[KeSPA Cup] 2014 - Day 1

Ok guys, we're receiving a large amount of reports concerning balance whining, so we're going to be harsher and start banning.

Lorning

Belgica34432 Posts

September 10 2014 18:53 GMT

Thursday, Sep 11 4:00am GMT (GMT+00:00)

http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft2/KeSPA_Cup

Preview | Make your own bracket

Twitch | Youtube

Casters:
[image loading]

Wolf |

Brendan

Round of 16

[image loading]

Classic vs Rogue

San vs ByuL

Pigbaby vs Zest

sOs vs Reality

StarDust vs Flash

+ Show Spoiler [Spoiler-Free] +

+ Show Spoiler [Classic vs Rogue] +
+ Show Spoiler [San vs ByuL] +

+ Show Spoiler [Game 1] +

San <Deadwing> (Z)

ByuL

+ Show Spoiler [Game 2] +

San <King Sejong Station> ByuL

+ Show Spoiler [Game 3] +

San <Overgrowth> (Z)

ByuL

+ Show Spoiler [Game 4] +

San <Merry Go Round> (Z)

ByuL

+ Show Spoiler [Game 5] +

~~San~~ <> ~~ByuL~~

+ Show Spoiler [Pigbaby vs Zest] +

+ Show Spoiler [Game 1] +

Pigbaby <King Sejong Station> Zest

+ Show Spoiler [Game 2] +

Pigbaby <Overgrowth> Zest

+ Show Spoiler [Game 3] +

Pigbaby <Merry Go Round> Zest

+ Show Spoiler [Game 4] +

~~Pigbaby~~ <Foxtrot Labs> ~~Zest~~

+ Show Spoiler [Game 5] +

~~Pigbaby~~ <Nimbus> ~~Zest~~

+ Show Spoiler [sOs vs Reality] +

+ Show Spoiler [Game 1] +

sOs <King Sejong Station> (T)

Reality

+ Show Spoiler [Game 2] +

sOs <Nimbus> (T)

Reality

+ Show Spoiler [Game 3] +

sOs <Overgrowth> (T)

Reality

+ Show Spoiler [Game 4] +

~~sOs~~ <Merry Go Round> ~~Reality~~

+ Show Spoiler [Game 5] +

~~sOs~~ <Deadwing> ~~Reality~~

+ Show Spoiler [StarDust vs Flash] +

+ Show Spoiler [Overall Results] +

Round of 16
Classic vs Rogue
Classic <Overgrowth> (Z)

Rogue

Classic <Nimbus> Rogue
Classic <Foxtrot Labs> (Z)

Rogue
Classic <Catallena> (Z)

Rogue
~~Classic~~ <King Sejong Station> ~~Rogue~~

Classic wins 3-1!

San vs ByuL
San <Deadwing> (Z)

ByuL

San <King Sejong Station> ByuL
San <Overgrowth> (Z)

ByuL
San <Merry Go Round> (Z)

ByuL
~~San~~ <> ~~ByuL~~

San wins 3-1!

Pigbaby vs Zest
(P)

Pigbaby <King Sejong Station> Zest
(P)

Pigbaby <Overgrowth> Zest
(P)

Pigbaby <Merry Go Round> Zest
~~Pigbaby~~ <Foxtrot Labs> ~~Zest~~
~~Pigbaby~~ <Nimbus> ~~Zest~~

Zest wins 3-0!

sOs vs Reality
sOs <King Sejong Station> (T)

Reality
sOs <Nimbus> (T)

Reality
sOs <Overgrowth> (T)

Reality
~~sOs~~ <Merry Go Round> ~~Reality~~
~~sOs~~ <Deadwing> ~~Reality~~

sOs wins 3-0!

StarDust vs Flash
(P)

StarDust <Merry Go Round> Flash
StarDust <Overgrowth> (T)

Flash

StarDust <Nimbus> Flash
StarDust <Deadwing> (T)

Flash

StarDust <Foxtrot Labs> Flash

Flash wins 3-2!

+ Show Spoiler [Recommended Games] +

+ Show Spoiler [Classic vs Rogue] +

Poll: Recommend Classic vs Rogue Game 1?

