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[IEM] Season IX - Toronto Day 1 - Page 11

Forum Index > StarCraft 2 Tournaments
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AWalker9
Profile Blog Joined August 2013
United Kingdom7229 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-08-28 16:02:47
August 28 2014 16:02 GMT
#201
On August 29 2014 00:50 elfonse wrote:
Anyone doing the Fantasy bracket thing


Yeah

My Team

Captain: (T)Flash
(P)herO[jOin]
(P)sOs
(Z)Leenock
soOjwa has returned to smite all that stand in his way
Yhamm
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
France7248 Posts
August 28 2014 16:03 GMT
#202
On August 29 2014 00:47 Jer99 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 29 2014 00:41 Die4Ever wrote:
running the update, here's Jer99's page http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=player&player_id=40
if you watch it, you may see his chances go over 0% when the simulation finds a case where he actually qualifies for Blizzcon, I suspect this might happen around the 100 million sample mark lol so it may take a few hours


So you're saying there's a chance?

LiquipediaWe will have only each other at the last
Necro)Phagist(
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
Canada6660 Posts
August 28 2014 16:03 GMT
#203
On August 29 2014 01:02 AWalker9 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 29 2014 00:50 elfonse wrote:
Anyone doing the Fantasy bracket thing


Yeah

My Team

Captain: (T)Flash
(P)herO[jOin]
(P)sOs
(Z)Leenock

Fantasy bracket? Where?
"Are you talking to me? Because your authority is not recognized in fort kick ass!"" ||Park Jung Suk|| |MC|HerO|HyuN|
AWalker9
Profile Blog Joined August 2013
United Kingdom7229 Posts
August 28 2014 16:04 GMT
#204
On August 29 2014 01:03 Necro)Phagist( wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 29 2014 01:02 AWalker9 wrote:
On August 29 2014 00:50 elfonse wrote:
Anyone doing the Fantasy bracket thing


Yeah

My Team

Captain: (T)Flash
(P)herO[jOin]
(P)sOs
(Z)Leenock

Fantasy bracket? Where?


http://fantasy.eslgaming.com/
soOjwa has returned to smite all that stand in his way
Necro)Phagist(
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
Canada6660 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-08-28 16:10:30
August 28 2014 16:05 GMT
#205
On August 29 2014 01:04 AWalker9 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 29 2014 01:03 Necro)Phagist( wrote:
On August 29 2014 01:02 AWalker9 wrote:
On August 29 2014 00:50 elfonse wrote:
Anyone doing the Fantasy bracket thing


Yeah

My Team

Captain: (T)Flash
(P)herO[jOin]
(P)sOs
(Z)Leenock

Fantasy bracket? Where?


http://fantasy.eslgaming.com/

Thanks!

Boom got my team
Captain: Flash(Duh)
Jaedong (JvF Finals incoming)
Yoda
herO
"Are you talking to me? Because your authority is not recognized in fort kick ass!"" ||Park Jung Suk|| |MC|HerO|HyuN|
wUndertUnge
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States1125 Posts
August 28 2014 16:06 GMT
#206
AHHHHHHHHHHH! Hypu!
Clan: QQGC - wundertunge#1850
TL+ Member
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17737 Posts
August 28 2014 16:11 GMT
#207
On August 29 2014 00:47 Jer99 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 29 2014 00:41 Die4Ever wrote:
running the update, here's Jer99's page http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=player&player_id=40
if you watch it, you may see his chances go over 0% when the simulation finds a case where he actually qualifies for Blizzcon, I suspect this might happen around the 100 million sample mark lol so it may take a few hours


So you're saying there's a chance?

since your chances are so low, percentages won't cut it for you, so I added the exact number of times qualifying/number of samples to the player pages. Right now yours says

~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
(0/16,500,000)

http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=player&player_id=40
"Expert" mods4ever.com
SetGuitarsToKill
Profile Blog Joined December 2013
Canada28396 Posts
August 28 2014 16:17 GMT
#208
On August 29 2014 01:02 AWalker9 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 29 2014 00:50 elfonse wrote:
Anyone doing the Fantasy bracket thing


