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Oatsmaster
Profile Joined October 2012
United States16628 Posts
May 22 2013 06:33 GMT
#901
phagga, thoughts on plan above and about sent and mkfuba?
No gg, No skill.
mkfuba07
Profile Joined November 2010
United States1151 Posts
May 22 2013 06:36 GMT
#902
On May 22 2013 15:07 Oatsmaster wrote:
This is really hard for me, for 1 thing,
phagga is playing like town, IE he looks like town for me ,
The other thing, how this copcheck thing went down, it makes a lotta sense for phagga to be scum.

How about, since there must be 2 scum, we discuss a lynch between mkfuba and Sent and figure out the cop check thing later, IE if dec stays alive, he is totally scum.

Whenever you say something like "if he's still alive at this point, then he's scum", it gets really hard to take you seriously... Like, all scum has to do at that point to get dec lynched is not kill him...

On May 22 2013 15:13 Oatsmaster wrote:
For me,
I think its mkfuba. I agree that some of his stuff has looked good as I said, but scum have an easy time speculating on stuff so that isnt all alignment indicative I realize. Considering that I have a scumread on Dec, and that he switched between both of them day 1, whoever got lynched would look good for him.
Further more, it seems like he has been following the boat and not rocking it, like all of his reads are in line with town sentiment, and his one outlier, read on phagga, he dropped after it wasnt supported by anyone other than be briefly. Other than that, all ive seen was a few long posts and no bursts of sustained activity I feel.
##Unvote
Vote: mkfuba

I've picked up my case on phagga again. As evidenced by the fact that I unvoted you and reiterated my entire case against him. I'm also opposing the two of you recently voting for deconduo (which since you think I'm scum is simply more "proof" for you, but if you consider me as town becomes more "boat rocking"). It's new for me. I've never "rocked the boat" before, aside from some kinda ridiculous cases in previous games, so I'm not sure why you would expect it from me in the first place.

And long posts are what you get when I sleep for unnaturally large amounts of time. I'm also bad at putting my thoughts into words, so that's probably some more of it.
Never trust a skinny innkeeper
phagga
Profile Joined February 2012
Switzerland2194 Posts
May 22 2013 06:38 GMT
#903
On May 22 2013 15:13 Oatsmaster wrote:
For me,
I think its mkfuba. I agree that some of his stuff has looked good as I said, but scum have an easy time speculating on stuff so that isnt all alignment indicative I realize. Considering that I have a scumread on Dec, and that he switched between both of them day 1, whoever got lynched would look good for him.
Further more, it seems like he has been following the boat and not rocking it, like all of his reads are in line with town sentiment, and his one outlier, read on phagga, he dropped after it wasnt supported by anyone other than be briefly. Other than that, all ive seen was a few long posts and no bursts of sustained activity I feel.
##Unvote
Vote: mkfuba

wait what? deconduo has a red check, you claim to be town, I claim to be town, someone is lying. How do you not try lynch the guy that is lying?
"A person who does not concern himself with politics has already made the political choice he was so anxious to spare himself: he is serving the ruling party." - Max Frisch
Oatsmaster
Profile Joined October 2012
United States16628 Posts
May 22 2013 06:42 GMT
#904
On May 22 2013 15:38 phagga wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 22 2013 15:13 Oatsmaster wrote:
For me,
I think its mkfuba. I agree that some of his stuff has looked good as I said, but scum have an easy time speculating on stuff so that isnt all alignment indicative I realize. Considering that I have a scumread on Dec, and that he switched between both of them day 1, whoever got lynched would look good for him.
Further more, it seems like he has been following the boat and not rocking it, like all of his reads are in line with town sentiment, and his one outlier, read on phagga, he dropped after it wasnt supported by anyone other than be briefly. Other than that, all ive seen was a few long posts and no bursts of sustained activity I feel.
##Unvote
Vote: mkfuba

wait what? deconduo has a red check, you claim to be town, I claim to be town, someone is lying. How do you not try lynch the guy that is lying?

because both you or dec could be scum, and I dont think its both. So there is one scum in sent or mkfuba. Which I think its easier to figure out than you or dec considering the fact that you caused the check to cause this confusion.
I think you are town, but Dec is claimed blue, and lynching claimed blue takes a lotta proof for me, and I dont wanna risk it over my read on him or you.