★- Do not see this game no matter what (1)

5%

★★- Not recommended unless you have nothing better to do (2)

10%

★★★- Good game (15)

71%

★★★★- Highly recommended game (3)

14%

★★★★★- One of the best games this season (0)

0%

21 total votes

Your vote: Recommend Classic vs Rogue Game 1?

(Vote): ★- Do not see this game no matter what
(Vote): ★★- Not recommended unless you have nothing better to do
(Vote): ★★★- Good game
(Vote): ★★★★- Highly recommended game
(Vote): ★★★★★- One of the best games this season

Poll: Recommend Classic vs Rogue Game 2?

★- Do not see this game no matter what (0)

0%

★★- Not recommended unless you have nothing better to do (1)

4%

★★★- Good game (7)

28%

★★★★- Highly recommended game (15)

60%

★★★★★- One of the best games this season (2)

8%

25 total votes

Your vote: Recommend Classic vs Rogue Game 2?

Poll: Recommend Classic vs Rogue Game 3?

★- Do not see this game no matter what (1)

5%

★★- Not recommended unless you have nothing better to do (3)

15%

★★★- Good game (10)

50%

★★★★- Highly recommended game (6)

30%

★★★★★- One of the best games this season (0)

0%

20 total votes

Your vote: Recommend Classic vs Rogue Game 3?

Poll: Recommend Classic vs Rogue Game 4?

★- Do not see this game no matter what (5)

33%

★★- Not recommended unless you have nothing better to do (7)

47%

★★★- Good game (3)

20%

★★★★- Highly recommended game (0)

0%

★★★★★- One of the best games this season (0)

0%

15 total votes

Your vote: Recommend Classic vs Rogue Game 4?

Poll: Recommend Classic vs Rogue Game 5?

★- Do not see this game no matter what (0)

0%

★★- Not recommended unless you have nothing better to do (2)

18%

★★★- Good game (4)

36%

★★★★- Highly recommended game (2)

18%

★★★★★- One of the best games this season (3)

27%

11 total votes

Your vote: Recommend Classic vs Rogue Game 5?

+ Show Spoiler [San vs ByuL] +

Poll: Recommend San vs ByuL Game 1?

★- Do not see this game no matter what (1)

11%

★★- Not recommended unless you have nothing better to do (4)

44%

★★★- Good game (2)

22%

★★★★- Highly recommended game (1)

11%

★★★★★- One of the best games this season (1)

11%

9 total votes

Your vote: Recommend San vs ByuL Game 1?

Poll: Recommend San vs ByuL Game 2?

★- Do not see this game no matter what (0)

0%

★★- Not recommended unless you have nothing better to do (1)

14%

★★★- Good game (5)

71%

★★★★- Highly recommended game (1)

14%

★★★★★- One of the best games this season (0)

0%

7 total votes

Your vote: Recommend San vs ByuL Game 2?

Poll: Recommend San vs ByuL Game 3?

★- Do not see this game no matter what (2)

13%

★★- Not recommended unless you have nothing better to do (2)

13%

★★★- Good game (0)

0%

★★★★- Highly recommended game (9)

60%

★★★★★- One of the best games this season (2)

13%

15 total votes

Your vote: Recommend San vs ByuL Game 3?

Poll: Recommend San vs ByuL Game 4?

★- Do not see this game no matter what (2)

17%

★★- Not recommended unless you have nothing better to do (5)

42%

★★★- Good game (1)

8%

★★★★- Highly recommended game (4)

33%

★★★★★- One of the best games this season (0)

0%

12 total votes

Your vote: Recommend San vs ByuL Game 4?

Poll: Recommend San vs ByuL Game 5?

★- Do not see this game no matter what (1)

10%

★★- Not recommended unless you have nothing better to do (1)

10%

★★★- Good game (7)

70%

★★★★- Highly recommended game (1)

10%

★★★★★- One of the best games this season (0)

0%

10 total votes

Your vote: Recommend San vs ByuL Game 5?

+ Show Spoiler [Pigbaby vs Zest] +

Poll: Recommend Pigbaby vs Zest Game 1?

