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[WCS] Global Finals 2014 Day 1 - Page 2

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REyeM
Profile Joined August 2014
2674 Posts
October 06 2014 15:09 GMT
#21
On October 07 2014 00:08 lichter wrote:
wtf


People generally make these kinds of threads when some tourney is going on and they report stuff that happens in here.
S4 Arrows, never forget. RIP Woongjin Stars.
The_Templar
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
your Country52798 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-10-31 12:00:43
October 06 2014 15:10 GMT
#22
Reserved for more fan hype

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ModeratorI am still alive, somehow
TL+ Member
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17744 Posts
October 06 2014 15:12 GMT
#23
On October 07 2014 00:08 The_Templar wrote:
Surprised it's that likely for Bomber/Polt to get the first seed. Although I suppose if either of them makes the finals and HyuN doesn't (A 3/8 chance in isolation), they will get the top seed.

the chances of each of those sets are so low though, top ones around 5.5% lol

WCS AM S3 Premier
kr Polt has a ~ 20.15 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
kr HyuN has a ~ 19.84 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
kr Bomber has a ~ 18.83 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
ca Scarlett has a ~ 17.06 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 17.06 % to ~ 100 %
kr Heart has a ~ 7.89 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
kr Pigbaby has a ~ 6.07 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 6.07 % to ~ 100 %
ca HuK has a ~ 5.37 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
kr HerO has a ~ 4.79 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 4.79 % to ~ 100 %
"Expert" mods4ever.com
munch
Profile Joined July 2014
Mute City2363 Posts
October 06 2014 15:12 GMT
#24
HYYPPUUUUUUUUUUUUUUU
WriterForm is temporary, MMA is permanent || http://www.teamliquid.net/blogs/508630-article-archive
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17744 Posts
October 06 2014 15:13 GMT
#25
The_Templar, or anyone else, want me to run any specific stats? I might do it if it wouldn't take me too long lol.
"Expert" mods4ever.com
The_Templar
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
your Country52798 Posts
October 06 2014 15:14 GMT
#26
On October 07 2014 00:12 Die4Ever wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 07 2014 00:08 The_Templar wrote:
Surprised it's that likely for Bomber/Polt to get the first seed. Although I suppose if either of them makes the finals and HyuN doesn't (A 3/8 chance in isolation), they will get the top seed.

the chances of each of those sets are so low though, top ones around 5.5% lol

WCS AM S3 Premier
kr Polt has a ~ 20.15 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
kr HyuN has a ~ 19.84 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
kr Bomber has a ~ 18.83 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
ca Scarlett has a ~ 17.06 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 17.06 % to ~ 100 %
kr Heart has a ~ 7.89 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
kr Pigbaby has a ~ 6.07 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 6.07 % to ~ 100 %
ca HuK has a ~ 5.37 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
kr HerO has a ~ 4.79 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 4.79 % to ~ 100 %

Yes, but there are a lot of scenarios where Polt/Bomber gets the top seed. e.g. If either of them even make the finals and HyuN loses to HuK.
ModeratorI am still alive, somehow
TL+ Member
REyeM
Profile Joined August 2014
2674 Posts
October 06 2014 15:16 GMT
#27
The_Templar you forgot soO's 4th GSL silver
S4 Arrows, never forget. RIP Woongjin Stars.
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17744 Posts
October 06 2014 15:17 GMT
#28
On October 07 2014 00:14 The_Templar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 07 2014 00:12 Die4Ever wrote:
On October 07 2014 00:08 The_Templar wrote:
Surprised it's that likely for Bomber/Polt to get the first seed. Although I suppose if either of them makes the finals and HyuN doesn't (A 3/8 chance in isolation), they will get the top seed.

the chances of each of those sets are so low though, top ones around 5.5% lol

WCS AM S3 Premier
kr Polt has a ~ 20.15 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
kr HyuN has a ~ 19.84 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
kr Bomber has a ~ 18.83 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
ca Scarlett has a ~ 17.06 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 17.06 % to ~ 100 %
kr Heart has a ~ 7.89 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
kr Pigbaby has a ~ 6.07 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 6.07 % to ~ 100 %
ca HuK has a ~ 5.37 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
kr HerO has a ~ 4.79 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 4.79 % to ~ 100 %

Yes, but there are a lot of scenarios where Polt/Bomber gets the top seed. e.g. If either of them even make the finals and HyuN loses to HuK.