So therefore, filtered both sent and mkfuba, And I think that what I see is that mkfuba is scum.

mkfuba, who do you wanna lynch?
No gg, No skill.
Oatsmaster
Profile Joined October 2012
United States16628 Posts
May 22 2013 06:46 GMT
#905
bleh what im saying is that I am more confident in my read on mkfuba now, than my read on you or dec.
No gg, No skill.
phagga
Profile Joined February 2012
Switzerland2194 Posts
May 22 2013 06:50 GMT
#906
On May 22 2013 15:33 Oatsmaster wrote:
phagga, thoughts on plan above and about sent and mkfuba?


I still think mkfuba is town and sent is scum.
"A person who does not concern himself with politics has already made the political choice he was so anxious to spare himself: he is serving the ruling party." - Max Frisch
Oatsmaster
Profile Joined October 2012
United States16628 Posts
May 22 2013 06:54 GMT
#907
OTHER DUDES THOUGHTS PLEASE ABOUT MY PLAN!!!..

Why phagga?
No gg, No skill.
phagga
Profile Joined February 2012
Switzerland2194 Posts
May 22 2013 07:11 GMT
#908
On May 22 2013 15:54 Oatsmaster wrote:
OTHER DUDES THOUGHTS PLEASE ABOUT MY PLAN!!!..

Why phagga?

trying to read filters, I'm at work currently. I'll try to post more later, how long are you around today? (for how many more hours). You probably won't be here at deadline, right?
"A person who does not concern himself with politics has already made the political choice he was so anxious to spare himself: he is serving the ruling party." - Max Frisch
mkfuba07
Profile Joined November 2010
United States1151 Posts
May 22 2013 07:13 GMT
#909
On May 22 2013 15:31 phagga wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 22 2013 13:28 mkfuba07 wrote:
On May 22 2013 11:26 [UoN]Sentinel wrote:
On May 22 2013 10:52 Oatsmaster wrote:
Sentinel is second scum after deconduo.
Why? Cause he has been flipflopping around my 'scumslip' and now of course he doesnt think phagga is scum, and he cant find any stronger reasons for me to be scum.


I never thought phagga was scum. I fell into the sheephole and when you presented your justification of "I wanted to move here" I realized you were in a similar position I fell into by defending feryl. That's when I realized the error of my ways. I pushed for Dec but that one was harder to prove at the moment so I went for ghost. Although ghost flipped town, I gathered more scum play from the dec camp.

Why are you not scum? Because Dec is, and for either of you to bus each other at lylo would be so idiotic I would make it a duty to policy lynch both of you from now on. Mkfuba is scum because he fluffs like a mofo and cherrypicks evidence. He believes dec's claim wholeheartedly yet votes to lynch you due to a scumslip and questionable meta. That's playing blind to so many facets of what's transpiring here, its obvious he is trying to sheep you simply because the alternative would be to bus Dec. It is for this reason I will not strive to convince him for he cannot be convinced as scum, but phagga can.

See, that's my problem when I play mafia. I can't keep everything everyone's said in my head at all times. I can't go through everyone's filters nonstop because it takes me an eternity. It takes me hours to write almost any post because it's like I see literally every possibility, and can't finish a thought without another one second-guessing what I've already written. If I try to play like everyone else (as everyone else seems to play similarly, though with different attitudes and with different skill levels), I'm fluffy and wishy-washy.

