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[CSL+] Bracketology

Forum Index > BW General
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jalstar
Profile Blog Joined September 2009
United States8198 Posts
Last Edited: 2009-11-23 00:50:06
November 21 2009 03:01 GMT
#1
It's the final week of the CSL+ season, and 12 of the 16 initial playoff spots have been decided. But who will play whom? Who will get the final 4 spots? Can anyone stop Duke? And is UCSB essentially cyber-nuked?

Welcome to Bracketology.

Western Conference Bracket

UCSB vs Arizona State

Arizona State has been mistaken for their rival, UArizona, in the standings since the initial CSL+ post. A quick check of the cstarleague.com reveals that "Arizona" actually means Arizona State University, and their tag is even [ASU]. Arizona State was fine with the mistake though and went 3-2 in conference play, securing an ace match win against Rice to secure them a playoff spot despite having an inferior set record to Rice.

Replay to watch: Their ZvP Ace Match against Rice on God's Garden that got them into the playoffs, of course.
http://www.filefront.com/14962745/Game 5.rep

Player to follow: Brandon "Atrioc" Ewing (Z). Won ASU's crucial game and is currently 4-1.

UCSB was just nuked from the iccup world, so their game against undefeated Victoria is apparently canceled for the time being. If they get to play it anyway, and Victoria wins, Victoria will take UCSB's spot against Arizona State and UCSB will get Texas in the first round. For the time though, the banning seems to have helped UCSB, as UCSB gets a higher seed in the playoffs due to their higher set record, and the ban expires at the end of the season, so UCSB will likely still be able to play in the playoffs.

If e-drama prevents UCSB from competing in the playoffs, Berkeley will likely take their spots, leading to a rematch of last year's Berkeley vs Texas final in the first round.

Replay to watch: moto, the guy who got them banned, played a nice TvZ on Shades of Twilight.
http://www.filefront.com/14963221/2924 uCT UCZ uT UZ uP uT uZ.rep

Player to follow: Amos "arsenic" Lin (Z). He's 5-0, although he hasn't played a ZvT yet, but there aren't that many Terrans in CSL anyway.

Victoria vs Texas

This should be an epic set. Victoria has the player with the best record in CSL+ and Texas is the defending runner-up. No drama here, just two undefeated teams with a combined 29-11 set record.

Replays to watch:
Victoria: baechigi vs Zeko on Neo Medusa. PvP ace match of Victoria vs Berkeley.
http://www.filefront.com/14962835/Set 5 UVic vs UCB.rep
Texas: peter vs garshop (Rice) on Destination. Texas' sole terran beats a good toss in a difficult matchup on a map that doesn't exactly favor his race.
http://www.filefront.com/14963261/vs rice ivan.rep

Players to follow:
Victoria: Geoffrey "baechigi" Lee. 9-0. Best record in CSL.
Texas: Allen "joLin" Van, Texas' 5-0 captain, ace, and 4-0 ZvZer.

Chicago vs UC Riverside OR UCSD
Northern Illinois vs UC Irvine OR UCSD

Division 4 of the Western Conference is wrapped up, with the Chicago MICRO taking the top spot and Northern Illinois taking the second. Division 2 still has one crucial game to be played, UC Riverside vs UC Irvine. If Irvine wins (which the UCSD team highly doubts) they will get the top spot and face NIU while UCSD takes on undefeated Chicago. If Riverside wins UCSD gets NIU in the first round while Riverside has to take on Chicago.

UCSD is confident that Riverside will win, but note that Irvine is 13-5 in sets while Riverside is 12-6 and that they've played the exact same opponents.

UC Riverside vs UC Irvine (TOMMOROW)

Ritha (Z) (1-0) vs Fira (P) (5-0) on Neo Medusa
JiYan (P) (1-3) vs darrenc (P) (4-0) on Heartbreak Ridge
Dino (P) (3-0) vs rabbiT (Z) (3-0) on Outsider
Han (T) (4-1) vs _Novella (T) (0-2) on God's Garden

With both teams starting 3 undefeated players and a playoff spot on the line, you can't not watch this match.


Eastern Conference Bracket

Duke vs Princeton

What hasn't been said about Duke? They've got Nony, they're undefeated in sets as well as games, and they're probably the favorite to win it all in January.