★- Do not see this game no matter what (2)

14%

★★- Not recommended unless you have nothing better to do (4)

29%

★★★- Good game (5)

36%

★★★★- Highly recommended game (1)

7%

★★★★★- One of the best games this season (2)

14%

14 total votes

Your vote: Recommend Pigbaby vs Zest Game 1?

Poll: Recommend Pigbaby vs Zest Game 2?

★- Do not see this game no matter what (4)

27%

★★- Not recommended unless you have nothing better to do (9)

60%

★★★- Good game (1)

7%

★★★★- Highly recommended game (0)

0%

★★★★★- One of the best games this season (1)

7%

15 total votes

Your vote: Recommend Pigbaby vs Zest Game 2?

Poll: Recommend Pigbaby vs Zest Game 3?

★- Do not see this game no matter what (1)

7%

★★- Not recommended unless you have nothing better to do (1)

7%

★★★- Good game (10)

71%

★★★★- Highly recommended game (2)

14%

★★★★★- One of the best games this season (0)

0%

14 total votes

Your vote: Recommend Pigbaby vs Zest Game 3?

Poll: Recommend Pigbaby vs Zest Game 4?

★- Do not see this game no matter what (3)

38%

★★- Not recommended unless you have nothing better to do (4)

50%

★★★- Good game (1)

13%

★★★★- Highly recommended game (0)

0%

★★★★★- One of the best games this season (0)

0%

8 total votes

Your vote: Recommend Pigbaby vs Zest Game 4?

Poll: Recommend Pigbaby vs Zest Game 5?

★- Do not see this game no matter what (1)

13%

★★- Not recommended unless you have nothing better to do (1)

13%

★★★- Good game (2)

25%

★★★★- Highly recommended game (4)

50%

★★★★★- One of the best games this season (0)

0%

8 total votes

Your vote: Recommend Pigbaby vs Zest Game 5?

+ Show Spoiler [sOs vs Reality] +

Poll: Recommend sOs vs Reality Game 1?

★- Do not see this game no matter what (0)

0%

★★- Not recommended unless you have nothing better to do (1)

11%

★★★- Good game (5)

56%

★★★★- Highly recommended game (2)

22%

★★★★★- One of the best games this season (1)

11%

9 total votes

Your vote: Recommend sOs vs Reality Game 1?

Poll: Recommend sOs vs Reality Game 2?

★- Do not see this game no matter what (0)

0%

★★- Not recommended unless you have nothing better to do (1)

9%

★★★- Good game (2)

18%

★★★★- Highly recommended game (2)

18%

★★★★★- One of the best games this season (6)

55%

11 total votes

Your vote: Recommend sOs vs Reality Game 2?

Poll: Recommend sOs vs Reality Game 3?

★- Do not see this game no matter what (1)

10%

★★- Not recommended unless you have nothing better to do (0)

0%

★★★- Good game (6)

60%

★★★★- Highly recommended game (3)

30%

★★★★★- One of the best games this season (0)

0%

10 total votes

Your vote: Recommend sOs vs Reality Game 3?

Poll: Recommend sOs vs Reality Game 4?

★- Do not see this game no matter what (2)

40%

★★- Not recommended unless you have nothing better to do (2)

40%

★★★- Good game (0)

0%

★★★★- Highly recommended game (1)

20%

★★★★★- One of the best games this season (0)

0%

5 total votes

Your vote: Recommend sOs vs Reality Game 4?

Poll: Recommend sOs vs Reality Game 5?

★- Do not see this game no matter what (1)

17%

★★- Not recommended unless you have nothing better to do (1)

17%

★★★- Good game (1)

17%

★★★★- Highly recommended game (2)

33%

★★★★★- One of the best games this season (1)

17%

6 total votes

Your vote: Recommend sOs vs Reality Game 5?

+ Show Spoiler [StarDust vs Flash] +

Poll: Recommend StarDust vs Flash Game 1?

★- Do not see this game no matter what (0)

0%

★★- Not recommended unless you have nothing better to do (2)

5%

★★★- Good game (1)

2%

★★★★- Highly recommended game (5)

11%

★★★★★- One of the best games this season (36)

82%

44 total votes

Your vote: Recommend StarDust vs Flash Game 1?

Poll: Recommend StarDust vs Flash Game 2?