Yeah

My Team

Captain: (T)Flash
(P)herO[jOin]
(P)sOs
(Z)Leenock


So I saw your post, made my own team, looked back at your post and realized I picked the exact same team as you lol.
Community News"As long as you have a warp prism you can't be bad at harassment" - Maru | @SetGuitars2Kill
The_Templar
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
your Country52798 Posts
August 28 2014 16:17 GMT
#209
I've got TaeJa, Flash, Oz, Leenock. Let's go guys
ModeratorI am still alive, somehow
TL+ Member
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17737 Posts
August 28 2014 16:18 GMT
#210
WCS Predictor 2014

IEM Toronto Open Brackets starts in

+ Show Spoiler [Match Previews] +

+ Show Spoiler [Jaedong, Bones in IEM Toronto Open Bra…] +
IEM Toronto Open Brackets
- kr Jaedong is at ~ 97.69 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 72.51 % of the time kr Jaedong wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 98.03 %.
~ 27.49 % of the time kr Jaedong loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 96.82 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ca Bones is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 27.49 % of the time ca Bones wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 72.51 % of the time ca Bones loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.


+ Show Spoiler [Leenock, HuK in IEM Toronto Open Brack…] +
IEM Toronto Open Brackets
- kr Leenock is at ~ 0.02 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 50.78 % of the time kr Leenock wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.03 %.
~ 49.22 % of the time kr Leenock loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ca HuK is at ~ 1.83 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 49.22 % of the time ca HuK wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 1.93 %.
~ 50.78 % of the time ca HuK loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 1.75 %.


+ Show Spoiler [Oz, hendralisk in IEM Toronto Open Bra…] +
IEM Toronto Open Brackets
- kr Oz is at ~ 0.02 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 55.82 % of the time kr Oz wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.03 %.
~ 44.18 % of the time kr Oz loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ca hendralisk is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 44.18 % of the time ca hendralisk wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 55.82 % of the time ca hendralisk loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.


+ Show Spoiler [StarDust, Life in IEM Toronto Open Bra…] +
IEM Toronto Open Brackets
- kr StarDust is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 53.08 % of the time kr StarDust wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.
~ 46.92 % of the time kr StarDust loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr Life is at ~ 65.16 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 46.92 % of the time kr Life wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 71.74 %.
~ 53.08 % of the time kr Life loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 59.34 %.


+ Show Spoiler [puCK, Revival in IEM Toronto Open Brac…] +
IEM Toronto Open Brackets
- us puCK is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 50.77 % of the time us puCK wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %.
~ 49.23 % of the time us puCK loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr Revival is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 49.23 % of the time kr Revival wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %.
~ 50.77 % of the time kr Revival loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.


+ Show Spoiler [herO, desRow in IEM Toronto Open Brack…] +
IEM Toronto Open Brackets
- kr herO is at ~ 64.5 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 76.87 % of the time kr herO wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 66.67 %.
~ 23.13 % of the time kr herO loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 57.31 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ca desRow is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 23.13 % of the time ca desRow wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 76.87 % of the time ca desRow loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.


+ Show Spoiler [Bunny, Kane in IEM Toronto Open Brackets] +
IEM Toronto Open Brackets
- dk Bunny is at ~ 14.6 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 67.8 % of the time dk Bunny wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 15.57 %.
~ 32.2 % of the time dk Bunny loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 12.55 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ca Kane is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 32.2 % of the time ca Kane wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 67.8 % of the time ca Kane loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.


+ Show Spoiler [Snute, Jer99 in IEM Toronto Open Brack…] +
IEM Toronto Open Brackets
- no Snute is at ~ 11.22 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 82.44 % of the time no Snute wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 12.01 %.
~ 17.56 % of the time no Snute loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 7.53 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ca Jer99 is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 17.56 % of the time ca Jer99 wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 82.44 % of the time ca Jer99 loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.



