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TL Mafia XXXV

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Mr.Zergling
Profile Joined December 2010
United States141 Posts
December 23 2010 06:30 GMT
#37
/in
~9001 lings at 5 min? No Problem
Mr.Zergling
Profile Joined December 2010
United States141 Posts
December 23 2010 23:55 GMT
#64
i opted out of PYP, and already said /in
~9001 lings at 5 min? No Problem
Mr.Zergling
Profile Joined December 2010
United States141 Posts
December 26 2010 04:16 GMT
#105
GOGOGOGOGOGOG
nice to see a load of people from HP mafia
~9001 lings at 5 min? No Problem
Mr.Zergling
Profile Joined December 2010
United States141 Posts
December 27 2010 01:38 GMT
#132
sure lets lynch themango
~9001 lings at 5 min? No Problem
Mr.Zergling
Profile Joined December 2010
United States141 Posts
December 27 2010 02:08 GMT
#141
On December 27 2010 11:03 LunarDestiny wrote:
I think the framer role encourages dts to use check on lurkers.


why would it do that?
~9001 lings at 5 min? No Problem
Mr.Zergling
Profile Joined December 2010
United States141 Posts
December 27 2010 03:43 GMT
#196
we should lynch inactives, if only to prevent the "paindain" disaster like what happened in HP mafia were we lynched a townie and one vote could have changed it
~9001 lings at 5 min? No Problem
Mr.Zergling
Profile Joined December 2010
United States141 Posts
December 28 2010 02:39 GMT
#386
My vote has gone to LSB, as his responses to annul's analysis have been weak. However, from HP mafia, LSB seems to always act somewhat scummy (which is why he got lynched last game). Also deconduo's analysis gives some convincing reasons to lynch LSB (for instance: that recommending abstaining from voting is not a pro-town suggestion (also abstaining is against the rules))

Although, no day 1 lynch is ever clear, more of a shot in the dark than anything

(((I love parenthesis)))
~9001 lings at 5 min? No Problem
Mr.Zergling
Profile Joined December 2010
United States141 Posts
December 29 2010 00:24 GMT
#569
On December 29 2010 08:58 Insanious wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 29 2010 08:47 bumatlarge wrote:
I am curious as to how people are shifting votes around together very smoothly. Im sure RoL gave a relatively similar arguement on seraph and it pittered out. Now insanious points brocket very reasonably and 5 people shift their votes?

Im actually itching to see what LSB would pop now...

Sorry if you are a vig buddy
Few reasons why.

For starters seraph is an active and experienced town player, so losing him as a town sucks. The more experienced players like LSB, seraph, RoL, tree.hugger etc... live longer the better shot town has.

Next Brocket is posting vastly different then he did in Pokemafia, which points out different behaviour between his town play and his play now.

As well, Brocket is not a strong town voice, meaning between losing Brocket and LSB, Brocket hurts less.

Finally, most people have read the case for not lynching LSB now that wasn't there when RoL brough up seraph. Meaning now people are looking for a way to switch off of LSB. There wasn't a good candidate to switch to before brocket.

Annul is town
Seraph is experience
d3 is being voted for by pandrain when no one is really listening to now

Then there is Brocket, random inactive who is playing vastly different then he did when he was town. Best choice offered.

If there was someone better to vote for I would, and I will be the first to vote LSB come day 3 if he doesn't prove that he is blue.



This is a good enough reason for me to change my vote to brocket. Also, on my lurking, I often don't feel the need to post if I fell I do not have anything to contribute to analysis. This is especially compounded by this being the first day.
~9001 lings at 5 min? No Problem
Mr.Zergling
Profile Joined December 2010
United States141 Posts
December 29 2010 01:02 GMT
#578
On December 29 2010 09:41 Meapak_Ziphh wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 29 2010 09:32 Insanious wrote:
On December 29 2010 09:26 Meapak_Ziphh wrote:
Lemme sum up why brocket should be lynched "ZOMFG, he's posting different than in the last game he played!!111!!! He mus be red lynch himmm!!!111!!!... correct me if I'm wrong but isn't this brocket's second game? Isn't it to early to apply metagame?
and the reason why we should vote for LSB being "Annul says he is red. HE IS RED!!!! KILL HIM!!!" Is any better?

At least Brocket logic is Brocket is playing exactly like the mafia in the mafia game he last played. Is better logic then LSB spammed and is therefore scum...

