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2015 Proleague Playoffs chances

Forum Index > SC2 General
Post a Reply
Caihead
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
Canada8550 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-08-11 12:49:51
June 24 2015 01:53 GMT
#1
I haven't seen a topic regarding the actual playoffs chances for all the teams so I decided to compile it in this google doc spreadsheet:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1knnJyeyyxdr8_8A5N9_Txmi2ST8HnCEirbpkn_bqipU/edit#gid=0

Well based on the points distribution, KT is at 4th with 162 right now, Sbenu is at 131, MVP / Samsung is at 120, prime is at 100. The point differential between KT and Sbenu / MVP and Samsung / Prime is 31/42/62. These differentials will increase by 10 or 40 if KT wins against the winners of CJ/Jinair in Round 3 playoffs but loses to SKT, or if KT goes to win Round 3 playoffs against SKT. The only way for any of Sbenu / MVP / Samsung / Prime to make it into the final playoffs is to at least overtake KT in the rankings.

It is statistically impossible for two teams to overtake both KT and Jinair (who are at 203 points). Even if Jinair scored dead last (30) and KT scored second last (35) it is impossible for two teams to overtake Jinair.

For those too lazy to look at the math, this means:

SKT, CJ, and Jinair are locked into the final playoffs.

Whether KT, Sbenu, MVP, Samsung, or Prime (yes even Prime theoretically has a chance) depends on round 4 performance and KT's performance in round 3 playoffs.

If KT doesn't win against the winners of CJ / Jinair in round 3 playoffs:
There is still a chance for all 4 bottom teams to make it into the final playoffs.
[image loading]

+ Show Spoiler +

If KT wins against the winners of CJ / Jinair in round 3 playoffs, and loses to SKT:
There is still a chance for all 4 bottom teams to make it into the final playoffs.
[image loading]


if KT wins round 3 playoffs:
Prime is officially out of the playoffs, and the only way for Sbenu / Samsung / MVP to make it into the playoffs is if they place at least 3rd place in round 4, AND win the round 4 playoffs.
[image loading]
"If you're not living in the US or are a US Citizen, please do not tell us how to vote or how you want our country to be governed." - Serpest, American Hero
Charoisaur
Profile Joined August 2014
Germany15995 Posts
June 24 2015 02:32 GMT
#2
Prime in Playoffs :D
Many of the coolest moments in sc2 happen due to worker harassment
Shellshock
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States97276 Posts
June 24 2015 02:52 GMT
#3
I would be shocked if any of those teams were able to overtake KT
Moderatorhttp://i.imgur.com/U4xwqmD.png
TL+ Member
Caihead
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
Canada8550 Posts
June 24 2015 03:45 GMT
#4
On June 24 2015 11:52 Shellshock wrote:
I would be shocked if any of those teams were able to overtake KT


They pretty much need KT to not win round 3 playoffs to have any chance; otherwise the chances of KT being in bottom 4 for round 4, and those teams being in top 1-3 AND winning the round 4 playoffs themselves is really really low. Nevertheless it would be funny if Prime made it into the playoffs with a miraculous performance in round 4 over KT but KT will never let that happen.
"If you're not living in the US or are a US Citizen, please do not tell us how to vote or how you want our country to be governed." - Serpest, American Hero
Caihead
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
Canada8550 Posts
August 11 2015 12:52 GMT
#5
Bump since I see people asking in threads about KT's playoff chances.
"If you're not living in the US or are a US Citizen, please do not tell us how to vote or how you want our country to be governed." - Serpest, American Hero
XiaoJoyce-
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
China2908 Posts
August 11 2015 17:37 GMT
#6
KT Should be a powerhouse with Flash Stats Life TY Zest!!!!
Just like SKT . . !!~~~ Why Why Why . . . .
Pew! Pew! Chitty Chitty Bang Bang!
Caihead
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
Canada8550 Posts
August 11 2015 18:32 GMT
#7
On August 12 2015 02:37 XiaoJoyce- wrote:
KT Should be a powerhouse with Flash Stats Life TY Zest!!!!
Just like SKT . . !!~~~ Why Why Why . . . .