So I try to focus on individual actions. It's why I wanted to vote for vivax earlier, and it's why I had more to say about oats's "scumslip". It's why I latched onto phagga's suggestion to check two people, when it gains us literally nothing other than the doubt I find myself in now. The fact that everyone else here (oats excluded, probably) seemed to have had very similar thoughts before the nightpost (oats likely scum, phagga likely town), makes me wonder why the hell no one sees exactly what I do. THERE WAS NO REASON TO CHECK PHAGGA! We all pretty much thought he was town! If I were in phagga's place, even if I considered that I could be checked at the same time, I'd leave it be because THERE WAS NO POINT. Add to that the fact that IF oats is town, and IF phagga is scum, this situation leads to an almost guaranteed win for scum, and the argument seems stronger. We already thought oats was scum. A green check (which decon would provide if it was an oats-only check) on oats would ruin that mislynch. What goes on to secure it? Adding a scum check that can either be attributed to oats or phagga, with obvious results. Keep in mind that this was before you mentioned your case against deconduo. At that moment, if it came simply down to oats vs phagga as scum, you know who you would choose, and I argue that that's what scum was counting on.

##Unvote

Anyway, all of that being said, maybe I was taking deconduo's claim for granted. Do you not feel like fakeclaiming like that would be dangerous as scum at that point in time? Is it not risky to fakeclaim when there's the possibility of you being lynched, when being caught in a fakeclaim will guarantee it? Would you fakeclaim the DT role even though the Doctor would seem like a pretty good DT candidate himself (and you can't use his name, because there's definitely a Doctor out there)? These are some thoughts that keep me believing deconduo, so if you want me to vote for him, convince me I'm wrong.


Look, I'm not even debating that in hindsight it was useless to let decon check me as well, it was just something that came into my mind 5 minutes before deadline and then there was no time left to discuss it. Yes, I agree it could have been a plan by scum, but the point is that in both cases it did not make much sense to let that check happen. Also, as I said earlier, if I was so inclined on getting Oats misslynched, why would I kill all the people that support an Oats lynch? (mainly Zeph). Would it not be much easier to kill deconduo instead and then push an Oats lynch with Zeph?

The plan you are implying is so highly convoluted that it would get a small chance of success for scum. If I was indeed scum, I would have had so many easier ways to push a misslynch than what you are proposing.

Look, let's line this out: For your theorie to work, you have to make these assumptions:
  • Phagga is scum
  • Deconduo is town
  • Oats is town
  • Scum decides to kill the guy that supports a town-phagga/scum-Oats theory (Zeph)
  • Scum on purpose let town deconduo check town oats
  • Scum on purpose come up with a last minute plan before deadline
  • Scum on purpose demands of deconduo that he changes his movement 1 minute before deadline
  • Scum than uses the new information of deconduo to push an Oats lynch

For my explanation to work, you need to make these assumptions:
  • Phagga is town
  • Phagga had a bad plan 5 minutes before deadline

If you look at it like this, it should be obvious that while your theory is not impossible, it is very improbable. If I was indeed scum, why would I come up with such a complicated and risky-to-execute plan when I could have had it so much easier with the same chance of success?

What scum gains from this wouldn't be that simple, and what I need to assume for this plan to work is far, far more than scum would have to. In my scenario, scum don't simply gain a mislynch on oats. They kill a confirmed, experienced townie (zeph), avoid allowing deconduo to make oats a confirmed townie, almost guarantee a mislynch on oats, and in turn win the game because it's lylo. Those are a LOT of gains when the alternative is letting deconduo confirm the most lynchable townie. And as for the assumptions scum would have to make in that scenario, they know everyone's alignment already, they didn't need to come up with a last minute plan, just unveil it at the last minute, and the rest of those assumptions are just implicitly part of the plan that they would have formed.

Your list of town phagga assumptions is right though... And I just now understood what you really said about my assumptions. I'm wondering if I've been Sherlocking it (that's what I've decided to call it when I find a scum plan that I think fits so perfectly that I can't believe it's not the truth). The ease with which I feel a scum phagga could have developed this plan is at odds with how I would otherwise feel about your alignment. I'll have to think on it a bit more, possibly set myself straight. In any case, I do still believe deconduo, which means that either you or oats is scum (but not both). That leaves only Sentinel as the last scum.

##Vote: [UoN]Sentinel

Oh, and as for oats's plan... I'm kind of against it.
Never trust a skinny innkeeper
Oatsmaster
Profile Joined October 2012
United States16628 Posts
May 22 2013 07:14 GMT
#910
On May 22 2013 16:11 phagga wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 22 2013 15:54 Oatsmaster wrote:
OTHER DUDES THOUGHTS PLEASE ABOUT MY PLAN!!!..