Winning Chances
kr herO has a ~ 53.5 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 64.5 % to ~ 75.51 %
dk Bunny has a ~ 51.06 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 14.6 % to ~ 17.57 %
no Snute has a ~ 39.76 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 11.22 % to ~ 19.4 %
kr StarDust has a ~ 38.84 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
kr Jaedong has a ~ 37.55 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 97.69 % to ~ 99.64 %
+ Show Spoiler [More] +

kr Life has a ~ 30.72 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 65.16 % to ~ 85.82 %
kr Leenock has a ~ 30.21 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.02 % to ~ 0.05 %
ca HuK has a ~ 27.41 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 1.83 % to ~ 2.17 %
kr Oz has a ~ 19.49 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.02 % to ~ 0.06 %
ca Kane has a ~ 16.76 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0 %
kr Revival has a ~ 15.98 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 %
us puCK has a ~ 15.2 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 %
ca hendralisk has a ~ 13.3 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
ca Bones has a ~ 4.23 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
ca desRow has a ~ 4.18 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
ca Jer99 has a ~ 1.82 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %


Winning Gains
kr Life would gain ~ 20.66 % if they win, with a ~ 30.72 % chance to win, going from ~ 65.16 % to ~ 85.82 %
kr herO would gain ~ 11.01 % if they win, with a ~ 53.5 % chance to win, going from ~ 64.5 % to ~ 75.51 %
no Snute would gain ~ 8.17 % if they win, with a ~ 39.76 % chance to win, going from ~ 11.22 % to ~ 19.4 %
dk Bunny would gain ~ 2.97 % if they win, with a ~ 51.06 % chance to win, going from ~ 14.6 % to ~ 17.57 %
kr Jaedong would gain ~ 1.95 % if they win, with a ~ 37.55 % chance to win, going from ~ 97.69 % to ~ 99.64 %
+ Show Spoiler [More] +

ca HuK would gain ~ 0.34 % if they win, with a ~ 27.41 % chance to win, going from ~ 1.83 % to ~ 2.17 %
kr Oz would gain ~ 0.04 % if they win, with a ~ 19.49 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.02 % to ~ 0.06 %
kr Leenock would gain ~ 0.03 % if they win, with a ~ 30.21 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.02 % to ~ 0.05 %
kr Revival would gain ~ 0.01 % if they win, with a ~ 15.98 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 %
us puCK would gain ~ 0.01 % if they win, with a ~ 15.2 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 %
kr StarDust would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 38.84 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
ca hendralisk would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 13.3 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
ca Bones would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 4.23 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
ca desRow would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 4.18 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
ca Jer99 would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 1.82 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
ca Kane would gain ~ -0.01 % if they win, with a ~ 16.76 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0 %

"Expert" mods4ever.com
dravernor
Profile Blog Joined May 2013
Netherlands6192 Posts
August 28 2014 16:19 GMT
#211
On August 29 2014 01:05 Necro)Phagist( wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 29 2014 01:04 AWalker9 wrote:
On August 29 2014 01:03 Necro)Phagist( wrote:
On August 29 2014 01:02 AWalker9 wrote:
On August 29 2014 00:50 elfonse wrote:
Anyone doing the Fantasy bracket thing


Yeah

My Team

Captain: (T)Flash
(P)herO[jOin]
(P)sOs
(Z)Leenock

Fantasy bracket? Where?


http://fantasy.eslgaming.com/

Thanks!

Boom got my team
Captain: Flash(Duh)
Jaedong (JvF Finals incoming)
Yoda
herO

I'm going to copy your sentiment but switch yoda for taeja
<3
ThomasjServo
Profile Blog Joined May 2012
15244 Posts
August 28 2014 16:31 GMT
#212
On August 29 2014 01:19 dravernor wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 29 2014 01:05 Necro)Phagist( wrote:
On August 29 2014 01:04 AWalker9 wrote:
On August 29 2014 01:03 Necro)Phagist( wrote:
On August 29 2014 01:02 AWalker9 wrote:
On August 29 2014 00:50 elfonse wrote:
Anyone doing the Fantasy bracket thing


Yeah

My Team

Captain: (T)Flash
(P)herO[jOin]
(P)sOs
(Z)Leenock

Fantasy bracket? Where?


http://fantasy.eslgaming.com/

Thanks!