★- Do not see this game no matter what (1)

4%

★★- Not recommended unless you have nothing better to do (2)

7%

★★★- Good game (11)

39%

★★★★- Highly recommended game (11)

39%

★★★★★- One of the best games this season (3)

11%

28 total votes

Your vote: Recommend StarDust vs Flash Game 2?

Poll: Recommend StarDust vs Flash Game 3?

★- Do not see this game no matter what (0)

0%

★★- Not recommended unless you have nothing better to do (1)

2%

★★★- Good game (4)

10%

★★★★- Highly recommended game (28)

68%

★★★★★- One of the best games this season (8)

20%

41 total votes

Your vote: Recommend StarDust vs Flash Game 3?

Poll: Recommend StarDust vs Flash Game 4?

★- Do not see this game no matter what (1)

3%

★★- Not recommended unless you have nothing better to do (12)

35%

★★★- Good game (8)

24%

★★★★- Highly recommended game (7)

21%

★★★★★- One of the best games this season (6)

18%

34 total votes

Your vote: Recommend StarDust vs Flash Game 4?

Poll: Recommend StarDust vs Flash Game 5?

★- Do not see this game no matter what (5)

5%

★★- Not recommended unless you have nothing better to do (1)

1%

★★★- Good game (8)

8%

★★★★- Highly recommended game (18)

18%

★★★★★- One of the best games this season (68)

68%

100 total votes

Your vote: Recommend StarDust vs Flash Game 5?

Click here

Lorning

Belgica34432 Posts

September 10 2014 18:53 GMT

Poll: Who advances to the Quarterfinals?

Classic (48)

65%

Rogue (26)

35%

74 total votes

Your vote: Who advances to the Quarterfinals?

(Vote): Classic
(Vote): Rogue

Poll: Who advances to the Quarterfinals?

ByuL (40)

53%

San (36)

47%

76 total votes

Your vote: Who advances to the Quarterfinals?

(Vote): San
(Vote): ByuL

Poll: Who advances to the Quarterfinals?

Zest (69)

87%

Pigbaby (10)

13%

79 total votes

Your vote: Who advances to the Quarterfinals?

(Vote): Pigbaby
(Vote): Zest

Poll: Who advances to the Quarterfinals?

sOs (64)

83%

Reality (13)

17%

77 total votes

Your vote: Who advances to the Quarterfinals?

(Vote): sOs
(Vote): Reality

Poll: Who advances to the Quarterfinals?

Flash (63)

71%

StarDust (26)

29%

89 total votes

Your vote: Who advances to the Quarterfinals?

(Vote): StarDust
(Vote): Flash

Aligulac Predictions

+ Show Spoiler [Classic vs Rogue] +

    (1905) Classic  0-0  Rogue (1760)      
-------------------------------------------
        17.88% 3-0       0-3   8.33%       
        23.42% 3-1       1-3  14.07%       
        20.45% 3-2       2-3  15.85%       
-------------------------------------------
            61.75%        38.25%           

Median outcome: Classic 3-2 Rogue

Estimated by Aligulac. Modify.

+ Show Spoiler [San vs ByuL] +

     (2189) San  0-0  ByuL (1851)    
-------------------------------------
     26.81% 3-0       0-3   4.48%    
     28.57% 3-1       1-3   8.67%    
     20.29% 3-2       2-3  11.18%    
-------------------------------------
         75.67%        24.33%        

Median outcome: San 3-1 ByuL

Estimated by Aligulac. Modify.

+ Show Spoiler [Pigbaby vs Zest] +

    (1809) Pigbaby  0-0  Zest (2183)       
-------------------------------------------
         3.97% 3-0       0-3  28.61%       
         7.84% 3-1       1-3  29.27%       
        10.34% 3-2       2-3  19.97%       
-------------------------------------------
            22.15%        77.85%           

Median outcome: Pigbaby 1-3 Zest

Estimated by Aligulac. Modify.

+ Show Spoiler [sOs vs Reality] +

        (1973) sOs  0-0  Reality (1689)    
-------------------------------------------
        24.10% 3-0       0-3   5.39%       
        27.31% 3-1       1-3  10.06%       
        20.63% 3-2       2-3  12.52%       
-------------------------------------------
            72.03%        27.97%           

Median outcome: sOs 3-1 Reality

Estimated by Aligulac. Modify.

