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VSL Ro.16 Groups A & B - Preview

Forum Index > SC2 General
17 CommentsPost a Reply

VSL Ro.16 Groups A & B - Preview

Text bymunch
Graphics byhexhaven
March 15th, 2017 21:17 GMT




After their trial teamleague run late last year, VSL are back with an all-new tournament! For anyone disappointed at the rather empty schedule of the first few months of the year, it’s time to brace yourselves for the arrival of triple starleagues. The VSL adheres to the familiarity of the GSL format in a cut-down 16 player format, although perhaps the SSL helped in suggesting the batshit crazy qualification process. After this season is complete, VSL are promising a teamleague featuring these same 16 players at the end of April, but for now though, it’s time to meet your first batch of players in groups A and B.


Group A

All four players in the Group of Redemption have disappointed in the past few months (albeit to varying amounts), but (P)Creator stands out as one of the most unexpected qualifiers for this entire tournament. It’s been hard at times to even remember that he’s still on Jin Air. Minimal exposure in online tournaments combined with a failure to qualify for any offline tournaments so far this year have left his stream as our only reminder of a protoss once heralded as the future of his race at the end of WoL. His qualifying run over Hush, Kelazhur, and Trust wasn’t the hardest set of opponents possible, let alone the fact that they were all Bo1s, and it’ll take some markedly better play to get him out of this group.

From one extreme to the other; (T)ByuN’s been tearing up the online leagues as usual. Creator’s ex-teammate has absolutely dominated him over the past few years; since ByuN’s return in 2015, he holds a 28-13 map record over Creator, with only two of the twelve series going in the protoss’ favour. While ByuN’s been as reliable as ever online, with 78% / 64% / 76% winrates against protoss / terran / zerg respectively, offline play has been a whole different story. Knocked out of the GSL by Ryung and Stats; knocked out of IEM Katowice by Stats again (as well as losing to Ryung in groups); knocked down to SSL Challenge by INnoVation and Stats once again. It’s becoming inarguable that he has two clear weaknesses—strong terrans and Stats. The only question is whether those weaknesses extend down the pyramid.

His TvT won’t be tested here, but given (P)herO’s absurd aggression in PvT currently, ByuN will still have to be wary. It’s been strange to see herO’s transition from HotS to LotV. While he was always an aggressive protoss, famed especially for his use of blink as an aggressive tool, he was also balanced enough to comfortably play towards the late game. He was the best in the world at the patient, careful playstyle required in the SH era of PvZ, and yet in Legacy he seems to have converted into some Korean cousin of Has. While that gives him plenty of highlight moments against lesser players, it also doesn’t provide him consistency against those of a higher tier. That showed itself in Katowice, where his strange performances led to group stage elimination, and following his loss against sOs in the GSL quarterfinals, he’ll be looking to bounce back here.

The Prime pair aren’t the only potential team-killers here; (Z)ByuL enters as the second of CJ’s old twin-aces. He actually beat herO in the VSL Qualifiers, although again the Bo1 qualifier remains. The one-sided results of his spars with ByuN have been pretty depressing for a player once famed for his world class HotS ZvT—ByuN has taken the win from their last six meetings at a 16-3 map record. Still, his hard-fought 2-1 win over aLive in the GSL showed that he clearly hasn’t forgotten all of his tricks, before he too lost to Stats (possibly the one figure uniting all of the KR scene at this point). His ZvP has looked functional, if not entirely solid, and his showdown with herO should be messily / confusingly entertaining.

Predictions

herO > Creator
ByuL < ByuN
herO < ByuN
Creator < ByuL
herO > ByuL

(T)ByuN and (P)herO to advance to the Round of 8.


Group B

Speaking of Jin Air players who we haven’t seen in forever, (Z)Rogue’s here for his first offline appearance since January. His match history in 2017 reads: knocked out of GSL, failure in IEM Katowice Qualifiers, failure in SSL Qualifiers, wins over HerO and Slander to qualify here. As such, he’s been practically invisible. He looked awful in the GSL, knocked out by Bunny and KeeN, and judging the ease of Keen’s repeat victory in the IEM Qualifiers, he still hasn’t fixed those flaws.

He shares the group with one of his tormentors from that GSL group in (T)Bunny. The third ex-CJ player of the week was one of the stars of the online scene earlier in the year, with formidable TvZ and TvP masking a weakness in the mirror matchup. His TvT winrate in 2017 is an awful 42%, although he quite hilariously managed to beat INnoVation to qualify here. Instead, it’s his previously golden TvZ that has collapsed in the past month or so. An 0-2 loss to Impact denied him a chance at a pure TvZ run to the IEM Katowice group stages, instead dumping him into the lower bracket and a loss against jjakji, while losses to soO, ByuL, and Losira led to elimination from SSL Premier. A single loss abroad can be blamed on multiple factors; a triplet of losses on home soil points to more of a pattern.