Why phagga?

trying to read filters, I'm at work currently. I'll try to post more later, how long are you around today? (for how many more hours). You probably won't be here at deadline, right?

Ill be around from 3pm CEST to 6pm CEST and for about 1 hour and a half right now.
No gg, No skill.
Oatsmaster
Profile Joined October 2012
United States16628 Posts
May 22 2013 07:15 GMT
#911
Oh, and as for oats's plan... I'm kind of against it.

What? What? What?
The post you just posted above follows my plan.
What?
No gg, No skill.
mkfuba07
Profile Joined November 2010
United States1151 Posts
May 22 2013 07:17 GMT
#912
I thought your plan was to lynch me... I'm opposed to it.
If the plan was simply to choose between sent and I, I guess I'm for it? I mean, you know my decision in that case XD
Never trust a skinny innkeeper
Oatsmaster
Profile Joined October 2012
United States16628 Posts
May 22 2013 07:21 GMT
#913
On May 22 2013 16:17 mkfuba07 wrote:
I thought your plan was to lynch me... I'm opposed to it.
If the plan was simply to choose between sent and I, I guess I'm for it? I mean, you know my decision in that case XD

So hard to convey humor .
SO HARD.
Fucking bullshit.

I wanna wait for sent to defend that actually, did you respond to my post?
No gg, No skill.
Oatsmaster
Profile Joined October 2012
United States16628 Posts
May 22 2013 07:22 GMT
#914
oh deadline is 20 kst?
Yeah Im definetely not here. :/
No gg, No skill.
mkfuba07
Profile Joined November 2010
United States1151 Posts
May 22 2013 07:27 GMT
#915
I think I responded to you in this post. It'll pretty much stuff that everyone calls fluff, so I'm not sure if you'll be satisfied with it or not, but it's the best I can do. If that's not the post you wanted me to respond to, let me know.
Never trust a skinny innkeeper
Oatsmaster
Profile Joined October 2012
United States16628 Posts
May 22 2013 07:36 GMT
#916
##Unvote

I need to think.
damn.

Ill be placing my final vote in a little over an hour. So CONVINCE ME!
No gg, No skill.
Oatsmaster
Profile Joined October 2012
United States16628 Posts
May 22 2013 08:20 GMT
#917
Ok.

Fuck it.
#bigplays.

mkfuba is town.
Why?
He proposed a complicated plan which involved multiple people that happened to call someone scum when if he were really scum, why not just call it based on posts rather than relying on people agreeing with weird explanation of events?
I think it might be possible, I dont think its the easiest way to convince people. And scum would take the easiest way rather than something they actually believe in cause they dont have anything that they have to think of.

so therefore.

##Vote: Sentinel
Also Sent has defended Fferlytt on weak reasons and turned out to be right, scum love to defend mislynches in ways that are easy to switch, and it was all feeling for Sent.
No gg, No skill.
Oatsmaster
Profile Joined October 2012
United States16628 Posts
May 22 2013 08:43 GMT
#918
oh whoops read the timing wrong.
Yeah we got time
Like 12 hours more. Im a dumbo.
gotta go now, i will be back at the time I stated earlier,
No gg, No skill.
[UoN]Sentinel
Profile Blog Joined November 2009
United States11320 Posts
May 22 2013 12:57 GMT
#919
On May 22 2013 16:13 mkfuba07 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 22 2013 15:31 phagga wrote:
On May 22 2013 13:28 mkfuba07 wrote:
On May 22 2013 11:26 [UoN]Sentinel wrote:
On May 22 2013 10:52 Oatsmaster wrote:
Sentinel is second scum after deconduo.
Why? Cause he has been flipflopping around my 'scumslip' and now of course he doesnt think phagga is scum, and he cant find any stronger reasons for me to be scum.


