At this point, sOs must be starting to earn the ire of his team. The 2013 WCS Global Champion has been a thoroughly terrible signing for Jin Air in Proleague, but in the GSL he continues to look like a championship contender. On Tuesday night sOs put in his best GSL performance of the season, going 4-0 against Startale's Curious and Life to reach the quarterfinals.
Though sOs was a pioneer for gate-first builds in HotS, forge-first builds were what gave sOs the edge on the night. It was the perfect counter to Curious' 10-pool rush in their first game, while it led to a crippling cannon rush in the next. Life didn't seem to learn anything from his teammate's defeat, also falling to sOs' cannon rush in the winner's match. Had a different player won his group in such fashion, we'd have said he got lucky with build orders. However, given sOs' reputation for winning through deception and cunning, we're more inclined to say he is recovering his championship form.
Although Life suffered a one-sided defeat against sOs, he was able to make it through in second place by routing RorO in two separate series. Their first match was rather comical, as RorO botched a 10-pool baneling all-in by blowing up two banelings on a hatchery. Life then proved he could outplay RorO even without having the benefit of hilarious errors, overpowering his opponent in a roach war on Polar Night.
Though RorO earned a rematch against Life by defeating Curious in the loser's match, he failed to get revenge. Life took victory in game one with a clever 10-pool-into-gold-base-into-all-in build on Habitation Station, and followed it up by bamboozling RorO with a roach-muta switch in game two. While Life's ZvP continues to look shaky, it was a meaningful achievement for him to overcome the wall of ZvZ that had blocked him in prior Code S tournaments.
Ro16: Group B Preview
Zest, Maru, Soulkey and Dear star in the group of death
by stuchiu
Last year Mr. Chae cried tears of blood during the WCS KR Ro16 group selections. Survival and strategy went flying out the window as a few cocky players decided to play a dangerous game of one-upmanship. It ended with four of the best players in the world at the time being put into one group: Parting, Life, Flash, Innovation. It wasn't the first time GomTV had to grit its teeth and bear the pain of two popular players going out in the Ro16, but it was the most egregious case. It was the straw that broke the camel's back.
Never again?
In 2014, things were to be different. The renamed GOM eXP eliminated group selections altogether, instead choosing the Ro16 groups by a semi-seeded random draw. However, you can't escape fate, and the GSL's fate is to have a group of death. The live group drawing quickly made a dramatic turn as players were drawn into Group B.
Zest? Fine, gotta start with someone. Zest has been doing pretty well lately, he should be a tough opponent for even the established Code S players.
Soulkey? Damn, combined with Zest, this already makes group B one of the tougher groups in the Ro16.
Maru? Wait a sec, the WCS Korea season one AND season two champions are in the same group?! Looks like is gonna be the hardest Ro16 group with just three players drawn.
Dear? WHAT!?!?! ALL THREE WCS KOREA CHAMPIONS FROM 2013 IN THE SAME GROUP? If the players still had picking power, no one would have been insane enough to make this group... ....You okay over there Mr.Chae? That's a lot of blood that's coming from your mouth.
Zest, The Wooki Covered in SKT’s Blood
The first and least tested among the players isKT_Zest. Formerly known as both P7GAB (Covered in Blood) and Wooki, Zest has settled on a name that better hides his true nature as a cold-blooded butcher.
Ever since KeSPA's full SC2 switch, few people have noticed Zest. Like many other KT Rolster players he was overshadowed by the titan known as Flash, and it's generally hard to notice a player named after citrus peels. He seemed fated to remain in obscurity in the first round of Proleague 2014, going 2-4 while looking like the least important of KT's core four.
However, everything changed in the Round 1 playoffs. Facing arch-rivals SKT in the Round 1 championship match, KT Rolster sent out Zest as their point man to lead the way. Zest threw off his lemon-scented cloak to reveal the beast that lay beneath, smashing Rain with a fast 3-gate rush in the opening set. SKT looked to put the insolent Zest in his place by sending out top Zerg Soulkey, but instead they suffered a morale-crushing defeat. Soulkey almost had victory in his hands with locusts ranging deep into Zest's territory, but a few mistakes allowed the KT player to pull off an unthinkable comeback victory.