Replay to watch: Nony vs MasterAsia. Nony goes into beast mode and beats one of the best Chinese players in game one of Duke vs Georgia Tech on Ride of the Valkyries.
http://www.filefront.com/14962937/Nony vs MasterAsia.rep

Players to watch: All of them.

Princeton's a tricky case, as their best player is a merc, and as such will not be able to play in the playoffs. At 6-1, magneus will definitely be missed in the playoffs.

Replay to watch: agony vs redtooth (CMU), ZvZ on Neo Medusa.
http://www.filefront.com/14962933/Set 4 (Pat ZvZ).rep

Player to watch: Patrick "Agony" Park (Z) will have to try to fill mag's shoes. He's currently 4-0 in the CSL.

Georgia Tech vs Rutgers

Rutgers will be 6-0 with a win against Binghamton tomorrow. However, that in no way makes them the favorite against Georgia Tech, whose only loss this season was to Duke.

Georgia Tech has probably the best Asian in CSL until Nongmin arrives at Johns Hopkins. MasterAsia is supposed to be one of the top Chinese Zergs and can be mentioned in the same sentence as PJ. Also playing for GT is (T)Assem, who's been to Korea and taken games off Anytime and [NC]Yellow, yet hasn't played a CSL game yet.

Replay to watch: MasterAsia vs Princess (Emory) on Shades of Twilight. Dominant ZvT.
http://www.filefront.com/14962969/emory vs GT set 5e.rep

Players to watch: Ruodu "Masterasia" Wang (Z), who is 4-1, and Brian "Assem" Fransioli (T), who will hopefully see some action in the playoffs.

Rutgers' mercs have not necessarily carried, but definitely helped Rutgers to their perfect record, and with Clazz at 4-2 and fanaticist at 3-1, they will be missed in the playoffs, especially against a strong team like GT.

Replay to watch: nexus vs jaleo (CMU) in a PvT on Shades of Twilight.
http://www.filefront.com/14963003/set1 [RU]nexus vs el.jaleo

Player to watch: Kishan "nexus" Pandya (P) is 4-1 and likely Rutgers' best non-merc.

The East Division 2 Clusterfuck

With one week to go, there are still 4 teams competing for the 2 remaining playoff spots. Tomorrow, the games will be decided through two games, Toronto vs Western Ontario and Ohio State vs Waterloo.

Who advances to the playoffs? Well, if:

Toronto and Ohio State win, then both advance.
Toronto and Waterloo win, then Toronto advances and best set record out of Western Ontario, Ohio State, and Waterloo advance.
Western Ontario and Ohio State win, then I have no idea because Xeris says this won't happen.
Western Ontario and Waterloo win, then Western Ontario and Toronto advance.

Now for the games themselves, both being played tomorrow:

Western Ontario vs Toronto

o3Power91 (P) (4-1) vs DenialS (R) (3-1) (1-1 as random) on Neo Medusa
DrAgOOnPK (Z) (3-3) vs Jcu (P) (2-1) on HBR
Zortch (Z) (3-3) vs LegendaryDreams (T) (2-1) on Outsider
durrrr (P) (0-1) vs genius (P) (0-0) on God's Garden.

Notice that Toronto is confident enough not to send out (P)(ca)IefNaij, who is 6-0 is CSL.

Waterloo vs Ohio State

jackass (Z) (3-1) vs bibidi (T) (1-1) on Neo Medusa
monk (Z) (2-2) vs TestSubject894 (Z) (1-3) on HBR
master (P) (1-1 as Terran, 0-0 as Toss) vs Azriel (Z) (4-1) on Outsider
assault (Z) (3-0) vs OrdrlyChaos (Z) (3-0) on God's Garden.

Now, whoever comes in second in East Division 2 will play McGill, who's gone undefeated in conference play.

Whoever comes in first in East Division 2, likely Toronto, will face the winner of Tufts and MIT, the final game to be previewed. Now, MIT's A-team recently lost 1-6 to Caltech, who aren't even in the playoffs. Because of that, I'd have to peg Tufts as the favorites. And because they have l10f, a name I recognize from reading TL, who is actually Xin, and GhostWriter is Tufts.L10F. Also they have two terran starters when lots of CSL teams don't even have one.