Actually I'm voting LSB becuse I had suspicions of LSB before Annul even started posting, when he came out with his comments and several people agreed with him it validated my concerns. LSB's defense has only cemented my view of him. More concerns I have is that LSB claims a blue and everyone believes him when it's the oldest trick in the book for a mafia about to get lynched. Another thing I don't like is how all of a sudden people are crawling out of the wood work to accuse people who really haven't done anything to bring suspicion on them other than acting like disinterested townies who are disapointed they didn't get a blue or red role. The case against brocket feels like a mafia attempt to pull votes and save LSB. In short, LSB had me suspicious at the start and has only gotten redder as the game has gone on.


But, he has offered to prove that he is indeed a blue role by night 2, thus if he can not satisfactorily prove that, he dies.
~9001 lings at 5 min? No Problem
Mr.Zergling
Profile Joined December 2010
United States141 Posts
December 29 2010 01:22 GMT
#590
On December 29 2010 10:19 Insanious wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 29 2010 10:16 Barundar wrote:
Sigh what is the point of putting pressure by votes on a player who is clearly afk, this shortly before the day ends?

Its not pressure votes, its votes to have LSB not die tonight so he can prove he is a blue later... and we have a possability of hitting a red.


Too damn late, goodbye LSB
~9001 lings at 5 min? No Problem
Mr.Zergling
Profile Joined December 2010
United States141 Posts
December 29 2010 01:27 GMT
#594
On December 29 2010 10:23 Insanious wrote:
There is still 2 hours left to vote, its not over yet... we just need to get some people to switch from LSB to Brocket, we have 2 hours...


I fail at 12/24hr conversion.........my bad

Also PM from paindain:

why are you voting brockett
tell me here in your own words
why
~9001 lings at 5 min? No Problem
Mr.Zergling
Profile Joined December 2010
United States141 Posts
December 29 2010 02:11 GMT
#615
On December 29 2010 10:30 annul wrote:
seriously the brocket vote has to be the dumbest idea possible at this stage in the game

why are we effectively giving up our day 1 vote? this is such a horrible idea it isnt even funny. what will killing brocket gain us? what information? none. none whatsoever.

taking down LSB however will give us a multitude of information.


Does a day 1 vote almost ever matter? We still don't have much to work with.
~9001 lings at 5 min? No Problem
Mr.Zergling
Profile Joined December 2010
United States141 Posts
December 29 2010 03:10 GMT
#624
On December 29 2010 12:03 Insanious wrote:
So LSB fliped blue... here is my current game plan:

1) Vote Paindain because of how he acted when we started to vote for someone that wasn't LSB. This to me seems like the mafia are trying to get a 5th KP by killing LSB a claimed blue who is active. So Paindain looks like the most like a mafia to me.

2) Ignoring Annul for rest of game. He got tunnel vision towards a blue, who even if he was red we shouldn't of voted for right now, we should of voted for in 2 days. He had a bad gut feeling, and ignored when people put forth good reasoning to not follow that gut feeling. Annul is about 99% likely to be a green. So he shouldn't be voted for... just ignored 99% of the time unless he finds something increadibly useful... not likely to happen after this debacle.

- - - -

Also... told you so... Annul listen to me more... I looked at this logically, you were attacking LSB. You were obviously wrong like 15 pages ago.

Brocket and Paindrain... one of them is Red and I assume its Paindrain.


On December 29 2010 10:48 Pandain wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 29 2010 10:31 Insanious wrote:
On December 29 2010 10:24 Barundar wrote:
I understand you want to save yourself, but Brocket is the worst scapegoat you could possibly find. He is as scummy as Kenpachi when posting, and now he is even afk. Voting him is the same as abstaining, and really gets us nowhere.

Between Brocket and LSB, I would much much much rather Brocket dead then LSB... There really isn't another choice now due to time constraints...

Annul brought us to this point, a 1 person bandwaggon is pretty much the worst thing that can happen to the town. 0 analysis can be done concerning votes, mafia can hide where ever they want to when voting for a town...

You need at least 2 candidates every day for voting or it might as well just be a random.org vote.

LSB has a high chance of being a blue, and killing a blue, especially early is terrible.\

Brocket is most likely green or a lurking mafia... and since there have been 4 people comming out of no where to defend Brocket it makes me think Brocket is even more red.


I vehemently disagree. FIrst off, LSB doesn't have a high chance of being blue, he's claimed everything from vigi to dt, and his supposed plan which no one knows what possibly could be he refuses to tell.

Furthormore now your saying that we're forced to either vote brockett or LSB, and previously you had been saying you were voting him because "he played differently."

Plus right now we can find out so much from LSB's flip. I know people usually say not to lynch for information but this is a special scenario. IT's all because LSB has claimed blue, and mafia know that, or that LSB is mafia, and they're trying to swing a bandwagon onto brockett to save him.

If LSB flips red- Great! We caught probably at least 3-4 scum who tried to swing the bandwagon onto Brockett, in addition to information from posting. Furthormore we caught a scum!