Running out of WCS champions, SKT was forced to instead field a WCS runner-up in SoO, who got smashed by a blink stalker all-in. With no choice left, SKT sent out PartinG as their ace. But even the Soultoss was couldn't pull back the tide, and Zest calmly outplayed him in a macro game to complete his 4-0 all-kill.
Zest has continued to go on a roll in round 2. He smashed Terminator, Maru and Solar during opening week, helping KT Rolster to the top of the standings. His momentum was only stopped last week, when he suffered defeat at the hands of Bbyong and herO. Even so, his overall record has been extremely impressive, going 31-12 in the new year. In addition to his SKT sweep, he's beat ace-class players from a variety of teams such as Byul, Innovation, Flash, Maru, and Solar.
If Zest has a weakness at all, it might be his PvT. It is the matchup he’s played the least, and he hasn't been especially convincing in macro games. The blink all-in, as well as the threat of the blink all-in, have been a key part of his play. In a pre-patch game against Maru he was able to scare the Jin Air ace into defending against a phantom attack before cruising to victory with a superior economy. When he tried something similar against Bbyong after the patch, Zest found his tricks weren't doing the job anymore. Playing with a strong resource base, Bbyong had a surprisingly easy time forcing the GG from Zest. At the end of the day these are just a couple of games, but you can be sure that Maru will have gleaned valuable information from them.
Up until his losses to herO and Bbyong on the same day, Zest had the most momentum of anyone in this group. Will Zest continue to be mighty Wooki we know he can be, or has his downfall already begun?
Maru, The Final* Hope
A short time ago, in a city far, far away...
It's okay, I got this!
The Kingdoms of Terran and Zerg were locked in a bloody conflict over the throne of GSL. But even as Innovation and Soulkey fought for dominance over Korea, they did notice the hidden threat. From the shadows Protoss came, and wreaking havoc upon the Korean scene. The Terrans were hit the hardest, with those who had the means fleeing to different regions while others like Byun and Yoda went missing entirely. Those that stayed to fight were cut down by the dozens, their blooded bodies littering the fields of Code B. Less still survived the horrors of Code A, leaving just three to face the challenge of Code S.
Yet, not all is lost for the Terran race. There is one among them who is not like the others. Possessing the marine micro of MKP, the SCV pulls of ByuN, and the 2-rax cheeses of BitbyBit,JinAir Maru is hailed as the Terran Prince that was Promised. He is the final hope of Terran to win the GSL championship and end these dark times. While other Terrans ran in terror at the thought of facing Protoss players, Maru fought as many of them as he could in Proleague.
While a few other players like Polt and Jjakji have had success in TvP lately, those two rely on different aspects of their play than Maru. Polt uses his intelligence and tactical prowess to outmaneuver his Protoss opponents. Jjakji utilizes a combination of calculated greed and solid late game control. Maru, on the other hand, wins with sheer force of micro. Where other Terrans are loathe to fight Protoss head on, Maru is addicted to combat. Storms, upgrades, chargelots, colossus: none of those mean a thing to Maru who sends attack after unrelenting attack until his opponent has been beaten into a bloody pulp.
Unfortunately for Maru, the outcome of his hyper-aggressive style has started to change as of late. Instead seeing a bloodied Protoss tap out after eating a barrage of blows, we're more likely to see Maru collapse in a heap after running out of steam.
Even worse, this group in particular seems tailored to kill him. Zest is as strong a Protoss player as they come and defeated Maru in recent Proleague match. Even if Maru beats Zest, he still has to face Soulkey and Dear. Of all the players in the world, they are the two who could be said to hard-counter Maru. Just about every encounter Maru has had with them in the past year has ended in a beatdown. Against Dear, Maru is 2-6. Against Soulkey, he's 3-12. He hasn't won a series against either. If Maru wants to save the Terran race, he will have to exorcise his worst demons.
*Because seriously, how many of you believe in Bbyong?
Soulkey, the Best Zerg Player in the World
The SC2 competitive scene is cutthroat. If you let your mental and physical condition lapse, then you can lose to anyone. Take a quick break, and you risk falling irrevocably behind the curve. Do you know what else is dangerous for your career? Winning a championship. It's a shortcut to a never-ending slump born out of complacency and mental pressure. Even the most diligent and disciplined players fall victim to the winner's curse. What goes up must eventually come down.