MIT vs Tufts (tomorrow)

Aischarm (Z) (3-1) vs L10F (T) (4-0) on Neo Medusa
Muirhead (P) (1-1) vs recon (T) (3-2) on HBR
Reaverie (P) (0-3) vs voice (P) (3-0) on Outsider
olXor (Z) (3-0) vs xin (Z) (1-1) on God's Garden.

That concludes Bracketology! Once the final playoff spots are decided there will be another edition with previews as well as past replays and players to watch for those games.

Oh, and if this is TLDR, here's the bracket in condensed form:

Duke
Princeton

East Division 2 winner
Tufts/MIT winner

Rutgers
Georgia Tech

McGill
East Division 2 Runner-up

UCSB
Arizona State

UCSD or Irvine
Northern Illinois

Texas
Victoria

Chicago
UC Riverside or SD
Nal_rAwr
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
United States2611 Posts
November 21 2009 03:03 GMT
#2
go duke ftw
Nony is Bonjwa
LuMiX
Profile Blog Joined October 2006
China5757 Posts
November 21 2009 03:07 GMT
#3
dear god my game vs masterasia was so bad..why is it a replay to watch? T_T
lIlIlIlIlIlI
Profile Blog Joined October 2004
Korea (South)3851 Posts
Last Edited: 2009-11-21 03:08:50
November 21 2009 03:08 GMT
#4
--- Nuked ---
jalstar
Profile Blog Joined September 2009
United States8198 Posts
November 21 2009 03:12 GMT
#5
On November 21 2009 12:07 Metal[x] wrote:
dear god my game vs masterasia was so bad..why is it a replay to watch? T_T


maybe i just watched too many d/d- games when choosing but i thought you played pretty well, there aren't too many terrans in csl anyway so i'm not sure why i decided to spotlight masterasia's ZvT.
jalstar
Profile Blog Joined September 2009
United States8198 Posts
November 21 2009 03:13 GMT
#6
On November 21 2009 12:08 randomKo_Orean wrote:
where's the players to follow?!?! for UCSD?!?!


Once the final playoff spots are decided there will be another edition with previews as well as past replays and players to watch for those games.


who you're playing isn't determined yet, and there's only so many replays i can watch in a week so i didn't want to do all the possible teams and matchups in one week.
thopol
Profile Blog Joined May 2008
Japan4560 Posts
November 21 2009 03:18 GMT
#7
I'm rooting for UC MICRO. GL you guys.
LuMiX
Profile Blog Joined October 2006
China5757 Posts
November 21 2009 03:40 GMT
#8
On November 21 2009 12:12 jalstar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 21 2009 12:07 Metal[x] wrote:
dear god my game vs masterasia was so bad..why is it a replay to watch? T_T


maybe i just watched too many d/d- games when choosing but i thought you played pretty well, there aren't too many terrans in csl anyway so i'm not sure why i decided to spotlight masterasia's ZvT.


I say it because I should have won. =)
Spo0ky
Profile Joined May 2009
United States23 Posts
Last Edited: 2009-11-21 04:28:24
November 21 2009 04:21 GMT
#9
I'm trying to get a team together for University of Pittsburgh (Pitt). We have 16k undergrads, so I think it's doable. Look for it in the future. And how do you sign up? # of required players? etc. If you could at least link me that would be great. Thanks !

...CMU is a bordering school with a ton of Asians though...we're fucked. lol
Puta-stacking is so ez
AoN.DimSum
Profile Blog Joined September 2008
United States2983 Posts
November 21 2009 04:31 GMT
#10
Rutgers > GT ezpz
by my idol krokkis : "U better hope Finland wont have WCG next year and that I wont gain shitloads of skill, cause then I will wash ur mouth with soap, little man."
tarpman
Profile Joined February 2009
Canada723 Posts
November 21 2009 05:23 GMT
#11
re UVic vs UCSB, seems their players have found workarounds. several sets were rescheduled so it's sort of spread out over the weekend.

