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WCS AM - Ro16 Group C & D Preview (Season 1)

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WCS AM - Ro16 Group C & D Preview (Season 1)

Text byTL.net ESPORTS
April 6th, 2014 05:17 GMT
2013 GSL Season 2

WCS America 2014
Premier League



Ro16 Group C Preview
Arthur, TooDming, MacSed, TaeJa

Ro16 Group D Preview
Polt, XiGua, CranK, Bomber

Brackets and standings on Liquipedia

VODs on Youtube

Ro16: Day Two Preview

Countdown:

In Germany, Korea and China fight for the fate of America! No, it's not the plot to the next summer blockbuster. It's just business as usual in WCS America, where all the players from the Americas have been knocked out. With four Korean players through to the quarterfinals already, it will be up to the Chinese trio of TooDming, MacSed, and XiGua to make sure WCS America isn't a one-country affair.

Ro16 Group C: Arthur, TooDming, MacSed, TaeJa

by Darkhorse

The Round of 16 continues with Group C which showcases the Chinese players of WCS America for the first time in the round. On paper this group may seem fairly easy to predict, but the upset potential in the group is ridiculously high. No player is safe in any group, and this is no exception.

This WCS America season looked over before it began for (P)ESC.Arthur. Almost anyone placed into a group with the likes of Jaedong and Bomber would be an underdog, but Arthur was completely written off as an afterthought. However, he managed to pull of one of the most shocking upsets of the Ro32 to defeat Bomber 2-1 in the winner's match to earn first place in that group and a spot in the Ro16.

Unfortunately, I think Arthur may have more difficulty here than he did previously. Arthur relied heavily on a series of aggression, timings, and all-ins to defeat Bomber. Even if he changes his strategies up, his opponents will not underestimate him this time around. Arthur's first match will be a PvZ against the Chinese zerg TooDming, a matchup that we did not see from Arthur in the Ro32 which makes it even harder to call. Arthur proved in his first group that he is not intimidated by fan favorites and is in the WCS to win no matter who his opponents may be. He comes into this group as an underdog again which, if the Ro32 is anything to judge by, is exactly where he thrives.

After Jim and MacSed caused a stir in 2013, (Z)ZoO.TooDming is the third Chinese player to make it to the live rounds of WCS America. Like Arthur, TooDming comes in having pulled off a fairly large upset in the Ro32, defeating Scarlett 2-0 in order to advance in second place from his group. Also like Arthur, TooDming did not show us any ZvP in the Ro32, so it is hard to guess what his current form in the matchup may be. He did recently run the Chinese Protoss Gauntlet in the Ifeng Electronic Sports Cup, so he is seemingly coming into the group with strong ZvP. He isn't a particularly well known player, but we've learned by now that it's dangerous to underestimate the underdogs. With some luck and some good strategies, he could be the third Chinese player to make the final eight.

On the other hand, (P)iG.MacSed is a Chinese player who has established himself as a well-known regular in WCS America, coming off two consecutive Ro8 appearances in the tournament. MacSed has evolved from a player who relied mostly on catching his opponents off guard with strange, aggressive builds into a generally solid and strong Protoss. While it is reasonable to suggest that his Ro32 group (vs Sen and puCK) was one of the weaker groups, he barely looked pressured on his way to advancing in first place. Basically he played like a Premier League regular should and he should be considered a favorite to advance here. He has the distinct advantage over both Arthur and TooDming in that he has played in the offline tournament environment of WCS America before. MacSed is certainly a strong contender in the group, but his first opponent is one of the best terrans in Starcraft 2 history: Liquid`Taeja.

(T)Liquid`TaeJa comes into this group in an extremely strange and precarious position. After winning five major tournaments in 2013, Taeja has hit a slump. When you lose 1-3 to SortOf at ASUS ROG and drops a series 0-2 to MajOr in WCS, all guarantees about advancement are off.

With Taeja experiencing some fairly serious wrist issues, there is potential for the group favorite to be knocked out right here in the Ro16. However, Taeja has shown some better form since his narrow advancement from the Ro32. He was able to defeat both Stardust and Life in the IEM World Championships before losing to eventual champion sOs. He showed some susceptibility to blink play at that tournament which is something that the protoss players of the group will take note of. TaeJa could show up in form and dominate the group, or play completely uninspired and early GG into a Ro16 elimination. Or perhaps he'll play somewhere in between. In any case, TaeJa is still a favorite in the group, but is in the most danger of elimination in his entire WCS career.