I never thought phagga was scum. I fell into the sheephole and when you presented your justification of "I wanted to move here" I realized you were in a similar position I fell into by defending feryl. That's when I realized the error of my ways. I pushed for Dec but that one was harder to prove at the moment so I went for ghost. Although ghost flipped town, I gathered more scum play from the dec camp.

Why are you not scum? Because Dec is, and for either of you to bus each other at lylo would be so idiotic I would make it a duty to policy lynch both of you from now on. Mkfuba is scum because he fluffs like a mofo and cherrypicks evidence. He believes dec's claim wholeheartedly yet votes to lynch you due to a scumslip and questionable meta. That's playing blind to so many facets of what's transpiring here, its obvious he is trying to sheep you simply because the alternative would be to bus Dec. It is for this reason I will not strive to convince him for he cannot be convinced as scum, but phagga can.

See, that's my problem when I play mafia. I can't keep everything everyone's said in my head at all times. I can't go through everyone's filters nonstop because it takes me an eternity. It takes me hours to write almost any post because it's like I see literally every possibility, and can't finish a thought without another one second-guessing what I've already written. If I try to play like everyone else (as everyone else seems to play similarly, though with different attitudes and with different skill levels), I'm fluffy and wishy-washy.

So I try to focus on individual actions. It's why I wanted to vote for vivax earlier, and it's why I had more to say about oats's "scumslip". It's why I latched onto phagga's suggestion to check two people, when it gains us literally nothing other than the doubt I find myself in now. The fact that everyone else here (oats excluded, probably) seemed to have had very similar thoughts before the nightpost (oats likely scum, phagga likely town), makes me wonder why the hell no one sees exactly what I do. THERE WAS NO REASON TO CHECK PHAGGA! We all pretty much thought he was town! If I were in phagga's place, even if I considered that I could be checked at the same time, I'd leave it be because THERE WAS NO POINT. Add to that the fact that IF oats is town, and IF phagga is scum, this situation leads to an almost guaranteed win for scum, and the argument seems stronger. We already thought oats was scum. A green check (which decon would provide if it was an oats-only check) on oats would ruin that mislynch. What goes on to secure it? Adding a scum check that can either be attributed to oats or phagga, with obvious results. Keep in mind that this was before you mentioned your case against deconduo. At that moment, if it came simply down to oats vs phagga as scum, you know who you would choose, and I argue that that's what scum was counting on.

##Unvote

Anyway, all of that being said, maybe I was taking deconduo's claim for granted. Do you not feel like fakeclaiming like that would be dangerous as scum at that point in time? Is it not risky to fakeclaim when there's the possibility of you being lynched, when being caught in a fakeclaim will guarantee it? Would you fakeclaim the DT role even though the Doctor would seem like a pretty good DT candidate himself (and you can't use his name, because there's definitely a Doctor out there)? These are some thoughts that keep me believing deconduo, so if you want me to vote for him, convince me I'm wrong.


Look, I'm not even debating that in hindsight it was useless to let decon check me as well, it was just something that came into my mind 5 minutes before deadline and then there was no time left to discuss it. Yes, I agree it could have been a plan by scum, but the point is that in both cases it did not make much sense to let that check happen. Also, as I said earlier, if I was so inclined on getting Oats misslynched, why would I kill all the people that support an Oats lynch? (mainly Zeph). Would it not be much easier to kill deconduo instead and then push an Oats lynch with Zeph?

The plan you are implying is so highly convoluted that it would get a small chance of success for scum. If I was indeed scum, I would have had so many easier ways to push a misslynch than what you are proposing.

Look, let's line this out: For your theorie to work, you have to make these assumptions:
  • Phagga is scum
  • Deconduo is town
  • Oats is town
  • Scum decides to kill the guy that supports a town-phagga/scum-Oats theory (Zeph)
  • Scum on purpose let town deconduo check town oats
  • Scum on purpose come up with a last minute plan before deadline
  • Scum on purpose demands of deconduo that he changes his movement 1 minute before deadline
  • Scum than uses the new information of deconduo to push an Oats lynch

For my explanation to work, you need to make these assumptions:
  • Phagga is town
  • Phagga had a bad plan 5 minutes before deadline

If you look at it like this, it should be obvious that while your theory is not impossible, it is very improbable. If I was indeed scum, why would I come up with such a complicated and risky-to-execute plan when I could have had it so much easier with the same chance of success?