Bunny will have to beat at least one zerg to advance from this group, and if a win over Rogue might seem likely, a win over (Z)Solar will be more of a challenge. IEM Katowice was a bit of a wake-up call for Solar. Three tight 2-1 wins over lower calibre opposition were matched with 0-2 losses to ByuN (understandable) and HeRoMaRinE (less so), as well as being completely outclassed by Dark. Flawless qualifying runs in SSL (8-0 over Losira, Trap, aLive, and Ryung) and VSL (2-0 over Stats and MajOr) followed, and it will be interesting to see if that qualifier form will reflect his play here.

From being one of the most consistent players throughout HotS, (P)Classic’s form has oscillated wildly throughout LotV. He created the blueprint for aggression in PvT that herO’s copied freely from (most hilariously in a fifteen minute 3-0 win over INnoVation back in December, featuring two proxy SGs sandwiching a void ray bust), and much like herO Classic too has struggled against terran in recent times. Classic has been helping soO practice extensively for his GSL semifinal over sOs, and given the likelihood of a Stats win over Ryung, it’s likely that he’ll be continuing with that prep work for at least another week yet. His PvZ then should at least be well-practiced, and if he actually plays modern PvZ in addition to mirroring sOs, he should do well here.

Predictions

Rogue < Bunny
Classic < Solar
Bunny < Solar
Rogue < Classic
Bunny < Classic

(Z)Solar and (P)Classic to advance to the Round of 8.


Time until VSL


Writer: munch
Graphics: Hexhaven
Editor: munch
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WriterForm is temporary, MMA is permanent || http://www.teamliquid.net/blogs/508630-article-archive
Ziggy
Profile Blog Joined June 2013
South Korea2106 Posts
March 15 2017 21:22 GMT
#2
could someone add the event to the sidebar pls? + do we know anything about an english cast?
WriterDefeating a sandwich only makes it tastier. @imjustziggy
Elentos
Profile Blog Joined February 2015
55581 Posts
March 15 2017 21:33 GMT
#3
The qualifiers for this tournament are such a meme. I still can't believe they were serious with this.
Every 60 seconds in Africa, a minute passes.
munch
Profile Joined July 2014
Mute City2363 Posts
March 15 2017 21:34 GMT
#4
On March 16 2017 06:33 Elentos wrote:
The qualifiers for this tournament are such a meme. I still can't believe they were serious with this.


it's the only way Impact was ever gonna get to the Ro.16 of a KR starleague
WriterForm is temporary, MMA is permanent || http://www.teamliquid.net/blogs/508630-article-archive
starkiller123
Profile Joined January 2016
United States4030 Posts
March 15 2017 21:40 GMT
#5
So happy we get another Korean tournament, hopefully Bunny can redeem himself from iem katowice
The_Red_Viper
Profile Blog Joined August 2013
19533 Posts
March 15 2017 22:01 GMT
#6
Happy that we have a new tournament but it will be hard to establish this as something meaningful i think :/
IU | Sohyang || There is no God and we are his prophets | For if ‘Thou mayest’—it is also true that ‘Thou mayest not.” | Ignorance is the parent of fear |
FrostedMiniWheats
Profile Joined August 2010
United States30730 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-03-16 06:31:01
March 15 2017 22:12 GMT
#7
ByuL finally makes ByuN bleed again. Creator does alright then dies horribly.

(P)herO 1-2 (P)Creator
(Z)ByuL 2-1 (T)ByuN
(P)Creator 0-2 (Z)ByuL
(P)herO 1-2 (T)ByuN
(P)Creator 0-2 (T)ByuN

I think Bunny then makes it in first with TvZ. Changed original vote of Classic in second to Solar.

(Z)Rogue 0-2 (T)Bunny
(Z)Solar 2-1 (P)Classic
(T)Bunny 2-1 (Z)Solar
(Z)Rogue 1-2 (P)Classic
(Z)Solar 2-1 (P)Classic
NesTea | Mvp | MC | Leenock | Losira | Gumiho | DRG | Taeja | Jinro | Stephano | Thorzain | Sen | Idra |Polt | Bomber | Symbol | Squirtle | Fantasy | Jaedong | Maru | sOs | Seed | ByuN | ByuL | Neeb| Scarlett | Rogue | IM forever
killerm12
Profile Joined November 2014
Slovakia601 Posts
March 15 2017 22:17 GMT
#8
UPDATE ON ENGLISH CAST