Predictions!

There is no doubt that Taeja is vulnerable in his present form. However, I am taking him as the group winner for several reasons. He showed good form at IEM, has had much more offline tournament experience than the rest of his group, and has traditionally shown the strongest play out of anyone in the group. The group becomes a little more convoluted looking at the other three players in the group. TooDming against Arthur could swing either way as there isn't much information on the PvZ matchup for either player. A TooDming vs MacSed match could be very interesting as the two have met in 9 bo3's with TooDming holding the winning record 5-4. In the end I am going to go with the two that have shown the best WCS results in the past.

Arthur > TooDming
MacSed < Taeja
Arthur < Taeja
TooDming < MacSed
Arthur < MacSed

Taeja and MacSed advance.

Ro16 Group D: Polt, XiGua, CranK, Bomber

by peanuts

After an intense first day, WCS AM continues (and concludes) the Round of 16 with Group D. Featuring 3 fan favorites, a former champion, and a member of the Chinese trio, the group is sure to have brilliant play and memorable games.

CM.Storm's (T)Polt has a lot to live up to. In 2013, he became the first, and only, player to win back to back seasons of WCS America. Across Seasons 2 and 3, the Korean Terran showed that his play had not deteriorated since his move to America, but, in fact, had achieved its greatest heights yet. Throughout the tournaments, Polt demonstrated a solid grasp of all three matchups, refusing to cede any weaknesses. His momentum has seemed to carry through to this year, if not continue to grow further.

The 5 Star General started off the year with a bang, just narrowly losing to HerO in the IEM Cologne grand finals. Amidst a flood of woes from other Terrans regarding the power of Protoss, Polt simply pushed through. Playing his heart out every step of the way, Polt showed an even stronger emphasis on his already formidable drop play. With a flair for sniping Nexuses, Polt was able to take a perfect group score, as well as take out top Korean Protosses in Classic and Rain. At IEM Katowice, Polt continued this trend. After spectacularly winning a Bo5 with a single reaper, Polt went on to slowly and systematically pick apart the previous GSL champion Dear. All this being said, we haven’t seen a single ZvT from Polt since IEM Sao Paulo, where he played two games against a Brazilian Zerg in group stages, which means XiGua could be a potentially dangerous opponent.

(Z)iG.XiGua is making his Premier League debut with this season of WCS. Once known as the best player in all of China, XiGua followed a common Zerg pattern of experiencing a slump after the eradication of BL-Infestor, only to reestablish himself recently as a strong player. His Ro32 play, though good enough to carry him to the next round, did seem sloppy at times. He often fell victim to harassment and crumbled under early pressure from HuK. However, when allowed to macro up and play on his terms, the Chinese Zerg showed fearsome attacks and wonderful engagements. If he can bring his top play, XiGua could create yet more upsets over the Koreans.

(P)AX.CranK is a player who simply refuses to give up. After the disbanding of SlayerS, CranK went on to play independently before being signed to Axiom. As team captain, CranK has led his team to incredible success in team leagues, considering their relatively small roster. CranK himself has tended to fair decently in these competitions, most recently having a 13-8 record in Acer Teamstory Cup.

However, CranK has yet to find the same success in individual competition. Despite a solid macro game as well as a few reliable all-ins, CranK’s best result to date was a 3rd place finish at Lone Star Clash 2. That being said, he’s still produced decent, reliable results, with two Ro32 finishes, as well as a Ro8. CranK has continued to push forward, striving for an eventual individual championship title.

(T)RedBull_Bomber is coming off of the best year of his Starcraft 2 career. With a win at the Season 2 Global Finals, and Ro4 appearances in GSL and Blizzcon, Bomber seemed to reach the peak of his play. However, Bomber has suffered some discouraging losses after BlizzCon, getting eliminated from IEM Sao Paulo by TLO while losing in the WCS America Ro32 to Arthur's blink all-ins.

As the king of making stuff, Bomber’s specialty has always been a full out, constant attack. Steady streams of Marine/Tank across the map allow him to put pressure on his opponents, no matter the situation. When drawn into the late game, Bomber shows excellent decision making, picking engagements carefully and deliberately. In TvT, he shows a prowess for shattering siege lines and pressing the issue, often driving his opponents as far back as their naturals.

