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[WCS] Premier Ro32 Group D Preview - S2 2015

Forum Index > SC2 General
17 CommentsPost a Reply

[WCS] Premier Ro32 Group D Preview - S2 2015

Text byZealously
Graphics byv1
May 24th, 2015 15:28 GMT
2015 WCS Season 2

WCS Season Two
Premier League



WCS Premier Group D
(Z)iAsonu, (T)Xenocider, (P)Harstem, (Z)NXZ


Brackets and standings on Liquipedia

WCS Premier Group D

by The_Templar


This weekend of WCS concludes with one of the weaker groups. Although three of the players facing off have shown a reasonable amount of potential in the past, no particularly inspiring runs have been made and none are forecasted. However, the relative weakness of this group means that a first place finish isn’t too difficult and could still lead to greater things in the offline portion of the tournament, while a lackluster performance would be even more of an uninspiring and early end to the tournament.

Rather than focusing on WCS, (Z)iAsonu has instead spent his time usurping Jim and establishing himself as the current top player in China. Starting in early 2015, he has defeated every single player from his own country with only a few close calls against XY and Jim in last season’s WCS Challenger and the semifinals of the GPL Premier League, which he won. In particular, his ZvZ has been exceptional with easy victories against TooDming and XiGua, China’s best, and only a single loss in 2015 to Hydra. Unlike his predecessor, however, iAsonu’s failed to successfully take on Koreans or stronger foreigners, even in Chinese tournaments. While his overall record is quite good, it’s reduced to a poor 52-64 in HotS against non-Chinese players. Most of those games were only against neighboring countries or players decent enough to visit China, but it casts a dim outlook on his performance in later rounds of WCS. However, the notable lack of foreign stars in this first group makes his advancement in this group feasible, even with just one other Zerg.

Two years ago, a young player named (T)Xenocider joined EG shortly after qualifying for the very first season of WCS in its current form. The move was an unusual for the team, as they had a reputation for picking up well known and accomplished players instead of those preparing to steal the spotlight for the first time. However, although the newly-EG Terran dropped out of WCS in the following season, he did make short work of IEF, notably defeating Ret and Welmu to take first place. This victory was a good starting point for Xenocider to make himself noticed, but nothing came of it and after some months he became mostly forgotten. Except for a single challenger run in 2014, ending with a 3-0 loss to HerO, it wasn’t until 2015 that Xenocider returned to WCS. Although he fell in Challenger again last season, this time to viOLet, he managed to qualify for Premier League just two years late with a victory against puCK. The difficulty of his challenger matches against approximately equal caliber opponents suggests that his group will be a challenge but not impossible.

2014 was a promising year for the third player in this group, (P)Harstem. Two Ro16 spots, earned with victories over players such as Bunny and a relatively on-form jjakji, suggested that he would be able to take on a future WCS with fewer Koreans. The promise of a year of Harstem was renewed at the start of 2015, but a rocky start pushed this dream further and further away. Even qualifying for the year’s first season of WCS proved to be difficult, as he needed six of the seven available qualifiers to earn a challenger spot, and lost to multiple players such as GoOdy and Complain that didn’t even deserve a Premier spot. His opponent, Serral, demonstrated the gap between a player like Harstem and a clearly Premier-level competitor as he crushed him 3-0 in games that didn’t look particularly close or well-played by the Dutch Protoss. Unfortunately for Harstem, he had just as much difficulty getting through this season’s qualifiers as he took the very last spot; however, he did manage to get revenge on Serral in the Challenger match, winning 3-1. Whether this is an indication in a renewal of form or a one-time thing is something that remains to be seen.

(Z)NXZ is the player in this group with the least history and fewest stories to tell. As one of the players hailing from Australia, he had to beat nearly everyone else from the Oceanic region to make it there, but as just about every notable player from the area had already qualified, it was a bracket where the third placed player was Frustration. More impressive is his victory against PiG, one of the two Australian competitors normally capable of taking games and series off most WCS players. Even so, with every match of his being either local or online, mostly against other permanently-home players, he lacks a supplement to this surprise Premier League appearance. NXZ has never defeated anyone outside his own region, so taking on a group with even one seasoned veteran, let alone one containing three more experienced players, is a huge step up that he likely can’t take.

Predictions

Although he’d be much worse off in another group, Harstem has one of the best chances of advancing from this group. Although none of his matchups have recently looked exceptional, the Dutch Protoss has held a positive win rate against Zergs that are greater than either one in this group, particularly Serral. Additionally, neither iAsonu nor NXZ have looked particularly great in ZvP, with the former having the most trouble against the top Chinese Protosses. Xenocider has a chance at stealing first place out of the four, especially after reasonable results against most local Protosses, but if he doesn’t, the EG Terran will likely have to defeat iAsonu at least once in a matchup where neither player is comfortable with the style or race of their opponent. NXZ, although he avoided all of the big names in WCS, will unfortunately walk away with nothing more than Premier competition experience under his belt, a check and a challenger invite for next season.

iAsonu > Xenocider
Harstem > NXZ
Xenocider > NXZ
iAsonu < Harstem
Xenocider > iAsonu

Harstem and Xenocider advance!