Unless you happen to be SKT_Soulkey. For almost a year now, Soulkey had held the title of best Zerg player in the world. At the beginning of HotS, it was Innovation, Flash, Parting and Life who were considered the best players in the world. Soulkey beat them. All of them. One WCS KR later, the best players were Soulkey, Rain, Bomber and Maru. And the next season, they were Soulkey, Soo, Dear and Maru.
Consistency is a quality that's often to underrate, but it's something more easily appreciated given some perspective. Perhaps Jaedong was the sexier player when he was playing well, his aura enhanced by his raw charisma and status as a Brood War legend. However, when you see him getting cheesed out of WCS America in the Ro32 while Soulkey is shooting for a sixth consecutive quarterfinal appearance in Korea...
There's no one thing that makes Soulkey a great player. He excels at everything. He has the best defense of any Zerg in the world, but he also has the best all-ins when he has a mind to use them. His mechanics, his multi-tasking, his decision-making are all amazing. Life has better speedling control, Symbol has a better nydus strategies, and Hyvaa is better at 6 pooling. Outside that, Soulkey is the best.
One thing to keep an eye out for in this group is Soulkey's swarm host play. When people talk about swarm host play in general, it is usually in disgust at how they slow down the pace of the game. But when Soulkey is at the reins, swarm hosts play is sometimes even talked about in reverent tones. Few other players have the skill to use them aggressively without exposing themselves to a fatal blow.
Even in this group of death, Soulkey is a step above the rest.
Dear, the Lost Champion
For a few weeks in the fall of 2013, mouz.Dear looked like the new champion of Aiur. Since MC's departure from Korea, the Protoss race had lacked the single hero all others could rally around and look to for inspiration. After walking the royal road to finally give Protoss their third ever GSL title and winning the WCS Season 3 Finals right after, Dear was hailed as the next great Protoss champion. His play in all three match-ups was immaculate, and his rivalry with Maru seemed like it could headline StarCraft 2 tournaments for several seasons to come. Sadly, Dear's recent play has him resembling Seed more than MC.
Is it the championship curse? At his debut for mousesports at ASUS ROG Winter, Dear had a good tournament on paper by finishing second. However, it was a rough ride the entire way, as he played incredibly sloppy in several of his games. He was just barely good enough to take 3-2 wins in close series before getting swept by San in the finals. IEM Cologne didn't even offer him the solace of a high finish as he was knocked out in the group stages after consecutive losses to jjakji.
Dear played much better upon returning to Korea, making noticeably less blunders as he made it out of his Code S Ro32 group with wins against YongHwa and Dark. Yet, it was not a completely vindicating performance for Dear. Though he played fairly well, Dark's mistakes also played a role in allowing Dear through.
For Dear, it is more important than ever to win now. In the era of Protoss, his name is being quickly forgotten as other players make a mad dash for championships. Also, this will be a turning point for Dear in terms of personal momentum and morale. If he loses here, then all those nagging doubts about his form will start to crystallize. If he loses here, then he faces a series of long, dark weeks where he won't have a tournament to prove himself. Many champions have fallen into a cycle of losing from which they have never escaped. Though Dear might have the strength and tenacity to pull himself out, it's far better if he doesn't even start down that path in the first place. For Dear, this isn’t about getting to the Ro8. This is about survival.
Pretty much agree with everything except Maru beating Zest twice. Zest will win the 1st set, Maru will venture down to slay Dear once and for all, then kick Zest's ass in the final match of the night.
- Soulkey is at ~ 18.62 % chances for top 16 points of 2014 ~ 49.55 % of the time Soulkey wins and their chances go up to ~ 29.35 %. ~ 50.45 % of the time Soulkey loses and their chances go down to ~ 8.08 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Maru is at ~ 11.83 % chances for top 16 points of 2014 ~ 46.02 % of the time Maru wins and their chances go up to ~ 20.31 %. ~ 53.98 % of the time Maru loses and their chances go down to ~ 4.61 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Zest is at ~ 25.22 % chances for top 16 points of 2014 ~ 53.24 % of the time Zest wins and their chances go up to ~ 37.44 %. ~ 46.76 % of the time Zest loses and their chances go down to ~ 11.31 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Dear is at ~ 45.00 % chances for top 16 points of 2014 ~ 51.19 % of the time Dear wins and their chances go up to ~ 65.29 %. ~ 48.81 % of the time Dear loses and their chances go down to ~ 23.71 %.