Predictions:

As the defending champion, Polt is the clear favorite to advance from the group. He’s shown that he is still in top form, ready to take on whoever comes his way. Though he’s mostly been showing a prowess in TvP lately, historically, he’s no slouch when it comes to TvZ. XiGua, though a strong beacon of hope for the Chinese scene, is just slightly out of his depth in his initial match. However, going up against Crank, he has the advantage of having in-house practice against Jim and MacSed, two of the best foreign Protosses. Both Bomber and Polt have a strong shot at taking the winner’s match, and a match between the two could go either way.

Polt > XiGua
Crank < Bomber
Polt > Bomber
XiGua > Crank
Bomber > XiGua

Only one thing is certain. Roughly 1200 Marines will die.

Polt and Bomber advance.

Writers: Darkhorse, peanuts
Photos: ESL
Editor: Waxangel
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TL+ Member
Yorkie
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
United States12612 Posts
April 06 2014 05:22 GMT
#2
No faith in Toodming, you disappoint me Darkhorse. Gogo Polt, Bomber, Taeja, and Toodminggggggggggg
Hwang Kang Hooooooooooo. Follow mah boy Shellshock @Shellshock1122
Kitai
Profile Joined June 2012
United States886 Posts
April 06 2014 06:09 GMT
#3
Taeja is my favorite player in SC2 history, but something tells me that he isn't getting out of his group tomorrow, much less in first place =(. Either way I'll cheer him and Polt on.
"You know, I don't care if soO got 100 second places in a row. Anyone who doesn't think that he's going to win blizzcon watching this series is a fool" - Artosis, Blizzcon 2014 soO vs TaeJa
Jelowyellow
Profile Joined February 2014
Philippines6 Posts
April 06 2014 06:16 GMT
#4
Go Chinese people!
peanuts
Profile Blog Joined May 2012
United States1225 Posts
April 06 2014 06:19 GMT
#5
Author's Note: "5 Star General" is because I realized the other day that Polt has 5 Premier tournament wins under his belt. That combined with him waving the naval flag at MLG made me think it was a funny little title.

Also, I hope that someone actually fact checks me on that 1200 Marine count. :D
Writer"My greatest skill is my enjoyment of the game" - Grubby | @TL_Peanuts
Iodem
Profile Joined October 2010
United States1173 Posts
April 06 2014 06:26 GMT
#6
Toodming 4th, really? I think it's more likely that macsed and toodming will advance together, but it really depends on how Taeja's wrists hold up.
If you don't like it, you can quit.
Trasko
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Sweden983 Posts
April 06 2014 07:04 GMT
#7
Toodming, Macsed and Xigua will surprise you all
Jaedong <3
MirageTaN
Profile Joined June 2012
Singapore871 Posts
April 06 2014 07:26 GMT
#8
Dude Polt 3rd time champion I predict and they will have an award called the Polt award for dominating a region
#TLWIN TI7, TLDota BEST TL
Orcasgt24
Profile Joined August 2011
Canada3238 Posts
April 06 2014 08:16 GMT
#9
Polt vs Bomber is going to be a great series. I hope it happens!!!
In Hearthstone we pray to RNGesus. When Yogg-Saron hits the field, RNGod gets to work
Lorning *
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
Belgica34432 Posts
April 06 2014 09:37 GMT
#10
Nice read. Go Polt and China
Community News
TL+ Member
Pyloss
Profile Joined August 2011
Germany1515 Posts
April 06 2014 09:55 GMT
#11
These 2 Groups will be very entertaing.

I have the strong feeling that Arthur will win his group!
<3 sOs, Parting, Mana, Honor, TaKe, Mcanning<3
3point14
Profile Joined November 2011
Germany890 Posts
April 06 2014 10:26 GMT
#12
Germany Esportscountry number 2!
kinsky
Profile Joined November 2010
Germany368 Posts
April 06 2014 12:04 GMT
#13
predicting that bomber will lose in a TvT is a bold thing to do.
Wintex
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
Norway16849 Posts
April 06 2014 12:45 GMT
#14
Bomber will show you how little you believe, Darkhorse. I am disappointed.
The Bomber boy
Yorkie
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
United States12612 Posts
April 06 2014 13:41 GMT
#15
On April 06 2014 21:45 Wintex wrote:
Bomber will show you how little you believe, Darkhorse. I am disappointed.

