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[IEM] Season X - Gamescom Day 2 - Page 10

Forum Index > StarCraft 2 Tournaments
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Lorning *
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
Belgica34432 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-08-06 14:00:39
August 06 2015 14:00 GMT
#181
They won't even show Ret vs Lilbow on the main stream

(According to the schedule)
Community News
TL+ Member
intotheheart
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Canada33091 Posts
August 06 2015 14:00 GMT
#182
On August 06 2015 22:59 The_Red_Viper wrote:
But nah guys, in reality we should all wear MVP flairs today, korean dota has to show what could happen if korea got involved for real!!

Pity we don't have flair yet.
kiss kiss fall in love
intotheheart
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Canada33091 Posts
August 06 2015 14:00 GMT
#183
On August 06 2015 23:00 Lorning wrote:
They won't even show Ret vs Lilbow on the main stream

Why bother when Ret's guaranteed to win?
kiss kiss fall in love
Shellshock
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States97276 Posts
August 06 2015 14:00 GMT
#184
What are Lilbow's odds vs Fantasy?
Moderatorhttp://i.imgur.com/U4xwqmD.png
TL+ Member
Inflicted
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Australia18228 Posts
August 06 2015 14:01 GMT
#185
On August 06 2015 23:00 Shellshock wrote:
What are Lilbow's odds vs Fantasy?


Liquipedia"Expert"
intotheheart
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Canada33091 Posts
August 06 2015 14:01 GMT
#186
On August 06 2015 23:01 Inflicted wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 06 2015 23:00 Shellshock wrote:
What are Lilbow's odds vs Fantasy?


https://twitter.com/LilbowSC/status/629236079896449025

It's just a ruse. Chill, Lilbow and Ret advance easy.
kiss kiss fall in love
FueledUpAndReadyToGo
Profile Blog Joined March 2013
Netherlands30548 Posts
August 06 2015 14:02 GMT
#187
On August 06 2015 23:00 Lorning wrote:
They won't even show Ret vs Lilbow on the main stream

(According to the schedule)

wtf
Neosteel Enthusiast
Lorning *
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
Belgica34432 Posts
August 06 2015 14:03 GMT
#188
Maybe they'll stream Ret vs INno on BaseTrade, but they're casting Leifeng now so I'm not sure
Community News
TL+ Member
Shellshock
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States97276 Posts
August 06 2015 14:05 GMT
#189
On August 06 2015 23:03 Lorning wrote:
Maybe they'll stream Ret vs INno on BaseTrade, but they're casting Leifeng now so I'm not sure

Did they stream all the games from the first group? I'd be surprised if they were behind schedule since it sounds like soO won so effortlessly
Moderatorhttp://i.imgur.com/U4xwqmD.png
TL+ Member
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17683 Posts
August 06 2015 14:05 GMT
#190
WCS Predictor 2015
IEM Gamescom Day 2


kr MMA, ru Happy, kr soO, and de HeRoMaRinE in
in IEM Gamescom round of 16.
soO has the #2 Headband.
MMA is at 0.8% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.19% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.15%, or 0.49% if they lose.
soO is at 14.07% Blizzcon Chances, with a 69.97% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 15.95%, or 9.67% if they lose.
Happy is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.11% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose.
HeRoMaRinE is at 0.23% Blizzcon Chances, with a 37.73% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.41%, or 0.12% if they lose.

fr Lilbow, kr FanTaSy, nl Ret, and kr INnoVation in
in IEM Gamescom round of 16.
Lilbow is at 19.31% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.21% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 24.67%, or 14.52% if they lose.
Ret is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 24.01% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose.
FanTaSy is at 66.81% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.02% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 82.5%, or 45.99% if they lose.
INnoVation is at 94.43% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.76% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 96.66%, or 88.75% if they lose.

+ Show Spoiler [Day 3 Groups] +

de Lambo, nl uThermal, us State, and kr ForGG in
in IEM Gamescom round of 16.
Lambo is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 37.96% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
State is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 31.11% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
uThermal is at 1.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.07% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.29%, or 0.71% if they lose.
ForGG is at 15.93% Blizzcon Chances, with a 73.86% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 17.81%, or 10.6% if they lose.

pl Nerchio, de TLO, kr StarDust, and kr Patience in
in IEM Gamescom round of 16.
Nerchio is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.67% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose.
StarDust is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 54.84% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose.
TLO is at 2.48% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.78% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.44%, or 1.84% if they lose.
Patience is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.71% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.06%, or 0.01% if they lose.