I'm playing ZvZ with arsenic on Sunday... yeah, I'm pretty screwed.
Saving the world, one kilobyte at a time.
ghostWriter
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
United States3302 Posts
November 21 2009 05:24 GMT
#12
T.T
Why no writeup for Tufts vs MIT?
Sullifam
jalstar
Profile Blog Joined September 2009
United States8198 Posts
November 21 2009 05:27 GMT
#13
On November 21 2009 14:24 ghostWriter wrote:
T.T
Why no writeup for Tufts vs MIT?


if you mean replays and players i did that just for the playoff matches, there's stuff in there though
TestSubject893
Profile Joined September 2009
United States774 Posts
November 21 2009 05:51 GMT
#14
On November 21 2009 12:01 jalstar wrote:
Who advances to the playoffs? Well, if:

Toronto and Ohio State win, then both advance.
Toronto and Waterloo win, then Toronto advances and best set record out of Western Ontario, Ohio State, and Waterloo advance.
Western Ontario and Ohio State win, then I have no idea because Xeris says this won't happen.
Western Ontario and Waterloo win, then Western Ontario and Toronto advance.

I don't think this is the scenario that isn't accounted for. I believe that this is a scenario where "points" are applied, and due to the results thus far, OSU and UToronto would be the teams that advance. If OSU were to win 3-0 they would be the first seed and otherwise Toronto would win the division.
jalstar
Profile Blog Joined September 2009
United States8198 Posts
November 21 2009 06:06 GMT
#15
On November 21 2009 14:51 TestSubject893 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 21 2009 12:01 jalstar wrote:
Who advances to the playoffs? Well, if:

Toronto and Ohio State win, then both advance.
Toronto and Waterloo win, then Toronto advances and best set record out of Western Ontario, Ohio State, and Waterloo advance.
Western Ontario and Ohio State win, then I have no idea because Xeris says this won't happen.
Western Ontario and Waterloo win, then Western Ontario and Toronto advance.

I don't think this is the scenario that isn't accounted for. I believe that this is a scenario where "points" are applied, and due to the results thus far, OSU and UToronto would be the teams that advance. If OSU were to win 3-0 they would be the first seed and otherwise Toronto would win the division.

Well you'd have UT, UWO, and OSU all at 5-1. My question to him was whether the two teams with the most points would advance or whether the team with the most points would advance, and then whoever held the tiebreaker between the other two would advance.
d3_crescentia
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
United States4054 Posts
November 21 2009 09:29 GMT
#16
Jeeeeeeeeeeeeeeesus christ I had already written up an official CSL article about the same exact thing but then you beat me to it... T_______________T

UToronto, UWO and OSU at 5-1 - that is, if Western Ontario > Toronto and OSU > Waterloo would result in having to consider the tiebreaker system looking at the set records (3-0 = 3 points, 3-1 = 2 points, 3-2 = 1 point, loss = 0 points). Currently it looks like the teams have the following points:

Toronto - 2 + 1 + 2 + 1 + 3 = 9
OSU - 2 + 0 + 1 + 2 + 3 = 8
Waterloo - 2 + 3 + 0 + 0 + 2 = 7
Western Ontario - 1 + 3 + 1 + 0 + 1 = 6

For Western Ontario to compete for a playoff spot, they'd have to 3-0 Toronto to have 9 points. Anything less and they'd have to depend on OSU losing to get a playoff spot.

Then, if OSU goes 3-2 against Waterloo, it would also put them at 9 points, and then you'd have a REAL problem with all three teams at 5-1 and 9 points from tiebreakers, all having beaten each other in a circular fashion with no clear way to determine who should go on. Again, the chances of this happening are quite slim, but we'll see.
once, not long ago, there was a moon here
hazelynut
Profile Blog Joined December 2008
United States2196 Posts
November 21 2009 09:33 GMT
#17
And if it does happen, Xeris will eat his words (or hat) and record it.
Zerg | life of lively to live to life of full life thx to shield battery | www.cstarleague.com <3
Nick_54
Profile Blog Joined November 2007
United States2230 Posts
November 21 2009 10:03 GMT
#18
Give Northern Illinois some props yo. Waiting till West 2 is decided?
shindigs
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
United States4795 Posts
Last Edited: 2009-11-21 12:09:16
November 21 2009 12:08 GMT
#19
Screw you UCSD, Irvine for the finals!
Photographer@shindags || twitch.tv/shindigs
ghostWriter
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
United States3302 Posts
November 21 2009 21:40 GMT
#20
On November 21 2009 14:27 jalstar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 21 2009 14:24 ghostWriter wrote:
T.T
Why no writeup for Tufts vs MIT?


if you mean replays and players i did that just for the playoff matches, there's stuff in there though


oh my bad, I must have skipped it somehow

also, I also just wanted to say that I'm tufts.l10f
l10f is tufts.xin
Sullifam
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