EPTOn October 07 2014 00:08 lichter wrote:
wtf
wtf
People generally make these kinds of threads when some tourney is going on and they report stuff that happens in here.
[WCS] Global Finals 2014 Day 1 - Page 2
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REyeM
2674 Posts
People generally make these kinds of threads when some tourney is going on and they report stuff that happens in here. | ||
The_Templar
your Country52797 Posts
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Die4Ever
United States17671 Posts
On October 07 2014 00:08 The_Templar wrote: Surprised it's that likely for Bomber/Polt to get the first seed. Although I suppose if either of them makes the finals and HyuN doesn't (A 3/8 chance in isolation), they will get the top seed. the chances of each of those sets are so low though, top ones around 5.5% lol WCS AM S3 Premier   Polt has a ~ 20.15 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %  HyuN has a ~ 19.84 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Bomber has a ~ 18.83 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Scarlett has a ~ 17.06 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 17.06 % to ~ 100 % Heart has a ~ 7.89 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %  Pigbaby has a ~ 6.07 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 6.07 % to ~ 100 % HuK has a ~ 5.37 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % HerO has a ~ 4.79 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 4.79 % to ~ 100 % | ||
munch
Mute City2363 Posts
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Die4Ever
United States17671 Posts
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The_Templar
your Country52797 Posts
On October 07 2014 00:12 Die4Ever wrote: the chances of each of those sets are so low though, top ones around 5.5% lol WCS AM S3 Premier Polt has a ~ 20.15 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % HyuN has a ~ 19.84 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Bomber has a ~ 18.83 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Scarlett has a ~ 17.06 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 17.06 % to ~ 100 % Heart has a ~ 7.89 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Pigbaby has a ~ 6.07 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 6.07 % to ~ 100 % HuK has a ~ 5.37 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % HerO has a ~ 4.79 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 4.79 % to ~ 100 %Yes, but there are a lot of scenarios where Polt/Bomber gets the top seed. e.g. If either of them even make the finals and HyuN loses to HuK. | ||
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REyeM
2674 Posts
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Die4Ever
United States17671 Posts
On October 07 2014 00:14 The_Templar wrote: Yes, but there are a lot of scenarios where Polt/Bomber gets the top seed. e.g. If either of them even make the finals and HyuN loses to HuK. Yea, they're fairly likely to win and that helps too, and you are also comparing 2 players to 1 player, if you look at their individual chances for #1 seed HyuN has a ~ 63.34 % chance to get the #1 seed at Blizzcon. Polt has a ~ 20.15 % chance to get the #1 seed at Blizzcon. Bomber has a ~ 16.51 % chance to get the #1 seed at Blizzcon. | ||
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The_Templar
your Country52797 Posts
On October 07 2014 00:16 REyeM wrote: The_Templar you forgot soO's 4th GSL silver Sorry! I created this a while ago :D I put it in there now. | ||
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The_Templar
your Country52797 Posts
On October 07 2014 00:17 Die4Ever wrote: Yea, they're fairly likely to win and that helps too, and you are also comparing 2 players to 1 player, if you look at their individual chances for #1 seed HyuN has a ~ 63.34 % chance to get the #1 seed at Blizzcon. Polt has a ~ 20.15 % chance to get the #1 seed at Blizzcon. Bomber has a ~ 16.51 % chance to get the #1 seed at Blizzcon. Yeah, that is a lot less deceiving than the possible brackets. Still, it feels likely that HyuN won't be the #1 seed at the end of WCS AM. | ||
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Deathstar
9150 Posts
<3 | ||
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The_Templar
your Country52797 Posts
On October 07 2014 00:13 Die4Ever wrote: The_Templar, or anyone else, want me to run any specific stats? I might do it if it wouldn't take me too long lol. Is it possible to generate the most likely blizzcon finals? | ||
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lastride
2390 Posts
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Deathstar
9150 Posts
nicely done the templar :D | ||
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lastride
2390 Posts
Btw what about jd's chances. does he have any? | ||
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The_Templar
your Country52797 Posts
On October 07 2014 00:31 Deathstar wrote: also, the player profile post is very hype and well organized nicely done the templar :D A lot of it is taken from last year's, done by opterown, so I would like to thank him for that :D | ||
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The_Templar
your Country52797 Posts
On October 07 2014 00:31 lastride wrote: Great player list. Misses flash and maru tho. And JD of course,for the fan hype Btw what about jd's chances. does he have any? He's in if HerO/Pigbaby/Scarlett don't win WCS AM | ||
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lastride
2390 Posts
On October 07 2014 00:35 The_Templar wrote: He's in if HerO/Pigbaby/Scarlett don't win WCS AM Damn it and was gonna root for Hero! I like his chances tho,he can make it after all | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17671 Posts
On October 07 2014 00:29 The_Templar wrote: Added Blizzard's recent WCS Soundoff videos. Is it possible to generate the most likely blizzcon finals? hmm that's pretty tough lol, since the way it works now is it does simulations, and then figures out the top 16, I think I can do it How is the bracket aligned? Like last year was? #1 vs #16 #8 vs #9 #5 vs #12 #4 vs #13 #6 vs #11 #3 vs #14 #7 vs #10 #2 vs #15 | ||
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Bagration
United States18282 Posts
Don't want to nitpick, but MMA is missing his most recent WCS EU win under his profile. | ||
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