+ Show Spoiler [StarDust vs Flash] +

    (1896) StarDust  0-0  Flash (2112)       
---------------------------------------------
          6.65% 3-0       0-3  21.05%        
         11.87% 3-1       1-3  25.58%        
         14.12% 3-2       2-3  20.73%        
---------------------------------------------
             32.64%        67.36%            

Median outcome: StarDust 2-3 Flash

Estimated by Aligulac. Modify.

WCS Predictor 2014

+ Show Spoiler [Classic, Rogue in KeSPA Cup] +

This match is important for Classic!

KeSPA Cup
-

Classic is at ~ 63.33 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 56.86 % of the time

Classic wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 98.82 %.
~ 43.14 % of the time

Classic loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 16.56 %.
-------------------------------------------------
-

Rogue is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 43.14 % of the time

Rogue wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.02 %.
~ 56.86 % of the time

Rogue loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.

+ Show Spoiler [San, ByuL in KeSPA Cup] +

KeSPA Cup
-

San is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 64.27 % of the time

San wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.
~ 35.73 % of the time

San loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %.
-------------------------------------------------
-

ByuL is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 35.73 % of the time

ByuL wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %.
~ 64.27 % of the time

ByuL loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.

+ Show Spoiler [Zest, Pigbaby in KeSPA Cup] +

This match is important for Pigbaby!

KeSPA Cup
-

Zest is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 65.87 % of the time

Zest wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.
~ 34.13 % of the time

Zest loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %.
-------------------------------------------------
-

Pigbaby is at ~ 27.19 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 34.13 % of the time

Pigbaby wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 57.58 %.
~ 65.87 % of the time

Pigbaby loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 11.45 %.

+ Show Spoiler [sOs, Reality in KeSPA Cup] +

This match is important for sOs!

KeSPA Cup
-

sOs is at ~ 74.33 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 63.28 % of the time

sOs wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 91.03 %.
~ 36.72 % of the time

sOs loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 45.54 %.
-------------------------------------------------
-

Reality is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 36.72 % of the time

Reality wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %.
~ 63.28 % of the time

Reality loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.

+ Show Spoiler [Flash, StarDust in KeSPA Cup] +

Flash must win this!

[url=http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=tournament&tid=41]KeSPA Cup
-

[url=http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=player&player_id=55]Flash[/url] is at ~ 3.69 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 59.34 % of the time

[url=http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=player&player_id=55]Flash[/url] wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 6.21 %.
~ 40.66 % of the time

[url=http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=player&player_id=55]Flash[/url] loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.
-------------------------------------------------
-

[url=http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=player&player_id=185]StarDust[/url] is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 40.66 % of the time

[url=http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=player&player_id=185]StarDust[/url] wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.
~ 59.34 % of the time

[url=http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=player&player_id=185]StarDust[/url] loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %.

asongdotnet

United States1060 Posts

September 10 2014 18:56 GMT

awesome... right after WCS NA ends! woohoo

SuperHofmann

Italy1741 Posts

September 10 2014 18:59 GMT

Yeppa

Die4Ever

United States17588 Posts

September 10 2014 19:00 GMT

WCS Predictor 2014

KeSPA Cup Day 1

Starts in
This match is important for Classic!
+ Show Spoiler [Classic, Rogue in KeSPA Cup] +

KeSPA Cup
-

Classic is at ~ 63.33 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 56.86 % of the time

Classic wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 98.82 %.
~ 43.14 % of the time

Classic loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 16.56 %.
-------------------------------------------------
-

Rogue is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 43.14 % of the time

Rogue wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.02 %.
~ 56.86 % of the time

Rogue loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.

Starts in
+ Show Spoiler [San, ByuL in KeSPA Cup] +

KeSPA Cup
-

San is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 64.27 % of the time

San wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.
~ 35.73 % of the time

San loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %.
-------------------------------------------------
-

ByuL is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 35.73 % of the time

ByuL wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %.
~ 64.27 % of the time

ByuL loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.