Darkhorse didn't write the preview for Bomber's group TT
Hwang Kang Hooooooooooo. Follow mah boy Shellshock @Shellshock1122
yido
Profile Joined March 2014
United States350 Posts
April 06 2014 13:57 GMT
#16
All Korean Ro 8 incoming.
gl hf
SampritB
Profile Joined June 2013
United Kingdom56 Posts
April 06 2014 13:58 GMT
#17
In my opinion Arthur is going to stomp this group and not drop a map on the way.
Darkhorse
Profile Blog Joined December 2011
United States23455 Posts
April 06 2014 14:34 GMT
#18
On April 06 2014 21:45 Wintex wrote:
Bomber will show you how little you believe, Darkhorse. I am disappointed.

Rest assured if I had written group D Bomber would have been the winner
WriterRecently Necro'd (?)
djraphi23
Profile Joined August 2013
France2262 Posts
April 06 2014 15:00 GMT
#19
I think Polt will finish 2nd of his group (Bomber 1st).
And to me, it would even be better for him. High chance to play Oz or Alicia instead of Hyun or Revival.
I have more faith in his TvP than in his TvZ.
Polt | Bomber | MMA | Taeja | Maru | TY | Byun | Innovation
Wintex
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
Norway16849 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-04-06 15:06:26
April 06 2014 15:05 GMT
#20
On April 06 2014 22:41 Yorkie wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 06 2014 21:45 Wintex wrote:
Bomber will show you how little you believe, Darkhorse. I am disappointed.

Darkhorse didn't write the preview for Bomber's group TT

I was sure he could influence peanuts to write the correct prediction.

On April 06 2014 23:34 Darkhorse wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 06 2014 21:45 Wintex wrote:
Bomber will show you how little you believe, Darkhorse. I am disappointed.

Rest assured if I had written group D Bomber would have been the winner

Do not disappoint me again, apprentice.
The Bomber boy
Darkhorse
Profile Blog Joined December 2011
United States23455 Posts
April 06 2014 15:07 GMT
#21
On April 07 2014 00:05 Wintex wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 06 2014 22:41 Yorkie wrote:
On April 06 2014 21:45 Wintex wrote:
Bomber will show you how little you believe, Darkhorse. I am disappointed.

Darkhorse didn't write the preview for Bomber's group TT

I was sure he could influence peanuts to write the correct prediction.

Show nested quote +
On April 06 2014 23:34 Darkhorse wrote:
On April 06 2014 21:45 Wintex wrote:
Bomber will show you how little you believe, Darkhorse. I am disappointed.

Rest assured if I had written group D Bomber would have been the winner

Do not disappoint me again, apprentice.

He asked to write that one because, "I FUCKING LOVE BOMBER" I thought he had it under control :/
WriterRecently Necro'd (?)
The_Templar
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
your Country52798 Posts
April 06 2014 16:03 GMT
#22
Picking TaeJa to advance is a good idea
ModeratorI am still alive, somehow
TL+ Member
DavoS
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States4605 Posts
April 06 2014 16:44 GMT
#23
I'd give Arthur the lock to advance, then Taeja or Macsed depending on which Taeja shows up
"KDA is actually the most useless stat in the game" Aui_2000
Shellshock
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States97277 Posts
April 06 2014 18:12 GMT
#24
On April 06 2014 21:45 Wintex wrote:
Bomber will show you how little you believe, Darkhorse. I am disappointed.

Bomber will lose to Crank
Moderatorhttp://i.imgur.com/U4xwqmD.png
TL+ Member
ReD-EyeD
Profile Joined January 2011
Russian Federation32 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-04-06 18:24:23
April 06 2014 18:20 GMT
#25
On April 07 2014 03:12 Shellshock wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 06 2014 21:45 Wintex wrote:
Bomber will show you how little you believe, Darkhorse. I am disappointed.

Bomber will lose to Crank

Not sure if it's a counter curse. How come you're so sure about it?
peanuts
Profile Blog Joined May 2012
United States1225 Posts
April 06 2014 18:54 GMT
#26
On April 07 2014 00:07 Darkhorse wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 07 2014 00:05 Wintex wrote:
On April 06 2014 22:41 Yorkie wrote:
On April 06 2014 21:45 Wintex wrote:
Bomber will show you how little you believe, Darkhorse. I am disappointed.

Darkhorse didn't write the preview for Bomber's group TT

I was sure he could influence peanuts to write the correct prediction.