IF LSB flips blue LSB is not DT, so we don't have to worry about that. Why?
-Claimed very early to be blue, DT wouldn't have done that being most important role. Would've waited.
-Revealed pms where RoL said LSB might be DT, and hinted strongly because it was the only role that could fit the plan. Why would DT be so reckless, especially when he seemingly doesn't want to claim?


So we don't have to worry about losing a DT. So when, if blue, he would most vigi, then that's not even that bad of a loss. But most importantly mafia would be wanting him dead, since he's blue, and they know it. So people who voted for LSB should be looked upon with suspicion, myself included.

But again I would like to stress people that LSB is 99% not blue, that he is 99% red. And I urge you to read my analysis I made of him, and realize whats happening here.
Vote LSB. Stop the Bandwagon.


mmm This does have me suspicious of Paindain, but would a mafia really be that overt and outspoken about lynching a blue, or would they try and lay low so they are not associated with the impending mess when the target flips blue? Now though, we can look at all previous analysis in a new light
~9001 lings at 5 min? No Problem
Mr.Zergling
Profile Joined December 2010
United States141 Posts
December 29 2010 03:27 GMT
#628
On December 29 2010 12:22 DoctorHelvetica wrote:
so pandain is scum because he was wrong? that is a very stupid idea.


I was trying to say something more along the lines of:

Some people are suspicious of paindain (myself included), but we cannot tell if he is scum based on what we think scum would do.

This all sounds better in my head.
~9001 lings at 5 min? No Problem
Mr.Zergling
Profile Joined December 2010
United States141 Posts
December 29 2010 06:43 GMT
#670
I am interested in why Pandain went from defending LSB (quite vehemently) to pushing strongly to lynch LSB, I suppose the role claim (which was never really clear) could have affected his view of LSB.

Two scenarios:

Pandain is blue: The unclear roleclaim threw him off and he decided that even though LSB had said he would prove his blueness, Pandain just wanted info (stated)

-or-


Pandain is red: He saw the bandwagon shifting to his possible scumbuddy Brocket, and decided that it wouldn't be too suspicious if he shifted the bandwagon back on to LSB by touting an "info lynch". Also making himself more trustworthy by saying that everyone who voted LSB should be under suspicion (which they should)
~9001 lings at 5 min? No Problem
Mr.Zergling
Profile Joined December 2010
United States141 Posts
December 30 2010 03:56 GMT
#750
On December 30 2010 07:11 Pandain wrote:
~snip~
Mr-Zergling: Very unsure in his posts, not making any strong opinions. More importantly when he was under the impression day had ended early, he said "sorry LSB, too late." Besides possibly(note that word) showing that he knew LSB was blue, the fact that before hand and after hand he hadn't been helping. Compare that with his previous post saying he only contributes when he feels he can. The only thing saving him is that its semi-consistenent with his previous play in games, but major FoS on him nonetheless.
~snip~


Hard to have strong opinions on day 1. I really am terrible at 12/24hr conversions (said voting ended at 19:00 PST, I converted that in my head to 5:00 PST, fail on my part). I did believe that LSB was blue, as he said he could show it by night 2.
~9001 lings at 5 min? No Problem
Mr.Zergling
Profile Joined December 2010
United States141 Posts
December 30 2010 03:59 GMT
#752
On December 30 2010 12:58 Node wrote:
For now I'm voting Pandain, as his antics have done little more the cause confusion and split the vote a bajillion different ways. I'll move it pending a more convincing case.
~snip~


^^This, and what I presented earlier
~9001 lings at 5 min? No Problem
Mr.Zergling
Profile Joined December 2010
United States141 Posts
December 30 2010 04:02 GMT
#754
Also added to my response a couple posts up:

If you do have strong opinions on day 1 without an obvious scumslip, thats just an awful playstyle, especially if you change strong opinions every couple hours
~9001 lings at 5 min? No Problem
Mr.Zergling
Profile Joined December 2010
United States141 Posts
December 30 2010 06:16 GMT
#772
On December 30 2010 14:34 Node wrote:
You guys are seriously still having this argument?

At this point, it's irrelevant. The fact that we're still arguing that LSB is scum just makes me think the people dragging it up are suspicious.

Insanious, annul, Mepeak arguing just to throw us off? Sounds like a plausible way for reds to be able to deny association if someone gets lynched and flips red. This is distracting us from real scumhunting and making people feel like they need to jump on one bandwagon, thus fracturing the Town, and allowing the mafia to more or less control our lynch
~9001 lings at 5 min? No Problem
Mr.Zergling
Profile Joined December 2010
United States141 Posts
December 30 2010 06:20 GMT
#774
Also, were is pandain?
~9001 lings at 5 min? No Problem
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