His three reasons are in-jokes tnkted, GM didn't do so well last game, that's all.

1. I'm a noobie. This means that i am absolutely not a threat to anyone, and am therefore a prime target for early mafia kills. I could use the human shields!

Actually noobies usually don't get NKed till late game cause mafia obviously wants to kill all the vets.

chaoser

United States5541 Posts

March 24 2011 02:51 GMT

#376

On March 24 2011 11:40 tnkted wrote:

Show nested quote +

Well, forgive my inexperience, but doesn't the very fact that the vets are such juicy targets make killing them seem very suspicious? If you have a vet thats doing some dangerous theorizing, wouldn't killing him be exactly the wrong thing to do as mafia? it would validate his theory. Instead, the smart move for that mafia would be to kill a noob or some other target.

Well generally day 1/2 the vets haven't really collected enough data and maybe they'll push someone who's town. Just cause they're vet doesn't mean they're 100% right. It's easy to get out from a vet's analysis if it's early, but it's much harder if it's later on since more things will have happened for them to make a more robust argument. I dunno, I usually never see newbies get killed early on, it's either mid tier players, high tier players, or blue snipes.

@Jackal
You like to tunnel...A LOT. Because of that you almost lost town the game in a recent mafia cause you pushed for pandain's lynch so hard that if there wasn't a vigi, mafia would have 100% won. I don't know if I trust you as mayor deciding our first lynch as well as a figurehead of sorts for town. While town voting day 1 is a crap shoot, leaving it in your hands might not necessarily be any better. This is because I noticed you didn't say you would say who you were going to lynch first to town before lynching. At least if it comes down to a town vote everyone can see where the lynch is going. If you just lynch without telling anyone, that'd be very bad. Will you be telegraphing your lynch target first or will you just be shooting the guy? I don't really care for cowboy mayors.

chaoser

United States5541 Posts

March 24 2011 02:57 GMT

#381

Also, something I'd like to point out

1. Coagulation
2. darmousseh
3. Jackal58
4. annul
5. Tackster
6. Lemonwalrus

There are currently 4/4 Townies remaining.
There is currently 1/1 Mafia remaining.
There is currently 1/1 Third Party remaining.

We got a 2 in 6 chance of giving mayor to either black or red if we vote for someone in the item game while it's 16 to 8 if we vote for someone not in the game that a townie gets the mayor role (exclude them from the count so 20 town->16, 6->5 mafia, 4->3 black so that's 16:8)

chaoser

United States5541 Posts

March 24 2011 02:59 GMT

#383

oh wait, that's the same odds. 4:2 in the item game for town and 16:8 in the regular game when not counting the item game people.

That being said, I still don't think it's a very good idea to vote for people involved in the item game, that's such a small group to have to worry about giving mayor to the 1 mafia there.

chaoser

United States5541 Posts

March 24 2011 03:05 GMT

#395

Also, as an aside from the mayor issue, I think our day 1 focus should be on the Item Game.

If we lynch both mafia and black we pretty much have a cleared list of four townies. Also by lynching red or black we can help town have better chances at winning the game and giving us all the items.

chaoser

United States5541 Posts

March 24 2011 03:09 GMT

#399

Wait bum, can you explain the blue plan to me? So a blue player will claim blue, get voted mayor? If it's a red/black then someone on the blue team can immediately call them out on it? in which case it becomes a 1 on 1 and that's good for town. Is that what you're saying?

chaoser

United States5541 Posts

March 24 2011 03:12 GMT

#406

On March 24 2011 12:10 Coagulation wrote:

Show nested quote +

you can ask around
i am pretty damn good at getting 100% town reads day 1 and banking big money on it and coming out on top.

I doubt 100%...Everyone gets something wrong some of the time. I don't want to "bank" on your judgement because if it turns out wrong we're in a hole.