Writers: The_Templar
Editors: Jer99
Graphics: v1.
Stats: Aligulac
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AdministratorBreak the chains
Taari
Profile Joined May 2014
Germany138 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-05-24 16:03:17
May 24 2015 16:02 GMT
#2
Heart: NXZ & Xenocider (can't stand harstem and iA)
Head: Harstem & Xenocider

anyways this group is the weakest and wackest shit group of all 8. no offense to the players, but when i think that players like welmu or happy are out, they would 4-0 this group most likely.
Happy, herO, Neeb, Zest, uThermal, Welmu, Creator, VortiX, ShoWTimE
fireg8
Profile Joined October 2014
Sweden16 Posts
May 24 2015 16:12 GMT
#3
My head and heart says Harstem and Xenocider, so how can this go wrong? =)
EvilSusan
Profile Joined June 2013
South Africa73 Posts
May 24 2015 16:18 GMT
#4
On May 25 2015 01:12 fireg8 wrote:
My head and heart says Harstem and Xenocider, so how can this go wrong? =)

Mine too, but I've always found that to be a scary thing, as it sets one up for a double disappointment :/

Super stoked about Ret and MarineLord yesterday though, very glad about my poor protoss brainflesh being wrong about that.
(Liquibetted Ret + Violet)
"It's 144hz. I tested it. It works." -Richard "R1CH" Stanway
Liquid`Ret
Profile Blog Joined October 2002
Netherlands4520 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-05-24 16:22:36
May 24 2015 16:21 GMT
#5
you forgot to mention harstem's recent dreamhack run in which he took out snute, targa, and made it to the ro8.

hes on fire!
Team Liquid
aRyuujin
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States5049 Posts
May 24 2015 16:53 GMT
#6
HARSTEM HARSTEM HARSTEM
can i get my estro logo back pls
RPR_Tempest
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Australia7798 Posts
May 24 2015 16:59 GMT
#7
Really hope Ryan can advance. It's definitely possible but as his first major offline event he will suffer from nerves.

At the same time I pray to all the gods that Xenocider doesn't advance. I do not like that kid.
Soundwave, Zerg player from Canberra, Australia. @SoundwaveSC
Deathstar
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
9150 Posts
May 24 2015 16:59 GMT
#8
I picked harstem and iaosno. I dont think xeno has what it takes to make it out
rip passion
stuchiu
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
Fiddler's Green42661 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-05-24 17:02:47
May 24 2015 17:02 GMT
#9
On May 25 2015 01:21 Liquid`Ret wrote:
you forgot to mention harstem's recent dreamhack run in which he took out snute, targa, and made it to the ro8.

hes on fire!


#YearofHarstemOnFireButNotasOnFireAsBly
Moderator
Noonius
Profile Joined April 2012
Estonia17413 Posts
May 24 2015 17:14 GMT
#10
time for The_Templar to go 0/2 with predictions?
Terran forever | Maru hater forever
The_Templar
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
your Country52797 Posts
May 24 2015 17:15 GMT
#11
On May 25 2015 02:14 Noonius wrote:
time for The_Templar to go 0/2 with predictions?

No, I've got this
Moderatorshe/her
TL+ Member
BaneRiders
Profile Joined August 2013
Sweden3630 Posts
May 24 2015 17:16 GMT
#12
On May 25 2015 02:02 stuchiu wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 25 2015 01:21 Liquid`Ret wrote:
you forgot to mention harstem's recent dreamhack run in which he took out snute, targa, and made it to the ro8.

hes on fire!


#YearofHarstemOnFireButNotasOnFireAsBly


If Harstem doesn't make it out in top 2 of this group it will be like the #ForSureNotTheYearofHarstem all over...
Earth, Water, Air and Protoss!
BaneRiders
Profile Joined August 2013
Sweden3630 Posts
May 24 2015 17:17 GMT
#13
On May 25 2015 02:15 The_Templar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 25 2015 02:14 Noonius wrote:
time for The_Templar to go 0/2 with predictions?

No, I've got this


Good confidence is good.
Earth, Water, Air and Protoss!
Noonius
Profile Joined April 2012
Estonia17413 Posts
May 24 2015 17:19 GMT
#14
On May 25 2015 02:15 The_Templar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 25 2015 02:14 Noonius wrote:
time for The_Templar to go 0/2 with predictions?

No, I've got this


well, you better be right, because I got them both on my liquibets
Terran forever | Maru hater forever
Darth Caedus
Profile Joined May 2011
United States326 Posts
May 24 2015 17:48 GMT
#15
Go get 'em Xeno! FOR AMERICA!
Polt: "Those auto-turrets are cute." 10/26/13 commenting on MMA vs. Maru.
digmouse
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
China6330 Posts
May 24 2015 17:54 GMT
#16
Head: Harstem and iAsonu
Heart: iAsonu and Xenocider
TranslatorIf you want to ask anything about Chinese esports, send me a PM or follow me @nerddigmouse.
royalroadweed
Profile Joined April 2013
United States8301 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-05-24 18:50:43
May 24 2015 18:50 GMT
#17
Too bad Gumba isn't in charge of the WCS group D LR.
"Nerfing Toss can just make them stronger"
Topin
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
Peru10110 Posts
May 24 2015 19:10 GMT
#18
On May 25 2015 02:19 Noonius wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 25 2015 02:15 The_Templar wrote:
On May 25 2015 02:14 Noonius wrote:
time for The_Templar to go 0/2 with predictions?

No, I've got this


well, you better be right, because I got them both on my liquibets

going for the easy predictions ... im dissapointed xD
i would define my style between a mix of ByuN, Maru and MKP
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