Starts in
This match is important for Pigbaby!
+ Show Spoiler [Zest, Pigbaby in KeSPA Cup] +

KeSPA Cup
-

Zest is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 65.87 % of the time

Zest wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.
~ 34.13 % of the time

Zest loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %.
-------------------------------------------------
-

Pigbaby is at ~ 27.19 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 34.13 % of the time

Pigbaby wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 57.58 %.
~ 65.87 % of the time

Pigbaby loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 11.45 %.

Starts in
This match is important for sOs!
+ Show Spoiler [sOs, Reality in KeSPA Cup] +

KeSPA Cup
-

sOs is at ~ 74.33 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 63.28 % of the time

sOs wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 91.03 %.
~ 36.72 % of the time

sOs loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 45.54 %.
-------------------------------------------------
-

Reality is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 36.72 % of the time

Reality wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %.
~ 63.28 % of the time

Reality loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.

Starts in
Flash must win this!
+ Show Spoiler [Flash, StarDust in KeSPA Cup] +

KeSPA Cup
-

Flash is at ~ 3.69 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 59.34 % of the time

Flash wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 6.21 %.
~ 40.66 % of the time

Flash loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.
-------------------------------------------------
-

StarDust is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 40.66 % of the time

StarDust wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.
~ 59.34 % of the time

StarDust loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %.

Starts in
This match is important for soO!
+ Show Spoiler [soO, Super in KeSPA Cup] +

KeSPA Cup

soO has the #2 headband!
This is a match for the #2 headband!
-

soO is at ~ 81.61 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 57.22 % of the time

soO wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 99.68 %.
~ 42.78 % of the time

soO loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 57.45 %.
-------------------------------------------------
-

Super is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 42.78 % of the time

Super wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %.
~ 57.22 % of the time

Super loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.

Starts in
herO must win this!
+ Show Spoiler [herO, Sorry in KeSPA Cup] +

KeSPA Cup
-

herO is at ~ 44.54 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 73.88 % of the time

herO wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 59.38 %.
~ 26.12 % of the time

herO loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 2.56 %.
-------------------------------------------------
-

Sorry is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 26.12 % of the time

Sorry wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %.
~ 73.88 % of the time

Sorry loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.

Starts in
This match is important for Rain!
+ Show Spoiler [Rain, Bomber in KeSPA Cup] +

KeSPA Cup
-

Rain is at ~ 33.43 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 60.58 % of the time

Rain wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 43.37 %.
~ 39.42 % of the time

Rain loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 18.17 %.
-------------------------------------------------
-

Bomber is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 39.42 % of the time

Bomber wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.
~ 60.58 % of the time

Bomber loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %.

Winning Chances

Zest has a ~ 13.86 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %

Rain has a ~ 12.59 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 33.43 % to ~ 99.99 %

Flash has a ~ 12.02 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 3.69 % to ~ 30.19 %

herO has a ~ 10.34 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 44.54 % to ~ 100 %

sOs has a ~ 8.85 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 74.33 % to ~ 100 %
+ Show Spoiler [More] +

San has a ~ 8.68 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %

soO has a ~ 5.46 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 81.61 % to ~ 100 %

Bomber has a ~ 5.06 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %

StarDust has a ~ 5.01 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %

Classic has a ~ 4.96 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 63.33 % to ~ 100 %

ByuL has a ~ 2.99 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 %

Pigbaby has a ~ 2.59 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 27.19 % to ~ 100 %

Super has a ~ 2.58 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 %

Rogue has a ~ 2.37 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.31 %

Reality has a ~ 2.2 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 %

Sorry has a ~ 0.44 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 %

Winning Gains
+ Show Spoiler [Winning Gains] +

Pigbaby would gain ~ 72.81 % if they win, with a ~ 2.59 % chance to win, going from ~ 27.19 % to ~ 100 %

Rain would gain ~ 66.57 % if they win, with a ~ 12.59 % chance to win, going from ~ 33.43 % to ~ 99.99 %

herO would gain ~ 55.46 % if they win, with a ~ 10.34 % chance to win, going from ~ 44.54 % to ~ 100 %

Classic would gain ~ 36.67 % if they win, with a ~ 4.96 % chance to win, going from ~ 63.33 % to ~ 100 %