I've seen KT lose to Airforce Ace in embarrassing manner then win the whole tournament two, three months later any ways. KT's always been the wildcard while SKT's been the consistent powerhouse. Nothing surprising about that.
"If you're not living in the US or are a US Citizen, please do not tell us how to vote or how you want our country to be governed." - Serpest, American Hero
rotta
Profile Joined December 2011
5594 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-08-18 07:28:20
August 17 2015 22:36 GMT
#8
On August 12 2015 03:32 Caihead wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 12 2015 02:37 XiaoJoyce- wrote:
KT Should be a powerhouse with Flash Stats Life TY Zest!!!!
Just like SKT . . !!~~~ Why Why Why . . . .

I've seen KT lose to Airforce Ace in embarrassing manner then win the whole tournament two, three months later any ways. KT's always been the wildcard while SKT's been the consistent powerhouse. Nothing surprising about that.

KT was the fifth of last year's R4 and still won. It's never over until it's over.
don't wall off against random
Vasoline73
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
United States7809 Posts
August 17 2015 23:58 GMT
#9
On August 12 2015 03:32 Caihead wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 12 2015 02:37 XiaoJoyce- wrote:
KT Should be a powerhouse with Flash Stats Life TY Zest!!!!
Just like SKT . . !!~~~ Why Why Why . . . .

I've seen KT lose to Airforce Ace in embarrassing manner then win the whole tournament two, three months later any ways. KT's always been the wildcard while SKT's been the consistent powerhouse. Nothing surprising about that.

This is why it's always fun to be a KT fan . Hoping they can make it.
intotheheart
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Canada33091 Posts
August 18 2015 00:17 GMT
#10
On August 18 2015 08:58 Vasoline73 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 12 2015 03:32 Caihead wrote:
On August 12 2015 02:37 XiaoJoyce- wrote:
KT Should be a powerhouse with Flash Stats Life TY Zest!!!!
Just like SKT . . !!~~~ Why Why Why . . . .

I've seen KT lose to Airforce Ace in embarrassing manner then win the whole tournament two, three months later any ways. KT's always been the wildcard while SKT's been the consistent powerhouse. Nothing surprising about that.

This is why it's always fun to be a KT fan . Hoping they can make it.

When was the last time they were locked in for playoffs early into PL?

Feel free to use either BW or SC2.
kiss kiss fall in love
Caihead
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
Canada8550 Posts
August 18 2015 01:56 GMT
#11
On August 18 2015 09:17 IntoTheheart wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 18 2015 08:58 Vasoline73 wrote:
On August 12 2015 03:32 Caihead wrote:
On August 12 2015 02:37 XiaoJoyce- wrote:
KT Should be a powerhouse with Flash Stats Life TY Zest!!!!
Just like SKT . . !!~~~ Why Why Why . . . .

I've seen KT lose to Airforce Ace in embarrassing manner then win the whole tournament two, three months later any ways. KT's always been the wildcard while SKT's been the consistent powerhouse. Nothing surprising about that.

This is why it's always fun to be a KT fan . Hoping they can make it.

When was the last time they were locked in for playoffs early into PL?

Feel free to use either BW or SC2.


I think in 2011-2012 proleague they were pretty much locked into PL since they had 3rd / 1st place finish in the first two rounds when there were only 3 rounds?
"If you're not living in the US or are a US Citizen, please do not tell us how to vote or how you want our country to be governed." - Serpest, American Hero
rotta
Profile Joined December 2011
5594 Posts
August 18 2015 13:51 GMT
#12
Today's results were excellent for KT! Now to win the remaining two and hope that SBENU and MVP lose as much as possible.
don't wall off against random
Diabolique
Profile Joined June 2015
Czech Republic5118 Posts
August 18 2015 15:59 GMT
#13
Thanks for the math, I am really happy that Jin Air goes to the final Play Offs even if they do not get to the round 3 Playoffs ...
sOs | Rogue | Maru | Trap | Scarlett | Snute | MC
Diabolique
Profile Joined June 2015
Czech Republic5118 Posts
August 18 2015 16:01 GMT
#14
But for the current playoffs, next week is crucial as the 6th and 7th team (out of eight) will be playing for the last hope this season - KT and Jin Air.
sOs | Rogue | Maru | Trap | Scarlett | Snute | MC
rotta
Profile Joined December 2011
5594 Posts
August 18 2015 16:40 GMT
#15
On August 19 2015 00:59 Diabolique wrote:
Thanks for the math, I am really happy that Jin Air goes to the final Play Offs even if they do not get to the round 3 Playoffs ...

They could still fall if they get only 35 points, KT 91 and SBENU 121. With some upsets there could be a 4-3 situation making it possible.
don't wall off against random
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