Boom got my team
Captain: Flash(Duh)
Jaedong (JvF Finals incoming)
Yoda
herO

I'm going to copy your sentiment but switch yoda for taeja

Just pray he doesn't run into a Terran with how he played against Polt -____-
AWalker9
Profile Blog Joined August 2013
United Kingdom7229 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-08-28 16:33:47
August 28 2014 16:32 GMT
#213
On August 29 2014 01:17 SetGuitarsToKill wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 29 2014 01:02 AWalker9 wrote:
On August 29 2014 00:50 elfonse wrote:
Anyone doing the Fantasy bracket thing


Yeah

My Team

Captain: (T)Flash
(P)herO[jOin]
(P)sOs
(Z)Leenock


So I saw your post, made my own team, looked back at your post and realized I picked the exact same team as you lol.


haha it's a good team.

Pretty solid and balanced. Just got to count on Leenock going through, since herO has a really good chance
soOjwa has returned to smite all that stand in his way
SetGuitarsToKill
Profile Blog Joined December 2013
Canada28396 Posts
August 28 2014 16:33 GMT
#214
On August 29 2014 01:32 AWalker9 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 29 2014 01:17 SetGuitarsToKill wrote:
On August 29 2014 01:02 AWalker9 wrote:
On August 29 2014 00:50 elfonse wrote:
Anyone doing the Fantasy bracket thing


Yeah

My Team

Captain: (T)Flash
(P)herO[jOin]
(P)sOs
(Z)Leenock


So I saw your post, made my own team, looked back at your post and realized I picked the exact same team as you lol.


haha it's a good team.

Pretty solid and balanced. Just got to count on Leenock going through


Leenock's the wild card. He might do well and he was stupid cheap so it's a good pick I hope.
Community News"As long as you have a warp prism you can't be bad at harassment" - Maru | @SetGuitars2Kill
Squat
Profile Joined September 2013
Sweden7978 Posts
August 28 2014 16:45 GMT
#215
Jer will win, get banned from TL by a teary-eyed KBB, and Snute will make a long blog about how bad he is at SC2, after beating like 10 koreans back to back. It will be glorious.
"Digital. They have digital. What is digital?" - Donald J Trump
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17737 Posts
August 28 2014 16:50 GMT
#216
in 37 million samples on WCS Predictor, Jer's best result is still just 875 WCS Points (probably a 1st place and a 16th place), it's not looking too good for Blizzcon
"Expert" mods4ever.com
AWalker9
Profile Blog Joined August 2013
United Kingdom7229 Posts
August 28 2014 16:51 GMT
#217
On August 29 2014 01:33 SetGuitarsToKill wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 29 2014 01:32 AWalker9 wrote:
On August 29 2014 01:17 SetGuitarsToKill wrote:
On August 29 2014 01:02 AWalker9 wrote:
On August 29 2014 00:50 elfonse wrote:
Anyone doing the Fantasy bracket thing


Yeah

My Team

Captain: (T)Flash
(P)herO[jOin]
(P)sOs
(Z)Leenock


So I saw your post, made my own team, looked back at your post and realized I picked the exact same team as you lol.


haha it's a good team.

Pretty solid and balanced. Just got to count on Leenock going through


Leenock's the wild card. He might do well and he was stupid cheap so it's a good pick I hope.


He's in the easier bracket so I say he has a good chance to at least make it to the group stage
soOjwa has returned to smite all that stand in his way
stuchiu
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
Fiddler's Green42661 Posts
August 28 2014 17:13 GMT
#218
On August 29 2014 01:50 Die4Ever wrote:
in 37 million samples on WCS Predictor, Jer's best result is still just 875 WCS Points (probably a 1st place and a 16th place), it's not looking too good for Blizzcon


Never tell me the odds! - Jer Solo
Moderator
Manslayer
Profile Joined June 2011
Chile150 Posts
August 28 2014 17:13 GMT
#219
I stopped following the sc2 pro scene in early 2012 and I'm just now getting back into it, so I have no idea who's strong right now, I picked

(T)Polt
(T)YoDa
(Z)Jaedong
(P)herO[jOin]
No quote D:
BlackCompany
Profile Joined August 2012
Germany8388 Posts
August 28 2014 17:14 GMT
#220
A little less than 3 hours left!
This gonna be a long night of amazing SC2 action, thankfully i still got beer in the fridge
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