+ Show Spoiler [IEM Gamescom Winning Chances] +

kr INnoVation has a 20.01% chance to win
----going from 94.43% to 99.85% if they get 1st, or 93.07% if they don't.
kr soO has a 17.95% chance to win
----going from 14.07% to 25.3% if they get 1st, or 11.61% if they don't.
kr ForGG has a 12.28% chance to win
----going from 15.93% to 29.12% if they get 1st, or 14.08% if they don't.
kr FanTaSy has a 10.33% chance to win
----going from 66.81% to 98.81% if they get 1st, or 63.13% if they don't.
fr Lilbow has a 6.95% chance to win
----going from 19.31% to 43.43% if they get 1st, or 17.51% if they don't.
+ Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +

pl Nerchio has a 5.96% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
ru Happy has a 4.24% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr MMA has a 4.05% chance to win
----going from 0.8% to 3.4% if they get 1st, or 0.69% if they don't.
kr StarDust has a 4.05% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.03% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr Patience has a 3.98% chance to win
----going from 0.04% to 0.4% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't.
de HeRoMaRinE has a 2.96% chance to win
----going from 0.23% to 1.94% if they get 1st, or 0.17% if they don't.
nl uThermal has a 2.7% chance to win
----going from 1.04% to 2.41% if they get 1st, or 1.01% if they don't.
de TLO has a 2.03% chance to win
----going from 2.48% to 10.29% if they get 1st, or 2.32% if they don't.
nl Ret has a 1.13% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
de Lambo has a 0.72% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
us State has a 0.67% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.


+ Show Spoiler [IEM Gamescom Placements Table] +
[image loading]


Branches
+ Show Spoiler [If Innovation loses in GSL and SSL] +
Branch #3065
-If Innovation loses in GSL and SSL (32nd place in GSL and 8th place in SSL), then he goes down to 74.84%
-If Innovation loses in GSL and SSL and IEM ro16, he goes down to 53.03%
-If Innovation loses in GSL and SSL and advances from his IEM ro16 group, he goes to 83.43%
-If Innovation loses in GSL and SSL and gets 2nd place in IEM, he goes to 91.62%
-If Innovation loses in GSL and SSL and gets 1st place in IEM, he goes up to 99.08%

+ Show Spoiler [If Lilbow Gets 4th Place in IEM Gamescom] +
Branch #3060
-If Lilbow gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom, then he goes up to 22.97%
-If Lilbow gets 4th place in IEM and loses his WCS ro32 group, he goes down to 2.14%
-If Lilbow gets 4th place in IEM and wins his WCS ro32 group, he goes up to 31.52%
-If Lilbow gets 4th place in IEM and 4th place in WCS, he goes up to 43.94%
-If Lilbow gets 4th place in IEM and 2nd place in WCS, he goes up to 91.06%
-If Lilbow gets 4th place in IEM and 2nd place in Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 51.38%
-If Lilbow gets 4th place in IEM and 1st place in Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 75.09%

+ Show Spoiler [If Lilbow wins IEM Gamescom] +
Branch #3061
-If Lilbow wins IEM Gamescom, then he goes up to 43.43%
-If Lilbow wins IEM Gamescom and gets 8th place in WCS, he goes up to 57.69%
-If Lilbow wins IEM Gamescom and gets 4th place in WCS, he goes up to 92.59%
-If Lilbow wins IEM Gamescom and gets 16th in Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 51.14%
-If Lilbow wins IEM Gamescom and gets 4th in Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 74.5%

+ Show Spoiler [If Fantasy Gets 4th Place in IEM Games…] +
Branch #3062
-If Fantasy gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom, then he goes up to 83.96%
-If Fantasy gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and loses his GSL ro32 group, he goes to 69.17%
-If Fantasy gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and wins his GSL ro32 group, he goes up to 95.46%
-If Fantasy gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and gets 16th place in GSL, he goes up to 91.53%
-If Fantasy gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and 8th in Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 96.56%

+ Show Spoiler [If Fantasy Loses His GSL Ro32 Group] +
Branch #3066
-If Fantasy loses in GSL, then he goes down to 46.37%
-If Fantasy loses in GSL and gets 8th in IEM Gamescom, he goes to 49.32%
-If Fantasy loses in GSL and gets 2nd in IEM Gamescom, he goes to 83.74%
-If Fantasy loses in GSL and gets 1st in IEM Gamescom, he goes up to 97.38%

+ Show Spoiler [If soO Gets 2nd Place in IEM Gamescom] +
Branch #3063
-If soO gets 2nd place in IEM Gamescom, then he goes up to 16.63%
-If soO gets 2nd place in IEM Gamescom and wins his GSL ro32 group, he goes up to 25.49%
-If soO gets 2nd place in IEM Gamescom and 2nd place in GSL, he goes up to 74.8%
-If soO gets 2nd place in IEM Gamescom and gets 2nd place in Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 35.54%
-If soO gets 2nd place in IEM Gamescom and gets 4th place in GSL, he goes up to 24.19%