On April 06 2014 23:34 Darkhorse wrote:
On April 06 2014 21:45 Wintex wrote:
Bomber will show you how little you believe, Darkhorse. I am disappointed.

Rest assured if I had written group D Bomber would have been the winner

Do not disappoint me again, apprentice.

He asked to write that one because, "I FUCKING LOVE BOMBER" I thought he had it under control :/


I do fucking love Bomber. But he's not in top shape right now, and Polt... Polt is a beast. He's looking really on point right now. His play in IEM Cologne was wonderful and he's showing a great form (ranked 5th overall on Aligulac).

Yes, TvT is a specialty of Bomber's. However, Bomber isn't having the best few months. He's been making some mistakes, losing games he shouldn't have, slipping up in his attacks once or twice.

The difference between Polt and Bomber's TvT win rates is a fifth of a percent, in favor of Bomber (61.04 to 61.32). At present, I think that that's such a negligible difference that I decided to give it to Polt. I do think it'll be a 2-1 win though.
Writer"My greatest skill is my enjoyment of the game" - Grubby | @TL_Peanuts
Darkhorse
Profile Blog Joined December 2011
United States23455 Posts
April 06 2014 19:05 GMT
#27
On April 07 2014 03:54 peanutsfan1995 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 07 2014 00:07 Darkhorse wrote:
On April 07 2014 00:05 Wintex wrote:
On April 06 2014 22:41 Yorkie wrote:
On April 06 2014 21:45 Wintex wrote:
Bomber will show you how little you believe, Darkhorse. I am disappointed.

Darkhorse didn't write the preview for Bomber's group TT

I was sure he could influence peanuts to write the correct prediction.

On April 06 2014 23:34 Darkhorse wrote:
On April 06 2014 21:45 Wintex wrote:
Bomber will show you how little you believe, Darkhorse. I am disappointed.

Rest assured if I had written group D Bomber would have been the winner

Do not disappoint me again, apprentice.

He asked to write that one because, "I FUCKING LOVE BOMBER" I thought he had it under control :/


I do fucking love Bomber. But he's not in top shape right now, and Polt... Polt is a beast. He's looking really on point right now. His play in IEM Cologne was wonderful and he's showing a great form (ranked 5th overall on Aligulac).

Yes, TvT is a specialty of Bomber's. However, Bomber isn't having the best few months. He's been making some mistakes, losing games he shouldn't have, slipping up in his attacks once or twice.

The difference between Polt and Bomber's TvT win rates is a fifth of a percent, in favor of Bomber (61.04 to 61.32). At present, I think that that's such a negligible difference that I decided to give it to Polt. I do think it'll be a 2-1 win though.

Haha Wintex is fanboy we're just having fun
WriterRecently Necro'd (?)
igay
Profile Blog Joined November 2011
Australia1178 Posts
April 06 2014 19:23 GMT
#28
Let's go bomber!
MVP <3 MKP <3 DRG <3
Liman
Profile Joined July 2012
Serbia681 Posts
April 06 2014 21:25 GMT
#29
I can barely recognize Bomber,he looks so different.
Hopefully these will be epic games.
Freelancer veteran
MysteryMeat1
Profile Blog Joined June 2011
United States3292 Posts
April 06 2014 21:43 GMT
#30
Lets bet on how many rines will die in this group. Im going with 500
"Cause ya know, Style before victory." -The greatest mafia player alive
WaSteR
Profile Joined February 2014
United States3 Posts
April 06 2014 23:01 GMT
#31
impressed with Arthur atm nice
MiniFotToss
Profile Joined December 2013
China2430 Posts
April 07 2014 06:01 GMT
#32
On April 07 2014 00:05 Wintex wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 06 2014 22:41 Yorkie wrote:
On April 06 2014 21:45 Wintex wrote:
Bomber will show you how little you believe, Darkhorse. I am disappointed.

Darkhorse didn't write the preview for Bomber's group TT

I was sure he could influence peanuts to write the correct prediction.

Show nested quote +
On April 06 2014 23:34 Darkhorse wrote:
On April 06 2014 21:45 Wintex wrote:
Bomber will show you how little you believe, Darkhorse. I am disappointed.

Rest assured if I had written group D Bomber would have been the winner

Do not disappoint me again, apprentice.



LOL, i guess your prediction of Bomber being a winner in the group is quite incorrect, lol, i guess you have to have more faith in Polt than Bomber
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