Soulkey no doubt. From there it's a toss up, but honestly I really hope Zest doesn't advance, since both Maru and Dear are much more exciting to watch.
Ever since KeSPA's full SC2 switch, few people have noticed Zest.
In the previous season of Proleague, he was the second best player on KT, performed an All-kill of STX Soul and had the best PvP record. Who the hell wouldn't have noticed him?
While Life's ZvP continues to look shaky, it was a meaningful achievement for him
well actually you can't say that because Life was in both games behind because of the build order disadvantages.. 10pool vs forge first hatch first vs cannon rush? not sure if that say anything about Life's macro ZvP play :/
"One thing to keep an eye out for in this group is Soulkey's swarm host play. When people talk about swarm host play in general, it is usually in disgust at how they slow down the pace of the game. But when Soulkey is at the reins, swarm hosts play is sometimes even talked about in reverent tones."
On March 06 2014 11:07 Josh_Video wrote: "One thing to keep an eye out for in this group is Soulkey's swarm host play. When people talk about swarm host play in general, it is usually in disgust at how they slow down the pace of the game. But when Soulkey is at the reins, swarm hosts play is sometimes even talked about in reverent tones."
I think we are forgetting Soulkey vs Fantasy.
That wasn't a fantasy. It was reality.
Get it because there are puns with their names or something I don't really know.
This is such a hard group to predict...the safe bet is Soulkey and Zest to advance, but it is only safe by a 0.5% chance. Any two of these players could make it out...
it would be nice if Mouz could loan Dear to an SPL team. he seems like he needs that kind of structure to succeed, and there's little doubt that SPL seems to breed championship contenders. the entire protoss era was born from PvProleague
On March 06 2014 11:34 negativedge wrote: it would be nice if Mouz could loan Dear to an SPL team. he seems like he needs that kind of structure to succeed, and there's little doubt that SPL seems to breed championship contenders. the entire protoss era was born from PvProleague
Well he won WCS KR and the Season 3 finals a few months after PL was over so I wouldn't say he needs it to succeed.
- Soulkey is at ~ 18.62 % chances for top 16 points of 2014 ~ 49.55 % of the time Soulkey wins and their chances go up to ~ 29.35 %. ~ 50.45 % of the time Soulkey loses and their chances go down to ~ 8.08 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Maru is at ~ 11.83 % chances for top 16 points of 2014 ~ 46.02 % of the time Maru wins and their chances go up to ~ 20.31 %. ~ 53.98 % of the time Maru loses and their chances go down to ~ 4.61 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Zest is at ~ 25.22 % chances for top 16 points of 2014 ~ 53.24 % of the time Zest wins and their chances go up to ~ 37.44 %. ~ 46.76 % of the time Zest loses and their chances go down to ~ 11.31 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Dear is at ~ 45.00 % chances for top 16 points of 2014 ~ 51.19 % of the time Dear wins and their chances go up to ~ 65.29 %. ~ 48.81 % of the time Dear loses and their chances go down to ~ 23.71 %.
im so hyped about zest so i really hope this guy gets out of the group. hm maru has been playing very decent for a while and i've watched him since the prime days, so i'd like him to get further in the gsl aswell. anyway cant wait to see these delicious games, looking forward to them alot. Peace fellow starcraft players and fans.
Great writeup! When you have 4 players this accomplished, it's almost impossible to predict the outcome. That said, a few points stand out for me:
1. I find it very hard to believe at least one protoss won't get out of this group 2. Although past performance has often been a very poor predictor, you can't ignore that Maru for all his success has a miserable record against his opponents 3. Soulkey is the most consistent player in the world at making final 8's and final 4's. He's the most consistent player in the world, period, a seriously rare quality in sc2. 4. In sc2, you're only as good as your last few weeks, and titles seem to count for little, or even go against you. On that count, Zest is possibly the most favoured in this group as he's been red-hot recently despite not having "accomplished anything" compared with his competition. 5. Zest has long been godly in PvP
Put all that together and I think Zest and Soulkey are slightly favoured to get out of this deadly group alive. That said, I don't think you could say any possible outcome would be an "upset" and that's why tonight's matches are likely to be very memorable.