What scum gains from this wouldn't be that simple, and what I need to assume for this plan to work is far, far more than scum would have to. In my scenario, scum don't simply gain a mislynch on oats. They kill a confirmed, experienced townie (zeph), avoid allowing deconduo to make oats a confirmed townie, almost guarantee a mislynch on oats, and in turn win the game because it's lylo. Those are a LOT of gains when the alternative is letting deconduo confirm the most lynchable townie. And as for the assumptions scum would have to make in that scenario, they know everyone's alignment already, they didn't need to come up with a last minute plan, just unveil it at the last minute, and the rest of those assumptions are just implicitly part of the plan that they would have formed.

Your list of town phagga assumptions is right though... And I just now understood what you really said about my assumptions. I'm wondering if I've been Sherlocking it (that's what I've decided to call it when I find a scum plan that I think fits so perfectly that I can't believe it's not the truth). The ease with which I feel a scum phagga could have developed this plan is at odds with how I would otherwise feel about your alignment. I'll have to think on it a bit more, possibly set myself straight. In any case, I do still believe deconduo, which means that either you or oats is scum (but not both). That leaves only Sentinel as the last scum.

##Vote: [UoN]Sentinel

Oh, and as for oats's plan... I'm kind of against it.


HOLD THE FUCK UP

You're telling me that you don't know whether phagga or Oats is town because Oats refuted your plan, so by that logic I'm the scum?
Нас зовет дух отцов, память старых бойцов, дух Москвы и твердыня Полтавы
[UoN]Sentinel
Profile Blog Joined November 2009
United States11320 Posts
May 22 2013 13:26 GMT
#920
On May 22 2013 15:42 Oatsmaster wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 22 2013 15:38 phagga wrote:
On May 22 2013 15:13 Oatsmaster wrote:
For me,
I think its mkfuba. I agree that some of his stuff has looked good as I said, but scum have an easy time speculating on stuff so that isnt all alignment indicative I realize. Considering that I have a scumread on Dec, and that he switched between both of them day 1, whoever got lynched would look good for him.
Further more, it seems like he has been following the boat and not rocking it, like all of his reads are in line with town sentiment, and his one outlier, read on phagga, he dropped after it wasnt supported by anyone other than be briefly. Other than that, all ive seen was a few long posts and no bursts of sustained activity I feel.
##Unvote
Vote: mkfuba

wait what? deconduo has a red check, you claim to be town, I claim to be town, someone is lying. How do you not try lynch the guy that is lying?

because both you or dec could be scum, and I dont think its both. So there is one scum in sent or mkfuba. Which I think its easier to figure out than you or dec considering the fact that you caused the check to cause this confusion.
I think you are town, but Dec is claimed blue, and lynching claimed blue takes a lotta proof for me, and I dont wanna risk it over my read on him or you.

So therefore, filtered both sent and mkfuba, And I think that what I see is that mkfuba is scum.

mkfuba, who do you wanna lynch?


Okay. So now, after voting for Dec not once but twice today, you suspect that he's indubitably blue compared to phagga?

I am going to admit something - I've been making a mistake all day. In my zeal to push Deconduo I couldn't see the fact that out of the five of us, one has bothered to contribute minimal information. One of us spent the entire thread asking questions like "What do you think of X" while rarely taking the initiative and posting his own reasoning. One of us has been making jokes in an effort to take the heat off of himself. One of us has sheeped every vote so far.

Oats has never in this game voted for someone out of his own volition except when someone did it already before him. And he dares to accuse me and condemn me on the premise that I flip flopped on feryl's vote when he himself switched from Dec to Phagga to Dec to mkfuba to myself. On about one paragraph of actual evidence at a time.

In my zeal to push a lynch i forgot to look at the big picture, and now I realize not only did Oats scumslip but he's been playing scum this whole time.

Forgive me, Deconduo.

##Unvote
##Vote: Oatsmaster
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