Yea, they're fairly likely to win and that helps too, and you are also comparing 2 players to 1 player, if you look at their individual chances for #1 seed

HyuN has a ~ 63.34 % chance to get the #1 seed at Blizzcon.
Polt has a ~ 20.15 % chance to get the #1 seed at Blizzcon.
Bomber has a ~ 16.51 % chance to get the #1 seed at Blizzcon.
"Expert" mods4ever.com
The_Templar
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
your Country52798 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-10-06 15:18:47
October 06 2014 15:18 GMT
#29
On October 07 2014 00:16 REyeM wrote:
The_Templar you forgot soO's 4th GSL silver

Sorry! I created this a while ago :D
I put it in there now.
ModeratorI am still alive, somehow
TL+ Member
The_Templar
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
your Country52798 Posts
October 06 2014 15:19 GMT
#30
On October 07 2014 00:17 Die4Ever wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 07 2014 00:14 The_Templar wrote:
On October 07 2014 00:12 Die4Ever wrote:
On October 07 2014 00:08 The_Templar wrote:
Surprised it's that likely for Bomber/Polt to get the first seed. Although I suppose if either of them makes the finals and HyuN doesn't (A 3/8 chance in isolation), they will get the top seed.

the chances of each of those sets are so low though, top ones around 5.5% lol

WCS AM S3 Premier
kr Polt has a ~ 20.15 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
kr HyuN has a ~ 19.84 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
kr Bomber has a ~ 18.83 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
ca Scarlett has a ~ 17.06 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 17.06 % to ~ 100 %
kr Heart has a ~ 7.89 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
kr Pigbaby has a ~ 6.07 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 6.07 % to ~ 100 %
ca HuK has a ~ 5.37 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
kr HerO has a ~ 4.79 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 4.79 % to ~ 100 %

Yes, but there are a lot of scenarios where Polt/Bomber gets the top seed. e.g. If either of them even make the finals and HyuN loses to HuK.

Yea, they're fairly likely to win and that helps too, and you are also comparing 2 players to 1 player, if you look at their individual chances for #1 seed

HyuN has a ~ 63.34 % chance to get the #1 seed at Blizzcon.
Polt has a ~ 20.15 % chance to get the #1 seed at Blizzcon.
Bomber has a ~ 16.51 % chance to get the #1 seed at Blizzcon.

Yeah, that is a lot less deceiving than the possible brackets. Still, it feels likely that HyuN won't be the #1 seed at the end of WCS AM.
ModeratorI am still alive, somehow
TL+ Member
Deathstar
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
9150 Posts
October 06 2014 15:28 GMT
#31
I hope everything falls into place such that JD is mr #16

<3
rip passion
The_Templar
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
your Country52798 Posts
October 06 2014 15:29 GMT
#32
Added Blizzard's recent WCS Soundoff videos.
On October 07 2014 00:13 Die4Ever wrote:
The_Templar, or anyone else, want me to run any specific stats? I might do it if it wouldn't take me too long lol.

Is it possible to generate the most likely blizzcon finals?
ModeratorI am still alive, somehow
TL+ Member
lastride
Profile Joined April 2014
2390 Posts
October 06 2014 15:29 GMT
#33
Poor soo..for ever alone
Deathstar
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
9150 Posts
October 06 2014 15:31 GMT
#34
also, the player profile post is very hype and well organized

nicely done the templar :D
rip passion
lastride
Profile Joined April 2014
2390 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-10-06 15:34:34
October 06 2014 15:31 GMT
#35
Great player list. Misses flash and maru tho. And JD of course,for the fan hype
Btw what about jd's chances. does he have any?
The_Templar
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
your Country52798 Posts
October 06 2014 15:34 GMT
#36
On October 07 2014 00:31 Deathstar wrote:
also, the player profile post is very hype and well organized

nicely done the templar :D

A lot of it is taken from last year's, done by opterown, so I would like to thank him for that :D
ModeratorI am still alive, somehow
TL+ Member
The_Templar
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
your Country52798 Posts
October 06 2014 15:35 GMT
#37
On October 07 2014 00:31 lastride wrote:
Great player list. Misses flash and maru tho. And JD of course,for the fan hype
Btw what about jd's chances. does he have any?

He's in if HerO/Pigbaby/Scarlett don't win WCS AM
ModeratorI am still alive, somehow
TL+ Member
lastride
Profile Joined April 2014
2390 Posts
October 06 2014 15:37 GMT
#38
On October 07 2014 00:35 The_Templar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 07 2014 00:31 lastride wrote:
Great player list. Misses flash and maru tho. And JD of course,for the fan hype
Btw what about jd's chances. does he have any?

He's in if HerO/Pigbaby/Scarlett don't win WCS AM

Damn it and was gonna root for Hero! I like his chances tho,he can make it after all
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17744 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-10-06 15:52:12
October 06 2014 15:38 GMT
#39
On October 07 2014 00:29 The_Templar wrote:
Added Blizzard's recent WCS Soundoff videos.
Show nested quote +
On October 07 2014 00:13 Die4Ever wrote:
The_Templar, or anyone else, want me to run any specific stats? I might do it if it wouldn't take me too long lol.

Is it possible to generate the most likely blizzcon finals?

hmm that's pretty tough lol, since the way it works now is it does simulations, and then figures out the top 16, I think I can do it

How is the bracket aligned? Like last year was?

#1 vs #16
#8 vs #9

#5 vs #12
#4 vs #13

#6 vs #11
#3 vs #14

#7 vs #10
#2 vs #15
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Bagration
Profile Blog Joined October 2011
United States18282 Posts
October 06 2014 15:39 GMT
#40
Going to be sick! Thanks for making this

Don't want to nitpick, but MMA is missing his most recent WCS EU win under his profile.
Team Slayers, Axiom-Acer and Vile forever
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