Flash would gain ~ 26.5 % if they win, with a ~ 12.02 % chance to win, going from ~ 3.69 % to ~ 30.19 %

sOs would gain ~ 25.67 % if they win, with a ~ 8.85 % chance to win, going from ~ 74.33 % to ~ 100 %

soO would gain ~ 18.39 % if they win, with a ~ 5.46 % chance to win, going from ~ 81.61 % to ~ 100 %

Rogue would gain ~ 0.3 % if they win, with a ~ 2.37 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.31 %

Reality would gain ~ 0.01 % if they win, with a ~ 2.2 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 %

ByuL would gain ~ 0.01 % if they win, with a ~ 2.99 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 %

Super would gain ~ 0.01 % if they win, with a ~ 2.58 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 %

Sorry would gain ~ 0.01 % if they win, with a ~ 0.44 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 %

Zest would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 13.86 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %

San would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 8.68 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %

Bomber would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 5.06 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %

StarDust would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 5.01 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %

Players Who Secure Their Blizzcon Spot By Winning (over 99%)

Pigbaby would gain ~ 72.81 % if they win, with a ~ 2.59 % chance to win, going from ~ 27.19 % to ~ 100 %

Rain would gain ~ 66.57 % if they win, with a ~ 12.59 % chance to win, going from ~ 33.43 % to ~ 99.99 %

herO would gain ~ 55.46 % if they win, with a ~ 10.34 % chance to win, going from ~ 44.54 % to ~ 100 %

Classic would gain ~ 36.67 % if they win, with a ~ 4.96 % chance to win, going from ~ 63.33 % to ~ 100 %

sOs would gain ~ 25.67 % if they win, with a ~ 8.85 % chance to win, going from ~ 74.33 % to ~ 100 %

soO would gain ~ 18.39 % if they win, with a ~ 5.46 % chance to win, going from ~ 81.61 % to ~ 100 %

Flash is the only one who falls below 1% chances if he doesn't win, even with a 2nd place
+ Show Spoiler [Flash Details] +

~ 87.98 % of the time
Flash doesn't get 1st in KeSPA Cup
This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 3.69 % to ~ 0.07 %

~ 7.35 % of the time
Flash gets 2nd in KeSPA Cup
This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 3.69 % to ~ 0.66 %

~ 12.02 % of the time
Flash gets 1st in KeSPA Cup
This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 3.69 % to ~ 30.19 %

The first match is absolutely HUGE for Classic, after that he's ok even with just an 8th place.
+ Show Spoiler [Classic Details] +

~ 29.28 % of the time
Classic gets 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change Classic's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 63.33 % to ~ 97.91 %

~ 43.14 % of the time
Classic loses their next match in KeSPA Cup ro16
This would change Classic's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 63.33 % to ~ 16.56 %

+ Show Spoiler [Other Stats] +

~ 48.1 % of the time
Classic doesn't get 2nd or 4th or 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change Classic's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 63.33 % to ~ 25.17 %

~ 51.9 % of the time
Classic gets 2nd or 4th or 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change Classic's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 63.33 % to ~ 98.7 %

~ 45.02 % of the time
Classic gets 4th or 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change Classic's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 63.33 % to ~ 98.51 %

~ 54.98 % of the time
Classic doesn't get 4th or 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change Classic's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 63.33 % to ~ 34.53 %

~ 40.77 % of the time
Rogue gets 2nd or 4th or 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change Classic's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 63.33 % to ~ 16.43 %

~ 36.38 % of the time
Rogue gets 4th or 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change Classic's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 63.33 % to ~ 16.68 %

~ 59.23 % of the time
Rogue doesn't get 2nd or 4th or 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change Classic's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 63.33 % to ~ 95.62 %

~ 63.62 % of the time
Rogue doesn't get 4th or 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change Classic's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 63.33 % to ~ 90.01 %

~ 26.34 % of the time
Rogue gets 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change Classic's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 63.33 % to ~ 16.62 %

~ 25.43 % of the time
herO gets 2nd or 4th in KeSPA Cup
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 44.54 % to ~ 87.92 %