+ Show Spoiler [If ForGG Gets 4th Place in IEM Gamescom] +
Branch #3064
-If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom, then he goes up to 16.3%
-If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and wins his WCS ro32 group, he goes up to 24.83%
-If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and loses his WCS ro32 group, he goes down to 0.62%
-If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and 4th in WCS, he goes to 16.11%
-If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and 2nd in WCS, he goes up to 62.34%
-If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and 2nd in Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 33.34%
-If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and 1st in Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 50.36%

"Expert" mods4ever.com
fruity.
Profile Joined April 2012
England1711 Posts
August 06 2015 14:06 GMT
#191
NOOOO's where can I see Ret beating Inno? Or is it on ESL after Fanta's game?
Ex Zerg learning Terran. A bold move.
Lorning *
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
Belgica34432 Posts
August 06 2015 14:06 GMT
#192
On August 06 2015 23:05 Shellshock wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 06 2015 23:03 Lorning wrote:
Maybe they'll stream Ret vs INno on BaseTrade, but they're casting Leifeng now so I'm not sure

Did they stream all the games from the first group? I'd be surprised if they were behind schedule since it sounds like soO won so effortlessly

Main streamed showed everything except the first Happy vs MMA match. That one was casted by BaseTrade
Community News
TL+ Member
[UoN]Sentinel
Profile Blog Joined November 2009
United States11320 Posts
August 06 2015 14:06 GMT
#193
Ugh. Group A went predictably.
Нас зовет дух отцов, память старых бойцов, дух Москвы и твердыня Полтавы
intotheheart
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Canada33091 Posts
August 06 2015 14:06 GMT
#194
On August 06 2015 23:06 [UoN]Sentinel wrote:
Ugh. Group A went predictably.

That's fine. Being a massive Avilo fan, don't you want Terran to win and save eSports?
kiss kiss fall in love
[UoN]Sentinel
Profile Blog Joined November 2009
United States11320 Posts
August 06 2015 14:07 GMT
#195
On August 06 2015 23:06 IntoTheheart wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 06 2015 23:06 [UoN]Sentinel wrote:
Ugh. Group A went predictably.

That's fine. Being a massive Avilo fan, don't you want Terran to win and save eSports?

As long as it isn't Fuck Innovation.

Besides, two terrans lost in Group A.
Нас зовет дух отцов, память старых бойцов, дух Москвы и твердыня Полтавы
intotheheart
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Canada33091 Posts
August 06 2015 14:08 GMT
#196
On August 06 2015 23:07 [UoN]Sentinel wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 06 2015 23:06 IntoTheheart wrote:
On August 06 2015 23:06 [UoN]Sentinel wrote:
Ugh. Group A went predictably.

That's fine. Being a massive Avilo fan, don't you want Terran to win and save eSports?

As long as it isn't Fuck Innovation.

Besides, two terrans lost in Group A.

Protoss win 50% of PvP is what you're telling me, where in every PvP, 1 Protoss will win, and 1 will lose.
kiss kiss fall in love
The_Red_Viper
Profile Blog Joined August 2013
19533 Posts
August 06 2015 14:09 GMT
#197
On August 06 2015 23:00 IntoTheheart wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 06 2015 22:59 The_Red_Viper wrote:
But nah guys, in reality we should all wear MVP flairs today, korean dota has to show what could happen if korea got involved for real!!

Pity we don't have flair yet.

Yeah, i hope it comes soon, Otherworld way too lucky atm
IU | Sohyang || There is no God and we are his prophets | For if ‘Thou mayest’—it is also true that ‘Thou mayest not.” | Ignorance is the parent of fear |
[PkF] Wire
Profile Joined March 2013
France24227 Posts
August 06 2015 14:09 GMT
#198
Sorry Lilbow, I like my country, but I like FanTaSy more ! Gogo FanTaSy !
Shellshock
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States97276 Posts
August 06 2015 14:09 GMT
#199
On August 06 2015 23:09 The_Red_Viper wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 06 2015 23:00 IntoTheheart wrote:
On August 06 2015 22:59 The_Red_Viper wrote:
But nah guys, in reality we should all wear MVP flairs today, korean dota has to show what could happen if korea got involved for real!!

Pity we don't have flair yet.

Yeah, i hope it comes soon, Otherworld way too lucky atm

he should have his bet delayed and doubled for such insolence
Moderatorhttp://i.imgur.com/U4xwqmD.png
TL+ Member
intotheheart
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Canada33091 Posts
August 06 2015 14:10 GMT
#200
On August 06 2015 23:09 [PkF] Wire wrote:
Sorry Lilbow, I like my country, but I like FanTaSy more ! Gogo FanTaSy !

Wow you are such a traitor.

What's the French equivalent of Benedict Arnold?
kiss kiss fall in love
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