On March 06 2014 11:34 negativedge wrote: it would be nice if Mouz could loan Dear to an SPL team. he seems like he needs that kind of structure to succeed, and there's little doubt that SPL seems to breed championship contenders. the entire protoss era was born from PvProleague
Well he won WCS KR and the Season 3 finals a few months after PL was over so I wouldn't say he needs it to succeed.
yeah, but nearly every player says it takes a few months for intense training to show results. of course, it's not like he was a slacker during the proleague season either, considering he was the second best player on the championship team and by the end of the season you could make a case for him as the best protoss. he just carried that success to the individual leagues. then he goes to a foreign team and drops severely.
On March 06 2014 11:34 negativedge wrote: it would be nice if Mouz could loan Dear to an SPL team. he seems like he needs that kind of structure to succeed, and there's little doubt that SPL seems to breed championship contenders. the entire protoss era was born from PvProleague
Well he won WCS KR and the Season 3 finals a few months after PL was over so I wouldn't say he needs it to succeed.
yeah, but nearly every player says it takes a few months for intense training to show results. of course, it's not like he was a slacker during the proleague season either, considering he was the second best player on the championship team and by the end of the season you could make a case for him as the best protoss. he just carried that success to the individual leagues. then he goes to a foreign team and drops severely.
I totally agree with you. I think for a championship player to maintain his form, it's important to have peers and practice partners around that are top level. There are exceptions of course, but Dear surely doesn't look like one. After his miraculous runs, Dear himself said that sOs and Soulkey helped him a great deal in practicing and discussing builds.
No offense, but the Mouz players are certainly a couple of levels below Championship Dear.
It is a known fact that players don't exactly practice with their teams exclusively, unless it is for team leagues. Most progamers play and practice with each other regardless of their team affiliation, as evidenced by how many mention players not on their team when thanking people for helping them. Dear isn't (only) practicing with Mouz players, he's practicing with other pros he is close to in Korea.
So hard to really predict anyone in this group. At first I thought Zest & Soulkey would advance. My favorite in this group is probably Soulkey, so I want him to advance 100%. Zest is probably my least favorite player in this group so honestly I'd rather see Maru or Dear advance over him. Dear does seem like the weakest but you know since his Ro32 showing he has done nothing but practice for GSL.
I actually wouldn't be surprised to see Dear go 4-0 or 4-1 total and win 1st with Soulkey taking 2nd. Maru could also easily take 2nd and leave Zest and Soulkey battleing for 3rd. Maru has been solid in Proleague where as Zest lost to both Bbyong & herO recently and Soulkey lost to Super & DRG.
So, my original prediction was Zest and Soulkey, but after thinking more and more. I'm going with
1st: Dear 2nd: Maru 3rd: Soulkey 4th: Zest
Honestly though, I don't care who really advances because they all deserve it.
On March 06 2014 12:27 Promethelax wrote: Wait one hot second, seed won the third ever gsl trophy for auir. I know he is forgettable but that forgettable?
Yes, he really is, lol! I thought that sounded a bit wrong, but couldn't remember anybody other than Dear and MC winning the GSL as Toss.
Also, barracking for Soulkey (because SKT) and one of either Maru or Dear (because they are the two best players to watch in the group).
On March 06 2014 12:27 Promethelax wrote: Wait one hot second, seed won the third ever gsl trophy for auir. I know he is forgettable but that forgettable?
Yes, he really is, lol! I thought that sounded a bit wrong, but couldn't remember anybody other than Dear and MC winning the GSL as Toss.
Also, barracking for Soulkey (because SKT) and one of either Maru or Dear (because they are the two best players to watch in the group).
Maru's definately got a chance to pull off something cool here. For example, he might further explore the bio/mech that fantasy showed in pl And he can always 2 rax his way through
Former GSL champions are OUT.Maybe because CURSE lives on. Soulkey's transfer to SKT is cursed. Dear's transfer to foreign team is cursed.Therefore they should have transfered to Teamliquid to retain their consistency.But somehow, a long dominance has no place in SC2 - they should just embrace the fact.
Wow, i had soulkey pegged to win this group! Awesome games though. Maru looking strong. . ./flex. Gotta love code s though. The player pool is so strong you really never know who can take it at any given time. These guys push the skill ceiling every other week or so, lol.