~ 29.28 % of the time
Classic gets 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change Classic's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 63.33 % to ~ 97.91 %

~ 8.89 % of the time
herO gets 2nd in KeSPA Cup
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 44.54 % to ~ 99.1 %

~ 48.23 % of the time
soO doesn't get 2nd or 4th or 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change soO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 81.61 % to ~ 62.26 %

~ 51.77 % of the time
soO gets 2nd or 4th or 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change soO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 81.61 % to ~ 99.65 %

~ 24.41 % of the time
Sorry gets 4th or 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 44.54 % to ~ 2.55 %

~ 4.42 % of the time
Pigbaby gets 2nd in KeSPA Cup
This would change Pigbaby's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 27.19 % to ~ 96.41 %

~ 22.62 % of the time
Classic gets 2nd or 4th in KeSPA Cup
This would change Classic's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 63.33 % to ~ 99.74 %

~ 31.54 % of the time
Pigbaby gets 2nd or 4th or 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change Pigbaby's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 27.19 % to ~ 54.09 %

~ 25.69 % of the time
Sorry gets 2nd or 4th or 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 44.54 % to ~ 2.56 %

~ 19.77 % of the time
Sorry gets 8th in KeSPA Cup
This would change herO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 44.54 % to ~ 2.52 %

More here http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=tournament&tid=41

SC2Toastie

Netherlands5725 Posts

September 10 2014 19:06 GMT

HYPEEEE

Those secures :O

Lorning

Belgica34432 Posts

September 10 2014 19:06 GMT

Ready for maximum salt?

Die4Ever

United States17588 Posts

September 10 2014 19:10 GMT

On September 11 2014 04:06 Lorning wrote:
Ready for maximum salt?

gogo Stardust! lol

Ctesias

4595 Posts

September 10 2014 19:16 GMT

On September 11 2014 04:06 Lorning wrote:
Ready for maximum salt?

My body is not prepared for Flash losing his first game. I don't expect him to, but still.

+ Show Spoiler +

Unless the saltiness refers to Stardust's fans when he loses to Flash.

Calt

Finland1140 Posts

September 10 2014 19:30 GMT

#10

Nice, I can wake up at a normal time and still catch the TvPs !

Shellshock

United States97274 Posts

September 10 2014 19:32 GMT

#11

Go San!!!

Silvana

3713 Posts

September 10 2014 19:33 GMT

#12

On September 11 2014 04:06 Lorning wrote:
Ready for maximum salt?

No!

purakushi

United States3300 Posts

September 10 2014 19:34 GMT

#13

For the sake of views, Terrans should win.

Canucklehead

Canada5074 Posts

September 10 2014 19:41 GMT

#14

Damn, why did they put flash's game last! Would have been great to watch flash at 9pm pst! Dunno if I can stay up for his game now.

Circumstance

United States11403 Posts

September 10 2014 19:51 GMT

#15

On September 11 2014 04:41 Canucklehead wrote:
Damn, why did they put flash's game last! Would have been great to watch flash at 9pm pst! Dunno if I can stay up for his game now.

Allow me to save you the trouble.

Ctesias

4595 Posts

September 10 2014 19:53 GMT

#16

On September 11 2014 04:41 Canucklehead wrote:
Damn, why did they put flash's game last! Would have been great to watch flash at 9pm pst! Dunno if I can stay up for his game now.

They were considerate enough to cater Flash's games for Europeans. Good luck me watching Classic vs Rogue, though.

imrusty269

United States1404 Posts

September 10 2014 19:55 GMT

#17

Flash should be able to crush Stardust. I don't see any other terran winning though.

Pyloss

Germany1515 Posts

September 10 2014 19:57 GMT

#18

wasnt hyped that mutch since IEM Katowice or even Blizzcon.

Glad that they will upload everything on youtube just like PL.

So, are Wolf and Brandan going to cast this? If so, looking forward to it!

REyeM

2674 Posts

September 10 2014 20:00 GMT

#19

Hell yes! This tournament will be awesome. Too bad I'm gonna have to miss most of Ro16 due to exams, hopefully all of WCS AM/EU players will be cleaned up until then.

Champion: (P)

Rain
Darkhorse: (Z)

Savage
Dream: (P)

sOs