's not allowed to edit posts if you have some issue with your post, edit it/write what you want different in a new post.

On April 24 2011 04:50 Rising_Phoenix wrote:
##Unvote

Sorry I was at a horn concert and doing some other stuff as well.

First, looking at this mathematically there are 11 players, 3 of which are mafia. If you randomly choose a person there is a approx. 27% chance of getting it right. However, choosing randomly is a bad idea since you never know if you're lynching an important member (cop or medic).

The cop should look up a random member that isn't himself(obviously). That means there is a 3 in 10 chance of him being right (30%). If he is right, he should be able to hint to everyone else who is mafia. That leaves everyone else voting on another person. If you know who the cop/detective is, that leaves a 3 in 9 chance (33%) of being right. That's from 1/5 to 1/3 probability of being right. I don't know how well this works for day one but numbers are fun =].

----- Break for other half---
Leadership for townies is essential, and right now it looks like Conversion and Freestalker are the two most active in leading conversation and topics. Unless one of them slips up, I'd refrain from killing either of them for now.

Silent members have three possibilities:

1)They're trying to hide
2)They're lazy or disinterested in the game
3)It's a holiday and they're traveling

Going through we have these people being pretty inactive:

-jaminz: a few filler posts, nothing as contribution to the thread, pointing fingers
-aScle: one post?
-Enervate: very little posting as well

These players have said very little or immediately start pointing fingers (Enervate) when they start pointing. However, it doesn't make sense to choose him because he hasn't bothered defending any accusations or contributing anything to support his claim.

aScle and Jaminz have had very little to contribute. Their posts have little to no content and have not been active in general. Also, Jaminz has been very ready to point fingers but has little supporting evidence. I'll vote for him since he's just detracting from town synergy.

So, unless he can defend himself:
##vote Jaminz

On April 24 2011 07:49 freestalker wrote:
and for the record, ascle and sirael still haven't posted.

And one thing that came across my mind that someone might find useful, when you change the url to contain &currentpage=all instead of &currentpage=## (## = some number) you'll see the whole thread in one page. It's easier to search through posts like that.

On April 24 2011 13:41 jaminz wrote:


I'm currently leaning towards a vote for either Enervate (you can go back and check my analysis if you want to know why), Sirael (inactivity), or aScle (inactivity). Enervate seems to have read the thread, noticed he was voted for, and done nothing at all to even attempt analysis. The last two have been completely useless, but we've got another day to get our votes in (I think) so everyone still has time. These are just what I'm leaning towards right now, so everything is subject to change.