Byun | Neeb | Ryung | Solar | ShoWTimE | uThermal | Nerchio | TY | soO | MMA | Crank
Aunvilgodess
Profile Joined May 2016
954 Posts
March 15 2017 23:06 GMT
#9
somebody put it into the calendar tho
slowbacontron
Profile Joined October 2012
United States7722 Posts
March 15 2017 23:55 GMT
#10
I might be out of the loop here, but why does the countdown at the end of the article appear to be 30 minutes late? I can see from pressing "Quote" that the countdown tag is set correctly, but the value that appears is 30 minutes more than what you see in Liquipedia or Wolfram Alpha.
jjakji fan
geokilla
Profile Joined May 2011
Canada8247 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-03-16 05:38:54
March 16 2017 05:36 GMT
#11
How come only Basetrade is the only one with English cast? Other organizations or casters aren't allowed? I'd love to watch Rotti and Nathanias casting with ToD and Funka again like back in the old WCS days.

On March 16 2017 06:33 Elentos wrote:
The qualifiers for this tournament are such a meme. I still can't believe they were serious with this.

What was it like?
hiroshOne
Profile Joined October 2015
Poland425 Posts
March 16 2017 05:56 GMT
#12
I'm 100% Zerg biased fan but Solar winning vs Classic? I doubt it.
Ultima Ratio Regum
Ja.Y.
Profile Joined February 2015
United States253 Posts
March 16 2017 06:12 GMT
#13
If Group A had Zest in it, Creator would have the chance to take at least one set. But I believe in Creator to find a resurgence. He's long overdue for one (yes, I'm guilty of fanboy disillusionment).
MMA will reign supreme once again // MaSa is gawd
FrostedMiniWheats
Profile Joined August 2010
United States30730 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-03-16 06:29:33
March 16 2017 06:26 GMT
#14
On March 16 2017 14:56 hiroshOne wrote:
I'm 100% Zerg biased fan but Solar winning vs Classic? I doubt it.


Solar is pretty sick in ZvP and almost always beats Classic.

Come to think of it I shouldn't have even liquibet Classic getting out now that I look at their head to head
NesTea | Mvp | MC | Leenock | Losira | Gumiho | DRG | Taeja | Jinro | Stephano | Thorzain | Sen | Idra |Polt | Bomber | Symbol | Squirtle | Fantasy | Jaedong | Maru | sOs | Seed | ByuN | ByuL | Neeb| Scarlett | Rogue | IM forever
Elentos
Profile Blog Joined February 2015
55581 Posts
March 16 2017 08:44 GMT
#15
On March 16 2017 14:36 geokilla wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 16 2017 06:33 Elentos wrote:
The qualifiers for this tournament are such a meme. I still can't believe they were serious with this.

What was it like?

Every match was best of 1 and Zest and Impact qualified playing 0 games because nobody else from their bracket showed up.
Every 60 seconds in Africa, a minute passes.
Malgo
Profile Joined March 2015
Germany76 Posts
March 16 2017 23:39 GMT
#16
On March 16 2017 15:26 FrostedMiniWheats wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 16 2017 14:56 hiroshOne wrote:
I'm 100% Zerg biased fan but Solar winning vs Classic? I doubt it.


Solar is pretty sick in ZvP and almost always beats Classic.

Come to think of it I shouldn't have even liquibet Classic getting out now that I look at their head to head



Solars perfomance these days is kinda shaky. If he beats Classic, then in a very close 2-1...tho i can imagine classic 2-0 solar
anbiribabo
Profile Joined December 2016
4 Posts
March 17 2017 04:37 GMT
#17
Thanks for the preview Munch. It would be great to have this event on the calendar too.
My money is on Byun but it'll be good to see rogue's form.
Also thanks Basetrade
FrostedMiniWheats
Profile Joined August 2010
United States30730 Posts
March 17 2017 13:42 GMT
#18
On March 16 2017 15:26 FrostedMiniWheats wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 16 2017 14:56 hiroshOne wrote:
I'm 100% Zerg biased fan but Solar winning vs Classic? I doubt it.


Solar is pretty sick in ZvP and almost always beats Classic.

Come to think of it I shouldn't have even liquibet Classic getting out now that I look at their head to head


nvm rofl
NesTea | Mvp | MC | Leenock | Losira | Gumiho | DRG | Taeja | Jinro | Stephano | Thorzain | Sen | Idra |Polt | Bomber | Symbol | Squirtle | Fantasy | Jaedong | Maru | sOs | Seed | ByuN | ByuL | Neeb| Scarlett | Rogue | IM forever
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